Bitcoin Forum

Guys have you been tracking these Bitcoin halving cycles? It's wild how they've consistently led to massive price surges in the past.

Like, the first one saw the price jump from $12 all the way up to $1,200. And the second halving? The price went from $647 to over $19,000 - that's a 651% increase!

The second halving, the price was around $8,800 before it skyrocketed to over $63,000. The pattern is clear. Based on that history, a lot of analysts are predicting Bitcoin soaring to around $500K.

If that ends up happening, anyone who gets in before then is gonna be sitting pretty. The window to stack those sats before the big run-up is closing fast. I recently joined the “Chase the 1 BTC Halving Treasure" on bitget. Might be worth checking out.

Keep loading your bags, because in a couple years, you're gonna be one happy camper. This Bitcoin halving cycle is about to go parabolic, I can feel it.

It doesn’t take a couple of years for the price to moon after each block reward halving. We may see a period of 3-4 months of what seems like a nothingness post halving but give it 12 months after the halving & the price will be a lot higher than it is now. There is nothing else like Bitcoin, the diminishing supply of newly mined coins makes it a force to be reckoned with. Altcoins will follow Bitcoin if history repeats.

But now we don't know how the price will be in this forthcoming halving and right now the count down is 528 blocks to go and before tomorrow it will be 400+ block and now the price is $63+k. Well I did experience the first, second and third and this is the first halving I am about to experience and I don't really know the things happen in the halving events but with this coming experience I will see some how it is. I have been trying to have 1 bitcoin for two years but I couldn't get.

Sure this is the best time load the bags so that when it hits the G-spot then you can shout Jesus and become the new millionaire in the locality with bitcoin funds.

What’s really crazy is that we saw bitcoin reach a new ath even before the actual halving take place which from what I know has never happened before.

So if bitcoin is reaching new records then who is to say what can happen post halving? We are definitely in for a good time ;D we just need to acquire as much bitcoin possible and never let fud get into our way of holding.

I definitely still accumulating till this day, even the latest dipping where bitcoin touches $60k just few days ago I already make some real accumulation, i just think thats its good opportunity for those that missed the early waves of the pumping, but indeed there are still risk of the price dipping further just know to only invest money you can afford to lose otherwise you might get stressed about it whenever price is making some waves.
current price hasn't stabilized yet there's chance of it either going down or make a recovery instead and go back near $70k marks, truth is, price just doing some zig zag along the way I guess until halving happens and then price probably tanks for a little bit before the historical surge that you just mentioned.
DCA is always good strategy at the time like this, but for me personally i'd like to just go all in depositing all my money to bitcoin in hopes that it will eventually reaches $100k mark in the near future, can't wait.

The ability of bitcoin to reach a new ATH even before halving is where my confusion lies. What does it actually mean?
Doesn't it mean that bitcoin has used part of the potentials it needed to surge to make a new ATH even before halving? Which means bull run might not be remarkable.
Or
It means that attaining a new ATH before halving has brought the price up to enable the bull run become massive?

I think the later should be the case and not the former.

it's a known fact. halving is the most awaited time by every BTC investor. i the price skyrocketed up to  651% as OP said, it will probably go way higher than that now that there is ETF on both sides of the globe. every institutional trader is already exposed to this even before these ETFS but this time it's legal for them to get into BTC.

i am however unsure about that $500k. it does sound conservative compared to the ones who hyped these ETFs because some even predicted over $1M.

It's pretty well known since it's probably the most easiest metric for most people to check and see how much BHitcoin grew every halving which happens in a constant pace, so it's easy to keep track of and guaranteed to happen, unlike other events like the announcement of a Bitcoin ETF. No one would've predicted that it would've happened this year after all.

Now as for the scale of increase though, I do believe it's gradually getting smaller. Still a sizeable amount ofc, but compared tot he past jumps after the halving? A lot smaller. Even 200k sounds like a stretch to me, let alone 500k.

Why is this on altcoins if it's Bitcoin? It's known to most of us here, especially the ones that have been here for so long about the past halvings.

That's the goal, we can have it this bull run those have been accumulating for a lot time and waited for this moment. As usual with the bull run, it's always been parabolic and we'd see a skyrocketing growth of it, but how high it can be this time? We shall see.

This bull run is definitely going to be a massive one, because between the last halving and now, Bitcoin adoption has increased and the ETF has also added more investors and awareness to it, although the OP $500k price prediction is an exaggeration, I however think that we'll see an ATH of around $200k in the peak of the season. The price dip that we're experiencing now should be a blessing in disguise for those that are buying for the bull run, because the more that price dips, the greater their ROI when price starts to surge after halving.

Thats actually a first and even events circulating around it like bitcoin eft approval and many more. I feel like theres a change on what was supposedly happenned but Im still hoping theres a surge on price that might lead to same history that repeat btc going to a new record breaking price. Well it did do some new ATH but its better if we saw more than that in the coming weeks. But let see sinfe were just few days away from halving. I am excited to know what are the moves of the miners.

Your trace of history is apt and that has been proven over the years that the surge of price is usually higher after a halving to reach another ATH. So for the reward for mining Bitcoin to be reduced, definitely it will cause increase in the price of bitcoin.


I think this season will be a big pay back to altcoins hodlers too. Last season of halving in 2020, it wasn't that much of a rally for altcoins but with the expected increase to the price of bitcoin when the bull starts, more hands that couldn't risk the high price of bitcoin will definitely fall back to altcoins including meme or shit coins making the crypto rally to be complete. So yes, this season is also likely to favour altcoins.

The trend has worked without fail till date and there are no reason this time it would be different. There has always been a price surge a few months ahead of halving, a correction around halving and a large bull after few months of halving. Currently we are near halving so this correction phase is satisfied. There undoubtedly would be a bull near the end of this year or early next year. So, it's the perfect time to accumulate the coin you believe in. As we might not ever be able to get them on the price they are now.

In previous halving people were not aware of such a thing but now everyone is in wait for the halving to take place and they sell their Bitcoin for making their financial system stronger.

I think people will not let Bitcoin reach its highest worth and before reaching such value whales will sell their Bitcoin so I think if the selling rate does not decrease then the probability is that we will not see a huge pump.

It is a better time to hold more Bitcoin because the price is already lower so grab the opportunity if it surges due to halving then you will have more Bitcoin for take more benefits.

One thing is identical for every bitcoin halving and that is that bitcoin made an all time high after every halving. This term has been certain for all the previous periods. But when it will happen is a topic to debate. If you check closely, then you will see there isn't an exact timeframe for that. Sometimes bitcoin bull run continues for a long period of time post halving and sometimes it was shorter. But in the last two cycles, it was a year and a half-time cycle, which was huge, but this time it is expected to be much shorter.

I do agree that ETF is the situation that we are in right now, and that would be the most important part. I get that it may not feel like it is going to be all that simple, and ETF situation is not just one time thing, we have seen it go up because of the hype, but we are going to see ETF from all those companies will make it stay higher because the yare going to keep on buying thousands every week, which will keep the buying pressure on and that should be the key figure here.

I believe that we could have some drops here and there, which happened recently, but I also think that it is a very small chance that it would repeat that often. We are going to see the long term being very profitable and will do very well in the end.

I agree with you.  A lot of people aren't buying in and think it topped off for awhile, they couldn't be more wrong.  Not every cycle will be the same but a lot of times it does.  I'm betting this one will be no different.  I think the percentage it goes up vs previous cycles won't be the same but it should be significant. 

Tracking? Do you mean learning the cycles? I think everyone learned it, we all know how the halving contributed to the huge increase in Bitcoin price. Halving already happened several times, so people must learn how its patterns. So far, it is true that halving always brings a significant change in the price. Even if there is no guarantee for another huge increase, but it is likely to happen in the same way.

Yep, the pattern is quite clear although it may change someday. I personally still believe it will remain in the same pattern for the current season. I don't see something to change it. By the way, who predicted the Bitcoin will reach $500k in this season? Most people only predicted the price may reach $150k - $200k. I never saw an analyst predicting the price $500k.  ???

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This topic should be in Bitcoin Discussion or in Speculation.

Let's be more realistic here and for me, the halving this time can't bring that much especially the $500k, maybe in the next four years we might finally hit that price but right now, we are still struggling to sustain it's price above $60k. Bitcoin halving is the only event many are looking forward to, though ETF will contribute a lot in long term, the halving is still considered as the main event for BTC.

Perhaps, this is what we expect as this is also what happened in the past halving.
In fact, people become excited when halving is coming and they buy more coins as they believe that there is a magical thing happening in the market that makes it more profitable. We can't say the situation is a copy of the past but for the past halving and based on my experience, prices went too high during the bull season and even shitcoins.

Bitcoin halving is undeniably creating a huge impact in the market increasing demand and traders becoming too active. Our assumption isn't wrong as the surge really gonna happen during halving -- Bitcoin and altcoins.

Lots of people fail to realize that new records wouldn’t be just recorded in a span of one year. It took bitcoin quite a while to get on top of the market and it doesn’t change much.

Maybe now we are seeing it quickly increase but back then people simply believed and trusted bitcoin so I suggest we do the same thing. Even if it doesn’t reach 500k usd in a year, I am sure that he’s going to get it someday.

Looking at the previous halving in May 2020 - the market didn't really start going up until 5 months later in October.

Are we expecting this again this bull run? If so, it means the price will not start going up properly until September.

Yeah true. The halving is a means to an end not the end itself. But like OP said. Positioning yourself might be good in this regards cos post halving rewards can be fulfilling. Might consider the suggestion OP gave. I'm a trader, let's see if I cut it.

for me $500k is too high for this year's halving. The 2017 ATH is $20k and the 2021 ATH is $65, meaning the ATH in 2021 is only 3x the ATH 2017. If this kind of pattern occurs again in this year's halving I estimate Bitcoin's ATH will reach $150k-$200k. but looking at current market conditions it seems that such a pattern is difficult to occur.

We reached $73k already so personally I expect closer to $200k at the peak of this bull run maybe even closer to $250k.

But I will start taking profits out gradually once we go past $100k.

While past performance isn't a guarantee, it's definitely an interesting trend to consider. If you're looking to potentially capitalize on this upcoming halving, some platforms are offering promotions to incentivize trading during this period.

One option to check out is Chase the 1 BTC Halving Treasure campaign, it offers a chance to win a share of 1 whole Bitcoin through various trading activities. It's definitely worth checking out.
Here's a link to learn more https://www.bitget.com/support/articles/12560603808226

The coming halving is highly unpredictable and nobody can tell you what will be the highest worth during this halving because one day before the price of Bitcoin and other coins has reduced to such a low price that everyone is in fear that will it go to 100k$ or not.

One cannot imagine that Bitcoin can go to 500k$ during the coming halving because the selling rate is increasing day by day and as the price reduces more people are going to sell their Bitcoin and this all happens due to the unpredictable worth and panic situations.

In the current year I don't think that it will reach the value of 500k$ but if we talk about the future and ask about the future then everyone will share a positive review about Bitcoin future and surely it will reach such value but time is needed for such success.

Absolutely, historical data show that Bitcoin has reached new all-time highs after each of the previous halving events. And with the current market, I myself am heavily investing in BTC. You can't go wrong with that. But I also think you should consider investing in Altcoins as well. Typically, altcoin season starts after the halving, offering a significant opportunity to earn big. I've earned over 120% in profits by rebalancing my portfolio, despite the dip. I'm anticipating a future where Bitcoin reaches a $100K valuation.

Saying BTC is get to 500k eoy is definitely outrageous but I'm banking for a more conserved rate. Probably $85. While the outcome post halving might be unpredictable, I saw something earlier that caught my attention. Would give it a try

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5493029.msg63961884#msg63961884

Many people have different expectations personally, I don't think the $500k expectation you made when Bitcoin halves will happen so soon. I don't know if the past patterns will follow but the high above $73k before bitcoin halving I think we may see a new ATH reach $100k next year if the year end bull season starts after bitcoin halving.

We can say for sure that in 2020, the cryptocurrency market was different and very different from what we see now. After the Bitcoin ETF was approved earlier this year, large capital came to the market, which is attracted by the high profitability of Bitcoin compared to the securities market.

It doesn't matter, because everyone has different selling targets. Initially I also had a selling target of $150k, but seeing recent bitcoin price movements I slightly lowered my selling target. I'm not talking about the halving pattern that occurred in 2017 and 2021, but we need to look at the reality of current market conditions.

Well, what to expect right?
We could only base from what happened on the previous cycles and it just shows that higher market prices have been reached after the said event, so same thing COULD POSSIBLY happen this time. However as we all know, nothing comes in an instant if things are expected. Months or a year I guess, is the time where market price of Bitcoin and this market in general would be breaking ceiling once again. But for now, wherein halving has just happened, I guess it would be best to wait and observe. Many investors could take profit partially and that could yield to a market crash before they start accumulating again. Be observant and avoid hasty decisions. You may just hold your portfolio and let it rest. But in my case, I would be filling my bag more once there is a crash to take place.

I dont think it's going to happen right away. IT will take a few months. m assuming we will have to wait and watch, but I am ok with that. I'm in it for the long haul and trust Bitcoin to soar

and it seems like the current bitcoin halving is different from the previous one because it seems that this time the halving did not cause a significant price increase. The halving started several weeks ago but the price of Bitcoin has not shown any signs of increasing as significantly as the previous halving. I don't believe this but here are the facts, if $73k is the ATH this year it means the percentage increase in price from the previous ATH is very small. this is the crypto market, it is unpredictable and anything can happen.