Bitcoin Forum

In theory, when supply is cut and demand remains, prices will rise. But what is your thought? Do you guys think it will go up

In theory this can happen and it makes sense.
However,  there is no guarantee.  This is just a bet.

It happened in the previous halvings, but Past performance is just an indicator.
Bitcoin is in a strong downtrend since 2018... I hope halving can reverse that as well.

The market is driven by supply and demand. when you cut inflation by half that is a big hit to supply, also some miners will stop mining, therefore less sell pressure. However, each halving is by definition less than half as significant. going from 50% interest to 25% interest is a big difference. going from 0.05% interest to 0.025% makes no difference despite being the same halving. somehow halving are supposed to become twice as significant since the coin becomes twice as rare, which is crap. the first time it stops working it’s over and bitcoin will suffer greatly at the expense of altcoins.

you should remember that "supply" isn't decreasing or being cut. it is in fact constantly increasing. it is the rate of production that is being cut down by 50%.
so the relationship in theory is the relationship between the speed that demand is increasing and the speed that supply is increasing.

Once the halvening happens the sell pressure will be theoretically cut in half logically as the mining rewards will be halvened and the breakeven price for mining operations will likely rise considerably. Think about this way - a market is composed by buyers and sellers. At any moment in time when there is an imbalance of buyers and sellers in the market the price moves - either upside when the bulls make money or downside, case in which the bears are the winners. Miners need to sell some or all their production to at least cover a part of their operation costs. Once the cashflow from mining can't cover those costs anymore the logical choice is to pull the plug on the gears and stop paying for electricity and associated costs to protect themselves.

If they have a lot of financial power to cover their operation costs with cash they can save the mined BTC to sell at least at the breakeven price, thus withdrawing some sell pressure from the market. Or they can acquire more powerful gear and reduce the costs. Either way the halvening should have a fundamentally strong impact on the market even if it is not going to be seen from the get-go.

miner's income is reduced by half, for example if every month they used to get 1000 BTC in a period of 1 month, after halving they will only get half about 500 BTC each month, if the price is cheap do you think it will be good news for the miners, I read about people in the forum and it makes sense why the price of bitcoin goes up every time after halving, how do those who hold large amounts of bitcoin if bitcoin miners go bankrupt, we still use this logic and people don't realize this

I don't think so, if the halving is going to have an impact on bitcoin value it won't be in an instant right after the halving become successful, it might take months before bitcoin start growing big

Most of us are expecting it will achieve new all-time-high, just like what happened in the previous block halvings of Bitcoin. But I'm also a little bit afraid, is achieving a new all-time high above $20,000 is quite huge? And there are a lot of rumors about the manipulation that's why we achieve that $20,000 all-time-high.
But, still, I AM POSITIVE. Block halving is an important event on the Bitcoin. Try to look at this chart about block halvings.

https://insdrcdn.com/media/attachments/d/c7/137e64c7d.png

The previous ATH pumps that followed the halving happened before the introduction of futures. Back then people couldn't short Bitcoin and all money was supporting the main trend. Today many people bet against the majority in an attempt to make even more money. We could say that they bet on the underdog and in this case the underdog is Bitcoin going down after the halving.

I expect the price to go up but not 10x like it used to. Maybe to 20k and then we shall see if the buyers best the sellers once again.

It will take time before the price keeps up with the cut in demand. It might even take months before the price catches up as it happened already during the last 3 halvings. Nothing special should be expected before and during the event honestly, though if something happened along the way, say a big player decides to come in to the market and stimulate the price movement, initial reaction would be to start a pump that will last up until the halving concludes.

Market movements are somewhat strange on bitcoin during halvings but there's a high possibility that a pump would happen.

for sure , yes , but of course , it will not happened instantly , need a time .
a simple think , of course , every event like that will make a pump,even high pump effect , and also we talk about bitcoin, the números uno.
but, somehow i just have speculation, after halving happened , the price will going down , mostly people cashing their profit , and maybe , they will buy back , and as the time goes, demand for bitcoin will significaly raising .

Bitcoin has had enough of bearish market and for me, this halving is the only hope as of now wherein I can expect the price to pump hard as predicted by most of us but still things can go the other way around, I feel halving will provide a breakthrough to this ailing bitcoin market but still, we need to be prepared for the worst as predictions does not guarantee anything.

As someone already said, supply isn't cut, it will still increase, albeit slower than it does now.

However, it seems like halvinga always triggers a FOMO which is followed by a nice spike in prices. Still, past behaviours don't always predict future behaviours..but still they are the best predictor we have so hopefully we will see a nice fat pump and perhaps a new ATH :D

i am not expert about that, but of the article i read explain that is true, Halving occurs once every four years and reduction of supply its mean amount of bitcoins mined decrease every four years and demand of bitcoin still stable or ever rise so it makes bitcoin increase high price
it just my opinion from article, CMIIW

Yes, Bitcoin will increase in price after the Bitcoin Halving passes. Many say that the price will go up, and I think so too. Before Halving, you need to buy bitcoin and as much as possible.

You are absolutely right in theory and supply here means the pace of generating new coins which are generated merely through the means of block reward. Now if the reward decreases then it's pretty obvious that price will be affected. But thing is practically how soon will market realize this and discount this in price. We have seen in previous halvings that it takes around 12-15 months for market to absorb that supply has reduced and demand significantly increases but I think now due to excess exposure of cryptocurrencies to people this time could significantly reduce. But still don't expect it to happen over night. People might just buy it on halving day and wait for the boom but it might take a lot of time because it isn't the stock of supply getting reduced but the pace of creation of supply being reduced.

Since everybody expects halving to further increase bitcoin price, there's also the possibility that some miners will left because of the small rewards. I don't want this to happen but I am just sharing its possibility of happening. Therefore, bitcoin price needs to increase to attract miners.

You're right and everybody is expecting bitcoin to be in that pattern. We saw the past of the halvings and what it did afterwards. But as said by another member of the forum if the people's sentiment is like this and everybody is thinking to become greedy.
This is worrying however, I'm thinking positive the aftershock of it and not the instant effects of it because might not see that quickly.

I look at the chart, and I just don't see it. I see that Bitcoin is going up sometimes and going down other times but generally has an uptrend. Then I see that there've been two halvings over the course of its history. And while after the first halving the price skyrocketed rather fast, it went a bit down afterward, and then it went up a lot again, and then a bit down. After the second halving it went even down at first and then started climbing up pretty slowly. So my question is: what does it have to do with halving if it does not happen immediately after it? How can we be sure that it's truly halving to thank for the growth..?

I don't know why almost everybody is putting much hope that during the bitcoin halving the price is going to increase. Well we might see some increase but i don't think it's anything to write home about. What i think might boost the investment into this industry is if we get some powerful countries like China and USA softening their rules and regulations against bitcoin and cryptocurrencies.

Never forget that markets can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent. The bear market you had enough of can drag on for much longer even with the block halving inching closer and closer. I personally think we'll get a pretty significant bounce early next year before the halving, but I'm also prepared for more sideways price action.

I'm focusing on the technicals, because when the technicals improve, buyers come in naturally. I'm waiting for a change of behavior and as long as that hasn't happened, it's safer speculating on the price to go down further because the trend is your friend. There might not be a lot down side potential left, but that doesn't mean we can't trend down slowly to low $6000's and then slowly trend up.

Definitely, since the supply of bitcoin will be affected because of the halving the price will gonna increase soon.  If you'll gonna look at the previous charts regarding bitcoin's halving, price were pumped. But of course, we can't still be sure what will really happen next year in halving. As far as I know, the supply was lessen so the demand increased and the price will gonna go up.

There Will be surely some impact being experienced. Here we need to be clear in knowing well and how the impact is being happened. At times the market will be having positive growth following the marginal growth. Now about halving only before the days of halving or once after halving there'll be growth but until then it is time to have patience.

In previous halvings, we saw an huge price actions above, it it not happening during the day of halvings. But what I believe, the price action we experienced from 4,000$ up to $6,000 is significant move for me. It is more likely small because we have the all time high at $20,000 but we still have almost 5months left before the halving.
Here's another chart for comparison of previous halvings.

https://i.imgflip.com/3khcbe.jpg (https://imgflip.com/i/3khcbe)
https://twitter.com/walerikus/status/1206952540803346433

hm, interesting. :-\

Let's see and observed what will happen in the next halving, for now, almost most of us are expecting from it, but let's not expect too much we don't know what will happen on it. Right now, another hype is circulating the internet world that the next halving is the next bull run, so let's not too hype ourselves and let's observe first.

The hype has been too much in the previous days I had read countless numbers of post consigning this halving of Bitcoin and how it going to triggers the bullish runs in 2020 personally I would believed the pump is no going to be instant ie it may take months or many weeks after the halving I agreed with your comment on observation of how the price action would unfolds.

Miners will surely have a harder life in mining bitcoin due to halving that the reward per block is lessened by 50% with that being said mining the remaining bitcoins left will take longer time and with low supply circulating right now bitcoins price may increase but not by a significant amount during or after the halving.

atleast it did increase somehow  .

that is better than nothing at all  .  this where people speculate the most about btc halving saying the price will rise  and if this is  achieved , people will now be calmed and quite   or idk maybe others will still complain if thier expectation didnt met by btc halving especially if btc didnt increase at all after halving and will instead go down a little bit more   .  you know those things can still happen if ever whales manipulate btc  .

We can't definitely give some predictions on what would happen on the halving or after the halving which will occur on the year 2020. Halving happens every 4 years and there are a lot of halving that was happen and almost all of the after the halving takes a lot of time before the market affect. The market or the cryptocurrency is in the downtrend since 2018 after the big bull run of the 2017 and which is very sad to know but that was the reality, bitcoin and cryptocurrency was very down so after the halving many says that it can reverse the situation in which we are hoping that it can really reverse the current situation of the market.

yes, I think that the price of bitcoin will increase. with the difficulty of mining, people will make alternatives to buy bitcoin, and for those who really need it quickly, it will definitely do a lot of storage. it will make the price of bitcoin rise. if many people think like this, then seeing a rise in bitcoin prices above $ 13k is not a mere prediction.

I am just thinking about the concept of halving, and came up with the conclusion that technology especially the codes could definitely change the future to force the supply and demand and to basically manipulate it in the future. I am pretty believing that people especially miners and investors will take the opportunity to buy huge volume of bitcoin will sell it, not letting other people to buy it in low price so the market price of bitcoin will surely spike way up high. Imagine, it is just in the code that it dictates the halving every 4 years, what impact? A good market price and investment profits.

The price will rise simply because people will look at the graphs of previous halvenings and think, "I'd better buy now otherwise I'mm miss out on the bull run". This is particularly going to be the case if all the mainstream media start chattering about previous halvenings and publish graphs and so on.

What happens after the halvening is another story. I think people will take profits and the price will fall back a bit.

When the supply of the bitcoin is lessen by half, the price of it will for surely gonna rise up since the demand of the consumer is now higher than the supply of the product. If the halving happens in 2020, the effect of the halving might affect after a year because that's what happen last time that halving happens.

It might.
But we cannot use history as a basis for all of this.
There had been a lot of changes specially with supporters.
Before, when bitcoin is being talked about in a coffee shop or asked by someone they don't even have an idea about it.
That is the real change for me and its value will soar because of that.

It is not about the halving but the people who will support it extending their goals into buying more for the future.

As you tell, it's still on theory. The market value of an asset relies on market demand. And market demand isn't easy to predict, since it includes several factors, from recent news, regulations, whale manipulation, and overall market sentiment over Bitcoin. And all of these catalysts to price change could affect the price pretty quickly.

Bitcoin halving has occurred two times in the paste and the result was increase in the price of bitcoin. There are only 4 million bitcoin left to be mined, which means bitcoin is limited. More people are demanding for bitcoin and the supply would be cut from 12.6 to 6.25 bitcoin probably on 14th May, 2020 or before 18th May 2020.

Already the remaining bitcoin are not much and halving will reduce the supply, people are still demanding for bitcoin and lastly, because of the coming halving, more people will demand more for bitcoin. All these will make the demand to increase while the supply reduce and result into bull run, which means halving will surely increase bitcoin price.

Anything can happen in this very unpredictable crypto market. Basically, supply and demand plays a huge role in price movements and changes. The halving is a good news in cryptocurrency environment I hope it will make a positive impact to the btc price. Let's see if it happens on the next year 2020.

The market is unpredictable which is a known fact, how things happen during the days of halving were mostly predicted making comparison with the growth achieved during the days of previous time halving. With every halving there is growth, and the same is supposed to take place. If there isn't no big growth, we might see the market crash much wilder.

In my own opinion, there is a possibility that bitcoin halving is starting to happened today because bitcoin recently dumps and then increase back it's price just in a few days, that is why buying bitcoin today while it is in a cheap price is the best way to earn good profit in your investment.

what u talking about bro ?
halving is starting about 139 days from now and it fixed , fact and not from any opinion.
https://www.bitcoinblockhalf.com/ see it and u will know it.

In theory, it makes sense that halving can make prices rise, but look at the current conditions since 2018 it still does not indicate
bull run will occur. It is very difficult to predict the price of bitcoin in what direction, even if you look history proves that the previous
two halving were very successful in making the price of bitcoin go up.This third can make the price of bitcoin can go up. There is still
a possibility halving that will occur in 2020 will actually make the price of bitcoin dropped. So be careful when making decisions.

This has been occurring anyway by difficulty increase due to asic efficiency. So now you have to add this in addition to the halving. I don't know when large mining will stop, but it is gradually becoming more and more unprofitable and at some point, it will simply cease as a profit making thing.

Those smaller miners, that have free electricity (because they prepared, etc) and the ones that don't care to spend money keep mining, will be the last ones to remain. Since Solar and other renewables can't simply sustain those megawatt crazy mining operations, inevitably mining will shrink and the reduced difficulty will somewhat offset benefitting those last miners. Of course i kinda also expect a sort of reduction in asic supply, since the likes of Bitmain won't be very compelled to keep pouring money into a product that is losing demand.

I remember the previous halving, and people were doing the very same comments. Things delayed only because Bitcoin price rose up later that year, but there is no guarantee the same will occur again or in the same proportion. If anything, price fluctuation tends to reduce overtime.

And, most Bitcoins that will ever be, have already been produced. The last couple million will take a hundred years, and from those the vast majority will be minted next decade. Think about the 2024 halving... 3 bitcoin per found block, 2028 1.5ish....

Bitcoin has beautifully accomplished its design goals, even better than anticipated by Satoshi.

I expect the next bitcoin halving to trigger huge bullrun because bitcoin has gotten stronger since 2018 so I can't compare with last halving that nothing happened right after the halving got completed, it should be different this time around

Halving in the past did it already so why doubt it? Just sit and watch as the market move after the halving is done but you will have to wait for it in the year 2021 because past halving effect takes almost a year before the bullish market starts. But don't expect too much because everything in cryptoverse is possible to happen. It may repeat the last ATH or it may not.

Why? There is little reason for a bullrun, especially AFTER the halving. If price goes up too fast, it will correct back down. Better let it climb slowly and steadily. Don't forget most bitcoins that will ever be are already out there in the market. Halving is actually a reminder of that, it slows down production so that the creation process doesn't end abrupt. But 18m of 21m in only 10 years have already been made. You can only mine the leftovers, and only by spending even more money than ever before. The creation phase for most intents is almost complete, give it one halving or two for large mining operations to finally cease.

It is now in the market, the coin is out there. Use it.

It just a matter of time when people already adjust in the bitcoin environment I think bitcoin will be a great digital currency when everything is already done in digital technology.
When the technology rises I think bitcoin will be a good option for online currency like Paypal and other digital money.
Surely their is a hype going on in bitcoin a lot of users and investors and investing in bitcoin when the market price of bitcoin in pump so much like what happened in bull run 2017 and vice versa when the market price of bitcoin is on the low side.  I think when a lot of people is invested in bitcoin surely bitcoin could easily be implemented in a lot of countries just like what is happening in Japan. Already they are already using bitcoin as a payment method for tourist surely a lot of overseas people trusted PayPal more than bitcoin because when it comes to advertisement and trust bitcoin have a bigger issue about this things.

Another 5-digit prices for bitcoin again that would exceed its previous ATH probably hitting $25k to $30k or more. Speculators expected already that the next halving to take effect will happen in 2021 but there's no exact date when it will happen.

Well, China is somehow making their move towards crypto currency. Halving is a great scenario everybody's waiting for as it never fails to make bitcoin market price soar. Looking back in the last halving a year after then, bullrun then follows thus, we achieve ATH for about close to 20k USD, a history indeed, and that's why everyone seems so excited. Others are literally preparing for it. We cannot blame as halving did and probably would make some changes in the market.

Surely, in my opinion, it will surely increase the price like for example bitcoin. If the supply was so low in the market even if the demand was also low it could still hold a reasonable price in the market so sure if the supply of bitcoin was cut off it will increase its market price plus the loss token from bitcoin wallets that are already forgotten.

yeah yeah yeah , that right,these two countries is the most active about rules and regulations for cryptocurrency.
China is the most widely bitcoin miner in the world, i forget about how much percentage hash rate of china.
and USA is the most active people on cryptocurrencies. Legality,Rules,Regulation,etc.
however , bitcoin is freedom, nothing cant stop it , people will and still come , even with difficult regulations.
they just want to try to controlling a thing cant be controlled.

Yes I believe that the halvening will result in a price increase. Based on past history, the price should make a big increase and go on a strong bull run.

In theory, when the supply goes down, the price will increase, but in the cryptocurrency market, it depends on many different factors. Most of the price movements in the market today are caused by sharks, they always know how to take advantage of rumors to push prices up or lower prices.
I think it is sharks and FOMO investors that are the main reason for the price increase in this market.

yeah right, it will definitely go up. because demand is greater than supply. let alone in the crypto world, in the real world trading system as well. will definitely rise if market demand is greater than what is already available in the warehouse .. !!

Halving is good because its the characteristics of bitcoin are improving. I also expect that it will cause the grow of its price in the market. The bearish market will end after the halving. I know that many more investors and traders are waiting to the halving. I am not a fundmentalist but the possibility of the growth of the bitcoin is really high. 

Bitcoin is not like real items, which if the item very demand, then the supply is reduced, will make the pump price. bitcoin has been through a lot of things, but it doesn't yet have any other uses other than just for transactions and trading tools. halving the upcoming bitcoin does not guarantee that prices will rise. it's just that many predictions say it will be bullish. Well, I personally hope that the price of bitcoin will be bullish after halving. but can't be certain of that.

yes I also think that after halving the price of bitcoin will tend to increase. and if we look at halving day bitcoin before, bitcoin has also increased after being reduced by half. that's why the majority of bitcoin holders believe in 2021 will be a bull run. but I also have to prepare mentally for the fall of bitcoin. because I know the current state of the crypto market from the past is different so maybe after half the price of bitcoin is still not going up. so we must be prepared to increase bitcoin and also decrease it.

Yes, I agree with this theory. This is very basic. If the demand is there, even if not rising for as long as it remains there, and the supply is not rising, then the price will rise. If the supply is constant, there will come a time that there will be shortage, and this is a reason for the demand to create much value to it. We can apply this theory to halving. However, we are talking about mining. If the reward is not attractive and fail to cover the cost, there is a problem. So the value has to rise or else it will discourage miners.

Halving have possible different support such as decreasing again the value or it will rise it or is either it will still remain or no effect. What ever the effects of upcoming halving we don't know yet because it's not happen we need to wait but for sure the result that we want to see is good and that is going up the bitcoin but there is no sure that is going to happen but we hope.

i don't really want to frustrate myself in expecting huge prices but i cant help looking for at least double my holdings.

so for me?my thoughts are the market will rise but not totally in halving time maybe it will took whole year before we feel the effect of Bitcoin halving in May.

What you say is true, what happens with Bitcoin is that the offer is already defined and cannot be cut, because obviously people will not be willing to get rid of their cryptocurrencies, in any case, the demand may increase, but This is a fairly complex and unpredictable market, however, growth expectations remain, I believe that by 2020 it will reach record highs.

You already stated it, definitely it will go up from the law of supply and demand and Bitcoin history shows how the price rallies before and after the halving.  Aside from that, halving also gives hype to the market creating a mood of demand and sometime FOMO to the community.

supply remains the same, does not increase, supply is cut only for miners.
Your logic is correct but the conditions in the market are very different from what you say.

"supply cut only for miners" that true , but the fact , if supply is cut , its mean bitcoin added to circulating supply is also getting cut.
did u think all of miners in the world never sell their btc , and keep it for long time ?
theoricaly , bitcoin added to circulating supply is got cutting half, even if demand is low the price should be incrased , since the cost of electrity is totally huge, or miners will shut down their operation and hashrate getting low, of course , when hashrate  low, price also going low(i am sure it will be happened to miners except from china)
so far i know , For many years, China has consistently been a major market for bitcoin miners due to its cheap electricity and affordable resources.
in this cases , i just have speculation , china will take more control after halving.

Actually this can affect the price but I personally do not expect too much, because bitcoin can never be predicted by anything.
More and more people are saying it will go up but usually the market does the opposite.

OK, but if it goes to Bitcoin then who will control the supply of BTC. Day by day it increasing and Demand also increasing. So let's see what happening in next days ;) ;D

The theory make sense because that's how economics work. But with bitcoin. It's still very unsure since in the first place there's no assurance that we can predict it's future value. I also hope that with halving, it'll increase even a bit. But just like others, I don't expect bigger movement. Also, we should not forget about the other factors affecting bitcoin's price. It's not only about halving.

I think the demands of bitcoin will become higher in that time and bitcoin's price will increase slightly and slowly to the 20k$ again if it's not more. I don't know if something else will happen till that time and make that worse, that's just only my expectation of what bitcoin price will be at that time.

This can possibly happen, but there is no guarantee, so we need to wait for it for results. Prices possibly rise and it can dump as well. Just what happens when bitcoin cash appears. We can also try, for those who really wanted to gain profit but just make sure that invest what you can afford to lose because there is no guarantee when halving.

2011 most of the people doesn't know what is halving and what this effect brings to the the crypto market space and that too exclusive for Bitcoin. Now now due to the popularity of Bitcoin we all know how this affect performs and place in the price chart.
Everyone looks for the magic what we seen after the the 2016 halving.
Let's pray for everything goes green.

it will go up 100%. look at the graph when halving on 2016, the price was pumped by 2x of the initial price and we hope that same thing will happen in 2020 as bitcoin halving is on the way. but still, the price is not predictable so just prepare for the worst case possible.

Yes it will, that is the basic theory to understand about halving event.

As an amplifier, when you look at the privous halving event the price of bitcoin was always went up drastically, you can see it by yourself.

So those things are make sense when you put a high hope for this event and there is no wronb when you spend a lot of money to buy bitcoin from now.

I believe that after the 2 years in the downtrend motions we can also experience bullish again. May some say not sure, of course, we don't have but we can't also be hopeless knowing that the previous halving is having a huge impact on the market and I, therefore, say that it will happen the same.

Also in 2011 people knew about halving, especially people who were mining bitcoin because they knew that their mining reward will decrease at some point. Only difference is that now so many more people own bitcoins and trade them.

I wonder if it's all psychological. At the individual miner level, increasing difficulty or decreasing the total minted tokens per block has a very similar result for miners. And we've seen the difficulty rise over and over, and still there are miners.

I'd say it's a market timing issue. Fiat economy seems fine at the moment, even though we know there are many zombies lying around (including the Deutsche Bank). If things get worse in the fiat world, an event like the bitcoin halving could signal the time for investors to take refuge in crypto. But yet again, the world fiat economy could enter into a limbo like the one Japan is in and maybe bitcoin could stay in the current limbo as well as an effect. And it seems a plausible scenario as most central banks are basically following the book written by the Japanese central bank.

Halving can happen but as we can see in the past 2 years, it is not happening for some reason. Relying on halving looks like more of a gamble and anyone can benefit from it. The market is just too hard to predict and it's all on the hands of the owner.

this is the correct theory. it's just that it all depends on the situation. I think before halving, this will happen, that there is so much demand for bitcoin, and at least a cheap price. it will make the price of bitcoin rise.
This is a common thing, especially if the wall is not so big. however, a large demand will make prices go higher.

Bitcoin's main use is to preserve the purchasing power of your money, freedom in what you do with it, and when you actually want to purchase something. It is simply, a deflationary coin. It would be more correct to call it stable, but people have the wrong notion about that word. Bitcoin doesn't lose value overtime, but everybody else does. If Bitcoin were to peg its price to the others, it wouldn't be "stable" but inflationary. This is yet another reason why "stable" coins are a lie, if you peg to something that loses value overtime, you are losing value by design.

Bitcoin can in fact gain a little value because some coins stop circulating, because people lose their wallets, etc.

Most of the supply comes from coins that are already in the market. The percentage that comes from mining is smaller and smaller. It largely depends on the current bitcoin holders, just like gold, which most of it has been mined already.

As for the halving, in my opinion any uptrend may occur BEFORE the halving. After halving, could be a downtrend, or stabilization. It largely depends if this pre-halving uptrend comes or not, and how strong it is. The less strong, the less correction afterwards.

yes in theory when supply is cut and demand is fixed then prices will rise. but in the bitcoin market everything can happen bitcoin can go up and down after being reduced by half. but the majority of bitcoin holders are optimistic that bitcoin will rise after halving like the previous halving day.
and these two years we have been in the bear market. so everyone hopes that next year's halving day will make a bitcoin bull run and also make the altcoin market go green again.

from what i have searched about the situation from the first halving and what i have seen in 2017 there is always a growth whenever halving comes though it is not instant when the day comes but the effect follow as the months goes by.so with this?i am sure we are looking forward for another good year in 2020 and will also have a great pump like what other halving brings to us so why not believe when the truth is we have already saw from the past?
seems like you don't believe on that?or have second thoughts?better not and instead purchase now before it is too late since many are acquiring now before the May halving happens.

I was not too surprised to welcome Halving next year. because a lot of speculation says that Halving in the next year is not necessarily the same as Halving 2016 where the price increase is very influential in 2017. Indeed, in theory, the supply decreases, so prices rise. just wait and see.

Of course I do, though I am not assuring myself. Anything could happen in the market. But the past halvings have been suggesting that it would make the market to another bull run since fast increasing prices would make the media and government look into it again, which could bring more demand to Bitcoin. Though it's likely to happen, it is certain that nothing's for sure.

Bitcoin is not a product or any conventional currency, Basically, It's a decentralized currency and it's based on the blockchain system, so helving is not an issue sincerely, I think it's not any special case for this platform because sometimes it's intentional and sometimes it's being created by system, for me, helving is nothing but a planned way to make this market high, I believe that Bitcoin helving is totally an abnormal issue, But most of the people are expecting a lot for a Bitcoin helving in the coming year.

Since halving means less coins to be mined, price will jump a bit higher than previous records.

Here's a big explanation about why bitcoin next halving may not pump price like last time:
https://www.coindesk.com/why-bitcoins-next-halving-may-not-pump-the-price-like-last-time

https://i.imgur.com/eaqTReB.png
(source: Digital Asset Research – statistical model, not price predictions)

The above chart shows that the price (represented by the light blue line) started moving up before each of the previous halvings, and continued for some time after. Yet the data set is limited – the market has only experienced two of these events, and it could be a stretch to assume that the pattern will repeat itself.


Also:

The rise in price makes sense in so far as large buyers of Bitcoins have to either buy on the market or get them through mining, and after a halving event it forces more people to buy on the market.

From: https://hackernoon.com/will-bitcoins-price-rise-following-the-halving-in-2020-4885f9dcffb0

with the current situation is not. The growth in 2012 and 2016 was due to the fact that little was known about bitcoin and that growth occurred in small volumes. for now everything is fomo a lot and I suspect sharks have a lot of bitcoins ready to sell it while small fish like us try to push the price of bitcoin up. This has happened in 2017 and it may repeat itself again. so traders should be careful and choose for themselves a reasonable profit from now on so we can preserve our capital.

I do not like prediction after all, all of us are thinking what will happen to the price of the bitcoin after halving. I've read comments and posts where most of the people are believing that the price of bitcoin will go up and there are only some people says that there is no effect. I'm also do not have any idea what will happen to the price of the bitcoin after halving. I just focusing on the price action and not to sentiments of other people.

They have option to sell at higher market price though. This is not really a problem, I wonder how the creator of bitcoin really planned about this system which definitely lead us to concluding that the market price of bitcoin will soon increase way up higher if we all take the halving positively. Or else, miners will be demotivated and leave everything they've started behind. I just wonder about one thing. If all bitcoins have all mined up, who will process the future transactions? Miners will don't have anything to get from the system.

https://medium.com/fitzner-blockchain-consulting/bitcoin-halving-price-effects-and-historical-relevance-b63458216d97

That is the reason why people are getting optimistic about the upcoming halving. They've been hoping that it will work well the same as what happens before. I consider myself one of them and I have no doubts that it will reverse the trend that we have this year.

People are hyping the halving a lot. If you look at the past trends, halving didn't make much a difference in price. The same gonna happen in 2020. Not much of a price change is expected in my opinion.
Regarding supply and demand. Market is in initial stage right now. The demand is a lot already there and potential market if captured can take up all the supply and boost the price. But right now, it is pretty stagnant which gonna be the case next year too. So, I am not expecting much from the coming halving.

no it's not, it did make difference even though just a small portion of dollars. it's not instantly getting impact from halving, at least on mining side it gives you twice of rewards regardless of the difficulty. 2020 would be a great year for bitcoin and when halving comes it would make a difference.

Halving's a big deal. However, after halving, the price of Bitcoin will increase a lot. We are looking for logical dynamics for the price of Bitcoin. But not. For many logical reasons, we interpret the bitcoin price graph. What if I say the price of bitcoin will increase by $ 3,000 a day? Hanig makes sense of this. I answer no one.

I have to say I don't agree. Many are expecting a big deal from halving but I'm not among them. Yes, halving might increase Bitcoin price but that will probably be only on.a short tern and I don't expect to see some huge price, rather some moderate increase. So, to my opinion expectations are bigger than the real effect is going to be.

Depending on how much market demand, if the total supply is insufficient there will definitely be a surge in prices.
The problem is there are a number of hacked and lost bitcoins, whether it's still included in the total count of bitcoin circulation or not.
So far with the current prices, I don't think there will be a significant increase in the coming months.

Most of us have postive expectations, we are mostly expecting that the price will go up after the halving. But for me the effect is only small, the price crashed in this current year and bitcoin is having a hard time to recover its high price before. If we are expecting be sure that it is feasible where it is possible to achieve it. There are many predictions that I keep seeing where I can say that they are dreaming because they expect too much.

Many predict that bitcoin will rise in price after halving later. It could be that the price will rise slowly in 2020 and reach the highest price as in previous years. I think there is nothing wrong if people from now have bought bitcoin in preparation for halving later, because if they don't buy from now bitcoin it's feared will rise in price.

This will happen not only in theory but also practically. If you have seen the last two halving you will clearly know how the bitcoin prices moves after the halving. If you were not known to bitcoins from that time, just watch the charts for 2013 and 2017. These two years were the true bull run years and both bull happened after sometime after the halving. Everyone is excepting the same this time also.

I am sure it will go up and that's the reason I'm saving up these days and will do so till next year of half because we have seen in past how after a year of halving only, the prices sky rocket and hence it makes sense to invest now!