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Bitcoin => Bitcoin Discussion => Topic started by: newIndia on January 07, 2015, 05:44:30 PM



Title: Last 7 blocks have been found in 12 minutes !!!
Post by: newIndia on January 07, 2015, 05:44:30 PM
First of the slot: https://www.blocktrail.com/BTC/block/00000000000000000773970e892164af18f115358193146f093ee3dd0b53739b

Last of the slot: https://www.blocktrail.com/BTC/block/00000000000000000245edc44ca808b057edc59e789f5d1cd69eafc8b9efb9a0

This is awesome !!! :)


Title: Re: Last 7 blocks have been found in 12 minutes !!!
Post by: caga on January 07, 2015, 06:07:44 PM
Or an indication of an increasing difficulty.
WOuldn't that actually mean the difficulty going down?


Title: Re: Last 7 blocks have been found in 12 minutes !!!
Post by: newIndia on January 07, 2015, 06:09:39 PM
Or an indication of an increasing difficulty.
WOuldn't that actually mean the difficulty going down?


It means that currently the difficulty is low to have 10 minutes gap. Hence the difficulty will jump up soon at the next update. Prediction is around 12% Up.


Title: Re: Last 7 blocks have been found in 12 minutes !!!
Post by: freebit13 on January 07, 2015, 06:18:52 PM
There's been quite a massive spike in the hashrate, so it will pull the difficulty adjustment forward quite a bit...

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty


Title: Re: Last 7 blocks have been found in 12 minutes !!!
Post by: elephantas1 on January 07, 2015, 06:25:25 PM
wow 13% increase wont it be absolutely unprofitable to mine btc? im getting a bit worried


Title: Re: Last 7 blocks have been found in 12 minutes !!!
Post by: newIndia on January 07, 2015, 06:30:34 PM
wow 13% increase wont it be absolutely unprofitable to mine btc? im getting a bit worried
No it won't and miners are getting more efficient, it gets close to evening out.

Interestingly, the price is going up again. So, efficient mining equipment or cheap Ghash from cloud mining companies can still make profit.


Title: Re: Last 7 blocks have been found in 12 minutes !!!
Post by: elephantas1 on January 07, 2015, 06:43:28 PM
wow 13% increase wont it be absolutely unprofitable to mine btc? im getting a bit worried
No it won't and miners are getting more efficient, it gets close to evening out.

Interestingly, the price is going up again. So, efficient mining equipment or cheap Ghash from cloud mining companies can still make profit.
cheap ghash almost always means ponzi scheme which eventually will fail just saying


Title: Re: Last 7 blocks have been found in 12 minutes !!!
Post by: wadili89 on January 07, 2015, 07:04:14 PM
No it won't and miners are getting more efficient, it gets close to evening out.

There is a chance that in the near future it may oscillate before becoming stable. If the price keeps moving a lot then the block time may remain too high or too low.


Title: Re: Last 7 blocks have been found in 12 minutes !!!
Post by: odolvlobo on January 07, 2015, 07:05:21 PM
Or an indication of an increasing difficulty.
WOuldn't that actually mean the difficulty going down?

It has nothing to do with changing difficulty. The difficulty changes every 2016 blocks.

It probably has little to do with changing hash power since adding blocks at that rate implies a 1700% increase, which is extremely unlikely.

It is just luck. Sometimes in takes a hour to add a block and sometimes it takes a few seconds.


Title: Re: Last 7 blocks have been found in 12 minutes !!!
Post by: gadman2 on January 07, 2015, 07:33:56 PM
Brb, making thread crying about long confirmation times.


Title: Re: Last 7 blocks have been found in 12 minutes !!!
Post by: mlferro on January 07, 2015, 09:41:04 PM
really this is very amazing. Sometimes the luck smiles for us.
Congratulations to all who had the pleasure to enjoy this "luck"


Title: Re: Last 7 blocks have been found in 12 minutes !!!
Post by: newIndia on January 07, 2015, 10:09:26 PM
Brb, making thread crying about long confirmation times.

Thought of including that in this thread only ;)

Last block found one hour ago...

https://www.blocktrail.com/BTC/block/00000000000000000a727b25e962d11a0f3a70c153237789a0b939cf331b035b


Title: Re: Last 7 blocks have been found in 12 minutes !!!
Post by: newIndia on January 12, 2015, 05:37:52 PM
Last 5 blocks have been found in 5 minutes...

First: https://www.blocktrail.com/BTC/block/000000000000000010d0ce80d50d90b1439b617534c49f221888a2d4e626d596

Last: https://www.blocktrail.com/BTC/block/000000000000000017dfe3f5ebf13fdcf41b255ad0c3da4fc880745a221bf959


Title: Re: Last 7 blocks have been found in 12 minutes !!!
Post by: elephantas1 on January 12, 2015, 05:46:23 PM
Last 5 blocks have been found in 5 minutes...

First: https://www.blocktrail.com/BTC/block/000000000000000010d0ce80d50d90b1439b617534c49f221888a2d4e626d596

Last: https://www.blocktrail.com/BTC/block/000000000000000017dfe3f5ebf13fdcf41b255ad0c3da4fc880745a221bf959
are you tracking those blocks on purpose or is it just random because you cant find it really often :D


Title: Re: Last 7 blocks have been found in 12 minutes !!!
Post by: TimS on January 12, 2015, 06:08:08 PM
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Poisson_distribution

Only the long-term distribution is important (and that's what Difficulty is for), the short term is too random to pay attention to.
The probability of 7 or more blocks in 12 minutes (1.2 expected, when difficulty matches actual hashpower; in reality, this expected figure is higher) is about 1 in 4,000. In other words, this happens by random chance more often than once a month (on average), when difficulty is holding steady. Not too surprising.


Title: Re: Last 7 blocks have been found in 12 minutes !!!
Post by: ChuckBuck on January 12, 2015, 06:15:17 PM
7 found blocks in 12 minutes...isn't that just called luck?

Not trying to a wise ass, but isn't that normally what occurs if there's blocks found close together.  Good pool luck?


Title: Re: Last 7 blocks have been found in 12 minutes !!!
Post by: allthingsluxury on January 12, 2015, 06:17:41 PM
Sounds quite lucky. We'll see if this becomes an ongoing trend.


Title: Re: Last 7 blocks have been found in 12 minutes !!!
Post by: BCwinning on January 12, 2015, 06:19:04 PM
probably not with the difficult increase just now too


Title: Re: Last 7 blocks have been found in 12 minutes !!!
Post by: newIndia on January 12, 2015, 06:20:13 PM
Sounds quite lucky. We'll see if this becomes an ongoing trend.

Can not become a trend because of difficulty adjustment ;)


Title: Re: Last 7 blocks have been found in 12 minutes !!!
Post by: allthingsluxury on January 12, 2015, 06:21:34 PM
Sounds quite lucky. We'll see if this becomes an ongoing trend.

Can not become a trend because of difficulty adjustment ;)

Agreed.


Title: Re: Last 7 blocks have been found in 12 minutes !!!
Post by: PolarPoint on January 12, 2015, 06:25:05 PM
Mining is like that. Sometimes you have blocks seconds apart and sometimes hours. It evens out over time. If this happens too often, difficulty hikes. I think miners of these 7 blocks are lucky, doesn't happen often.


Title: Re: Last 7 blocks have been found in 12 minutes !!!
Post by: newIndia on January 12, 2015, 06:27:53 PM
Mining is like that. Sometimes you have blocks seconds apart and sometimes hours. It evens out over time. If this happens too often, difficulty hikes. I think miners of these 7 blocks are lucky, doesn't happen often.

After the 7, it happened for these 5 again...

Last 5 blocks have been found in 5 minutes...

First: https://www.blocktrail.com/BTC/block/000000000000000010d0ce80d50d90b1439b617534c49f221888a2d4e626d596

Last: https://www.blocktrail.com/BTC/block/000000000000000017dfe3f5ebf13fdcf41b255ad0c3da4fc880745a221bf959


Title: Re: Last 7 blocks have been found in 12 minutes !!!
Post by: slacknation on January 12, 2015, 07:03:07 PM
i can see everyone do respect the hash function alot


Title: Re: Last 7 blocks have been found in 12 minutes !!!
Post by: CryptoCurrencyInc.com on January 14, 2015, 03:44:14 AM
Big companies have money and a power plant producing free electricity.
They can afford to mine Bitcoin even if the price of Bitcoin is only $1 per coin.


Title: Re: Last 7 blocks have been found in 12 minutes !!!
Post by: odolvlobo on January 14, 2015, 05:33:08 AM
Big companies have money and a power plant producing free electricity.
They can afford to mine Bitcoin even if the price of Bitcoin is only $1 per coin.

Oh? Where does the money to build the plant come from, and where does the energy come from to produce this "free" electricity?


Title: Re: Last 7 blocks have been found in 12 minutes !!!
Post by: Oscilson on January 14, 2015, 09:50:29 AM
Big companies have money and a power plant producing free electricity.
They can afford to mine Bitcoin even if the price of Bitcoin is only $1 per coin.

Oh? Where does the money to build the plant come from, and where does the energy come from to produce this "free" electricity?

When the price is $1, the difficulty will be much lower. However, initial investment is required.