Bitcoin Forum

 Every year since the creation of Bitcoin, it has followed a similar seasonal pattern. With the exception of 2013. February and March are rough months, with bottom around the 3rd week of March. April is usually a neutral month, posting slight gains on average. May and June are always skyrocket months, with more growth than even December/January.

 The one exception is 2013, where the Silk Road was born in late winter. BTC skyrocketed in February and March.  When the FBI took down the Silk Road, May and  June were bear months. BTC is too big now to be influenced by one market being destroyed. Three drug markets were taken offline last year and the market didn't even notice. Proving that illicit use has become a minority use case.

 So stop panicking and take advantage of BTC cheaper than you'll ever get it for again.


Edit: 2011 was the year of the Silk road, my bad.

If bitcoin is like that almost every years then it could also happen this year. Price might double the previous high's last year. I hope that can really happen as to lots of people will surely earn again lots of money at that time.
I believe that this interpretation is not a FUD, since bitcoin is behaving like that we can conclude that it can again go up in the near end of the year.

I am fully agree with you!  One year ago Bitcoin was $1179 and everyone was pretty happy. Now it's 8500 but it's "crashing"'... We get greedy pretty quickly, that's an irony of trading.

Bitcoin has become very speculative since last year, when the price skyrocketed to $18,000. It is normal for these people to

panic, when they see the value of their investment dropping with more than 50%. We will see a repeat of previous years,

where the strong hands make the most profit and the weak hands crying over their losses. This feels like the movie,

Groundhog day, where we repeat the same year over and over and over again.  ::)

We can't blame them since the volatility of digital currencies will really test how strong you are in terms of investing in this volatile digital currencies. People end up being paranoid on what may happen leading them to panicky selling their investments quickly. But they need to keep in their minds that this price is not really the lowest since there is a alot of time where bitcoin is not really this high.

But many people are afraid to take that risk and end up with losing so if you want to make money you need to take risk and need to trust the bitcoin fully.Now also many people started to sell their coins due to panic  but later they will worry bitcoin has the ability to recover faster so I never doubt in bitcoin and won't sell my bitcoin even if fall 50% of its value.

I run an ATM business, at a time when everyone should be buying, most are selling. BTC follows pocket books, people are recovering from Christmas and saving for vacation. Every year has the same trend, late spring and early winter posting the largest gains. I hope we can educate some new people, so they don't panic sell and make less than they spent.

I think it's a good analysis .. thanks for sharing it, it would be appropriate and appreciate if u could post here some graph too.

The best advice I’ve heard so far that new investors must implement to each strategy for them to acquire more bitcoin by buying in the lowest price as possible.

As my friend said to me: “The rise of bitcoin has a pattern and that month would soon come”. Why not wait for it than losing money for selling in less price than last year, November to be exact.

Yeah i don't know why so many peoples dump their bitcoins. That will make bitcoin value worst
and they won't make any profit for panic selling.
bitcoin won't be abandoned by peoples because bitcoin has used by many peoples already.
In the peoples will buy bitcoins more, and the price will increased, and the panic seller will regret.

I agree with you, that now is a good time to take advantage by Buying Bitcoin with cheap price.
I have put 25% my money to Bitcoin and I hope the price of Bitcoin can down again, I order 1 BTC for $5K.

I didn't want to reveal my talent as an artist, but here you go. ;)


https://preview.ibb.co/e3EMNx/BTC2011.jpg (https://ibb.co/cFDsUc)
https://preview.ibb.co/dPtFhx/BTC2012.jpg (https://ibb.co/mrQ6pc)
https://preview.ibb.co/ks5vhx/BTC2013.jpg (https://ibb.co/cXG1Nx)
https://preview.ibb.co/fcG1Nx/BTC2014.jpg (https://ibb.co/gHZXUc)
https://preview.ibb.co/daavhx/BTC2015.jpg (https://ibb.co/k27mpc)
https://preview.ibb.co/mCLjaH/BTC2016.jpg (https://ibb.co/n6LT2x)
https://preview.ibb.co/mqx82x/BTC2017.jpg (https://ibb.co/iGdsUc)
https://preview.ibb.co/kLsahx/BTC2018.jpg (https://ibb.co/gTOgNx)

This statement should be read by more newbies, tracking down the history will move them to stay holding and not to panic even the value is keeps on
falling down, the history will keeps repeating itself, buying  more with your spare money and keep your coins inside your wallet and let it become your
future assets, positive perceptions will bring positive outcome, bitcoin is still in its early stage we should trust the chain.

I second this. The people who panic sell in a bear market are newbies who do not understand the market at all. They have false information fed to them by the news and most of them do not even know the origin of bitcoins or it's early markets and movement. If more people knew information like these, there will be less panic selling and the market would always recover quickly after falling/

You are absolutely right that the price of rising turco bitcoin can be said to be seasonal and at this precise moment you do not sell your bitcoin, and do the purchase is the best thing because soon we will be in the bitcoin rising season.

The worst part of the year on average is now, I'm looking at compiling average weekly performance data for BTC and posting it here as a benchmark for new users. The problem is, enough people realize this, it will change the way BTC behaves. Nullifying my hard work. Just be aware for now that this isn't the end of BTC and this is quite normal. if I had done my research earlier, I would have waited until now and bought BTC, I'd have a lot more.

sometimes the price of Bitcoin is falling because of the panic of many people.
should if people can calm and hold their Bitcoin then BTC prices will not fall because the decisive price of Bitcoin is Bitcoin users themselves.

yes this is the one the best time to buy btc if you just chek the last 1 month graph i hope you will be clear . right now market situation little bit bad but most of the good coin are under price if you have a long term plan you can choose any altr coin for long term that will be great profit return your pocket.

bitcoin will always be bitcoin.and will always grow..i trust this great coin,and even if this didnt work,or crashed one day.i will greatly accept that fact and will have no bitter feelings since i take the chance of not tooking out my funds and convert into fiat..Hold this is what im doing and will always do

I like your statement. Yes we should buy bitcoin more if the price on the dips.
but sadly there are more of them who really bought the fud.
it will be worse if they listen to the false fud more.

I suggest that nothing happened because of the crypto trading. BTC rates are formed through the exchanges that were getting extremely popular while the money from siezed darkweb markets were removed from the market (at least untill those coins were auctioned).
The resilience to those kind of stuff is definetely a good thing but it is not so significant. It seems like crypto market simply changed its influencers from darkweb marketplaces to the legal side.

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Only newbies will be affected in fuds. Fuds are not new in cryptocurrency world in fact some are creating fuds for their own

for sure bitcoin I choose not only this high price because the tokens are fast rise because there are so many propromote in bitcoin and share in other countries and other countries and buying bitcoin

ahaha tnx a lot mate.. love the way you use to draw.. it reminds me a lot mspaint and i love it!! ahah

Yes every year we see rough months in the starting phase of year as well when most of the crypto trader lost their trust in bitcoin because of falling market but I would say this market is not for them. Bitcoin is a game of patience. When market moves aggressively correction would also takes place and even I noticed many people spread fake news and fud to disrupt the market but I personally feel bitcoin  will be more strong in the coming years because that time these negative news or fud will not be able to affect the market.

The whales are manipulating the weak hands into panic mode to make them sell their hodling into their buy orders. The people who have been here for few years now are rock solid and true hodlers. But the new crypto users are the ones who fall for this shit. Always ignore FUD if you trust in the project and its future.

Unfortunately every new comer with high expectations want to get 2x to 10x profit in a single night even knowing the fact that this market is highly unpredictable.
Bitcoin user who is well aware of bitcoin price history and market will never panic during the downfall because he/she knows that these dips are temporary as like previous dips in history.

It's already proved in many times. After a quick surge up above $10,000 then return base point at $9000 So there's nothing else to worried that. Throwback, December Bull run that was way too fast and as predicted fast comes down. We are still in an uptrend, which is very healthy for the market.

Totally agree. Don't buy FUD, buy Bitcoins.

I totally agree with you. FUD will just weaken our minds to think about the right decision to make. We should always take advantage of the situation and look forward to what Bitcoin can do to our lives. One person in my country took advantage of the poor situation and now, he is one of the richest people in my country and in the whole world.

Yes,that's the usual price pattern in years.Without some big news that could shake the market,the price movement is still going with that pattern.I just hope there's nothing major will happen till june so that we could act according the usual price pattern.

Those who understand will survive and continue holding their coins, those who just arrived without any knowledge will be eaten alive by
the whales who really knows how to take advantage, I think most people around here who stay for 1-2 years will be able to ride with
the whales or just keep monitoring their holdings, they don't need to panic as they knew that everything will be settled back to its normal
movements. buy and buy then wait for your fortune.

Totally agreed. Don’t you feel that we are so immuned to the fuds, totally have no feelings when we hear the same old improved fuds. Just buy and hold, the strong hand will make money.

Yes, I totally agree with you. For me, FUD is an opportunity for me to increase my fortune. I am looking forward to FUD, I can use it to buy the altcoins that I like and wait for the price to rise and then sell. My strategy is very effective when confronted with FUD. You can consult this and good luck.

Exactly what we need to do is buy when the price is low,but people can't do that due to afraid or fear of losing their money,but the one who is enough to take some risk will get benefit,so don't get be afraid to take risks and life will reward us with good return.But if you are a long term investor don't care about the negative news or price crash just hold them until it reaches its real value of $1M. :D

Thanks for the graphs, it makes a lot of sense that people should simply wait it out as march and april are generally slow months. This is the time for accumulation in preparation for the May pump. It might even start in April due to the increase in exposure of the crypto market compared to previous years

I agree 100% with your analysis. What people are missing is that the LONG TERM trend for pretty much ALL of the coins is BULLISH.

You can check the last six months trend here:

https://bitscreener.com/screener

The last column on the right is the last 6 months thread. As I said above virtually every single coin has gone UP in value in such period of time, NOT DOWN AT ALL.

I believe in bitcoin. It is traditional usd in cryptocurrency and it will be used for a very long time.

Many people still have trust on bitcoin. I also believe that cryptocurrency will be the next currency and get mass adoption. I will keep hodl and wait for market to be recovered eventhough it could takes a year or more.

True, very well said. If you really look back and check the flow of prices of bitcoin, you can say the dip now is normal , those who are veteran in bitcoin take this dip as an opportunity to buy bitcoin at its cheapest because they knew that it will bounce back again. So now it is an oppotunity to invest , hodl and wait for the rise of the price.

Yeah because fud is often use by market manipulator to drop the bitcoin price in the market.
they will buy bitcoins when you panic sell your bitcoins.
But i think the factors that affecting the market price is not only fud.

you are right and that is the right thought. these panic people panic on almost anything. they don't have the heart to take the risks and they want some quick money! shame on these guys.

I totally agree, because bitcoin is the future of the currency, it solves the problems that the bank is experiencing, and will be the technological revolution.
So buy bitcoin more and more if price down

Yes it is true! The market is just following the same pattern on the previous years. It is now the best time to buy and acquire more Bitcoin and altcoin because the bull is ready to run anytime. You wil surely regret in the future if you will believe on FUD and fake news. Be a wise investor!

You should be cautious however, we do not want to advocate that Bitcoin will follow the same trend, based on previous years

price history, if we do not have evidence that would substantiate that it will repeat that trend this year. A lot of people will

blame people on this forum, when this trend does not repeat it self again, this year. We hope it will repeat last years trend,

but we give no guarantees.   ;)

Exactly, do not buy those fuds instead buy bitcoin which brings you to be successful. They will experience of losing once they choose to panic sell so never ever listen to fuds. Understand the market before investing our money.

I agree with you that March and April are the months of low volatility and smaller price movement for the bitcoin whereas May and June are the months of high volatility and high price movements. In fact, I would recommend everyone to buy the Bitcoin because right now the bitcoin is available at a cheaper price and we should all take the advantage of getting BTC at this cheaper price and I am personally expecting the Bitcoin to reach $20k price level soon by this end Year.

Beginners will always exist. FUD will always be conducted. FUD conductors aim beginners to create panic. we hope this forum can educate them and we can fight FUDs. I don't expect situations will always normal, because this is business, risk will always there.

True, FUD's are like viruses they are everywhere to ride on the downfall of the price of bitcoin recently. Now bitcoin is starting to  recover again . Just a proof that FUD's can't bring the bitcoin down. so keep trusting bitcoin.

Hopefully it will, and profit will be there since we can still buy Bitcoin at a lower value. We just have to remember that there is nothing good when we panic, it will only bring us down just like what this FuD is doing. These negativity lowers our confidence and Bing us down in time. Just waiting and the skyrocket of last year will repeat.

Not all people are get panic in this situation only the new investors and the people who can't afford to lose their investment capital so they will try to protect their money by selling them but the smart people buy bitcoin at these kind of situation and make more money out of it.

nice title made me laugh 😂,this is what those weak hands know the advantage of buying when the price was falling,instead of selling ..until they will sooner realize what they've lost when the prices stabilized or rebounded from the current value before the dip

The panic ones show that they are not suitable for become a real investor.
every investor should know whether the fud is true or not. otherwise, they will be controlled by peoples who manipulates FUD.

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That's right! Btc last year highest price has reach 1m php which happen in the year end month usually November to December so right now the BTC is low, but think again on last years price on BTC parallel to this month, I think it's the same as what it is now, so if you give up BTC now then you better be ready this year end months of 2018.

Panic selling isnt the correct way of protecting your money but rather waiting does. you will only loose more if ever you insist to sell your holdings but you can possibly earn more as long as you have a patience to wait for the right time to sell.

we cant buy fud because fud is not a coin. Fuds do somehow affect the price of bitcoin but people are still the responsible for their loss whenever they did a poor descision.

That is totally correct, Better to ignore those FUD and use the chance to buy more because if you believe in this technology you should know what to do and better to collect than regret it in the future.

Yeah now we are entering the green zone, and I believe a lot of people now regret to believe in fud news and do the panic sell earlier, btc already being legalize in some country the value wont be die, some people like to spread fud news so they can buy cheaper coin, before you sell your coin, it is better to search the news and it's the best to hold when the bear market happened

yes because based on what I read in the news that bitcoin is increasing so it's good news for people who are losing money because it drops all market token prices so it's time to buy lots of bitcoin

Yes bitcoin price could not get affected by any particular single factor.It has diversified users all over the world.So even if we come across any negative news about bitcoin,we need not get panic and sell our bitcoins in a hurry.Believe that bitcoin has mover far ahead of such factors.

That is right. Beginners expect too much and enter the crypto market for a quick buck. They really do not understand how this technology works and they even do not know what's its purpose. That is why they are very easy to get carried away when something has been spreading all over the internet without thinking that these are just making us fearful.

This post seems to be spot on so far! Seems like the market is going to pick up heavily from here.

Wow, I love the topic,  don't buy FUD,  buy bitcoin.  We have so many newbies who came into the crypto space with the mindset that buying bitcoin and keeping for a month or two will make them rich due to the sporadic increase in the price. This newbies where easily mover by FUD cooked up by the media because they don't really know what bitcoin entails.

Whenever i hear about FUD or negative news about bitcoin. I was always worried because it might cause the bitcoin to fall on it's price but when that FUD happens always then i'm getting immune to negative news and not bother at all. Instead of scaring myself. i always believe bitcoin will survive despite the attacks on it. I always take the opportunity of a low price bitcoin to be bought. I think that's a perfect time to have more holdings.

The main problem is that there are a lot of speculations around what will happen to BTC with everyone claiming to be an expert yet all they do is speculate, the rest of the prole buy into their ideologies and end up getting messed, if only everyone would fo a proper market research,the FUDs will lose meaning, and everyone would be making informed decisions