For me the best guarantee to avoid scams is looking at the team and the advisers profile. If they have already achieved something in their lives and giving their faces to the project, then it is less likely they will scam.
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At this moment I do not see any chance for it but long term anything can happen in crypto space. It will depend on the further development of the two coins and how they will be adopted in real life.
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It is not always easy to identify scam ICOs as very often the market situation makes it difficult for ICOs to succeed. For example they cannot raise enough funds and then postpone and postpone and quit at the end. And you have already invested a lot of efforts promoting the project. I would make difference between non successful and scam ICOs.
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Investing in ICOs is risky as the market condition are very tough and it is much more difficult for an ICO to succeed than it was before and the whole process takes longer to set up an ICO. The risk is higher and the benefit is lower than before.
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If the team do not communicate to the hunters regularly that is a red flag. Their intentions are not good then towards the hunters ( they are buying time, or do not want to pay the hunters or hiding something etc. )
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You have to protect your private key maximally : do not make photo of it by mobile, or scan it or email it, or store it on clouds. Be cautious with phishing sites, check the URL ( type and save bookmark )
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There could be many reasons why an ICO fail but the most common is when the team is not active after the fund raising and they are not willing to fulfill their promises.
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Ended up with shitcoins during the hype in 2017. FOMO made me greedy and blind. I have learned the lesson on the toughest way. Now, I am doing my own research and still listening to everyone but making my own independent decision.
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The bull run will arrive when we least expect and when the market will be prepared for it. There is not big much use calling for the bull run all the time and be disappointed if it not comes. We have to face that we are on a bearish market and try to adopt to it.
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I do not know how long are you in crypto but it is not the case that each year in 4Q the price of the coins goes up. It depends on the market cycle if it is bearish or bullish rather than the part of the year.
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There should be other solution for sorting out scam projects than BT . Sometimes projects turns out to be scam in later stages like it happened with Desico. It seemed to be a legit project for long and suddenly they selected a different way to go.
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There is chances for the market to bounce back as it was, but maybe it will take for years to recover. But, things could change if institutional investors enter the market. That could be a game changer.
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In 2018 ICOs were struggling with fund raising and I think it will be the same in 2019 if the bear market continuous. I will not investing this year in ICOs as I had negative experience with them last year. I do not want my funds to be stucked and waiting for the token distribution for months to be delivered and listed on exchanges.
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The success in crypto depends on the opportunity and our preparedness to grab it. Some say it is luck, but it is not true. The luck usually favors those who are and willing to learn and are prepared to take action when it is needed.
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Unfortunately many projects are copycats, using similar names , logos etc. The purpose of doing so is to confuse and mislead new investors. We have to be careful especially when we are using decentralized exchanges. We always have to check the contract number of the tokens first before starting the trading.
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Ethereum is the most used and trusted platform. After resolving the issues it has had recently, ETH will start recovering and that will be reflected on the price.
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I do not think that crypto industry and banks unite, but banks will use blockchain technology and crypto will use the infrastructure of the banks. Banks want control and centralization and on that they will not give up easily.
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There is still strong correlation between BTC and other coins, including ETH. This year in January ETH was 10% of the price of the BTC. ETH has lost a lot from it`s market share in 2018 and now with the coming development upgrades it is normal that ETH recovers faster than the rest of the market and regaining back some market share.
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This is a good example to buy on rumor and sell on the fact. We could see a positive reaction to ETH price after the announcement of the development upgrades. I think the ETH price recovery will continue after the upgrades take place.
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New investors are not always aware of the market high volatility and many of them starting to panic when the price falls. There are also investors who see the price drop as an opportunity to invest more and to have a better averaged price.
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