Bitcoin Forum

Economy => Speculation => Topic started by: StewartJ on January 16, 2012, 09:39:04 PM



Title: New Support Price, Before We March Back Up?
Post by: StewartJ on January 16, 2012, 09:39:04 PM
What do you think folks?


Title: Re: New Support Price, Before We March Back Up?
Post by: kjlimo on January 16, 2012, 09:41:07 PM
define a "support price"


Title: Re: New Support Price, Before We March Back Up?
Post by: jojo69 on January 16, 2012, 09:44:31 PM
hard bounce off 6.52

up we go


Title: Re: New Support Price, Before We March Back Up?
Post by: zby on January 16, 2012, 09:48:24 PM
How about retracting 50% of the rally since $2?


Title: Re: New Support Price, Before We March Back Up?
Post by: StewartJ on January 16, 2012, 09:52:10 PM
define a "support price"

The point where we march back up to $7 again.

Was $6.25 a few days ago, $6.10 a week ago.


Title: Re: New Support Price, Before We March Back Up?
Post by: byronbb on January 16, 2012, 09:54:45 PM
Loaded question is loaded.


Title: Re: New Support Price, Before We March Back Up?
Post by: Otoh on January 16, 2012, 10:08:50 PM
 'Advance, and never halt, for advancing is perfection. Advance and do not fear the thorns in the path, for they draw only corrupt blood.' So said one of my favourite poets Kahlil Gibran.  ;D

edit: thorns = spikes down

edit 2: corrupt blood = peeps who have over done their leveraged longs on Bitcoinica with insufficient margin


Title: Re: New Support Price, Before We March Back Up?
Post by: StewartJ on January 16, 2012, 10:20:55 PM
'Advance, and never halt, for advancing is perfection. Advance and do not fear the thorns in the path, for they draw only corrupt blood.' So said one of my favourite poets Kahlil Gibran.  ;D

edit: thorns = spikes down

edit 2: corrupt blood = peeps who have over done their leveraged longs on Bitcoinica with insufficient margin

So...  $6.25?   :)


Title: Re: New Support Price, Before We March Back Up?
Post by: notme on January 16, 2012, 10:31:57 PM
if we get below 6 there can be many forced liquidations  ;D

So you didn't fully liquidate your short yet?  I hope you at least deleveraged a little.


Title: Re: New Support Price, Before We March Back Up?
Post by: notme on January 16, 2012, 10:42:03 PM
i let few thousands just in case i can get a better position

Good move.


Title: Re: New Support Price, Before We March Back Up?
Post by: Vandroiy on January 16, 2012, 10:55:01 PM
Normally, the short-term price curve should look like a random walk. That said, a vast majority being certain the price cannot drop is excessively bullish.

And every time I see excessive bullishness, I think it's time for a crash. A market in which more than half of the people take "up!" as the only answer to speculation isn't too healthy.


Title: Re: New Support Price, Before We March Back Up?
Post by: Cluster2k on January 16, 2012, 10:59:53 PM
Normally, the short-term price curve should look like a random walk. That said, a vast majority being certain the price cannot drop is excessively bullish.

And every time I see excessive bullishness, I think it's time for a crash. A market in which more than half of the people take "up!" as the only answer to speculation isn't too healthy.

I'm not sure about a crash, but a correction was certainly due.  When people are running around the forums shouting 'only way is up' and 'look out $8, here we come!' in unison then you know something is wrong.  Too many people are on one side of the trade. 

It's like the market knows how and when to effectively slap down the hubris.


Title: Re: New Support Price, Before We March Back Up?
Post by: notme on January 16, 2012, 11:07:29 PM
Normally, the short-term price curve should look like a random walk. That said, a vast majority being certain the price cannot drop is excessively bullish.

And every time I see excessive bullishness, I think it's time for a crash. A market in which more than half of the people take "up!" as the only answer to speculation isn't too healthy.

I'm not sure about a crash, but a correction was certainly due.  When people are running around the forums shouting 'only way is up' and 'look out $8, here we come!' in unison then you know something is wrong.  Too many people are on one side of the trade. 

It's like the market knows some people know how and when to effectively slap down the hubris.

FTFY

The market knows nothing.  The market slaps nothing.
Market participants know things.  Market participants slap things.


Title: Re: New Support Price, Before We March Back Up?
Post by: Cluster2k on January 16, 2012, 11:16:22 PM
Normally, the short-term price curve should look like a random walk. That said, a vast majority being certain the price cannot drop is excessively bullish.

And every time I see excessive bullishness, I think it's time for a crash. A market in which more than half of the people take "up!" as the only answer to speculation isn't too healthy.

I'm not sure about a crash, but a correction was certainly due.  When people are running around the forums shouting 'only way is up' and 'look out $8, here we come!' in unison then you know something is wrong.  Too many people are on one side of the trade. 

It's like the market knows some people know how and when to effectively slap down the hubris.

FTFY

The market knows nothing.  The market slaps nothing.
Market participants know things.  Market participants slap things.

The market is a generic term to describe the actions of the participants.  To describe actions of the market as the actions of a collective of individuals is bordering on tautology.


Title: Re: New Support Price, Before We March Back Up?
Post by: notme on January 16, 2012, 11:18:46 PM
Normally, the short-term price curve should look like a random walk. That said, a vast majority being certain the price cannot drop is excessively bullish.

And every time I see excessive bullishness, I think it's time for a crash. A market in which more than half of the people take "up!" as the only answer to speculation isn't too healthy.

I'm not sure about a crash, but a correction was certainly due.  When people are running around the forums shouting 'only way is up' and 'look out $8, here we come!' in unison then you know something is wrong.  Too many people are on one side of the trade. 

It's like the market knows some people know how and when to effectively slap down the hubris.

FTFY

The market knows nothing.  The market slaps nothing.
Market participants know things.  Market participants slap things.

The market is a generic term to describe the actions of the participants.  To describe actions of the market as the actions of a collective of individuals is bordering on tautology.

But the way I said it doesn't imply some magical force.


Title: Re: New Support Price, Before We March Back Up?
Post by: Vandroiy on January 17, 2012, 01:04:20 AM
The Invisible Hand does have something of a magical force, and it can unintentionally slap people.

Say there's a mania of some commodity, and the price goes extremely high. Someone just randomly coming to the market and selling can already punish it. Other people may just not buy because it's too expensive for them now, switching to something else without much further thought.

Afterward, there has been nobody who intentionally slapped the maniacs, yet they got slapped. The market did it. That's the beauty of it, and it's not entirely wrong to hint at that in the wording.


Title: Re: New Support Price, Before We March Back Up?
Post by: Crypt_Current on January 17, 2012, 03:12:58 AM
Normally, the short-term price curve should look like a random walk. That said, a vast majority being certain the price cannot drop is excessively bullish.

And every time I see excessive bullishness, I think it's time for a crash. A market in which more than half of the people take "up!" as the only answer to speculation isn't too healthy.

I'm not sure about a crash, but a correction was certainly due.  When people are running around the forums shouting 'only way is up' and 'look out $8, here we come!' in unison then you know something is wrong.  Too many people are on one side of the trade. 

It's like the market knows some people know how and when to effectively slap down the hubris.

FTFY

The market knows nothing.  The market slaps nothing.
Market participants know things.  Market participants slap things.

The market is a generic term to describe the actions of the participants.  To describe actions of the market as the actions of a collective of individuals is bordering on tautology.

But the way I said it doesn't imply some magical force.

LOL such as astrology?   ;D  Sorry, I had to.