Based on what? I mean, what is your reason you made this prediction? Indeed, everyone is free to make his own prediction against bitcoin price movement. But, if you don't have any reason why bitcoin price will fall or even will up then you just make FUD and make many people afraid to hold bitcoin.

If you pay attention, in almost several weeks bitcoin price hasn't been met a decreasing price. Although, there were some bad information came but bitcoin just make a sideway market at that time. But, seem like many people agree that bitcoin should increase and it was happen and reach new all time high. And I guess, the decreasing price right now just a correction only and after that we will see a huge increase again.

You can't get profit if you invest or trade based on your logic, I mean you don't use an analyst and making some step to predict its price movement. Indeed, bitcoin price is decreasing now and many people know it but it doesn't mean this sentiment will continue and make bitcoin dump a lot.

There will be a situation for the coin price movement fall after its price has been increasing and this situation is normal. The investor will take the profit first and they will buy more when the correction is over and theu think that bitcoin is in the lower price and very worth to be bought. I have a prediction that the bull run season for bitcoin is not over, most investor will just focus to $100.000 for this year.

I guess it doesn't take 4 years to create new all time high, remember bitcoin price was dumping 2018 ago after reach an all time high $20.000 but at that time bitcoin price was showing a good increase and until reach the previous all time high 2020 ago, it means just need two years for its price create new all time high.

As for your question, this bull run season is really different with the previous bull run season. At that time, there is some companies who stated that they tried to support crypto currency. But now, it is really different almost technological companies also is accompanied by instutional investor are supporting bitcoin. So as for the chance bitcoin price dump like 2018 ago is very small to happen.

Take a look bitcoin price movement from year to year and compare with the other investment place. I guess there is no investment place who can compete its price movement even gold though.

Bitcoin is become the promissing investment place since a few years ago. You can get a huge money if you buy bitcoin as an example 2018 ago and you sell at the current price. Also, bitcoin is being considered as an asset or most people say digital gold, this is why that will make bitcoin have a high price.

Pump and dump scheme is a common thing that always happen in altcoin price movement even in bitcoin if there is an instutional investor get interest to having bitcoin, but in altcoin is very reluctant to happen. Because its price still low so as if you have a lot of money then you can manipulate the price movement, also there are some groups who focus to predict the coin will be pumped or dumped.

Actually, it is depend on the altcoin itself. You will be safe if you buy an altcoin that being dumped by their investor because there is something bad happen and most the altcoin investor trying to sell their asset first. Take a look with the XRP price movement, need at least one week for its price dump a lot because there is bad news against them but now its price is coming back and reach the high price that has been reached.

Everyone who hold bitcoin will eventually sell their bitcoin as long as the target price that they want has been reached. They need to take profit from their investing plan, I don't know what will they do if they keep hold their bitcoin and make another high target maybe they will be regret at the end.

Greatfully, bitcoin is getting accepted by most people day by day so as we don't need to worry anymore for bitcoin price meet a huge crash like 2018 ago. Although, there will be a chance for price movement meet a correction but I don't think it will be like 2018 ago. There will be many people who will choose long term holder since the strategy is still promising to them.

Weekly candle has given a bad signal for bitcoin price movement although we have seen a big bounce from $50.000 but I don't think it will make bitcoin price movement still in the bull market.

Also, if you see using high time frame like weekly time frame bitcoin has been moving a sideaway market since 9 weeks ago. But, its price always failed to go out from the $60,000 zone, although the area has been passed but it just need a few time to fall again.

I have a prediction that bitcoin will try to reach $42.000 as a strong support. If this support is being passed then we will see a huge dump to $30.000. But, when $42.000 is not broken then we will see a huge increase to $100.000 in a short pariode of time.

That's true, but do you believe that government willing to ban the utilization of internet network in the country? I doubt they will do that. Just internet connection that can stop the utilization of bitcoin in the country, more than that there is no way for government or anyone which can be able to manage and make bitcoin become sentralized.

As for an exchange that can be used as a place to buy and sell bitcoin, I guess there will be new way popping up when the country ban the exchange from their territory. Like you can sell your bitcoin to me directly without party, this thing has been done by most people since most of crypto exchange obliged all their user to give the personal identity which makes investors reluctant to give it away.

Just do it, if you believe that crypto currency is a good place for your investment place. If I were you, I'll make many analyst first before I make a decision, asking to many people is good but there is a bad thing as well.

Remember, when you are investing you use your own money not someone's else money. It means, the risk that will get and profit that will get will be felt by you not everyone who give you a suggestion.

So, the point is increase your knowledge first before you start everything not just for investment purpose only. You have to know the ins and out to the way that you will take,I suggest you now, don't let it, you've got a lot of losses and you just realized it.

I guess many crypto user who will move their activity to use ERC 20 to Binance Smart Chain (BSC). Ethereum network is already busy especially when many people who make a DeFi system. So as it can affect to the fee transaction, as we all know the fee transaction is already high when using ERC 20.

Until now, I only use binance smart chain especially when I try to withdraw to money fiat. I only spend a tiny dollar for the fee transaction comparing to using ERC 20 that can reach almost $5-15 per on transaction. But, I doubt this situation will just for a while since the fee transaction is depend on the user itself. If many people use the BSC network then the fee transaction will increase as well.

Each investors will certainly have their own strategy, we don't know the exact whales strategy as you have mentioned. When some retail investor is punic buying then the whales will try to pump and otherwise when whales is selling the coin then retail investor will start buying. And I guess that situation is not always right because pump and dump will be based on the situation.

I mean, whales will pump a coin when there is something good (good information) come to the coin itself. So as they will confident to buy the coin in order to make many profit. Take a look when the bearish season come, how many altcoin that getting pump? I guess there is nothing altcoin that getting pump.

Bitcoin price is high already, I'm sure there will be many retail investor like me who change the strategy to buy bitcoin and buy some altcoins especially some altcoin that still a low price but has a potential for its price grow up.

In a few months before after bitcoin reached $40.000 I never bought bitcoin anymore. I just keeping myself to buy an altcoin especially ADA and yeah the situation has made me got a lot of profit from it. I guess the situation will still continue, the target price for bitcoin from investor perspective is $100.000 and this is why the bull run even still ongoing.

I never do that honestly since there is no merchant who accept bitcoin as mean of payment in my country also government ban against bitcoin has made many people afraid to using it.

Hopefully, you will continue using bitcoin to buy your vitamin or even all stuff that you will buy since your country is free to use bitcoin as a payment system. Yeah, maybe there are only a few countries that allow people to use bitcoin as payment.

And I just wondering, how much is the fee for one transaction? Is it still within normal limits like you pay using a bank system? Bitcoin is in the top position, there are so many adoption from instutional investor also it can be accompanied with adoption as mean of payment system.

I heard many time about news that stated a country just ban the utilization of bitcoin in the country but it is just run for a while after the government realized that they can't do that. Bitcoin is using internet network, the government just have one way to ban bitcoin and can't be used by the citizen and they should shout down the internet network in the country that most likely can't.

Unless your government is like north korea where the citizen can't use internet access. But, in the other country beside that I doubt with 100% they can shout down the internet network. As for your concern, there are so many cases about bitcoin hack, and yeah there is a chance for bitcoin can be controlled by one party.

There are some threads that accused to Hotbit exchange, like
1. https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5169574.0
2. https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5180648.0
3. https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5180896.0
4. https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5150397.0

Yeah that is bad and I feel sorry for you, it is a huge amount and I just curious why you choose this exchange whilst there are so many reputable exchange?

The first thing that you have to be considered before buying a crypto currency you have to choose the reputable exchange first. It will be useless you hold a bunch of bitcoin and some good altcoin but you choose bad reputable exchange then you will be useless. Your money is not safe anymore.

Step by step, bitcoin is not a magic carpet that can make all prediction can be reached easily, it is not altcoin. Yeah, altcoin can do that depend on the whales who support for the price increase. Like Dogecoin that has been pumping by Elon Musk, take a look now its price movement, every time he says something than dogecoin will go up a lot.

But, bitcoin is not like that. Need many support for its price goes up a lot. We have been in sideaway market in a few weeks and bull market has a power to overcome it and now we still have a chance to make bitcoin increase to $100.000, yeah the first target for this cycle will be $100.000. After that, we will see huge increase to $1 million to create a history.

The investment concept will be same like you choose an investment place in stock or traditional market. You have to choose pariode of time before you buy a coin.

In case you will buy bitcoin, first of all you have to know how to buy bitcoin or how to safe bitcoin. Yoh have to choose an exchange that reputable in crypto industry.

Bitcoin is already high, a day ago its price has touched new all time high $65.000 but now seem like it has been correcting. It means, there still a chance for you to lose your money if you buy bitcoin, although you choosing it for long term investment.

I've felt it when I was newbie, if I'm not mistaken I had joined a ton of airdrop at that time until I give my personal identity to join an airdrop. Yeah, I was fool at that time, I didn't consider that it is a bad idea and now I feel regret.

And you know what, I joined a ton of airdrop and I just get three shitcoin that still there in my ether wallet. That is my horrible experience when I was newbie and now I just realize that airdrop event is almost wasting our time, you have to stop it before you late.

You thought like because bitcoin is in a bull run market when everything about correction is small and the chance for bitcoin price up is so confident. But, the market sentiment is not like that, the instutional investor also will be worried when bitcoin is trying to correction. They will not be careless for buy orders at some low price, they will still think about market sentiment as well.

Moreover, in the history bitcoin has met a huge correction after the bull run season. Do you think all bitcoin investor either new investor or old investor didn't think to there? I guess they will be considered it when the correction is happening. So, don't think too much, we still have a chance to having bitcoin although it is price is already high. Bitcoin is not for rich man or instutional investor because we as a retail investor still have a chance to having it.

Becareful mate, seem like you don't know much about trading strategy especially technical analyst (that I think it is the main factor to get profit espcially in future market) since I see in your statement you just confused about your entry between long and or your position is already short.

Indeed, you just used the bonus feature from the exchange but when you already curious and interested to be a day trader you should learn the strategy first. This first time your trading activity will make you more curious and spend your own capital in the end.

At that situation, that is a dangerous momment. I have felt it, using bonus for trading and getting money and then spending money because I think trading is a good source for income but I didn't pay attention to important factors when starting to trade. I lost money than I got so I learned more and read everything about trading strategy.