Bitcoin Forum

Economy => Speculation => Topic started by: spazzdla on September 30, 2014, 01:56:38 PM



Title: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: spazzdla on September 30, 2014, 01:56:38 PM
Amount of BTCers 10 000 000

Avg capital of BTCer 30k.

Avg capital ready to move into BTC 5k.

10 000 000 * 500 = 5 000 000 000


These numbers are not exact but the principle holds..  Manipulation, charts, trends, etc mean shit.

It all comes down to the amount of people that love Gold(BTC) * Capital they control that will be used to buy gold(BTC)

Proof? +10 000 years of history.


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: Ayers on September 30, 2014, 05:39:05 PM
one simple reason: not enough buyers, miners can dump only a fixed amount, this mean that it's not their fault


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: Keyara on September 30, 2014, 05:51:04 PM
When did it hit 360?

It is trading at around 380 now.


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: qm7 on September 30, 2014, 06:35:03 PM
Except it has multiple times??


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: Crypto-in-tha-blood on September 30, 2014, 06:45:24 PM
I think there are plenty of buyers.  Just people playing the price swings right now. 


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: spazzdla on September 30, 2014, 07:00:38 PM
Except it has multiple times??

When was the last time the price dipped below $360 on more than 1 exchange?


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: bajlox on October 01, 2014, 06:21:40 AM
Price is more less stable but it will take some time to recover.
Yes to many buyers allow this so we wait.


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: MilesJohan on October 01, 2014, 07:07:06 AM
People no more weak holder and panic seller, price would not drop below $360...


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: fewcoins on October 01, 2014, 08:31:52 AM
People no more weak holder and panic seller, price would not drop below $360...

Yea, okay lmfao! Watch as the miners dump all their coins & bring the price down!!!


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: trattrat on October 01, 2014, 01:15:07 PM
Its quite simple. Just supply and demand.


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: fewcoins on October 01, 2014, 02:20:02 PM
Its quite simple. Just supply and demand.

And right now the supply is getting bigger and bigger everyday while the demand is getting smaller and smaller! Meaning the price will continue to go down!!! Its a shame!!!


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: jamessingh on October 01, 2014, 04:32:56 PM
Its quite simple. Just supply and demand.

And right now the supply is getting bigger and bigger everyday while the demand is getting smaller and smaller! Meaning the price will continue to go down!!! Its a shame!!!


I disagree,

People with money (billionaires) already see the investment opportunities now. Its just a matter of time. Bitcoin doesnt get this low typically and as soon as it hits a price, which it is getting there watch it rise.

People are panicking and selling it off currently, eventually(within 2 months) rich investors(billionaires) are going to put 1-50 Million into bitcoins, there fore less supply will be available and the demand is going to sky rocket. Prices will get back up to 500-800.

Just my opinion on this.


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: fewcoins on October 01, 2014, 05:16:14 PM
Its quite simple. Just supply and demand.

And right now the supply is getting bigger and bigger everyday while the demand is getting smaller and smaller! Meaning the price will continue to go down!!! Its a shame!!!


I disagree,

People with money (billionaires) already see the investment opportunities now. Its just a matter of time. Bitcoin doesnt get this low typically and as soon as it hits a price, which it is getting there watch it rise.

People are panicking and selling it off currently, eventually(within 2 months) rich investors(billionaires) are going to put 1-50 Million into bitcoins, there fore less supply will be available and the demand is going to sky rocket. Prices will get back up to 500-800.

Just my opinion on this.

Exactly! JUST YOUR OPINION! No billionaire has got rich off of digital currency & none of them will since they won't buy in. Most own many of their OWN businesses... Why would they want to be a sheep & follow the herd like all you nerds. These people make real investments in real things. Not some bullshit Ponzi/pyramid scheme. If anything they buid their own pyramid scheme with them AT THE TOP! Keep that false hope to yourself so others can actually save their money and not lose it to the scumbags manipulating this market.


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: jamessingh on October 01, 2014, 05:45:50 PM

[/quote]
Exactly! JUST YOUR OPINION! No billionaire has got rich off of digital currency & none of them will since they won't buy in. Most own many of their OWN businesses... Why would they want to be a sheep & follow the herd like all you nerds. These people make real investments in real things. Not some bullshit Ponzi/pyramid scheme. If anything they buid their own pyramid scheme with them AT THE TOP! Keep that false hope to yourself so others can actually save their money and not lose it to the scumbags manipulating this market.
[/quote]

First of all, Your a stupid Idiot.

What you stated is your Opinion, what have you accomplished in your life that makes you so smart?
Do you have a business degree? Because I have one!!

[/quote]
No billionaire has got rich off of digital currency & none of them will since they won't buy in.
[/quote]

Thanks for that fact. You are so smart for stating this fact, can you send me some sort of link saying that NO BILLIONAIRE has made money off this??  you cannot.

Billionaires invest, Do some basic research and you will see that they invest money. You dont sit on money, To make money you have to invest.
Your probably a broke idiot with no money to invest,

BTW a Business is an investment noob.
Bitcoin trading is also an investment, similar to stocks.

I know plenty of people, including myself who did this and made a fortune. I invested 10 K cashed out with 150K+ in bitcoins starting in 2011.


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: spazzdla on October 01, 2014, 06:21:55 PM
Kevin O'leary, youtube, bitcoin.

Billionares are clearly interested.


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: jamessingh on October 01, 2014, 06:35:32 PM
Kevin O'leary, youtube, bitcoin.

Billionares are clearly interested.

fewcoins is a troll. Hes probably is an investor who is going to buy up bitcoins.

Look at his posts.

Also he states no facts, just his opinion!


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: fewcoins on October 01, 2014, 06:42:08 PM

Exactly! JUST YOUR OPINION! No billionaire has got rich off of digital currency & none of them will since they won't buy in. Most own many of their OWN businesses... Why would they want to be a sheep & follow the herd like all you nerds. These people make real investments in real things. Not some bullshit Ponzi/pyramid scheme. If anything they buid their own pyramid scheme with them AT THE TOP! Keep that false hope to yourself so others can actually save their money and not lose it to the scumbags manipulating this market.
[/quote]

First of all, Your a stupid Idiot.

What you stated is your Opinion, what have you accomplished in your life that makes you so smart?
Do you have a business degree? Because I have one!!

[/quote]
No billionaire has got rich off of digital currency & none of them will since they won't buy in.
[/quote]

Thanks for that fact. You are so smart for stating this fact, can you send me some sort of link saying that NO BILLIONAIRE has made money off this??  you cannot.

Billionaires invest, Do some basic research and you will see that they invest money. You dont sit on money, To make money you have to invest.
Your probably a broke idiot with no money to invest,

BTW a Business is an investment noob.
Bitcoin trading is also an investment, similar to stocks.

I know plenty of people, including myself who did this and made a fortune. I invested 10 K cashed out with 150K+ in bitcoins starting in 2011.

[/quote]

wow look at what you point out LOL I know billionaires always invest & don't sit on money(I know this first hand unlike you)
FACTS are they don't invest in things like this... keep up with your dream world!


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: coinmaster222 on October 01, 2014, 06:43:10 PM
It's a long lasting downtrend. Wait till it's over. http://ibytemedia.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/03/Crescent-Moon-Clip-Art.png


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: Jybrael on October 01, 2014, 09:45:05 PM
The price will go down it will go up its part the flow of currency. There are plenty of people that have invested a lot of money in it to actually watch it plummet a lot so we will just have to wait and see.


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: tabnloz on October 01, 2014, 10:28:36 PM
Quote

Exactly! JUST YOUR OPINION! No billionaire has got rich off of digital currency & none of them will since they won't buy in. Most own many of their OWN businesses... Why would they want to be a sheep & follow the herd like all you nerds. These people make real investments in real things. Not some bullshit Ponzi/pyramid scheme. If anything they buid their own pyramid scheme with them AT THE TOP! Keep that false hope to yourself so others can actually save their money and not lose it to the scumbags manipulating this market.

But many wealthy people have invested heavily in the space. If you take this, and large VC money flowing in, you are presented with a pretty positive picture on where this is headed in the future. Finance / banking / Central Banking practices / CC's / Remittance etc are ripe for disruption.

The two downside possibilities to consider here are;

1.) That this is another dot com boom that will end badly

2.) That the protocol can be separated from the currency

I don't think we are 1 although the investments in tech lately are crazy (SnapChat, WhatApp etc in the billions) and are indirectly due to QE & bubbles. Also a large economic implosion won't help any industry initially.

And 2 is up for debate.




Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: fewcoins on October 02, 2014, 03:59:32 AM
Quote

Exactly! JUST YOUR OPINION! No billionaire has got rich off of digital currency & none of them will since they won't buy in. Most own many of their OWN businesses... Why would they want to be a sheep & follow the herd like all you nerds. These people make real investments in real things. Not some bullshit Ponzi/pyramid scheme. If anything they buid their own pyramid scheme with them AT THE TOP! Keep that false hope to yourself so others can actually save their money and not lose it to the scumbags manipulating this market.

But many wealthy people have invested heavily in the space. If you take this, and large VC money flowing in, you are presented with a pretty positive picture on where this is headed in the future. Finance / banking / Central Banking practices / CC's / Remittance etc are ripe for disruption.

The two downside possibilities to consider here are;

1.) That this is another dot com boom that will end badly

2.) That the protocol can be separated from the currency

I don't think we are 1 although the investments in tech lately are crazy (SnapChat, WhatApp etc in the billions) and are indirectly due to QE & bubbles. Also a large economic implosion won't help any industry initially.

And 2 is up for debate.




Yes wealthy people & Venture Capitalist have invested in heavily in BITCOIN BUSINESSES only due to no regulation & insane profit margin. Who besides Tim flat out bought btc??? ??? ???


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: Gundulmu on October 02, 2014, 06:04:29 AM
I think there are plenty of buyers.  Just people playing the price swings right now. 


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: Iamyourdad on October 02, 2014, 06:31:01 AM
Its up now :D

Wish it reaches 400$ soon.


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: DhaniBoy on October 02, 2014, 06:47:01 AM
things like this never happen in a few years ago, where the price of bitcoin has also been dropped, but after his bitcoin value will rise again gradually, this is caused by several things, among others, a decrease in market demand for bitcoin, the more his or bitcoin circulating in the market ... hopefully bitcoin prices will stabilize again ...  8)


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: tabnloz on October 02, 2014, 06:48:00 AM
Quote

Exactly! JUST YOUR OPINION! No billionaire has got rich off of digital currency & none of them will since they won't buy in. Most own many of their OWN businesses... Why would they want to be a sheep & follow the herd like all you nerds. These people make real investments in real things. Not some bullshit Ponzi/pyramid scheme. If anything they buid their own pyramid scheme with them AT THE TOP! Keep that false hope to yourself so others can actually save their money and not lose it to the scumbags manipulating this market.

But many wealthy people have invested heavily in the space. If you take this, and large VC money flowing in, you are presented with a pretty positive picture on where this is headed in the future. Finance / banking / Central Banking practices / CC's / Remittance etc are ripe for disruption.

The two downside possibilities to consider here are;

1.) That this is another dot com boom that will end badly

2.) That the protocol can be separated from the currency

I don't think we are 1 although the investments in tech lately are crazy (SnapChat, WhatApp etc in the billions) and are indirectly due to QE & bubbles. Also a large economic implosion won't help any industry initially.

And 2 is up for debate.




Yes wealthy people & Venture Capitalist have invested in heavily in BITCOIN BUSINESSES only due to no regulation & insane profit margin. Who besides Tim flat out bought btc??? ??? ???


So, if we say that the protocol cannot function without the currency, and the protocol is the aspect in which these big $$ people are investing (ie, in Bitcoin businesses), then what is the outcome if they become the new Amazons / Googles of blockchain derived businesses?


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: trader001 on October 02, 2014, 09:27:39 AM
Think we might actually see $100 again if nothing change.


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: CoinBateman on October 02, 2014, 10:30:16 AM
The reason is obvious. The facts are that the supply is indeed increasing everyday, but they are increasing at the SAME rate per day. Network hash has increased but the number of coins minted remain the same. This was the case when 50 coins were the reward per block. During that time, BTC had no problems gaining large amounts of investment.

Now, the reward is halved and many people say that the supply of coins is forcing the price down because there aren't enough buyers?

How about the BTC ETF traded on the Nasdaq later this year? Winklvoss will require the ownership of a very very large amount of BTC to make issuing these ETF's on nasdaq viable. They sure as hell aren't buying it up at today's prices. Furthermore, they have a few hundred thousand BTC already, and believe me, it wouldn't take very much of their holdings to start a downwards trend.

When the time is right, they can also eat up BTC faster than anyone too.

Just be ready for end of the year, have plenty of btc ready.


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: sana8410 on October 02, 2014, 11:47:09 AM
one simple reason: not enough buyers, miners can dump only a fixed amount, this mean that it's not their fault
and too much sellers


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: Borisz on October 02, 2014, 01:37:44 PM
one simple reason: not enough buyers, miners can dump only a fixed amount, this mean that it's not their fault
and too much sellers

Miners, cloud miners and shops/retailers that accept BTC dump a lot of BTC to the market to cover their FIAT expenses. They need $$$ right away, so sell at lowest exchange price.


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: cdog on October 02, 2014, 04:21:48 PM
fewcoins, its a good thing you are an emotionally well balanced, happy individual with no lingering self confidence issues whatsoever


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: Kawada on October 02, 2014, 04:24:46 PM
I think it is all fault of the less stability of the price.
There are too many buyers  :)


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: Unbelive on October 02, 2014, 07:03:44 PM
If satoshi dumps only 5% of his stash, price will easily break $360


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: fewcoins on October 03, 2014, 07:42:37 AM
The reason is obvious. The facts are that the supply is indeed increasing everyday, but they are increasing at the SAME rate per day. Network hash has increased but the number of coins minted remain the same. This was the case when 50 coins were the reward per block. During that time, BTC had no problems gaining large amounts of investment.

Now, the reward is halved and many people say that the supply of coins is forcing the price down because there aren't enough buyers?

How about the BTC ETF traded on the Nasdaq later this year? Winklvoss will require the ownership of a very very large amount of BTC to make issuing these ETF's on nasdaq viable. They sure as hell aren't buying it up at today's prices. Furthermore, they have a few hundred thousand BTC already, and believe me, it wouldn't take very much of their holdings to start a downwards trend.

When the time is right, they can also eat up BTC faster than anyone too.

Just be ready for end of the year, have plenty of btc ready.

Actually that ETF isn't coming out... lmfao if you only knew man!


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: CoinBateman on October 03, 2014, 09:41:12 AM
The reason is obvious. The facts are that the supply is indeed increasing everyday, but they are increasing at the SAME rate per day. Network hash has increased but the number of coins minted remain the same. This was the case when 50 coins were the reward per block. During that time, BTC had no problems gaining large amounts of investment.

Now, the reward is halved and many people say that the supply of coins is forcing the price down because there aren't enough buyers?

How about the BTC ETF traded on the Nasdaq later this year? Winklvoss will require the ownership of a very very large amount of BTC to make issuing these ETF's on nasdaq viable. They sure as hell aren't buying it up at today's prices. Furthermore, they have a few hundred thousand BTC already, and believe me, it wouldn't take very much of their holdings to start a downwards trend.

When the time is right, they can also eat up BTC faster than anyone too.

Just be ready for end of the year, have plenty of btc ready.

Actually that ETF isn't coming out... lmfao if you only knew man!

Am I missing something, what do you mean its not coming out?


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: Oscilson on October 03, 2014, 01:16:22 PM
If satoshi dumps only 5% of his stash, price will easily break $360

1% will do the same.


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: yrask on October 03, 2014, 01:31:42 PM
I see bitcoin price and miners like a dog which bites his tail because:

Miner get Bitcoin and then sell, price is moving down. Because there aren't many buyer, If trend will be this, price will fall to 0.


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: CoinExpert on October 03, 2014, 02:19:17 PM
Be careful, a lot of people have left digital currencies, I view it as just a fad.

Also don't expect the price to go back up just because it has in the past, it doesn't mean it will.

I don't see any new people coming into the digital currencies, just people leaving.




Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: Billbags on October 03, 2014, 03:24:43 PM
^ You guys realize we are talking about BTC. All that alt coin stuff doesn't apply here. Last year I bought bitcoins for $145 then got scared from talk like this and sold for $45......then cryed myself to sleep when it hit $1300. Note there is a lot more going on in the world outside of bitcoin that affects the price. Everything is down right now because of what happened last month. Gold is going down to $700 a troy oz. The stock market is crashing.....bitcoin is a world currency, it may be decentralised, but it's still a world currency and gets affected by world events like any other currency. We need to be analyzing the US inflating the dollar last month that crashed gold, silver and the stocks. What about SWIFT and BRIC? What about the violence in the streets in China against their students and citizens right now? We need to focus on more than just miners selling coins and our BTC exchanges.

Sorry for the rant, just woke up, need coffee.

Note: Bitcoin was not created by some Kid with an idea on summer break. It was carefully designed by a person very skilled in game theory, encryption, economics, finance, programming, and law. We are heading to the phase (in the near future) of Satoshi's plan where the governments will start creating regulations about BTC. This will be the "Suspense & Drama" phase. The prices will fluctuate dramatically for awhile. When we reach that part of the game plan where the governments create regulations against the Bitcoin system that the people are already adapting to, these regulations will actually make the people resist and revolt against the old money system even harder. This also creates more people learning about Bitcoin and not wanting the old money system either. Because of this, the government, to some extent, will eventually have to give in. Smart contracts will be the beginning of the completion of the "Kola Ring" that was foreseen and designed into bitcoin by Satoshi. Like I said, this is wasn't created by some Kid. Bitcoin was not a whim, it was decades of contemplation, study and waiting on the advancement of systems needed for its implementation. Satoshi could see so far into the future, because he could see so far into the past. He surpassed Adam Smith by learning from the history of the Indians that went so much further back than anyone could have known.

*Updated to correct from  "present tense" to "near future".  ~Thanks



Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: Jybrael on October 03, 2014, 08:14:58 PM
I don't think we have reached that phase yet..it will be a little longer before that goes into effect.


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: vortexz on October 03, 2014, 08:20:49 PM
price below 360 $ already .
bitcoin dying :(


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: Billbags on October 03, 2014, 10:04:04 PM
I don't think we have reached that phase yet..it will be a little longer before that goes into effect.

Ya, it's a little to early to be in that middle stage of the entire game plan. I was getting a bit carried away this morning and jumping the gun a little. Thanks for keeping me in check. I'll correct that remark from present to near future.


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: fewcoins on October 04, 2014, 03:31:49 AM
^ You guys realize we are talking about BTC. All that alt coin stuff doesn't apply here. Last year I bought bitcoins for $145 then got scared from talk like this and sold for $45......then cryed myself to sleep when it hit $1300. Note there is a lot more going on in the world outside of bitcoin that affects the price. Everything is down right now because of what happened last month. Gold is going down to $700 a troy oz. The stock market is crashing.....bitcoin is a world currency, it may be decentralised, but it's still a world currency and gets affected by world events like any other currency. We need to be analyzing the US inflating the dollar last month that crashed gold, silver and the stocks. What about SWIFT and BRIC? What about the violence in the streets in China against their students and citizens right now? We need to focus on more than just miners selling coins and our BTC exchanges.

Sorry for the rant, just woke up, need coffee.

Note: Bitcoin was not created by some Kid with an idea on summer break. It was carefully designed by a person very skilled in game theory, encryption, economics, finance, programming, and law. We are heading to the phase (in the near future) of Satoshi's plan where the governments will start creating regulations about BTC. This is the "Suspense & Drama" phase. The prices will fluctuate dramatically for awhile. That will happen when we fully reach the middle of the bitcoin plan where the governments create regulations against the Bitcoin system that the people are already adapting to. These regulations will actually make the people resist and revolt against the old money system even harder. This also creates more people learning about Bitcoin and not wanting the old money system either. Because of this, the government, to some extent, will eventually have to give in. Smart contracts will be the beginning of the completion of the "Kola Ring" that was foreseen and designed into bitcoin by Satoshi. Like I said, this is wasn't created by some Kid. Bitcoin was not a whim, it was decades of contemplation, study and waiting on the advancement of systems needed for its implementation. Satoshi could see so far into the future, because he could see so far into the past. He surpassed Adam Smith by learning from the history of the Indians that went so much further back than anyone could have known.

*Updated to correct from  "present tense" to "near future".  ~Thanks



Just because you missed the boat ride once, doesn't mean the boat will travel down the same path again... Notice how all the ALT coins are basically scams just to get more BTC ( which gets dumped for fiat) so just like every scam this is basically a whole bunch of shenanigans to get money from us all! Everything is actually not down right now, you have no idea what you're talking about. Yes gold is going down but it is still 1,200/oz NO POSSIBLE WAY it is going to 700/oz. Maybe 1,000 but 700 is impossible & how is the stock market crashing??? We are at the highest level in awhile so what exactly are you looking at?? You sound like an idiot even saying that now... I got BAC @ $5 Ford @ $1 Sandisk @ $10 Netflix @ $80 GOOG @ $200 Trust me this established market makes way more than bitcoin! The only people making it in BTC right now are the businesses (that got VC funding & dump everything for fiat) and the miners ( who dump everything for fiat asap) You def need glasses & a coffee....... Any system created by anybody on this earth no matter how smart has been used to scam people out of plenty of money. That's what is happening with bitcoin right now. GLTA


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: jaysabi on October 04, 2014, 04:47:34 AM
Bitcoin's market cap is down about a billion dollars in the last few months. That's a substantial amount, but I think narrowing it down to a reason or a list of reason's isn't a fulfilling enterprise. Like everything else in a complex economy, it's a lot of factors that work together in ways we can't fully understand. My personal view is that over the past year, there's been a lot of venture capital investment in bitcoin and bitcoin businesses. This downtrend right now could be the result of profit taking by the big players who have invested. While that makes sense to me, it's just speculation, and like I said, is most likely a whole mess of reasons we can't fully understand.


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: Billbags on October 04, 2014, 05:11:08 AM
^ quote from fewcoins
Just because you missed the boat ride once, doesn't mean the boat will travel down the same path again... Notice how all the ALT coins are basically scams just to get more BTC ( which gets dumped for fiat) so just like every scam this is basically a whole bunch of shenanigans to get money from us all! Everything is actually not down right now, you have no idea what you're talking about. Yes gold is going down but it is still 1,200/oz NO POSSIBLE WAY it is going to 700/oz. Maybe 1,000 but 700 is impossible & how is the stock market crashing??? We are at the highest level in awhile so what exactly are you looking at?? You sound like an idiot even saying that now... I got BAC @ $5 Ford @ $1 Sandisk @ $10 Netflix @ $80 GOOG @ $200 Trust me this established market makes way more than bitcoin! The only people making it in BTC right now are the businesses (that got VC funding & dump everything for fiat) and the miners ( who dump everything for fiat asap) You def need glasses & a coffee....... Any system created by anybody on this earth no matter how smart has been used to scam people out of plenty of money. That's what is happening with bitcoin right now. GLTA
^ quote from fewcoins


I was just making a point that factors other than miners and exchanges are also to be looked at when the price is dropping. I have a small mining farm and I'm not selling or unplugging, and I know several others who are doing the same. As far as I know the stock market is down 5% this year(I see you hold some very good choices). Most of the stock I hold are "Company Stocks" for retirement, so I am more worried about the net unrealized appreciation(NUA) of the full market value shares(FMV) to the present value and hope and pray for an inflated balance at the time of distribution. So I do watch the market some. And as far as gold, I invest and follow gold and silver closely. I haven't started buying more gold until I think its bottomed a little more, but I have been picking some silver up lately at great prices.

Stock market down 5% this year @forbes
http://www.forbes.com/sites/rafaelresendes/2014/02/11/the-stock-market-is-down-5-for-the-year-what-should-you-do/

Gold could go as low as $700 @cnbc
http://www.cnbc.com/id/101838571

BTC-e all large orders are buying, not selling @0100hrs US Central Time
https://btc-e.com/  



Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: Fabrizio89 on October 04, 2014, 05:38:04 AM
Well, seems like we could have found a bottom for the mining squeeze at least, it will take a couple more weeks to be sure, but the estimate for the next difficulty keeps dropping:
35,124,604,673 (+1.34%)
We'll see if removing miners pressure from the market is enough to have an upward correction.


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: a447513372 on October 04, 2014, 05:54:33 AM
The reason is obvious. The facts are that the supply is indeed increasing everyday, but they are increasing at the SAME rate per day. Network hash has increased but the number of coins minted remain the same. This was the case when 50 coins were the reward per block. During that time, BTC had no problems gaining large amounts of investment.

Now, the reward is halved and many people say that the supply of coins is forcing the price down because there aren't enough buyers?

How about the BTC ETF traded on the Nasdaq later this year? Winklvoss will require the ownership of a very very large amount of BTC to make issuing these ETF's on nasdaq viable. They sure as hell aren't buying it up at today's prices. Furthermore, they have a few hundred thousand BTC already, and believe me, it wouldn't take very much of their holdings to start a downwards trend.

When the time is right, they can also eat up BTC faster than anyone too.

Just be ready for end of the year, have plenty of btc ready.

Actually that ETF isn't coming out... lmfao if you only knew man!

Am I missing something, what do you mean its not coming out?
He is spreading FUD, there are still plans on the COIN EFT being released. That is really the only thing that I can think of that would potentially cause the next bubble, and until it is released I would predict short term selling pressure


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: cutesakura on October 04, 2014, 06:41:57 AM
there was a time that bitcoin prices go up and there are times when the price is down, it is already common in financial markets, depending on how much demand and the availability of goods in the market. hopefully bitcoin prices will go up and stable as the original ...  8)


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: GangkisKhan on October 04, 2014, 07:20:53 AM
All people thought having wider adaptation and merchant acceptance increase the value of bitcoin.

Little do we realize that only create more sell pressure due to merchant not willing to horde bitcoin.


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: freedomno1 on October 04, 2014, 07:24:36 AM
It's a very painful transition towards mainstream adoption where the large supply of bitcoins being spent cannot keep up with the demand
Once that stabilizes we will be in for some good times lol.
Hopefully December. RIP YTD


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: cryptonikus on October 04, 2014, 01:33:27 PM
Isnt this what always happen? We will see these swing quite a few times in future. There was lot of hype by media about 2014 being a year of BTC...so this is just correction to more realistic value.


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: jaysabi on October 04, 2014, 02:14:37 PM
All people thought having wider adaptation and merchant acceptance increase the value of bitcoin.

Little do we realize that only create more sell pressure due to merchant not willing to horde bitcoin.

Actually, I really think this point is being overlooked. All the big merchants who accept bitcoin in any meaningful way instantly convert to fiat because they can't risk holding bitcoins and the having the volatility eat away their profit margins. So this is actually creating a lot of downward pressure. What we thought was a good (wider merchant bitcoin acceptance) may actually be adding more downward price pressure than upward price pressure.


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: Billbags on October 04, 2014, 06:58:58 PM
^ I was hoping the same thing while spending my bitcoin with all those new companies, but they were just trading it for cash. I guess Its still to early in the game for stability. People can't really grasp the idea of having a currency with a fixed total supply(21 million). Everyone is used to "money printing" by governments, inflation really isn't cared about or discussed anymore by the youth. We need to peg it to a commodity while taking into account no more can be made after the 21 million. Something like 0.00000001 for a loaf of bread or 0.00000002 for a gallon of milk. We could start by using other currency first so "Joe Public" might understand better, so 0.00000001 = 1 yen or euros or dollars. This would be when the true stability for bitcoin and economic freedom for people can begin.


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: zimmah on October 04, 2014, 08:45:53 PM
People no more weak holder and panic seller, price would not drop below $360...

Panic sellers are mostly gone already, why would anyone hold for months through all the price drops just to panic sell now? Where they on vacation the past year? Without any internet access?

The sellers right now are mainly merchants (insta-sell through bitpay or whatever they use) and miners (who have to sell because they could otherwise not afford to lay their electricity bills). Some sellers may be traders but since they also buy it has less effect. Although they may cause short to medium timed swings. Depending on the type of trader.

Quote
Actually, I really think this point is being overlooked. All the big merchants who accept bitcoin in any meaningful way instantly convert to fiat because they can't risk holding bitcoins and the having the volatility eat away their profit margins. So this is actually creating a lot of downward pressure. What we thought was a good (wider merchant bitcoin acceptance) may actually be adding more downward price pressure than upward price pressure.

That doesn't mean it's a bad thing, merchant adoption will eventually lead to a bigger market and thus more value. It just takes some time, and during this time the price will drop massively, because of sell pressure.

But now that bitcoin has more use than ever, more people will consider using it, and before using it they Wil need to buy it, thus the demand for bitcoin will rise and with it the price. It just takes a while for demand to catch up with supply.

Although if you look at the charts, it's clear demand has already risen the past few months, and it's higher than it ever was. It just isn't that apperant by the price yet because supply is so extreme high right now that the price is still dropping despite the demand being at an all time high.

However, if the demand continues to grow at this rate (and there is no reason it won't) we will soon see the demand outgrowing supply and thus the prices will once again skyrocket, which in turn will trigger even more buyers and cause a chain reaction and a massive rally which will of course end at some time just to cycle into another period of downward pressure but a bit higher than we are now, just like all the times before.

Each cycle more users and more merchants join, and more people become aware of bitcoin. And each cycle the floor price increases.


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: Jybrael on October 04, 2014, 08:57:36 PM
I like the way how the price goes down once and every one starts to panic....almost everyone..guys please lets keep a level head and just patiently wait our time. Everything will be back to normal eventually.


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: Amph on October 04, 2014, 09:04:02 PM
That doesn't mean it's a bad thing, merchant adoption will eventually lead to a bigger market and thus more value. It just takes some time, and during this time the price will drop massively, because of sell pressure.

But now that bitcoin has more use than ever, more people will consider using it, and before using it they Wil need to buy it, thus the demand for bitcoin will rise and with it the price. It just takes a while for demand to catch up with supply.

Although if you look at the charts, it's clear demand has already risen the past few months, and it's higher than it ever was. It just isn't that apperant by the price yet because supply is so extreme high right now that the price is still dropping despite the demand being at an all time high.

However, if the demand continues to grow at this rate (and there is no reason it won't) we will soon see the demand outgrowing supply and thus the prices will once again skyrocket, which in turn will trigger even more buyers and cause a chain reaction and a massive rally which will of course end at some time just to cycle into another period of downward pressure but a bit higher than we are now, just like all the times before.

Each cycle more users and more merchants join, and more people become aware of bitcoin. And each cycle the floor price increases.

i'm with this at 100%, absolutely the truth, the true climb(the big one) takes time, plenty of time, not few weeks or months, and it's already happening

if anyone compare the highest before the last pump(was $90?), you could clearly see that we are in a good position, +350%


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: Omikifuse on October 04, 2014, 10:17:28 PM
Bitcoin broke 360.

But in the wrong direction :(


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: My Name Was Taken on October 04, 2014, 11:00:58 PM
Although if you look at the charts, it's clear demand has already risen the past few months, and it's higher than it ever was. It just isn't that apperant by the price yet because supply is so extreme high right now that the price is still dropping despite the demand being at an all time high.

This doesn't make sense. Supply has been rising slowly and predictably as more bitcoins are mined into existence, 25 coins roughly every 10 minutes. The fact that the price has declined so dramatically over the past several months shows that demand is not keeping up with this slow supply increase. If demand was higher right now than it's ever been, as you say, you wouldn't be seeing a 50% drop in price over the past several months.

However, if the demand continues to grow at this rate (and there is no reason it won't) we will soon see the demand outgrowing supply and thus the prices will once again skyrocket, which in turn will trigger even more buyers and cause a chain reaction and a massive rally which will of course end at some time just to cycle into another period of downward pressure but a bit higher than we are now, just like all the times before.

Each cycle more users and more merchants join, and more people become aware of bitcoin. And each cycle the floor price increases.

You have it right that if demand outpaces supply, that's what will cause price to rise, but you're assertion that there is no reason it won't isn't based on anything but conjecture. There has to be a catalyst for demand though. Last year, when btc broke $1000, it was the novelty and mania surrounding it that drove it so high so fast. Under your logic, there's no reason the price would ever decrease, if rising prices always cause more people to jump on the bandwagon. But what happened at the top of that rally last year? People started taking profits by selling btc for fiat to lock in their gains. That's bitcoin's problem, is people will convert it back when the risk of holding bitcoins is too high. You can further tell bitcoin's problem by the fact that people always quote the price of bitcoin in dollars. That's how you know bitcoin will never replace the dollar, it's measured in dollars.


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: jaysabi on October 04, 2014, 11:15:30 PM
I think you have a lot of hedge funds and venture capitalists who got into bitcoin because it looked like easy profits, and now they are getting out that the price is declining, which is causing it to decline faster. Fundamentally, nothing has changed about bitcoin though. I would think that all this selling would make a good entry point, but I'm sure people were thinking that when it declined to $800, 700, 600, 500 and 400 too.

The bottom line is the mania that caused $1000+ prices may be over, and you shouldn't be buying now because it''s cheaper than it was yesterday. Don't put any money into bitcoin you can't afford to lose. There's no reason to think the price has to go up just because it's lower than it was once upon a time.


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: Jybrael on October 05, 2014, 09:28:03 PM
I think you have a lot of hedge funds and venture capitalists who got into bitcoin because it looked like easy profits, and now they are getting out that the price is declining, which is causing it to decline faster. Fundamentally, nothing has changed about bitcoin though. I would think that all this selling would make a good entry point, but I'm sure people were thinking that when it declined to $800, 700, 600, 500 and 400 too.

The bottom line is the mania that caused $1000+ prices may be over, and you shouldn't be buying now because it''s cheaper than it was yesterday. Don't put any money into bitcoin you can't afford to lose. There's no reason to think the price has to go up just because it's lower than it was once upon a time.

I will agree with you, put in an amount that you are willing to lose. Bitcoin may rise up once again or not now that depends totally on speculation and how far everyone is willing to take it.


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: fewcoins on October 06, 2014, 12:28:31 AM
I think you have a lot of hedge funds and venture capitalists who got into bitcoin because it looked like easy profits, and now they are getting out that the price is declining, which is causing it to decline faster. Fundamentally, nothing has changed about bitcoin though. I would think that all this selling would make a good entry point, but I'm sure people were thinking that when it declined to $800, 700, 600, 500 and 400 too.

The bottom line is the mania that caused $1000+ prices may be over, and you shouldn't be buying now because it''s cheaper than it was yesterday. Don't put any money into bitcoin you can't afford to lose. There's no reason to think the price has to go up just because it's lower than it was once upon a time.

Hedge funds and venture capitalist never got into buying BTC, they did what they do best... Buy startup companies in position to make crazy profit margins. Even though value of BTC is falling to a all time low the profit from the exchanges, due to the insane volume, has never been better!!!


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: Oscilson on October 06, 2014, 08:24:29 AM
All people thought having wider adaptation and merchant acceptance increase the value of bitcoin.

Little do we realize that only create more sell pressure due to merchant not willing to horde bitcoin.

If some merchants hoard or use BTC to pay bill, it will make some difference.


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: My Name Was Taken on October 06, 2014, 09:50:03 PM
If I was a merchant accepting btc, I'd immediately convert to fiat too. I wouldn't be able to risk the price fluctuations negating my profit margin.


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: braum on October 06, 2014, 09:58:58 PM
let me go take a dump, and then itll go up i think.  :)


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: resya on October 07, 2014, 12:10:27 AM
Guys we must admit... how can this bitcoin become the new revolutionary ecurrency if it loses 40% of value in a few days? The BTC protocol is not as robust as some of the up-and-coming coins. Additionally, the BTC consensus has led to monopolized mining. I am not sure what to think at this point


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: fewcoins on October 07, 2014, 12:12:18 AM
Guys we must admit... how can this bitcoin become the new revolutionary ecurrency if it loses 40% of value in a few days? The BTC protocol is not as robust as some of the up-and-coming coins. Additionally, the BTC consensus has led to monopolized mining. I am not sure what to think at this point


Think what you want while the price continues to get dumped!


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: Arv1e on October 07, 2014, 12:29:53 AM
Guys we must admit... how can this bitcoin become the new revolutionary ecurrency if it loses 40% of value in a few days? The BTC protocol is not as robust as some of the up-and-coming coins. Additionally, the BTC consensus has led to monopolized mining. I am not sure what to think at this point



Bitcoin is in its infancy and it isn't a currency although it may be seen as one in the future.

Look at it like Gold during the Gold Rush. Gold was volatile, never a currency yet accepted as payment, and still is.

You will note that, once Gold stabilised, post Gold Rush, USA used it to secure the dollar.

At present its definitely a commodity with currency properties. Once the masses start to use it, and that maybe a while and the price will be a lot higher and volatility will be lower then it will be a currency.

So, in summary, we are buying bitcoin in the hope that the value will rise to that required to be deemed a currency and, in the meantime, its true speculator heaven because of its volatility.


Hope that helps and

P.S. I am in for the long term but if i can sell on a drop and rebuy on the net rise and make 10 -20% i will have a lot of fun trying and be very happy


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: pitham1 on October 07, 2014, 05:53:49 AM
Guys we must admit... how can this bitcoin become the new revolutionary ecurrency if it loses 40% of value in a few days? The BTC protocol is not as robust as some of the up-and-coming coins. Additionally, the BTC consensus has led to monopolized mining. I am not sure what to think at this point


The price of bitcoins and the robustness of the BTC protocol are totally unrelated.  :)


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: My Name Was Taken on October 07, 2014, 07:09:06 PM
Guys we must admit... how can this bitcoin become the new revolutionary ecurrency if it loses 40% of value in a few days? The BTC protocol is not as robust as some of the up-and-coming coins. Additionally, the BTC consensus has led to monopolized mining. I am not sure what to think at this point


The price of bitcoins and the robustness of the BTC protocol are totally unrelated.  :)

Well, I wouldn't say totally unrelated. Price is simply where supply and demand meet, but would there be much demand if the BTC protocol was bunk? The fact that the protocol is stable and works makes the demand possible.


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: bajlox on October 08, 2014, 11:22:02 AM
Price is down cuz most of coin are sold off market to private holder.
Think that this is way price is going down.


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: My Name Was Taken on October 08, 2014, 03:26:27 PM
Price is down cuz most of coin are sold off market to private holder.
Think that this is way price is going down.

There's no such thing as "off market" in bitcoin. Everything is on the blockchain.


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: fewcoins on October 09, 2014, 02:12:51 PM
Price is down cuz most of coin are sold off market to private holder.
Think that this is way price is going down.

There's no such thing as "off market" in bitcoin. Everything is on the blockchain.

He mean OTC over the counter sales, not on exchanges & not easily monitored... Some coins are sold person to person in the street (or meet up)


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: Jybrael on October 13, 2014, 02:14:10 PM
Even if it is over the counter the transactions are still stored in the blockchain and most people usually buy at the market price online. There are those that will undersell though.


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: jaysabi on October 13, 2014, 07:19:34 PM
Yes, it's all supply and demand and each of those is comprised of many complicated variables. Speculating on all the variables doesn't seem very fruitful, but I suppose that's not going to stop anyone from doing it.


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: MrBig on October 13, 2014, 07:37:47 PM
Amount of BTCers 10 000 000

Avg capital of BTCer 30k.

Avg capital ready to move into BTC 5k.

10 000 000 * 500 = 5 000 000 000


These numbers are not exact but the principle holds..  Manipulation, charts, trends, etc mean shit.

It all comes down to the amount of people that love Gold(BTC) * Capital they control that will be used to buy gold(BTC)

Proof? +10 000 years of history.

Those numbers are way off. There is definitely not 10 million BTC enthusiasts.


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: inca on October 13, 2014, 07:40:40 PM
Amount of BTCers 10 000 000

Avg capital of BTCer 30k.

Avg capital ready to move into BTC 5k.

10 000 000 * 500 = 5 000 000 000


These numbers are not exact but the principle holds..  Manipulation, charts, trends, etc mean shit.

It all comes down to the amount of people that love Gold(BTC) * Capital they control that will be used to buy gold(BTC)

Proof? +10 000 years of history.

Those numbers are way off. There is definitely not 10 million BTC enthusiasts.

If there are just 5 million new enthusiasts buying up the next bubble then watch out.


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: johnson87 on October 13, 2014, 07:41:38 PM
may be within 3 months it will reach 600. Now its right time to buy BTC.


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: JimboToronto on October 13, 2014, 07:52:58 PM
may be within 3 months it will reach 600. Now its right time to buy BTC.
Welcome.


Title: Re: Why BTC is having trouble breaking $360
Post by: MrBig on October 13, 2014, 08:11:15 PM
Amount of BTCers 10 000 000

Avg capital of BTCer 30k.

Avg capital ready to move into BTC 5k.

10 000 000 * 500 = 5 000 000 000


These numbers are not exact but the principle holds..  Manipulation, charts, trends, etc mean shit.

It all comes down to the amount of people that love Gold(BTC) * Capital they control that will be used to buy gold(BTC)

Proof? +10 000 years of history.

Those numbers are way off. There is definitely not 10 million BTC enthusiasts.

If there are just 5 million new enthusiasts buying up the next bubble then watch out.

If the whole world buys into the next bubble then...

If more people start leaving bitcoin than buying into it...

We have been losing a lot of 'weak hands' investors lately, so you can cross out the if from the last statement.