Bitcoin Forum

I see many people asking about these details and with less than 13 days has left for this event to occur, there are some people still don't know what is going to happen and when will this happen. these are some details about Bitcoin Halving that some newbies need to know. you can visit this site to know a few details about Bitcoin Halving.

http://bitcoinhalvingdates.com/etc/Bitcoin-Halving-Chart.png


http://bitcoinhalvingdates.com/

That's a nice website.

I think the most important part of this halving, and why it is historic is that inflation will finally be under the fed's target for annual inflation which is 2%

This is a good point to mark the end of the early days.

If you want a more detailed chart concerning the halving events and bitcoin's price, you might want to check out the bitcoin stock-to-flow chart: https://digitalik.net/btc/

The S2F has been a hot topic for a while now on Twitter.

Wow, it's a detailed tracker for the upcoming halving. Unlike the BBH website, it's more of text information although both are informative and there's this different attention for infographics.

True. I've just finished reading the 1 year old article of Plan B on medium.

nowadays people are too worried about the virus pandemic all around the world that they seem to have forgotten most things and on top of that we had the recent price drop a couple of weeks ago that has scared them into not-thinking about much else.
the interesting part of it all is that there is a big but silent accumulation going on inside exchanges and OTC marketplaces by the "wise money" to get ready for this year's boom.

Bitcoin has seen two halving till date. Both times the value of BTC took 12-18 months to reach all time high.

The first halving occurred in November, 2011 When the value skyrocketed from $11 to $1000. It took almost a year to reach, when countless millionaires were created During that period. Bitcoin was trading at $700 in July, 2016 when the second halving took place. Bitcoin shows up trend consistency after the second halving and reached it’s all time high $20000 in December, 2017.

The third halving is planned on May 12, 2020, which is 13 days ahead. We can expect the rapid increase in Bitcoin value if the demand stays at same level and supply decreases.

There might be a slight change during this third Bitcoin halve, we're know that the global world has been fighting a common enemy called covid-19. The impact of this pandemic was first shown when it effect took the stock market and cryptocurrency market unaware and many took on their heels why others blame Bitcoin for not be a safe haven. They forget that, the ways this technology work is totally different from others, many sold out their stash when the market went from $5000k-$3800k forgetting that halving is ahead, if they hold a little bit. Remember that, the price may not rise during the Bitcoin halve but after the Bitcoin halve.

All around the world goverments will be printing money now, to inject liquidity in the markets to fight the crisis.

 The Fed just unleashed another $2.3 trillion to support the economy (https://edition.cnn.com/2020/04/09/economy/federal-reserve-stimulus-states-cities/index.html)
https://www.bloomberg.com/amp/opinion/articles/2020-03-27/federal-reserve-s-financial-cure-risks-being-worse-than-disease?__twitter_impression=true

All over the world people are aware of the problems of prionting money: inflation, debt...
Bitcoin hold well in this crisis (better than many other assets, like emerging markets). Many eyes are on bitcoin now.

I hope this next cycle will look similar to the two previous ones but it can also be completely different. It can take much longer or end with the price only barely touching the last ATH and not going farther because the 20 thousand price could have been extremely overbought at its time.

We don't know what the future will bring because there were no fake money printed to buy BTC like USDt in 2013 so the market has evolved drastically.

Yep, but I think this year's halving and it's subsequent effect and getting to a new all time high will take some time. So we might see some lengthening cycles and the so called "4 year cycle" might not follow after the halving next month. Although there might be some members that thinks or believe in this cycle, I think this might not hold true this time in my opinion, total bitcoin landscape has change. Of course, $20,000 that time was the peaked, lots of irrational buyers but obviously we are already in the bubble phase.

I'm sharing that hope with you, although I think it is probably hard to repeat because of several factors. For sure, the fact that a lot of people right now might not be able to stock up on Bitcoin because of the current crisis will have its effect. Another factor, of course, is that the previous halvings were times when Bitcoin was way much cheaper. A full BTC at $15 more or less and then at around $600, those were times when it is pretty much easier to buy a few BTC at least. Right now, a full BTC is oftentimes way out of budget. So, this time, it will definitely take a longer time for the price to absorb the reduction of supply.

True, with all the problems causing the world economy to slow down, specially this pandemic, chances of bitcoin's price be affected as well is high. Just like Kemarit said, we're at bubble phase and this time next month or a few months based on the cycle then we'll see mild to moderate changes.

That's really understand able. And i guess the chart telling the right thing. :D Cause already market bump so hard and now it's time to see what happen next 30 days. I guess market will be continuously rise till end of the May. Grab your favorite crypto people it's time to bull run (i think). :D :D

That's correct and a lot of newbies feared that Bitcoin will lose its value during the start of the pandemic that is currently ongoing. The market's movement really gets me excited about what's happening next during this halving that is going to occur in a couple of weeks.

If we will take a look at the chart and on the 2nd halving part. After the 2nd block halving there you see a new all-time-high.
So, for me, probably like months after the block halving we can able to see a new all-time-high, like probably as what others said: The year 2021 is when the Bitcoin is probably getting its new all-time-high.

Please take into account the competition. Bitcoin cannot and will never offer privacy. The people of this world demand freedom. And you can't have freedom without privacy.

Therefore, Bitcoin will become obsolete as other better and newer models out maneuver this dinosauric tank.

Similar with the original site https://www.bitcoinblockhalf.com/ (https://www.bitcoinblockhalf.com/). There is an additional price prediction chart when halving via tradingview, pretty good. Suggestions if this is your website, I think it is difficult to read graphics, then describe it with the sentence. Can you add predictions after halving, i think very useful for many people. But all, I think this website is very useful.

Wow! Thank you this is very explanatory. Vftombthe graph, we may not expect the halving until 11th May. That's clear and I observed that after most halving the value rises above the former/ initial values. We still need more time to be patient, since we cannot initiate the speed. The best is the we plan ahead of the bull run that follows and make good use of the opportunity.

I just got back into crypto and saw about these few weeks ago. Still looking forward to what it will gonna happen. It was the first time I will witness the halving of bitcoin. But based on some sources I've read we might really see a good result this 2021 which is already predicted few months ago.

that's true, like everything else bitcoin will some day become old technology and obsolete. but that day won't come for at least a couple of decades. and so far after 11 years and about 75,000 to 100,000 different alternative cryptocurrencies we have not even seen a single altcoin that could provide a half viable option as bitcoin.

Those predictions are based on the history of the past 2 halving which resulted into a bullrun few months after the halving. But, this doesn't mean witnessing a good price on 2021 is guaranteed. Remember, the Bitcoin block halving ain't about the price growth, but it's all about the literally halving of the miners' reward.
However, a lot of people were fond and optimistic about the halving, thus It's giving a boost on the price movements because it will encourage the mass investors to pour more money in cryptocurrency.

Exactly, but we all know that history doesn't have to repeat. No one can't actually predict the outcome of this halving. Despite all optimism and big expectations the final result doesn't need to be very high price rise that all want. However, it's true that positive expectations might bring new fresh investors to Bitcoin.

Well, that's true. As of now, it's really hard to think about what will be the result. The current rise of the price might really because of the people who think it's the start of bull run again. That's why most of them are jumping in again just like what happened before. But we still believe that the next run will be in 2021.

I'm not a fan of such websites, to be honest. The problem with the image is that it shows the correlation between halvings and bull markets (or tries to show), whereas it's not that evident that it's there, and correlation is not causation. There could be different factors contributing to the growth of the price, and there could be a different way of dividing the 'bull' and 'bear' periods that would not make the connection seem so evident. Some say history might not repeat itself, but apart from that, we are not clear yet on what's history (that is, whether halving was indeed the key contributor to the bull run before).

That's a pretty good website to know about Bitcoin halving, though I already have seen halving related several websites, but this one looks more informative. Actually, Knowing about Bitcoin halving statistics would be a good lesson for the newbies! But making them bullish is a bad idea! Today Bitcoin price showed a decent pump and dump, I think after the halving, Bitcoin price will go down, the real impact of halving will be effective after 1 year to 2 years! So, I am not that excited anymore, worrying about the pandemic!

coinmarketcap add info about halving too

https://coinmarketcap.com/halving/bitcoin/

I've seen a lot of prediction lately on when will be the exact date and time will the halving occur this year, I've also seen some facebook pages having a guessing game with it but actually we don't know when exactly it will take place but for the count, it will happen between May 11 to 13. It is better to accumulate bitcoins now as halving is less than 2 weeks to occur, it will costs too much fee as the date coming near.

Halving always give a good run on the price of bitcoin during halving, however there is a massive dump after but I agree after few months after halving there is a high chance to see a new All time high, or at least near the All time high.  8)

The is a nice graph showing halving details, thanks for sharing. I see that bitcoin price always increase after the halving as the market withnesed during the last two halving that happened however, people are being skeptical about the potential of the price increasing this time around as the entire market is more volatile now and couple with the fact that we've in bear market for so long might kill the drive to push the price more up

Hi, I just read the PlanB article. Something disturbs me in its analysis. I understand his numbers and have nothing to complain about. But his hypothesis is that the value depends on one factor while marginalizing the others. This factor is, according to him, the stock/flow ratio. But he never refers to time. Nor does it refer to the fact that metals are material assets, whereas bitcoin is immaterial. Gold has travelled through eras, through wars, and has been an object of fascination for all peoples. Gold is inexhaustible, and although it is obvious that its resource is not infinite, there is no end in sight. Bitcoin, as you have already mentioned, will one day be obsolete. In short, this lack of relationship to time worries me. What do you think about it?

The prediction that prices rise after halving is a speculative view because it does not consider many factors. History data indeed provide reinforcement, moreover, it happened for two consecutive periods. We also need to consider the factor that at that time bitcoin was not as popular as it is now, the shape of the market was not as much as it is today. Where there is now a derivative market that is vulnerable to manipulation so that it can cause panic in large numbers.

It never hurts to expect, prices usually go up significantly about 1 year after halving. No one really knows, just take advantage of this opportunity well.

This is a great conjecture though, I really hope Bitcoin's price decline just right before the halving occus. Imagine, we are about to enter the halving phase but we haven't store enough bitcoins in our wallet. So. an entry point in bitcoin's graph is a good start for this to happen, if bitcoin's price will decline maybe 6000$ or less, we can buy more bitcoin and celebrate because I am pretty sure that in a short span of time, bitcoin's price will spike too hard just right after halving occurs. But for me, the overall effect of halving will occur in a long term time frame, meaning to say that that it might take years to make sure that the increasing price will be stable because of slow market correction.

Thank you for the information.

I am a newbie, I just  have a thought that this halving is something new to all of us.
The next phase is unknown.
With a little reward for miners what could be effects of it.
Will some of them give it up because of the low profit or will they stay active thinking about the future?

I am looking at different scenarios.
It may pump short term but then it will slow down afterwards.
Will 5 digits be our next bottom to provide for miners? Will it never break down again?

This is actually one of the most informative remarks on how the price of Bitcoin have improved or fluctuated so far. Is there any assurance that it would happen within this 13 days or would it happen after that time period or would it be still unpredictable for Bitcoin to stop its Bull-run? Its also notable to see that some situations really occurs at occasions on which there are no holidays or things that affects us like this pandemic right now and the value of Bitcoin will slowly and surely rise in value. This would be a good opportunity to entice newbies to keep HODLing and teach others what they can earn from Cryptocurrencies.