Bitcoin Forum

Economy => Speculation => Topic started by: Arvydas77 on March 31, 2018, 12:24:50 PM



Title: What is coming for Bitcoin in 2018 from now
Post by: Arvydas77 on March 31, 2018, 12:24:50 PM
Very interesting article and conclusion. I tend to agree with researchers. Check this out:

Quote
We develop a strong diagnostic for bubbles and crashes in bitcoin, by analyzing the coincidence (and its absence) of fundamental and technical indicators. Using a generalized Metcalfe’s law based on network properties, a fundamental value is quantified and shown to be heavily exceeded, on at least four occasions, by bubbles that grow and burst. In these bubbles, we detect a universal super-exponential unsustainable growth. We model this universal pattern with the Log-Periodic Power Law Singularity (LPPLS) model, which parsimoniously captures diverse positive feedback phenomena, such as herding and imitation. The LPPLS model is shown to provide an ex-ante warningof market instabilities, quantifying a high crashhazardand probabilistic bracketof the crash time consistent with the actual corrections; although, as always, the precise time and trigger (which straw breaks the camel’s back) being exogenous and unpredictable. Looking forward, our analysis identifies a substantial but not unprecedented overvaluation in the price of bitcoin, suggesting many months of volatile sideways bitcoin prices ahead (from the time of writing, March 2018).

Original source to download full research: https://arxiv.org/abs/1803.05663 (https://arxiv.org/abs/1803.05663)


Title: Re: What is coming for Bitcoin in 2018 from now
Post by: Xester on March 31, 2018, 12:29:55 PM
I have read many predictions and there are always two possible results. Its either bitcoin will go up in value or it will go down. Their evaluation of bitcoin was made in a complex manner and just like our evaluation they said that bitcoin was overvalued and that led to a correction. But in our group we predicted that the normal price for bitcoin is at 10k$ but due to the negative news that floods the net panic selling brought bitcoin down to 6k + $.


Title: Re: What is coming for Bitcoin in 2018 from now
Post by: Arvydas77 on March 31, 2018, 12:52:02 PM
The problem is that we don't have established valuation metrics for Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. I will say the only one I trust is actual price to mine 1 BTC. NVT ratio is not good but maybe just for me.
This bear market will last more and we could expect to see much lower prices. This piece by Burniske is interesting as well to handle situation of bear market: https://medium.com/@cburniske/handing-your-happiness-to-mr-crypto-market-d655da3927c2 (https://medium.com/@cburniske/handing-your-happiness-to-mr-crypto-market-d655da3927c2)

https://cdn-images-1.medium.com/max/2000/1*_l3YcKUAPEr8Y-53CEgBIw.png


Title: Re: What is coming for Bitcoin in 2018 from now
Post by: Dudeperfect on March 31, 2018, 01:11:29 PM
Even if it seems difficult for Bitcoin to rise but still, I am optimistic about recovery from the next month and I am even expecting price to hit a fresh all time high level in this year itself. There are several factors which are affecting the price of Bitcoin and market is still in the last phase of the correction process so I don't think that there is anything to worry about it.


Title: Re: What is coming for Bitcoin in 2018 from now
Post by: Pancheng on March 31, 2018, 01:24:01 PM
Bitcoin price as shown on the graph is dropping but the point is it is pumping while dropping not dramatically dropping as a straight line, it shows that anytime it will revive, and it can pump anytime soon, so all we have is to work while stay tuning with the graph.


Title: Re: What is coming for Bitcoin in 2018 from now
Post by: First77 on March 31, 2018, 01:27:53 PM
By end of 2018, bitcoin will be known as a high speculative asset which was over talked into pushing its price to $10,000. There is nothing new that Bitcoin can offer and it can go to $20 in the end.


Title: Re: What is coming for Bitcoin in 2018 from now
Post by: leviathon on March 31, 2018, 06:57:18 PM
Bitcoin will still be the market leader through 2018.

More institutions either accepting Bitcoin or even joining the fray.

You cannot talk about Bitcoin without making mention of its volatile market nature, and although it is a year older and wiser, it will still be a wild ride.


Title: Re: What is coming for Bitcoin in 2018 from now
Post by: wantjokull on March 31, 2018, 07:06:30 PM
Even if it seems difficult for Bitcoin to rise but still, I am optimistic about recovery from the next month and I am even expecting price to hit a fresh all time high level in this year itself. There are several factors which are affecting the price of Bitcoin and market is still in the last phase of the correction process so I don't think that there is anything to worry about it.

Yup bitcoin is already on it and as you can all the market is turning green now. This is so fast that as soon as the March month has ended up the new era of the bitcoin begins too. I ma completely positive about the ATH reaching this year end and it could be faster than that as people had choice to invest at lowest possible value and most of them have done it already. So keeping that in mind and with the financial processes ending today the bitcoin seems to b energised completely and is already on the verge of increasing. Not only this but the alts are following the same patterns too. Happy bitcoining!!


Title: Re: What is coming for Bitcoin in 2018 from now
Post by: liseff3 on March 31, 2018, 07:53:01 PM
Bitcoin is more familiar in society than any other coin, he will continue to fight on the front lines against the obstacles that continue to block. Within these three days bitcoin continues to fall may have something to do with Easter and today the price has gradually increased. I really hope this will be the start of all the upcoming improvements (bigger increase).


Title: Re: What is coming for Bitcoin in 2018 from now
Post by: eminemcookie on March 31, 2018, 08:38:10 PM
It could be that bitcoin is highly overvalued currently, similarly it could be that it is ideally valued. In your example were you say that the price could move sideways for many months that would indicate that the price is actually about where it should be instead of bitcoin being overvalued.


Title: Re: What is coming for Bitcoin in 2018 from now
Post by: Reid on March 31, 2018, 09:46:32 PM
Wow. They really made it look like it was true.
Making predictions that are harder to explain and laws which will not be understood by another ordinary person.

Who knows when an investor will come in.
Example is if I am one investor.
Should I broadcast to the media or forums that I will be buying a large number just so they could predict it?

It can happen anytime.


Title: Re: What is coming for Bitcoin in 2018 from now
Post by: renes on April 01, 2018, 07:39:57 PM
The more this sideway going on, the more people gonna lose money. For some people that does not matter but this is terrible market for those who always believe it is going to rise next month etc.


Title: Re: What is coming for Bitcoin in 2018 from now
Post by: Coin-1 on April 01, 2018, 07:52:55 PM
The authors of this article claim that the price of Bitcoin is overvalued now, but how they can evaluate an information. The value of crypto currency mostly figures out from the balance of an offer and a demand on the markets.

I think that the crypto exchange markets just negatively responds to the trading wars instigated between USA and China in the current time. Therefore I guess that the price of crypto currencies will slowly slide down in the near future.


Title: Re: What is coming for Bitcoin in 2018 from now
Post by: oni4an on April 01, 2018, 07:53:03 PM
All these analyses and predictions about the course crypto divination on the coffee grounds. Bitcoin is always restored after all the problems and bad news, I believe in crypto and you advise)


Title: Re: What is coming for Bitcoin in 2018 from now
Post by: Aleshia696 on April 02, 2018, 02:55:28 PM
Have always found it hard to understand analysis. But this one looks pretty legit. Market is still alive and we can already see some positive movement in market. I believe we will see some positive bounce son.


Title: Re: What is coming for Bitcoin in 2018 from now
Post by: bonballi on April 03, 2018, 05:21:38 AM
Bitcoin is in the first position in the market and its growth is spreading all over the world. Though, the price right now is not in favour of many people. But, at the end of this year it'll have its full recovery.


Title: Re: What is coming for Bitcoin in 2018 from now
Post by: jrrsparkles on April 03, 2018, 05:25:58 AM
For me it is $50K is coming in 2018.Anyone can see that the sane thing what I am seeing. :D

This is just a temporary dump in the price of bitcoin and these also happens in past too so just chill out and buy more bitcoin to get more profits.


Title: Re: What is coming for Bitcoin in 2018 from now
Post by: Opnsrc on April 11, 2018, 05:51:07 PM
No one can predict the exact forecast of bitcoin or another coin. I think that in 2018 the price of the bitcoin will be more stable and maybe only at the end of the year will grow much


Title: Re: What is coming for Bitcoin in 2018 from now
Post by: BinManR on April 11, 2018, 05:57:11 PM
In my opinion and the news from the prediction of analysts. The market for crypto and bitcoin may move unpredictably with volatility and the market's return to reality is only possible in June. At the current low price, the popularity is spreading and forming many Investors are interested in bitcoin and crypto. That could trigger an outbreak of volatility in the future. However, I am not sure about the time of growth. :P


Title: Re: What is coming for Bitcoin in 2018 from now
Post by: total.room on May 22, 2018, 02:51:50 PM
Saya rasa tidak ada yang bisa memprediksi harga bitcoint yang naik tinggi ataupun turun drastis dari koin lainnya, karna setiap orang pasti memprediksi harga bitcoint selalu stabil,itu hal yang wajar bagi pengguna bitcoin


Title: Re: What is coming for Bitcoin in 2018 from now
Post by: funnynews on May 23, 2018, 01:23:29 PM
Most of experts believe, that bitcoin along with alternatives will have an even bigger demand in 2018-2019 years allthought


Title: Re: What is coming for Bitcoin in 2018 from now
Post by: maruf_h20 on June 09, 2018, 06:48:55 PM
Bitcoin is very popular in the world as a digital currency. It is undoubtedly true that Bitcoin is in the first position in the market. The price of a bit of coins is a lot for any ordinary person. Bitcoin's extensive use of the new year 2018 will increase further. It is undoubtedly true. It is understood that many organizations and companies are becoming familiar with it in all the countries of the world. State approval and the use of companies is taking Bitakken to a new horizon.


Title: Re: What is coming for Bitcoin in 2018 from now
Post by: dear53 on June 09, 2018, 07:06:38 PM
Bitcoin price is now not very low. It is now a good figure but all the members expectation is more. They are not take panic but waiting for the price ups. If bitcoin price going to ups everything will be ok. Everyone have a dream with bitcoin.Bitcoin change many peoples life so every people want to change there life with it. My opinion is from now to after ending this year 2018 bitcoin price is reached $20k. We all just wait for that..... :)


Title: Re: What is coming for Bitcoin in 2018 from now
Post by: ejswift on June 09, 2018, 07:11:17 PM
Very interesting article and conclusion. I tend to agree with researchers. Check this out:

Quote
We develop a strong diagnostic for bubbles and crashes in bitcoin, by analyzing the coincidence (and its absence) of fundamental and technical indicators. Using a generalized Metcalfe’s law based on network properties, a fundamental value is quantified and shown to be heavily exceeded, on at least four occasions, by bubbles that grow and burst. In these bubbles, we detect a universal super-exponential unsustainable growth. We model this universal pattern with the Log-Periodic Power Law Singularity (LPPLS) model, which parsimoniously captures diverse positive feedback phenomena, such as herding and imitation. The LPPLS model is shown to provide an ex-ante warningof market instabilities, quantifying a high crashhazardand probabilistic bracketof the crash time consistent with the actual corrections; although, as always, the precise time and trigger (which straw breaks the camel’s back) being exogenous and unpredictable. Looking forward, our analysis identifies a substantial but not unprecedented overvaluation in the price of bitcoin, suggesting many months of volatile sideways bitcoin prices ahead (from the time of writing, March 2018).

Original source to download full research: https://arxiv.org/abs/1803.05663 (https://arxiv.org/abs/1803.05663)
ithink bitcoin will be more aggressive and is more popular because in this year there will be a lot of investors that buys or tradesand invest bitcoin


Title: Re: What is coming for Bitcoin in 2018 from now
Post by: ardibimbim on June 09, 2018, 07:24:31 PM
I'm really positive about ATH that reached the end of this year and it could be faster than that because people have the option to invest at the lowest possible value and most of them already do it.


Title: Re: What is coming for Bitcoin in 2018 from now
Post by: tarikul1921 on June 09, 2018, 07:25:39 PM
The price of Bitcoin shown to the graph is decreasing, but the point is not pumping when it is not dramatically dropping as a straight line, it shows that it will be revived at any time and it pumps anytime.


Title: Re: What is coming for Bitcoin in 2018 from now
Post by: northstarh on June 09, 2018, 07:34:40 PM
I think 2018 is the year of bitcoin. bitcoin will grow back, I think by the end of this year, the price of bitcoin will explode. You should buy and keep bitcoin to make a profit. I am expecting the price of bitcoin will be $ 20k.


Title: Re: What is coming for Bitcoin in 2018 from now
Post by: mlgblockchain on June 09, 2018, 07:43:05 PM
I think it differently. I think the price of the bitcoin will not explode at any time of this year (2018). In 2017, the price did explode but then in 2018 it never raised and stayed high for more than 2 weeks. And in this year, I think the price will not rise in November like the year before.


Title: Re: What is coming for Bitcoin in 2018 from now
Post by: turinafanda on June 09, 2018, 07:51:44 PM
It is difficult for anyone to predict the price of future encryption market. I think the red market will continue.


Title: Re: What is coming for Bitcoin in 2018 from now
Post by: Godef on June 13, 2018, 06:55:10 PM
The cryptocurrency market is very unstable and it is impossible to make an accurate forecast in my opinion. There are two opposite options, either bitcoin will decline or begin to grow.


Title: Re: What is coming for Bitcoin in 2018 from now
Post by: Rubesmatic on June 13, 2018, 07:25:55 PM
No ATH will hit this year, we are already half way through and BTC has lost 50% of it's value.
It would be impossible for it to break resistance and get back to 20K again..Unless there is some serious manipulation which looks to be going on now, only to the downside.


Title: Re: What is coming for Bitcoin in 2018 from now
Post by: waitforme on June 13, 2018, 07:27:44 PM
A lot of people say that bitcoin will rebound in late 2018 and many people say that in late 2018, bitcoin and the crypto market will disappear with a lot of all investors assets.


Title: Re: What is coming for Bitcoin in 2018 from now
Post by: Weeker on June 13, 2018, 07:32:24 PM
2018 has arrived and still do good and not shown, 2018 is more confident and seems more stable, as the price of raznyje coins has not changed and remains the same in the normal range.


Title: Re: What is coming for Bitcoin in 2018 from now
Post by: Phlaser on June 13, 2018, 07:53:24 PM
Only time will confirm the date of Bitcoin. Still I am very optimistic that the market generally will recover speedily in no distance time. For those that got the mind, bag some Bitcoin now to enjoy good profit when the bull market.start


Title: Re: What is coming for Bitcoin in 2018 from now
Post by: JackssHarriss on June 13, 2018, 10:01:20 PM
I think Bitcoin is going to continue to increase. I think it's important to look for a marketplace that you trust though as it gets more attention, so will security concerns. There's a new marketplace, HBUS, that is about to launch. They're registered with FinCen so definitely going to be switching to them to do all my trading. Go check out their website, they're having prizes too, it's hbus.com


Title: Re: What is coming for Bitcoin in 2018 from now
Post by: Digitalbitcoin on June 21, 2018, 08:38:31 AM
If we check for market dominance of Bitcoin, its going down and completely inversely proportionate to distribution of BTC. Which clearly showing higher demand of Bitcoin in future, and this will shot up price of BTC. Day by day market dominance is reducing and gets saturated in other altcoins.
https://image.ibb.co/kck1zo/coinmarketcap.png
So, by considering current market dominance and upcoming future, price of BTC will be stable by 2018. As many new corporate and governments are testing possibilities of use of blockchain technology.


Title: Re: What is coming for Bitcoin in 2018 from now
Post by: bitfocus on June 21, 2018, 08:42:39 AM
I am very optimistic about recovery by the end of 2018.


Title: Re: What is coming for Bitcoin in 2018 from now
Post by: 19nataliya12 on June 21, 2018, 08:44:26 AM
In favor of the growth of the Crypto currency quotes, the test of the support area will perform, as well as the upper bound of the Triangle model. Earlier, we received a weak signal for purchases of Bitcoin's crypto currency due to the intersection of signal lines at 6500. Expect the confirmation of the growth of BTC / USD quotes with the breakdown of the upper boundary of the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo Cloud and the closing above the level of 7000. Soon everything will be fine my friends!


Title: Re: What is coming for Bitcoin in 2018 from now
Post by: Polly.Nochka on June 21, 2018, 09:18:12 AM
If we try to look objectively and analyze the past ups and downs of bitcoin, we can conclude that in 2018 it will be more expensive than its highest price in 2017. But, I do not dare to say, everything will show only time.


Title: Re: What is coming for Bitcoin in 2018 from now
Post by: thereactor334 on June 21, 2018, 02:22:24 PM
LEDU COIN will dominate in the near future because of its very promising project to professionals and experts!



Title: Re: What is coming for Bitcoin in 2018 from now
Post by: jrd2828 on July 06, 2018, 03:37:45 AM
LEDU COIN will dominate in the near future because of its very promising project to professionals and experts!


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Hopefully before 2018 ends, bitcoin will be back to top. Many have predicted that bitcoin will rise again before year ends or in early 2019. I also believe that this will be possible, I believe in the recovery ability of bitcoin in the market.


Title: Re: What is coming for Bitcoin in 2018 from now
Post by: Ronyx on July 06, 2018, 03:45:18 AM
Very interesting article and conclusion. I tend to agree with researchers. Check this out:

Quote
We develop a strong diagnostic for bubbles and crashes in bitcoin, by analyzing the coincidence (and its absence) of fundamental and technical indicators. Using a generalized Metcalfe’s law based on network properties, a fundamental value is quantified and shown to be heavily exceeded, on at least four occasions, by bubbles that grow and burst. In these bubbles, we detect a universal super-exponential unsustainable growth. We model this universal pattern with the Log-Periodic Power Law Singularity (LPPLS) model, which parsimoniously captures diverse positive feedback phenomena, such as herding and imitation. The LPPLS model is shown to provide an ex-ante warningof market instabilities, quantifying a high crashhazardand probabilistic bracketof the crash time consistent with the actual corrections; although, as always, the precise time and trigger (which straw breaks the camel’s back) being exogenous and unpredictable. Looking forward, our analysis identifies a substantial but not unprecedented overvaluation in the price of bitcoin, suggesting many months of volatile sideways bitcoin prices ahead (from the time of writing, March 2018).

Original source to download full research: https://arxiv.org/abs/1803.05663 (https://arxiv.org/abs/1803.05663)

I think the bitcoin in 2018 can still increase and can have a better value than it is today. The market is currently experiencing a crisis of confidence because of the large number of panicked sellers who can not stand the trust, but the belief in bitcoin can grow and will make bitcoin a high value.


Title: Re: What is coming for Bitcoin in 2018 from now
Post by: trangvui150520@gmail.com on July 06, 2018, 03:49:27 AM
New year is Crypto's exciting time. This is Bitcoin's go to moon. I hope its price will be $ 20000 by the end of the year


Title: Re: What is coming for Bitcoin in 2018 from now
Post by: heavenknows on July 06, 2018, 03:56:41 AM
Bitcoin will be regulated and when that happens. More people will trust the technology, more people will put their money in btc. You shouldn't have to worry its future in 2018 what comes down goes up. Remember that :D


Title: Re: What is coming for Bitcoin in 2018 from now
Post by: Babyfaceless on July 10, 2018, 11:55:01 AM
base on my observation in this 2018 the price is going down but if you are holding you cannot feel that it to long you are holding bitcoin it's time to buy more bitcoin the price is still down if you can trust the bitcoin buy now before it's too late i think in this coming december the bitcoin will double we do not know the future of bitcoin. buy 100% i trust bitcoin many people right now investing in bitcoin.


Title: Re: What is coming for Bitcoin in 2018 from now
Post by: PayneCharity on July 10, 2018, 11:56:31 AM
Very interesting article and conclusion. I tend to agree with researchers. Check this out:

Quote
We develop a strong diagnostic for bubbles and crashes in bitcoin, by analyzing the coincidence (and its absence) of fundamental and technical indicators. Using a generalized Metcalfe’s law based on network properties, a fundamental value is quantified and shown to be heavily exceeded, on at least four occasions, by bubbles that grow and burst. In these bubbles, we detect a universal super-exponential unsustainable growth. We model this universal pattern with the Log-Periodic Power Law Singularity (LPPLS) model, which parsimoniously captures diverse positive feedback phenomena, such as herding and imitation. The LPPLS model is shown to provide an ex-ante warningof market instabilities, quantifying a high crashhazardand probabilistic bracketof the crash time consistent with the actual corrections; although, as always, the precise time and trigger (which straw breaks the camel’s back) being exogenous and unpredictable. Looking forward, our analysis identifies a substantial but not unprecedented overvaluation in the price of bitcoin, suggesting many months of volatile sideways bitcoin prices ahead (from the time of writing, March 2018).

Original source to download full research: https://arxiv.org/abs/1803.05663 (https://arxiv.org/abs/1803.05663)
Prices will always decrease at the beginning of the year and will rebound or possibly rise higher in the last months of the year. This is the script of Bitcoin in 2018. That's my opinion


Title: Re: What is coming for Bitcoin in 2018 from now
Post by: idontcare on July 10, 2018, 11:58:56 AM
I guess the government will accept bitcoin this year and the government will control the price of Bitcoin. Bitcoin prices will not be as volatile as in previous years


Title: Re: What is coming for Bitcoin in 2018 from now
Post by: jackky on July 10, 2018, 12:00:35 PM
This year is a very difficult year for bitcoin and the cryptocurrency market. Continuously negative information is generated from hacker attacks. I think this year, Bitcoin prices can only increase to $ 9000


Title: Re: What is coming for Bitcoin in 2018 from now
Post by: tranduc2101 on July 10, 2018, 12:01:56 PM
I do not know. There is a lot of news and bad news coming to Bitcoin from the beginning of 2018, but prices are still falling in line with the market trend. I can not be sure that the bitcoin price may increase