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10061  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis on: October 22, 2012, 04:21:10 AM
Quote
Results: 2012-Oct-21 09:07pm (up to block 204394)

   Address  Target   Should Win |    #Bets |       Win        |  Lose  | Refunds |   BTC In   |  BTC Out   |  Refund  |   Profit  |   RTP 
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 1dice1e6p       1      0.00002 |    28955 |      0 (0.00000) |  28570 |     385 |     218.63 |       0.01 |    33.93 |    218.61 |   0.009
 1dice1Qf4       2      0.00003 |     1978 |      0 (0.00000) |   1899 |      79 |      28.51 |       0.00 |     9.28 |     28.50 |   0.006
 1dice2pxm       4      0.00006 |     3032 |      0 (0.00000) |   2994 |      38 |      39.09 |       0.03 |     4.42 |     39.06 |   0.080
 1dice2vQo       8      0.00012 |     3690 |      2 (0.00055) |   3644 |      44 |      67.18 |      16.06 |     5.65 |     51.11 |  23.915
 1dice2WmR      16      0.00024 |     5198 |      1 (0.00019) |   5159 |      38 |     153.11 |       4.28 |     8.40 |    148.83 |   2.797
 1dice2xkj      32      0.00049 |     6914 |      3 (0.00043) |   6899 |      12 |     454.86 |     303.33 |     1.29 |    151.52 |  66.688
 1dice2zdo      64      0.00098 |     8605 |      8 (0.00093) |   8575 |      22 |     704.45 |     124.49 |    55.64 |    579.96 |  17.672
 1dice37Ee     128      0.00195 |    10725 |     19 (0.00178) |  10650 |      56 |    1636.28 |    1274.70 |    44.25 |    361.58 |  77.902
 1dice3jkp     256      0.00391 |    11971 |     55 (0.00460) |  11902 |      14 |    1834.02 |    2621.89 |    13.11 |   -787.87 | 142.959
 1dice4J1m     512      0.00781 |    18446 |    141 (0.00765) |  18294 |      11 |    3476.69 |    3182.70 |     9.35 |    293.99 |  91.544
 1dice5wwE    1000      0.01526 |    37604 |    574 (0.01527) |  37018 |      12 |    9799.68 |    9385.65 |     1.80 |    414.03 |  95.775
 1dice61SN    1500      0.02289 |    17228 |    405 (0.02352) |  16815 |       8 |    5570.42 |    5735.10 |    15.00 |   -164.67 | 102.956
 1dice6DPt    2000      0.03052 |    24907 |    787 (0.03160) |  24116 |       4 |    6337.41 |    5951.35 |     9.24 |    386.05 |  93.908
 1dice6gJg    3000      0.04578 |    17726 |    825 (0.04656) |  16893 |       8 |    7663.41 |    9067.14 |    24.99 |  -1403.72 | 118.317
 1dice6GV5    4000      0.06104 |    17492 |   1093 (0.06250) |  16395 |       4 |    5062.54 |    4651.14 |    31.20 |    411.39 |  91.874
 1dice6wBx    6000      0.09155 |    23516 |   2204 (0.09380) |  21293 |      19 |   10870.21 |   10976.71 |     7.01 |   -106.49 | 100.980
 1dice6YgE    8000      0.12207 |    93906 |  11522 (0.12273) |  82361 |      23 |   12680.29 |   11063.15 |     0.00 |   1617.14 |  87.247
 1dice7EYz   12000      0.18311 |    23883 |   4457 (0.18673) |  19412 |      14 |    9296.38 |    9534.77 |    14.50 |   -238.38 | 102.564
 1dice7fUk   16000      0.24414 |   104033 |  25384 (0.24406) |  78625 |      24 |   61906.73 |   59915.96 |   347.79 |   1990.76 |  96.784
 1dice7W2A   24000      0.36621 |    72518 |  26630 (0.36746) |  45840 |      48 |   44431.82 |   44458.96 |   212.64 |    -27.14 | 100.061
 1dice8EMZ   32000      0.48828 |   620389 | 302902 (0.48860) | 317039 |     448 |  362108.52 |  358797.04 |  2173.41 |   3311.48 |  99.085
 1dice97EC   32768      0.50000 |   221427 | 110486 (0.49940) | 110752 |     189 |  210789.46 |  207732.23 |  1295.22 |   3057.22 |  98.550
 1dice9wcM   48000      0.73242 |   164771 | 121201 (0.73593) |  43490 |      80 |  162591.64 |  160599.70 |   467.98 |   1991.93 |  98.775
 1dicec9k7   52000      0.79346 |    15830 |  12611 (0.79705) |   3211 |       8 |   24518.42 |   24330.48 |   400.00 |    187.94 |  99.233
 1dicegEAr   56000      0.85449 |    15064 |  12913 (0.85852) |   2128 |      23 |   22176.97 |   21893.90 |   400.00 |    283.06 |  98.724
 1diceDCd2   60000      0.91553 |     7434 |   6807 (0.91652) |    620 |       7 |   16519.63 |   16567.32 |     0.00 |    -47.69 | 100.289
 1dice9wVt   64000      0.97656 |     8040 |   7735 (0.98011) |    157 |     148 |   16599.70 |   16318.64 |   239.21 |    281.05 |  98.307
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           small (bets < 4 BTC) |  1534555 | 623232           | 909766 |    1557 |  381903.47 |  374033.15 |   152.08 |   7870.32 |  97.939
            big (bets >= 4 BTC) |    50727 |  25533           |  24985 |     209 |  615632.68 |  610473.70 |  5673.35 |   5158.97 |  99.162
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                |  1585282 | 648765           | 934751 |    1766 |  997536.16 |  984506.85 |  5825.44 |  13029.30 |  98.694
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SD Profit before fees:      13029.30918808 BTC (1.306%)
Cumulative Fees Paid:         798.72610000 BTC
SD Profit after fees:       12230.58308808 BTC (1.226%)
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx:  5333183  :  SatoshiDice Tx: 2944404  (55.2%)
Blockchain MB:  2237.6  :  SatoshiDice Tx: 1201.9  (53.7%)

10062  Economy / Gambling / Re: bitZino - Provably Fair Bitcoin Casino - Blackjack, Craps, Roulette, Video Poker on: October 22, 2012, 04:15:50 AM
We are aware that the 'bet per click' value doesn't correctly persist on page reloads, and we're actually in the process of fixing that now.

However, the other numbers you saw are much more strange. I suspect that this has to do with how Chromium handles restoring pages after a restart. We make use of AJAX page updates, so it's possible that Chromium simply restores that page without accounting for the AJAX updates that occurred. I suspect that if you had tried to place a bet when it was in this state, our page would have showed you and "Out of Sync" alert, and forced a page refresh.

I suppose it's possible that the router hadn't managed to get an Internet connection when I tried to load the bitZino tab, and so it was unable to request the latest state.  I can't be sure.
10063  Economy / Gambling / Re: bitZino - Provably Fair Bitcoin Casino - Blackjack, Craps, Roulette, Video Poker on: October 22, 2012, 04:11:21 AM
One of the 21600's won, winning 129600.  The win was displayed in a tiny almost-impossible-to-read font size:

You probably don't want to make the text too big in the case that there are other winning bets nearby, but when only one bet wins maybe you can afford to make the text bigger?

Good call! We've updated the style so that large wins and large wagers will be slightly wider and use a larger font. This is what we started doing in craps, but we hadn't adopted it to Roulette yet, so thanks for the heads-up!

It looks better in roulette now:

10064  Economy / Gambling / Re: [ANN] BTCDice.com - The Best Bitcoin Game in the World! - Better Payouts on: October 22, 2012, 04:03:51 AM
red flag

The site operator can easily delay processing transactions  until the current time generates a losing secret.
Please use the blockchain timestamp.

The problem here is that the main attraction of these games is how fast they work.  There's no blockchain timestamp until the transaction is in a block, which takes on average 10 minutes to happen.  You don't want to have to wait for 10 minutes on average each time you bet before you find out whether you won or not.

If you're worried about the operator cheating, don't play in the hour before midnight (server time).  This should remove the ambiguity.
10065  Economy / Gambling / Re: bitZino - Provably Fair Bitcoin Casino - Blackjack, Craps, Roulette, Video Poker on: October 22, 2012, 03:28:07 AM
Ah, thanks for your persistence in describing this! I have been able to replicate it now. This is indeed is a bug, which we'll fix shortly.

I thought you hadn't understood the first time I told you, so I told you again with pictures to back me up...  Smiley

However, the other numbers you saw are much more strange. I suspect that this has to do with how Chromium handles restoring pages after a restart.

This reminds me of an almost-certainly-unrelated issue, in which I thought my balance was incorrectly reported.

Almost a week ago when I was playing around with the bug that caused the buttons to become active a second or so after they visually appear to be active, my balance had been around 1230000, and I worked it up to 1280000 or so, but after experimenting with placing 5 of 6 "sixline" bets and a few "red" bets, my balance was back at 1230000.  I thought I was carefully using martingale betting, which means my balance will only go up, until I lose it all.  I tried reloading, but I still had 1230k chips.

I'm not sure where the 5k chips went.  It's probably operator error on my part, and so I was thinking I'd like to be able to request a history of my bets.  Maybe a simple text file download of all the bets I made between 2 specified date/time points would suffice.  Then I'd be able to see what I did wrong, or maybe that there's a bug on your end.
10066  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis on: October 20, 2012, 05:39:42 PM
Quote
Results: 2012-Oct-20 10:25am (up to block 204166)

   Address  Target   Should Win |    #Bets |       Win        |  Lose  | Refunds |   BTC In   |  BTC Out   |  Refund  |   Profit  |   RTP 
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 1dice1e6p       1      0.00002 |    27921 |      0 (0.00000) |  27536 |     385 |     216.95 |       0.01 |    33.93 |    216.93 |   0.009
 1dice1Qf4       2      0.00003 |     1964 |      0 (0.00000) |   1885 |      79 |      28.40 |       0.00 |     9.28 |     28.39 |   0.006
 1dice2pxm       4      0.00006 |     2778 |      0 (0.00000) |   2740 |      38 |      35.18 |       0.03 |     4.42 |     35.15 |   0.088
 1dice2vQo       8      0.00012 |     3525 |      2 (0.00057) |   3479 |      44 |      64.49 |      16.06 |     5.65 |     48.42 |  24.912
 1dice2WmR      16      0.00024 |     5042 |      1 (0.00020) |   5003 |      38 |     150.22 |       4.28 |     8.40 |    145.94 |   2.850
 1dice2xkj      32      0.00049 |     6733 |      3 (0.00045) |   6718 |      12 |     446.04 |     303.33 |     1.29 |    142.70 |  68.006
 1dice2zdo      64      0.00098 |     8513 |      8 (0.00094) |   8483 |      22 |     699.04 |     124.49 |    55.64 |    574.55 |  17.809
 1dice37Ee     128      0.00195 |    10678 |     19 (0.00179) |  10603 |      56 |    1633.56 |    1274.70 |    44.25 |    358.86 |  78.032
 1dice3jkp     256      0.00391 |    11737 |     53 (0.00452) |  11670 |      14 |    1655.46 |    1996.47 |    13.11 |   -341.01 | 120.599
 1dice4J1m     512      0.00781 |    18053 |    138 (0.00765) |  17904 |      11 |    3259.62 |    2868.20 |     9.35 |    391.42 |  87.992
 1dice5wwE    1000      0.01526 |    36834 |    564 (0.01532) |  36258 |      12 |    9423.82 |    8840.12 |     1.80 |    583.69 |  93.806
 1dice61SN    1500      0.02289 |    16925 |    397 (0.02347) |  16520 |       8 |    5256.76 |    5349.03 |    15.00 |    -92.26 | 101.755
 1dice6DPt    2000      0.03052 |    24672 |    775 (0.03142) |  23893 |       4 |    6126.03 |    5549.03 |     9.24 |    576.99 |  90.581
 1dice6gJg    3000      0.04578 |    17480 |    815 (0.04665) |  16657 |       8 |    7467.53 |    8883.80 |    24.99 |  -1416.26 | 118.966
 1dice6GV5    4000      0.06104 |    17338 |   1078 (0.06219) |  16256 |       4 |    5007.56 |    4572.33 |    31.20 |    435.23 |  91.308
 1dice6wBx    6000      0.09155 |    23281 |   2179 (0.09367) |  21083 |      19 |   10733.80 |   10801.22 |     7.01 |    -67.42 | 100.628
 1dice6YgE    8000      0.12207 |    93243 |  11447 (0.12280) |  81773 |      23 |   12420.50 |   10700.21 |     0.00 |   1720.29 |  86.150
 1dice7EYz   12000      0.18311 |    23730 |   4429 (0.18675) |  19287 |      14 |    9145.67 |    9366.57 |    14.50 |   -220.89 | 102.415
 1dice7fUk   16000      0.24414 |   101762 |  24814 (0.24390) |  76924 |      24 |   58434.60 |   56745.49 |   347.79 |   1689.11 |  97.109
 1dice7W2A   24000      0.36621 |    71653 |  26321 (0.36759) |  45284 |      48 |   43127.09 |   43258.45 |   212.64 |   -131.35 | 100.305
 1dice8EMZ   32000      0.48828 |   610154 | 297878 (0.48856) | 311828 |     448 |  359231.51 |  355789.89 |  2173.41 |   3441.62 |  99.042
 1dice97EC   32768      0.50000 |   220974 | 110271 (0.49945) | 110514 |     189 |  210358.01 |  207326.89 |  1295.22 |   3031.12 |  98.559
 1dice9wcM   48000      0.73242 |   163624 | 120365 (0.73598) |  43179 |      80 |  161695.05 |  159576.69 |   467.98 |   2118.36 |  98.690
 1dicec9k7   52000      0.79346 |    15420 |  12269 (0.79607) |   3143 |       8 |   24379.25 |   24177.16 |   400.00 |    202.08 |  99.171
 1dicegEAr   56000      0.85449 |    14766 |  12653 (0.85824) |   2090 |      23 |   21688.66 |   21416.46 |   400.00 |    272.20 |  98.745
 1diceDCd2   60000      0.91553 |     7332 |   6713 (0.91645) |    612 |       7 |   16412.29 |   16464.81 |     0.00 |    -52.52 | 100.320
 1dice9wVt   64000      0.97656 |     8013 |   7709 (0.98017) |    156 |     148 |   16531.16 |   16250.82 |   239.21 |    280.34 |  98.304
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           small (bets < 4 BTC) |  1513973 | 615592           | 896824 |    1557 |  376307.68 |  367443.36 |   152.08 |   8864.32 |  97.644
            big (bets >= 4 BTC) |    50172 |  25309           |  24654 |     209 |  609320.71 |  604213.28 |  5673.35 |   5107.42 |  99.162
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                |  1564145 | 640901           | 921478 |    1766 |  985628.40 |  971656.65 |  5825.44 |  13971.74 |  98.582
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SD Profit before fees:      13971.74709770 BTC (1.418%)
Cumulative Fees Paid:         788.02295000 BTC
SD Profit after fees:       13183.72414770 BTC (1.338%)
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx:  5277046  :  SatoshiDice Tx: 2905833  (55.1%)
Blockchain MB:  2213.2  :  SatoshiDice Tx: 1186.2  (53.6%)

10067  Economy / Gambling / Re: StrikeSapphire: $300 Weekend Tournament + $50 Bonus on: October 20, 2012, 05:17:37 PM
OK I'm in.

Anyone else? There's money to be won (or lost Wink). Good luck all.

Am I and all my friends still banned?  I forget exactly why I was banned.  Was it just because Josh thought my girlfriend was imaginary?
10068  Economy / Gambling / Re: bitZino - Provably Fair Bitcoin Casino - Blackjack, Craps, Roulette, Video Poker on: October 20, 2012, 05:14:52 PM
I noticed something else yesterday but didn't have a chance to report it until now.

2 days ago I was playing and know for sure that my last bet was on red for 4567 chips.  My balance before was 1230000 and after was 1234567.  Easy numbers to remember.

I finished playing, shut off the generator (we don't have electricity here except from a gasoline powered generator) which killed the Internet connection, then watched movies on the laptop until the laptop battery was dead.

The next morning I fired the laptop back up.  It was completely dead, not just hibernated or suspended.  After cold booting, I ran Chromium.  It told me I had a bunch of tabs open when it shut down and would I like to restore them.  I clicked 'restore'.  One of the tabs was bitZino.  I was online at the time, and here's how the restored bitZino tab looked:



Note the "bet per click" is as I left it, at 4567 chips (I edit the bet amount in that box because the text is bigger there), but the balance is neither 1230000 nor 1234567.  It's a smaller value, from some time before my final bet of the day before.  Note also my balance in the top right is zero, even though you had added 0.25 BTC to my account overnight.

I immediately realised it was wrong, and hit the 'refresh' button in the browser.  It updated as follows:



Notice the balance now shows the 0.25 BTC you gave me, and the in game balance is as I expected.  The 'bet per click' has been reset to 1 though.  It surprised me that the 'bet per click' could survive a cold boot without getting reset, but not a page refresh.

In summary, I was surprised to see the outdated numbers when I rebooted my laptop.
10069  Economy / Gambling / Re: bitZino - Provably Fair Bitcoin Casino - Blackjack, Craps, Roulette, Video Poker on: October 20, 2012, 05:05:00 PM
It seems weird to me that betting on '1st row' (betting on the 12 multiples of 3) doesn't count as a bet on number 3, but betting on '1st 12' *does* count as a bet on number 3.  They're both 12-number bets.  I guess you're not counting '1st 12' as an outer wager, whereas '1st row' is an outer wager?

This is not actually the case. The "Outer Wagers" includes both the row bets and the [1st|2nd|3rd] 12 bets.

Here's what I'm seeing:  a 1200 bet on 3rd 12 reduces my max bet on 36:



But the same bet on 1st row doesn't:



Is that something you know about and intend to happen?  That's what seems odd to me.

As always, thank you so much Dooglus! I've added another 0.25 BTC to your account to thank you for constantly helping to make bitZino a better site.

Thanks.  And you're welcome.
10070  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis on: October 19, 2012, 04:31:54 PM
Quote
Results: 2012-Oct-19 09:30am (up to block 204019)

   Address  Target   Should Win |    #Bets |       Win        |  Lose  | Refunds |   BTC In   |  BTC Out   |  Refund  |   Profit  |   RTP 
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 1dice1e6p       1      0.00002 |    27445 |      0 (0.00000) |  27061 |     384 |     215.40 |       0.01 |    33.87 |    215.38 |   0.009
 1dice1Qf4       2      0.00003 |     1948 |      0 (0.00000) |   1871 |      77 |      28.17 |       0.00 |     8.28 |     28.17 |   0.006
 1dice2pxm       4      0.00006 |     2768 |      0 (0.00000) |   2730 |      38 |      35.02 |       0.03 |     4.42 |     34.99 |   0.089
 1dice2vQo       8      0.00012 |     3511 |      2 (0.00058) |   3465 |      44 |      64.42 |      16.06 |     5.65 |     48.35 |  24.940
 1dice2WmR      16      0.00024 |     5033 |      1 (0.00020) |   4994 |      38 |     149.60 |       4.28 |     8.40 |    145.32 |   2.861
 1dice2xkj      32      0.00049 |     6547 |      3 (0.00046) |   6532 |      12 |     442.93 |     303.33 |     1.29 |    139.59 |  68.484
 1dice2zdo      64      0.00098 |     8495 |      8 (0.00094) |   8465 |      22 |     696.64 |     124.48 |    55.64 |    572.16 |  17.869
 1dice37Ee     128      0.00195 |    10662 |     19 (0.00179) |  10587 |      56 |    1632.43 |    1274.69 |    44.25 |    357.74 |  78.085
 1dice3jkp     256      0.00391 |    11732 |     53 (0.00452) |  11665 |      14 |    1655.44 |    1996.47 |    13.11 |   -341.03 | 120.601
 1dice4J1m     512      0.00781 |    17628 |    135 (0.00766) |  17482 |      11 |    3255.50 |    2864.45 |     9.35 |    391.05 |  87.988
 1dice5wwE    1000      0.01526 |    36502 |    561 (0.01537) |  35929 |      12 |    9406.78 |    8838.23 |     1.80 |    568.54 |  93.956
 1dice61SN    1500      0.02289 |    16918 |    397 (0.02348) |  16513 |       8 |    5256.62 |    5349.03 |    15.00 |    -92.40 | 101.758
 1dice6DPt    2000      0.03052 |    24661 |    774 (0.03139) |  23883 |       4 |    6125.94 |    5548.40 |     9.24 |    577.54 |  90.572
 1dice6gJg    3000      0.04578 |    17347 |    807 (0.04654) |  16532 |       8 |    7459.62 |    8876.43 |    24.99 |  -1416.81 | 118.993
 1dice6GV5    4000      0.06104 |    17292 |   1077 (0.06230) |  16211 |       4 |    5007.02 |    4572.15 |    31.20 |    434.86 |  91.315
 1dice6wBx    6000      0.09155 |    23186 |   2173 (0.09380) |  20994 |      19 |   10716.49 |   10799.56 |     7.01 |    -83.07 | 100.775
 1dice6YgE    8000      0.12207 |    92938 |  11412 (0.12282) |  81503 |      23 |   12405.86 |   10691.59 |     0.00 |   1714.27 |  86.182
 1dice7EYz   12000      0.18311 |    23513 |   4378 (0.18631) |  19121 |      14 |    8784.61 |    8989.31 |    14.50 |   -204.70 | 102.330
 1dice7fUk   16000      0.24414 |   101061 |  24648 (0.24395) |  76389 |      24 |   57978.69 |   56229.94 |   347.79 |   1748.75 |  96.984
 1dice7W2A   24000      0.36621 |    71324 |  26209 (0.36771) |  45067 |      48 |   41714.82 |   41621.03 |   212.64 |     93.78 |  99.775
 1dice8EMZ   32000      0.48828 |   607802 | 296772 (0.48863) | 310582 |     448 |  356986.27 |  353941.56 |  2173.41 |   3044.71 |  99.147
 1dice97EC   32768      0.50000 |   220465 | 110007 (0.49941) | 110269 |     189 |  209629.86 |  206366.70 |  1295.22 |   3263.16 |  98.443
 1dice9wcM   48000      0.73242 |   163343 | 120154 (0.73595) |  43110 |      79 |  161148.68 |  159261.42 |   467.98 |   1887.26 |  98.829
 1dicec9k7   52000      0.79346 |    15070 |  11976 (0.79511) |   3086 |       8 |   24057.48 |   23842.14 |   400.00 |    215.34 |  99.105
 1dicegEAr   56000      0.85449 |    14678 |  12576 (0.85814) |   2079 |      23 |   21620.86 |   21348.56 |   400.00 |    272.30 |  98.741
 1diceDCd2   60000      0.91553 |     7270 |   6658 (0.91670) |    605 |       7 |   16367.72 |   16422.33 |     0.00 |    -54.61 | 100.334
 1dice9wVt   64000      0.97656 |     8005 |   7701 (0.98015) |    156 |     148 |   16529.99 |   16249.65 |   239.21 |    280.34 |  98.304
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           small (bets < 4 BTC) |  1507235 | 613291           | 892391 |    1553 |  374660.63 |  365837.35 |   151.02 |   8823.27 |  97.645
            big (bets >= 4 BTC) |    49909 |  25210           |  24490 |     209 |  604712.38 |  599694.60 |  5673.35 |   5017.77 |  99.170
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                |  1557144 | 638501           | 916881 |    1762 |  979373.01 |  965531.96 |  5824.38 |  13841.05 |  98.587
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SD Profit before fees:      13841.05066753 BTC (1.413%)
Cumulative Fees Paid:         784.47550000 BTC
SD Profit after fees:       13056.57516753 BTC (1.333%)
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx:  5247801  :  SatoshiDice Tx: 2892169  (55.1%)
Blockchain MB:  2199.9  :  SatoshiDice Tx: 1180.8  (53.7%)

10071  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis on: October 18, 2012, 03:59:18 PM
Quote
Results: 2012-Oct-18 08:44am (up to block 203864)

   Address  Target   Should Win |    #Bets |       Win        |  Lose  | Refunds |   BTC In   |  BTC Out   |  Refund  |   Profit  |   RTP 
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 1dice1e6p       1      0.00002 |    27269 |      0 (0.00000) |  26885 |     384 |     213.79 |       0.01 |    33.87 |    213.77 |   0.009
 1dice1Qf4       2      0.00003 |     1941 |      0 (0.00000) |   1864 |      77 |      28.09 |       0.00 |     8.28 |     28.09 |   0.006
 1dice2pxm       4      0.00006 |     2766 |      0 (0.00000) |   2728 |      38 |      35.01 |       0.03 |     4.42 |     34.98 |   0.089
 1dice2vQo       8      0.00012 |     3507 |      2 (0.00058) |   3461 |      44 |      64.41 |      16.06 |     5.65 |     48.35 |  24.942
 1dice2WmR      16      0.00024 |     5032 |      1 (0.00020) |   4993 |      38 |     149.59 |       4.28 |     8.40 |    145.31 |   2.861
 1dice2xkj      32      0.00049 |     6547 |      3 (0.00046) |   6532 |      12 |     442.93 |     303.33 |     1.29 |    139.59 |  68.484
 1dice2zdo      64      0.00098 |     8483 |      8 (0.00095) |   8453 |      22 |     694.87 |     124.47 |    55.64 |    570.39 |  17.914
 1dice37Ee     128      0.00195 |    10658 |     19 (0.00179) |  10583 |      56 |    1632.41 |    1274.69 |    44.25 |    357.71 |  78.087
 1dice3jkp     256      0.00391 |    11730 |     53 (0.00452) |  11663 |      14 |    1655.43 |    1996.47 |    13.11 |   -341.03 | 120.601
 1dice4J1m     512      0.00781 |    17621 |    135 (0.00767) |  17475 |      11 |    3255.46 |    2864.45 |     9.35 |    391.00 |  87.989
 1dice5wwE    1000      0.01526 |    36402 |    560 (0.01539) |  35830 |      12 |    9405.42 |    8837.86 |     1.80 |    567.56 |  93.966
 1dice61SN    1500      0.02289 |    16902 |    396 (0.02344) |  16498 |       8 |    5256.48 |    5348.60 |    15.00 |    -92.12 | 101.753
 1dice6DPt    2000      0.03052 |    24651 |    773 (0.03136) |  23874 |       4 |    6125.76 |    5548.08 |     9.24 |    577.68 |  90.570
 1dice6gJg    3000      0.04578 |    17274 |    802 (0.04645) |  16464 |       8 |    7458.34 |    8874.51 |    24.99 |  -1416.17 | 118.988
 1dice6GV5    4000      0.06104 |    17273 |   1076 (0.06231) |  16193 |       4 |    5006.21 |    4571.99 |    31.20 |    434.22 |  91.326
 1dice6wBx    6000      0.09155 |    23154 |   2173 (0.09393) |  20962 |      19 |   10707.77 |   10799.53 |     7.01 |    -91.75 | 100.857
 1dice6YgE    8000      0.12207 |    92752 |  11395 (0.12288) |  81334 |      23 |   12397.62 |   10685.91 |     0.00 |   1711.71 |  86.193
 1dice7EYz   12000      0.18311 |    23449 |   4367 (0.18635) |  19068 |      14 |    8773.08 |    8974.95 |    14.50 |   -201.87 | 102.301
 1dice7fUk   16000      0.24414 |   100420 |  24502 (0.24405) |  75894 |      24 |   57906.47 |   56169.32 |   347.79 |   1737.15 |  97.000
 1dice7W2A   24000      0.36621 |    71074 |  26118 (0.36772) |  44908 |      48 |   41407.05 |   41354.32 |   212.64 |     52.72 |  99.873
 1dice8EMZ   32000      0.48828 |   605727 | 295776 (0.48866) | 309503 |     448 |  355760.48 |  352695.97 |  2173.41 |   3064.51 |  99.139
 1dice97EC   32768      0.50000 |   219471 | 109511 (0.49940) | 109772 |     188 |  206929.32 |  204760.96 |  1295.22 |   2168.36 |  98.952
 1dice9wcM   48000      0.73242 |   163156 | 120015 (0.73594) |  43062 |      79 |  160963.12 |  159030.24 |   467.98 |   1932.88 |  98.799
 1dicec9k7   52000      0.79346 |    15006 |  11925 (0.79511) |   3073 |       8 |   23976.57 |   23744.93 |   400.00 |    231.64 |  99.034
 1dicegEAr   56000      0.85449 |    14633 |  12537 (0.85799) |   2075 |      21 |   21517.38 |   21237.99 |   400.00 |    279.39 |  98.702
 1diceDCd2   60000      0.91553 |     7262 |   6651 (0.91675) |    604 |       7 |   16215.24 |   16259.25 |     0.00 |    -44.00 | 100.271
 1dice9wVt   64000      0.97656 |     8004 |   7700 (0.98014) |    156 |     148 |   16529.98 |   16249.63 |   239.21 |    280.34 |  98.304
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           small (bets < 4 BTC) |  1502475 | 611389           | 889536 |    1550 |  373536.81 |  364764.12 |   151.02 |   8772.69 |  97.651
            big (bets >= 4 BTC) |    49689 |  25109           |  24371 |     209 |  600971.60 |  596963.81 |  5673.35 |   4007.79 |  99.333
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                |  1552164 | 636498           | 913907 |    1759 |  974508.42 |  961727.94 |  5824.38 |  12780.48 |  98.689
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SD Profit before fees:      12780.48537635 BTC (1.311%)
Cumulative Fees Paid:         781.96907500 BTC
SD Profit after fees:       11998.51630135 BTC (1.231%)
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx:  5220304  :  SatoshiDice Tx: 2882494  (55.2%)
Blockchain MB:  2186.5  :  SatoshiDice Tx: 1176.9  (53.8%)

10072  Economy / Gambling / Re: Stop gambling your coins unless you're playing for entertainment! on: October 18, 2012, 03:29:44 PM
Where the hell do you find a gambling service that has a positive EV?

I can think of 4 examples, all of which have worked for me:

* play on a poker site when you're good enough relative to the other players that you win enough to beat the rake.
* play on a site that offers enough bonuses and incentives to make it +EV to play there
* play on a site that allows you to count cards at blackjack.
* play on a site which allows you to place bets against other players, rather than against the house.  spot good value bets and profit from them.  sometimes it's possible to use multiple sites to create a no-lose situation.  For example I once bet on "Michael" to win some TV reality show on one site, and bet that he wouldn't win on another site.  The odds available on the two sites were out of whack with each other, meaning that whatever happened I made a profit.  When I phoned the betting company that I had won the bet against asking how  I could withdraw my winnings, they seemed to suggest that nobody had ever asked that before, and that I didn't need to - I could simply bet my winnings on another event instead!  This was before the days of Bitcoin.

All of the above can offer a +EV gambling experience.  Using "a good martingale strategy" never changes your expectation.  If the odds are in the house's favour then changing your bet size doesn't change that.  You'll still lose everything if you play long enough.  With a +EV game, that's not necessarily true; it's still possible to lose everything due to a run of bad luck, but your expectation is to grow your bankroll, not shrink it.
10073  Economy / Gambling / Re: bitZino - Provably Fair Bitcoin Casino - Blackjack, Craps, Roulette, Video Poker on: October 18, 2012, 06:46:19 AM
Dear Bitzino. Please let me know how to disable the doomswitch in user preferences. Thank you very much.

The doomswitch only gets turned on when you bet more than you want to lose in my experience.

Try betting for microbitcoins - you'll win lots then.  Smiley

Just kidding - it's all provably fair.  It's God who hates you.
10074  Economy / Gambling / Re: bitZino - Provably Fair Bitcoin Casino - Blackjack, Craps, Roulette, Video Poker on: October 18, 2012, 05:16:27 AM
I just noticed something else that I hadn't noticed before.

I only just started playing 'Sixline' bets.  I've been playing 5 of them at a time.

When I win, I want to quickly click 'Repeat last' then 'Spin' to play again.  I wait for the 'Repeat last' button to stop being grey, click it, but nothing happens.

It turns out that there's about a 1 second delay each time between the 'Repeat last' button changing from grey to white text and the button actually becoming clickable.  During that 1 second, the mouse cursor is an arrow when hovering over the button.  After the 1 second delay the mouse cursor changes to a hand with a pointy index finger, like it does on all other active buttons.

I didn't notice this delay when playing single red/black bets.  Although I just checked and it is happening there now as well, whether I win or lose the button goes white a short while before it goes active.  Maybe it's not a whole second, but it's long enough that I always seem to click before it's listening for clicks.
10075  Economy / Gambling / Re: Stop gambling your coins unless you're playing for entertainment! on: October 18, 2012, 04:55:03 AM
I've also personally made money playing BlackJack over at BitZino, but that's because I know how to play BlackJack properly (:

I'm pretty sure there's no winning strategy for BlackJack at bitZino.  It's a game of skill, but no matter how good you are at it, the house edge is still positive.
10076  Economy / Gambling / Re: bitZino - Provably Fair Bitcoin Casino - Blackjack, Craps, Roulette, Video Poker on: October 18, 2012, 04:50:39 AM
I was just trying a variation on martingale betting - betting the first 5 groups of 6 numbers, and multiplying the bet by 6 when I lose.  I had a run of three 31-36's in a row which caused my bet per group to go 100, 600, 3600, 21600.  One of the 21600's won, winning 129600.  The win was displayed in a tiny almost-impossible-to-read font size:



You probably don't want to make the text too big in the case that there are other winning bets nearby, but when only one bet wins maybe you can afford to make the text bigger?

Edit: I won a 7 figure sum, and it looks like it uses the same small font (yes, I'm now a millionaire in microbitcoins!):

10077  Economy / Gambling / Re: bitZino - Provably Fair Bitcoin Casino - Blackjack, Craps, Roulette, Video Poker on: October 18, 2012, 02:12:29 AM
I'm open to suggestions to improvements, but I do think the current wording is actually pretty good, considering the actual complicated formula for determining the maximum:

The overall max is always 10 BTC. This means you can bet 10 BTC on red itself, as long as you have no other wagers. If instead you bet 1 BTC on anything else, then you can bet up to 9 BTC on red.

For individual numbers, the maximum you can bet is more complicated. Basically, the maximum stake you can have in any single number is 1 BTC. So, you can bet up to 2 BTC on the 1,2 Split, and up to 4 BTC on the 1,2,4,5 Corner. This calculation can get somewhat complicated at times: for example, if you have a 0.1 BTC wager on 1 Straight, then you can only wager up to 1.8 BTC on the 1,2 Split - because any more would give you too much stake in the 1. Note though, that we don't count "outer wagers" toward individual numbers in this formula. This means you can wager 1 BTC on Odd, and still wager up to a full 1 BTC on the 1 (even though you technically already have 1/18th BTC stake on the 1).

This formula is complicated, but ideal in that it allows users to bet the maximum while still keeping the house variance within a specifically controlled level. (It's not actually perfectly ideal, since variance isn't actually a linear relationship with regard to risk - but it is a pretty good approximation for these values (also, our "outer wager" exception is non-perfect)).

In order to make this simple for the user, the maximum bet for any specific wager is dynamically calculated and shown in the popup that appears up when you click on the wager.

So, now that you know the nitty-gritty details of the formula, can you think of a better summary? Smiley

My initial reaction is one of surprise.  I would *never* have guessed at the maximum bet formula you just described given the description.  There's literally no way the user could come up with the conceptt you just explained from the description you make available to him, especially not the wrinkle that outer wagers don't count at all towards the amounts wagered on numbers but every other bet does.

In particular the simple 2 line description of "max bets" leads me to believe that you have a simple way of determining the max bets, whereas in fact it's pretty complex.  Players probably never think of putting 1.8 BTC on a 1,2 Split as being the same as putting 0.9 on 1 and 0.9 on 2 although mathematically it is equivalent.  And even if they do, then I don't see why they wouldn't similarly think of putting 1.8 BTC on red as being the same as putting 0.1 on each red number...

It seems weird to me that betting on '1st row' (betting on the 12 multiples of 3) doesn't count as a bet on number 3, but betting on '1st 12' *does* count as a bet on number 3.  They're both 12-number bets.  I guess you're not counting '1st 12' as an outer wager, whereas '1st row' is an outer wager?

I would like to see a link ('details'?) in the 'max bets' info which pops up a description much like what you just posted, so I can know what's really going on.  I think changing the first line of the text to "max total bet per number" would go some way to helping the user guess at your formula - at least that clues her in that multiple bets are being added in some way for each number, but I still don't think it's clear enough without the extra link to the actual details.

Having the max bet show up in the popup when I'm making a bet goes some way to solving the problem, but doesn't help when the max bet is more than I currently have available to bet.  In that instance I just see my current balance, when I want to know what the maximum really is - so I can decide how much more I need to deposit.

Maybe all it needs is a 'rules' page which lists all these details for each of the games, so you can keep the uncluttered game interface, but still have these details available somewhere.
10078  Economy / Gambling / Re: bitZino - Provably Fair Bitcoin Casino - Blackjack, Craps, Roulette, Video Poker on: October 17, 2012, 10:01:43 PM
I just checked the 'max bets' in the top left corner of the roulette game.  It tells me the max bet per number, and the "max overall bet" which I presume is the most I can bet per spin in total.  But I don't see the max I can bet on any of the other bets.  What's the max I can bet on a 50/50 bet like red or even?  Are you counting that as a "number"?

I think most places will allow you to bet higher on the bets which have a lower return.  As I remember it, the world's #1 Bitcoin Casino (lol, jk) has a higher limit when you're betting on groups of 6 or more numbers than when you're betting on less than 6 (like 4, 3, 2, or a single number).

Either way, I think the "max bets" section should be made clearer.
10079  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis on: October 17, 2012, 07:10:39 PM
Quote
Results: 2012-Oct-17 11:57am (up to block 203723)

   Address  Target   Should Win |    #Bets |       Win        |  Lose  | Refunds |   BTC In   |  BTC Out   |  Refund  |   Profit  |   RTP 
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 1dice1e6p       1      0.00002 |    26971 |      0 (0.00000) |  26588 |     383 |     213.22 |       0.01 |    33.79 |    213.20 |   0.009
 1dice1Qf4       2      0.00003 |     1933 |      0 (0.00000) |   1856 |      77 |      28.08 |       0.00 |     8.28 |     28.08 |   0.006
 1dice2pxm       4      0.00006 |     2758 |      0 (0.00000) |   2720 |      38 |      35.01 |       0.03 |     4.42 |     34.98 |   0.089
 1dice2vQo       8      0.00012 |     3499 |      2 (0.00058) |   3453 |      44 |      64.40 |      16.06 |     5.65 |     48.34 |  24.945
 1dice2WmR      16      0.00024 |     5026 |      1 (0.00020) |   4987 |      38 |     149.59 |       4.28 |     8.40 |    145.31 |   2.861
 1dice2xkj      32      0.00049 |     6529 |      3 (0.00046) |   6514 |      12 |     442.77 |     303.33 |     1.29 |    139.44 |  68.508
 1dice2zdo      64      0.00098 |     8475 |      8 (0.00095) |   8445 |      22 |     694.59 |     124.47 |    55.64 |    570.11 |  17.921
 1dice37Ee     128      0.00195 |    10650 |     19 (0.00179) |  10575 |      56 |    1632.39 |    1274.69 |    44.25 |    357.70 |  78.087
 1dice3jkp     256      0.00391 |    11701 |     53 (0.00453) |  11634 |      14 |    1654.95 |    1996.47 |    13.11 |   -341.51 | 120.636
 1dice4J1m     512      0.00781 |    17603 |    135 (0.00767) |  17457 |      11 |    3255.08 |    2864.45 |     9.35 |    390.62 |  87.999
 1dice5wwE    1000      0.01526 |    36345 |    560 (0.01541) |  35773 |      12 |    9403.50 |    8837.85 |     1.80 |    565.64 |  93.985
 1dice61SN    1500      0.02289 |    16884 |    395 (0.02341) |  16481 |       8 |    5255.18 |    5347.60 |    15.00 |    -92.41 | 101.759
 1dice6DPt    2000      0.03052 |    24624 |    772 (0.03136) |  23848 |       4 |    6124.86 |    5547.75 |     9.24 |    577.10 |  90.578
 1dice6gJg    3000      0.04578 |    17241 |    801 (0.04648) |  16432 |       8 |    7457.39 |    8874.09 |    24.99 |  -1416.70 | 118.997
 1dice6GV5    4000      0.06104 |    17246 |   1073 (0.06223) |  16169 |       4 |    5005.25 |    4571.18 |    31.20 |    434.07 |  91.328
 1dice6wBx    6000      0.09155 |    23116 |   2169 (0.09391) |  20928 |      19 |   10702.34 |   10797.99 |     7.01 |    -95.65 | 100.894
 1dice6YgE    8000      0.12207 |    92682 |  11390 (0.12292) |  81269 |      23 |   12391.96 |   10685.65 |     0.00 |   1706.31 |  86.230
 1dice7EYz   12000      0.18311 |    23358 |   4349 (0.18630) |  18995 |      14 |    8767.78 |    8961.54 |    14.50 |   -193.76 | 102.210
 1dice7fUk   16000      0.24414 |    99723 |  24331 (0.24404) |  75369 |      23 |   57869.38 |   56130.81 |   347.79 |   1738.56 |  96.996
 1dice7W2A   24000      0.36621 |    70242 |  25811 (0.36771) |  44383 |      48 |   39366.14 |   39052.60 |   212.64 |    313.53 |  99.204
 1dice8EMZ   32000      0.48828 |   604214 | 295036 (0.48866) | 308730 |     448 |  355127.96 |  352018.42 |  2173.41 |   3109.53 |  99.124
 1dice97EC   32768      0.50000 |   218543 | 109052 (0.49942) | 109305 |     186 |  206404.76 |  204130.57 |  1295.22 |   2274.19 |  98.898
 1dice9wcM   48000      0.73242 |   162892 | 119825 (0.73597) |  42988 |      79 |  160781.17 |  158833.86 |   467.98 |   1947.31 |  98.789
 1dicec9k7   52000      0.79346 |    14796 |  11762 (0.79537) |   3026 |       8 |   23746.95 |   23522.43 |   400.00 |    224.51 |  99.055
 1dicegEAr   56000      0.85449 |    14590 |  12501 (0.85805) |   2068 |      21 |   21446.24 |   21162.59 |   400.00 |    283.64 |  98.677
 1diceDCd2   60000      0.91553 |     7257 |   6646 (0.91669) |    604 |       7 |   16212.61 |   16256.44 |     0.00 |    -43.82 | 100.270
 1dice9wVt   64000      0.97656 |     7997 |   7693 (0.98012) |    156 |     148 |   16529.64 |   16249.30 |   239.21 |    280.34 |  98.304
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           small (bets < 4 BTC) |  1497437 | 609393           | 886498 |    1546 |  372016.16 |  363303.55 |   150.94 |   8712.60 |  97.658
            big (bets >= 4 BTC) |    49458 |  24994           |  24255 |     209 |  598747.16 |  594261.04 |  5673.35 |   4486.12 |  99.251
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                                |  1546895 | 634387           | 910753 |    1755 |  970763.33 |  957564.59 |  5824.30 |  13198.73 |  98.640
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SD Profit before fees:      13198.73149273 BTC (1.360%)
Cumulative Fees Paid:         779.31297500 BTC
SD Profit after fees:       12419.41851773 BTC (1.279%)
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx:  5194817  :  SatoshiDice Tx: 2872540  (55.3%)
Blockchain MB:  2174.6  :  SatoshiDice Tx: 1172.7  (53.9%)

10080  Economy / Gambling / Re: [ANN] Erowid Fundraiser Game on: October 17, 2012, 05:58:40 PM
Quote
To incrment the trigger the you must hit 10 on the payout table.
To trigger the donattion a max bex must hit 10

4 typos in 2 lines?  This is your brain on drugs.

Actually this our your brains trying to do to many things in to few hours.
Thank you for pointing that out Dooglus, we have updated the site again Smiley

Yeah, I was just trying to be funny.  I'm not very good at it.

To subtle for me ! Tongue

You see, "Erowid is an online library containing tens of thousands of pages of information about psychoactive drugs, plants, and chemicals [...]".  And you made a bunch of typos.  And there's this ad campaign apparently that shows negative effects of drugs using the catchphrase "this is your brain on drugs".  But I never saw it.

A joke always gets funnier the more you have to explain it, right???
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