Bitcoin Forum

Economy => Speculation => Topic started by: Spekulatius on October 02, 2013, 06:06:59 PM



Title: Which is LEADING: Bitstamp or Gox?
Post by: Spekulatius on October 02, 2013, 06:06:59 PM
My guess: Bitstamp is leading price although it has only 1/2 the volume of Gox and the usual 10% lower price becaue of the known withdrawal issue of Gox's. Its has taken the lead so far anyway and is currently 20% below Gox price.

-edit on 09th of Oct 2013-
Poll reset

Results from first poll:
http://i41.tinypic.com/11ajybq.png


Title: Re: Which is LEADING: Bitstamp or Gox?
Post by: N12 on October 02, 2013, 06:08:29 PM
Definitely saw Bitstamp leading this crash.


Title: Re: Which is LEADING: Bitstamp or Gox?
Post by: Nemesis on October 02, 2013, 06:21:27 PM
Definitely saw Bitstamp leading this crash.

You need to get your eyes check idiot.

Use charts overlapping to see whos leading .


Title: Re: Which is LEADING: Bitstamp or Gox?
Post by: Alonzo Ewing on October 02, 2013, 06:34:55 PM
Interestingly, at the moment, the Bistamp-Mt Gox difference is as low as it's been in a long, long time.  Gox showing $113ish, Bistamp showing $111ish.


Title: Re: Which is LEADING: Bitstamp or Gox?
Post by: Xiaoma on October 02, 2013, 07:01:30 PM
For a small moment bitstamp price was ABOVE gox one, like the only time in the last 6 months...


Title: Re: Which is LEADING: Bitstamp or Gox?
Post by: Spekulatius on October 02, 2013, 07:08:47 PM
Definitely saw Bitstamp leading this crash.

You need to get your eyes check idiot.

Use charts overlapping to see whos leading .


Pic or it didnt happen smart ass!


Title: Re: Which is LEADING: Bitstamp or Gox?
Post by: Spekulatius on October 08, 2013, 10:22:33 PM
Poll reset!

Some intersting developments today, actually more volume on Bitstamp, BTChina and EVEN BTC-e, then on Gox:

http://i41.tinypic.com/mw4dxt.png


Title: Re: Which is LEADING: Bitstamp or Gox?
Post by: ArticMine on October 09, 2013, 01:34:35 AM
BTCChina is leading at 777 CNY or 126.96 USD closing the gap on MtGox at 136.04 USD followed by Bitstamp at 124.93 USD. 


Title: Re: Which is LEADING: Bitstamp or Gox?
Post by: derpinheimer on October 09, 2013, 01:37:07 AM
BTCChina is leading at 777 CNY or 126.96 USD closing the gap on MtGox at 136.04 USD followed by Bitstamp at 124.93 USD. 

Leading =/= being the closest to gox  ???

 :D


Title: Re: Which is LEADING: Bitstamp or Gox?
Post by: ArticMine on October 09, 2013, 01:38:44 AM
BTCChina is leading at 777 CNY or 126.96 USD closing the gap on MtGox at 136.04 USD followed by Bitstamp at 124.93 USD.  

Leading =/= being the closest to gox  ???

 :D

I mean a steady upward trend on strong volume while MTGox has been essentially flat for the last 4 days.

Edit: It will be interesting to see if BTCChina breaks 790 CNY


Title: Re: Which is LEADING: Bitstamp or Gox?
Post by: damnek on October 09, 2013, 02:11:24 AM
At btckan.com/price you can see that the Chinese exchanges are currently trading slightly higher than bitstamp.


Title: Re: Which is LEADING: Bitstamp or Gox?
Post by: ArticMine on October 09, 2013, 02:42:01 AM
At btckan.com/price you can see that the Chinese exchanges are currently trading slightly higher than bitstamp.

... and with substantial volume.


Title: Re: Which is LEADING: Bitstamp or Gox?
Post by: adamstgBit on October 09, 2013, 02:54:22 AM
I believe BitStamps will soon be #1 on the 30day volume, its been over mtgox volume on most days for a while now. I estimate 1 more month and then GOX will be #2 and will continue to fall in the ranks.


Title: Re: Which is LEADING: Bitstamp or Gox?
Post by: derpinheimer on October 09, 2013, 02:56:22 AM
I believe BitStamps will soon be #1 on the 30day volume, its been over mtgox volume on most days for a while now. I estimate 1 more month and then GOX will be #2 and will continue to fall in the ranks.

But but but INSOLVENT, and. uh..

PANIC!

Its coming!


Title: Re: Which is LEADING: Bitstamp or Gox?
Post by: ArticMine on October 09, 2013, 03:04:35 AM
I believe BitStamps will soon be #1 on the 30day volume, its been over mtgox volume on most days for a while now. I estimate 1 more month and then GOX will be #2 and will continue to fall in the ranks.

But but but INSOLVENT, and. uh..

PANIC!

Its coming!

Right now in daily volume it is https://btc100.org/ (https://btc100.org/) at 53858.32 dwarfing MtGox and BitStamp combined. We really need to take a very hard look at what is currently going on in China. Thanks to damnek for this excellent link http://btckan.com/price (http://btckan.com/price)


Title: Re: Which is LEADING: Bitstamp or Gox?
Post by: adamstgBit on October 09, 2013, 03:09:17 AM


Right now in daily volume it is https://btc100.org/ at 53858.32 dwarfing MtGox and BitStamp combined. We really need to take a very hard look at what is currently going on in China. Thanks to damnek for this excellent link http://btckan.com/price

wtf why isnt this on bitcoincharts.com?


Title: Re: Which is LEADING: Bitstamp or Gox?
Post by: derpinheimer on October 09, 2013, 03:10:40 AM


Right now in daily volume it is https://btc100.org/ at 53858.32 dwarfing MtGox and BitStamp combined. We really need to take a very hard look at what is currently going on in China. Thanks to damnek for this excellent link http://btckan.com/price

wtf why isnt this on bitcoincharts.com?

Because its bullshit and clearly not actual data.

Thats the same site that was claiming like 150k not too long ago, with like 2CNY price rise BAHAHhAHAHAHHA

How can you possibly...?


Title: Re: Which is LEADING: Bitstamp or Gox?
Post by: adamstgBit on October 09, 2013, 03:14:30 AM


Right now in daily volume it is https://btc100.org/ at 53858.32 dwarfing MtGox and BitStamp combined. We really need to take a very hard look at what is currently going on in China. Thanks to damnek for this excellent link http://btckan.com/price

wtf why isnt this on bitcoincharts.com?

Because its bullshit and clearly not actual data.

Thats the same site that was claiming like 150k not too long ago, with like 2CNY price rise BAHAHhAHAHAHHA

How can you possibly...?

idk, i never heard of btc100 until , 5 mins ago

can someone confirm derpinheimer's comment?


Title: Re: Which is LEADING: Bitstamp or Gox?
Post by: ArticMine on October 09, 2013, 03:24:56 AM
It is not just https://btc100.org/ (https://btc100.org/). Take a look at the rest of the sites on http://btckan.com/price . All I will say is ignore China at your peril when trading BTC.


Title: Re: Which is LEADING: Bitstamp or Gox?
Post by: derpinheimer on October 09, 2013, 03:25:32 AM
It is not just BTC100.org. Take a look at the rest of the sites on http://btckan.com/price . All I will say is ignore China at your peril when trading BTC.


Right now in daily volume it is https://btc100.org/ at 53858.32 dwarfing MtGox and BitStamp combined. We really need to take a very hard look at what is currently going on in China. Thanks to damnek for this excellent link http://btckan.com/price

wtf why isnt this on bitcoincharts.com?

Because its bullshit and clearly not actual data.

Thats the same site that was claiming like 150k not too long ago, with like 2CNY price rise BAHAHhAHAHAHHA

How can you possibly...?

idk, i never heard of btc100 until , 5 mins ago

can someone confirm derpinheimer's comment?

Derpinheimer here to prove derpinheimer's comment.

https://i.imgur.com/YiLKoXg.png

Guess what that is?

Hint: BTC100 Orderbook. As of minutes ago. With 50k volume claim.


Title: Re: Which is LEADING: Bitstamp or Gox?
Post by: adamstgBit on October 09, 2013, 03:30:20 AM
It is not just BTC100.org. Take a look at the rest of the sites on http://btckan.com/price . All I will say is ignore China at your peril when trading BTC.


Right now in daily volume it is https://btc100.org/ at 53858.32 dwarfing MtGox and BitStamp combined. We really need to take a very hard look at what is currently going on in China. Thanks to damnek for this excellent link http://btckan.com/price

wtf why isnt this on bitcoincharts.com?

Because its bullshit and clearly not actual data.

Thats the same site that was claiming like 150k not too long ago, with like 2CNY price rise BAHAHhAHAHAHHA

How can you possibly...?

idk, i never heard of btc100 until , 5 mins ago

can someone confirm derpinheimer's comment?

Derpinheimer here to prove derpinheimer's comment.

https://i.imgur.com/YiLKoXg.png

Guess what that is?

Hint: BTC100 Orderbook. As of minutes ago. With 50k volume claim.

maybe the volume is in CNY


Title: Re: Which is LEADING: Bitstamp or Gox?
Post by: viboracecata on October 09, 2013, 09:13:27 AM
I feel bitstamp will surpass Gox.

The withdrawal issue is the big trouble for most of the speculators.


Title: Re: Which is LEADING: Bitstamp or Gox?
Post by: Stephen Gornick on October 09, 2013, 04:39:17 PM
Leading =/= being the closest to gox  ???

Pardon me for being ignorant here, but maybe I'm not the only one.  In what context is "=/=" used?       If it was to mean "roughly equal" I'ld have expected to see (~=).   If it was "not equal" then I'ld expect "!=" or "<>".     But "=/=" isn't intuitive to me.

Which exchange sets the price that the other one  will catch up with?

You presume prices always equilibrate?   That will not always happen.  And it has little to do with trading volume.   Instead, various differences between exchanges are reflected in the price.    If there was zero friction between moving funds to and from exchanges, the prices would be the same.   As long as there are differences, the cost (or savings) of those differences are reflected in the exchange rate.

Now a spike or drop in volume (or urgency) may cause the degree of difference between the exchanges to grow or shrink over time but generally the exchange rate will move up or down at roughly the same level between the exchanges.

As far as determining a single "current market price" for bitcoin, currently Mt. Gox must be seen as an outlier but those bids are real so it cannot be entirely dismissed.   If you notice, both Coindesk's Bitcoin Price Indicator (BPI) and BItPay's exchange rate -- each computed with slightly different approaches yet seem to always land within about 1% of each other:
 - http://www.coindesk.com/price/
 - https://bitpay.com/bitcoin-exchange-rates