Bitcoin Forum

Predict the price of Bitcoin on 1 April 2015 12.00 AM (bitstamp)

I will donate US$25 in CBX (Crypto Bullion) to the winner. (CGB rebranded)

Entree will close on 1 June 2014
I suggest to not use round numbers, first come first served.

If the winner does not respond within 1 month after he has won I keep the right to pay the prize to the next best guess and his entree is invalidated.

website: http://cryptobullion.io/
CBX thread: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=951753.0

4150 on stamp
Please consider rewarding with something that will exist in 2015

I did.  :D

My own entree will be US$3,200

Lol, good point. I've never even heard of CBG until now.

My prediction: $3828.50

$6750

Just a guess $5,000

135$

4572....

See you in a year!

$1500 after having crashed from $3000

27

$52,495.71

If your gonna guess. Guess big

3450$

my guess: 1615$

With regards to CGB, this is one of the most undervalued coins at the moment IMO!

So my question is : Are you converting the $ to CGB now or next year?

The prize will be $25 worth of CGB's in april 2015. Not a big deal perhaps but good enough for a free lunch.
If anyone likes to contribute to the prize, welcome to  :D

On the major fiat exchange (Bitstamp maybe), $650

Ok let's not do the obvious ... $15k  8)

$2400

$4950

$50,000 +/- $50,000

Price prediction:4790$   
but i hope it goes beyond that!

Smoothies Price Prediction: $9487.34/BTC

$4666.66

Im predicting $1.75k. Lets just hope hopefully its higher than that xD

Bitcoin: 2745.89 $ on kraken.com  
And CryptogenicBullion 56.74 $ on vaultofsatoshi.com  

 Will I get 50$ if I am right with both predictions? ;D

$2560

$1720

2895$

800$

I think Bitcoin will trade low for some time but take of big next year. If it does before April I will lose the 25$ prize ;D

7250$ :D

$4125  :)

3434
Thanks

thats a real tough guess.

I think it will go to 7000, then down to 4000, then up to 20k before 2016. April 1st, hmmmm lets say....

EDIT 02/04/13 $5001  ;D

No.  ;) And I will take your Krakenguess to Bitstamp



$5,000 has been guessed already, I suggest to not use round numbers.

1414

13,500 USD

Just for the records  :D

So I say $6.666

predicting $1337

:)

$3333

950$

$500-$600

 $2999.01

This will be a large retraction from record ATH Q3-Q4 2014.

1 BTC = $956.56 is my best guess.  8)

8888

$15986

$1450.

Do you own 80% of all CB? Otherwise I don't think you'll be able to come up with $25 worth.  ;)

my guess is $2448

see you next year ;D

2350$

$5549

I'm closing entree's on this on 1 June so get your prediction in if you haven't.

$99999.99

$3800 (but I think we will go up a lot in another bubble phase and down again before then...)

6745

Wow April 1st of 2015 is a long ways away >.< . I'll take a stab at it though: $6,918. See you in a year....

9645

$3850 :-)

$ 844

I think most other predictions are a bit too optimistic. I think the next rise will take longer than the previous ones.


ya.ya.yo!

2345

$23456

$987.65

Hey,
I suggest the price will be BTC750

16852 usd

$12,412.01

94$

Btw. I won't short, but I'll buy more if it goes that low.

Would you accept Cryptogenic Bullions for a spaceflight?
At this time not possible but perhaps in a year when the marketcap has increased by 30x   :D

$4000 High
$1200 Low

ETA: With at least one more bubble, 2 "mini crashes" and at least 4 new bitcoin businesses launching that enables further mass adoption.

I think it'll also jump up toward $1000 mark by October for whenever Blockchain.info launches whatever they're getting ready to launch, and when Circle officially opens.

Adding a quote to secure the entry post previous edit.

$80,923

Nice, but you should mention just one number to have an entree.

OK, so using the best TA available 

 Month of  April =4
           1st day =1
    plus year =  2015

so total price on that day will be $2020 ;D

$127,856.17

$46,216.34

$3210

I like your prediction best  ;)

 It will most likely be trading in a range of $1200+ to $3600+

 or from as low as $80 to $150 range.

 or as high as $9000 to $40,000+ range.

 It really "depends" on a long host of factors.


My best guess on April 1st 2015 a single bitcoin = $2444 usd
======================================

So:

 It truly all depends on how fast wall street and other well heeled investors and speculators finally 'get Bitcoin' and finally dismiss the fud, and write off the Fed, and all their criminal actions to the present point in time. Or how quickly safe methods are devised and marketed to the mainstream for widespread adoption and usage. Still, Bitcoin is mainly tasked best for certain applications, and not so well for others. That could change, but it will take far more greater efforts including trusted off-the-blockchain processing in real time. Lots to be done there.

 It could be trading in excess of $40,000 each in mere months if major deep pockets finally figure out Bitcoin is a big part of The Future. It just all 'depends'.

 But unlike debt-based fiat currency ponzi schemes it's a fact that Bitcoin is Monetary Freedom yet so far its merely Digital Gold 2.0, or a strong store of value since it's quite limited in numbers.

 Still, very few seem to grasp the extreme cost of debt-based-fiat currency. The Fed dollar currently costs almost half a Trillion dollars this year alone for the USA to endure (interest payments on it's debts). And the USA exports much of those costs abroad so it's everyone paying these costs even though they have next to no clue by and large. That too isn't well understood.

 Of course many things are changing fast today, quite suddenly. Much to the horror of bankers. Good. That's a start. Today, absolutely everyone including government officials has learned to loathe and despise the banksters and their bailouts. The banksters are in the proverbial legal systems cross-hairs already. Soon it wont be mere fines for shattering the markets next time.

 Real Capitalism
=====================
 Capitalism never rewards failure.
 Capitalism never bails out losers.
 Capitalism never gives bonuses for failure.

 From the hands of the weak and failing to the hands of the strong is Capitalism.
Real Capitalism. Honest, legal Capitalism. It's manditory. We used to practice that.

The Fed is soon dead. Why?

 Debt-based-fiat currencies, their in the real ultimate series of bubbles of Last Resort today, worldwide, a largely unspoken one, and absolutely denied by many so termed financial experts, almost all who know their lying through their false teeth. Traditional fiat is the real 800 pound Joke in the room buried and stealing everyone's wealth through confiscation by way of ruinous inflation. And that joke is on everyone who saving is in fiat currencies.

 Even governments are waking up to the realities. These criminal actions wont stand much longer. Federal Felony Banking and Financial Frauds and their statute of limitations wont be kind to many much longer. Very soon the rest of the criminal rats will flee their corporate dungeons, one way or another. And many of them are going to be sharing the same types of rooms as convicted Ponzi fraudster Mr. Maddoff in the not too distant future.

 The Fed has blown the Bubble of Last Resort by their insanity of borrowing and loaning ever more trillions to fix the problem of too much unpayable debts. It's the same world wide except for Norway and Russia, and possibly a few others I am unaware of, but the rest of the world is mired in insolvency. Finally that issue can no longer even be debated. Every other country worldwide is hopelessly insolvent in terms their all buried under so much debt they can never escape them as things currently stand. That must be solved, permanently. Severe bondholder haircuts are mandatory, and trillions in ill gotten stolen loot clawed back. Yet these financial experts enjoy to shill for their masters by lying out their crooked teeth about this and much, much more. The Central banks are all grossly criminally negligent to the very extreme. Repeat: Criminally Neglect to the extreme. These are the worst financial crimes in human history, and still unpunished. Criminal prosecutions are more than decades late here. Greenspan caused severe damage, while fools and idiots cheered him on. Yet even Greenspan knew all along he was feeding pure financial poisons into the financial systems. Sir Alan? No. Hardly. Merely the Puppet in Chief at the Fed. A mere fraudster. A mere criminal that ran the world into the financial abyss for the Owners of the Federal Reserve Board System Inc. - a very private corporation, that has nothing to do with the USA's Government what so ever, and isn't answerable to anyone else. The FED must be abolished, and it will be.

 As recently as the 1980's we tossed 10,000 criminal bankers in prison, reduced them to poverty best was legally allowed, and cleaned up their banking frauds and balance sheets. Then we sold off the banking assets to strong players. We never ever rewarded failure. Not ever. Never before. We seized failed banks, fixed the messes, then sold them off while continuing their banking operations.

 No one is ever 'too big to fail'. That's bullshit. Don't ever forget that. Repeat that often. Burn that in. Never except anything less or we're all
merely financial debt slaves from the cradles to our very graves, and many beyond their graves. Governments too must understand their being fleeced into financial bondage, and held captive by a financial 'den of vipers' per one past USA President very words. Word simply must be spread far and wide until finally prudent change is had (debt-free currencies). We can't accept anything less. This is the very reason for the last world war. It may end up being the very reason for the next world war if a firm grip on this extreme situation isn't attached soon. I cannot stress enough how we're all dancing around bond fires with nuclear weapons that cannot be released. Yet those monsters still echo. Most never are taught the truth, never. It's well covered up. The reader here just learned things most have no clue about. Not that most really seem to care. But they would if they knew the very scope and size of the stakes wagered upon all this.

 Hence the need for Bitcoin and Decentralized Cryptocurrenies. Central banks must be eliminated. Governments must be held in check. Debt-free currencies are mandatory. Satoshi Nakamoto released Bitcoin for all these very reasons and many more. He/she/they are very wise. It's most obvious Bitcoin is a big part of The Future. Anyone that disagrees is to be treated as traitors to the entire human race.


As for Bitcoin and it's future prices
======================

 No matter how much more shit they or anything else tosses towards Bitcoin it will just continue to laugh and laugh, and keep plowing forward through any and all hurdles, and much to the pleasant surprise of even it's biggest supporters and defenders. Many even in the world of Bitcoin just can't quite grasp that yet, yet every day, week and month we all are learning the resiliency of Bitcoin. There will be many more price surges (rallies). And many more pricing corrections. For many years to come the value of bitcoins will keep increasing. Until finally it enters it's mature stage, and outgrows it's growth stage. Depending on how long it takes for various hurdles to be plowed through it could be just a few to several years away that the growth stage finally closes, or well over a decade from today. Until then prices are going much higher and with many serious to severe correction periods, some maybe or maybe not lasting for many months or even longer. Patience will be handsomely rewarded is my conclusion. At least until finally something outperforms Bitcoin by huge margins. Until then this is the New King of Digital Stores of Value, usd, eur, yuan, yen, gbp, chf, and even the nok included.


My best guess on April 1st 2015 a single bitcoin = $2444 usd
======================================


Bitcoin is a big part of the Future.

2500

5216.84 USD

$5000 +/-

$4163

By then we are likely to have ETFs and US exchanges that are run by real people. I'm not gonna guess a price but I think it's going to be surprisingly, maybe mind bendingly, loftier than we expect.

$25,000

(realistically, I'd say anywhere between $5,000 and $50,000 depending on sooo many factors.)

$27,244

5,287

266$

Is China going to ban bitcoin again?

Thanks for heads up.  Let me know if you want to sell your bitcoins.

$75,000/BTC

you forgot to mention +- signs after 75000$/btc..! :p
 it should be like
$75000/btc +-75000$

1 April 2015 is about ten months from now, we can see another bubble in the meantime, so I try with the bottom price which I think will be 1200 dollars.

All you latecomers... tsk tsk.  ;)

really wait when it happen :D but when touch 10k maybe i will sell -.-

Zule      4150 on stamp
BTCat      My own entree will be US$3,200
master-P   My prediction: $3828.50
hodlmybtc   $6750
bitcoinsrus   Just a guess $5,000
fonzie      135$
the_sunship   4572
af_newbie   $900
Dalmar      $1500
xperiencia   27
Twilight_Sparkle   $52,495.71
rohnearner   3450$
Xpedite      my guess: 1615$
Majormax   On the major fiat exchange (Bitstamp maybe), $650
Wilhelm      Ok let's not do the obvious ... $15k
Evilish      $2400
Paya      $4950
Philj      $50,000 +/- $50,000
BitcoinBaBa   Price prediction:4790$ 
smoothie   $9487.34/BTC
CoinRocka   $4666.66
precrime3   Im predicting $1.75k
bahamapascal   Bitcoin: 2745.89 $
zzojar      $2560
googlemaster1   $1720
gustav      2895$
Carra23      800$
lynn_402   7250$ Cheesy
menno1986   $4125  Smiley
Bit_Happy   3434
chessnut   EDIT 02/04/13 $5001
adsdas      1414
Feri22      13,500 USD
UnDerDoG81   So I say $6.666
koryu      predicting $1337
redwhite037   $3333
SportsBet           950$
Mig-23      $500-$600 (not 1 number)
Toxic2040           $2999.01
BitCoinsLOL   1 BTC = $956.56
marvinrouge   8888
BitchicksHusband   $15986
edok              $1450
BigBoy89           $2448
Acidyo      2350$
pinksheep   $5549
sgbett      $99999.99
matt608      $3800
neilol-real   6745
lyth0s      $6,918
snatchmonkey   9645
Kexkey      $3850 :-)
yayayo      $ 844
railzand   2345
pinksheep   $23456
log2exp      $987.65
hwardman30    BTC750
220Fast      16852 usd
BTCtrader71   $12,412.01
Richard Branson   94$
serenitys   too many numbers not 1 guess
blatchcorn   $80,923
indiemax   $2020
kireinaha   $127,856.17
zimmah      $46,216.34
Cryptocure   $3210
Slingshot   $2444 usd
bitcoinsrus   2500
spndr7      5216.84 USD
elliwilli   $5000 +/- (already guessed)
thewayshegoes   $4163
xDan      $25,000

Quoted for future amusement.

I was too late to get in my prediction... and  this contest with a prize was a great idea...   NOT TO be too critical, but for ease of reading, you should have written the BTC price predictions in ascending order.. rather than chronological order... I like the idea though of a prize...

For shits and giggles:  I'm gonna guess $2,748.20 - after having had peaked in the $4,350 area in early 2015.. then BTC gonna have some up and down price retracement during early to mid-2015... and to maybe bubble again in late 2015 into the $6969 price arena.

 :D Just wanted to set the entrees in stone so no one will edit afterwards.
And yes entrees closed on June 1 already. Perhaps I will open another contest later.

Winklevoss twins think Bitcoin price will hit $40k.

These guys are visionaries and successful in life!

They are too late to enter the contest  :P
Richard Branson says $94, he may be more known and did enter the contest  :D

$15,000

Is that the amount you will add to the prize?

My bet: 2789,58$

Remember this post, because the value will be exactly that.

My prediction: $3 k

$900

1800, after a rise to 4k levels and then a drop in the mid winter

$ 585.50.

$5700 start of a whole new bubble by that time

Low 3900, minimum around 3000.
High 24K, top 48K

It depend when and how the next bubble develop.

I have this feeling 2014 will not be as wild as 2013 but more like 2012.

But 2012 was nothing to lament, because it went from a low of 3$ to a max of 15$.

Much depend on how much MB e M1 inflation for the USD there will be.
Currently MB's is higher and M1's in near at the same level of BTC's inflation.

When BTC inflation go structurally lower than USD inflation things will become red hot.

Hard to predict but my sixth sense says that the price will be 1400$ after the drop caused by the bubble.

$417. I say this because people will start panicking about taxes and cash out in front of that to pay off some of their taxes... you pay off your taxes before people end up collecting tax returns... the latter event kicking it up. I also expect we will hit or get near $1,000 before then, however. It will be a topsy turvy ride.

$3787,86

The value will be exactly that.

After a rise in october to 10k$ it will lose a 70% of the value after china bans it again.

CGB has been around for quite a while, I see no reason to think it won't be valuable in April of 2015.

My entry is:

$1111.20

2561

9750$

Will announce the winner tomorrow.  :D

Also I will make a new contest soon. A few people from CBX community have already pledged some CBX for a prize and i will add $25 worth.
If anyone likes to add some coins as well pls contact.

So, did "Richard Branson" win with his $94?

This is depressing :'(

Man this is depressing looking at all the people guessing in the thousands and we are at $240 lol.   I guess on a brighter not there are tons of people who think that it can go that high.

I believe this should be the winner:


The contest was closed on 1 June 2014 so all who posted after did not count.
Even if they did Fonzie would still have won...

If anyone does not agree, come forward or I will payout soon.



That was a really good bet no one expected. Most people guessed thousands too much.

@fonzie also bet 266$ on June 2, that was disqualified for being only 1 day too late.  
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=553123.msg7086720#msg7086720
It seems that we have now found out who has been controlling the price all along.

There was another bet for 417$ by @Newbie1022, made in August.  In log scale it would be closer to 250$ than 135$.

This is pure entertainment. Especially the guys who predicted Bitcoin will go over $2000 which is insane!

Once these guys see how far off their prediction is they might edit their post  :D

So nobody predicted 0.1$ in this world of trolls?

Fonzies first bet was accepted and I've taken that to the final list of entrees.

Log scale lol, april fool trolling?
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Logarithmic_scale

Nothing April foolish or trolling about considering evaluation on a log scale... Accessible explanation here for example (https://quantivity.wordpress.com/2011/02/21/why-log-returns/), on why quants tend to look at log returns instead of "raw" returns.

Thanks. The contest was closed for entrees on June 1 so the $417 guess did not take part of the competition.
So no matter the outcome of your puzzle it doesn't change the name of the winner.

No, there is fun enough already in the contest result.  :D

I was serious.  When analyzing prices of stocks, currencies, gold, etc, it is best to use a log scale because it turns equal relative changes into equal displacements.  For example, a change from 100 to 200 will look just as big as a change from 1000 to 2000 (both being 2x).  Also, a drop from 100 to 50 looks just as big as a rise from 100 to 200 (one is the inverse of the other).

In that sense, 417 is closer to 240 than 135, because 417/240 =  1.73 is less than 240/135 = 1.77.

Wow, this hurts... fonzie being closer than basically everyone else. Yeah that just hurts so much more than the price alone does these days. But hey, I think we're headed up from here :)

Interesting thread,someone ought to do one for this year ;D

Here you go:

Predict the price of Bitcoin on 1 April 2016 - win CBX (Crypto Bullion)
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1012254.0

Great! But you may want to edit the thread title (or start a new thread), to attract more prophets...

I made a new thread just click it. Do not guess here this one is old. For discussion we can keep it open though.

Pretty funny how everybody was drifting on a velvety wave of optimism. The median response was about 14 times the actual value on 1st April.

p.s. the Fonz is too cool for you all. 8)

Oops sorry, stupid of me...

"If the winner does not respond within 1 month after he has won I keep the right to pay the prize to the next best guess and his entree is invalidated."

Ok, ofcourse I should have added something like this last year already but hadn't thought about it. It's a very reasonable period to claim your prize so I will still add it.
 

Fonzie claimed his prize, 565 CBX has been paid so this contest is officially closed now.

http://blockexplorer.cryptobullion.io/tx/22e1443e04da530b4a15bfd8966d332f3c7e407058a46a594b849767b083c533

Thanks everyone and on to the next one https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1012254.0

Thanks to BTCat for the prize, i just received it.