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1021  Local / Бизнес / Re: FortuneJack.com - казино, ставки и азартные игры on: March 15, 2022, 01:01:54 PM
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1022  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: FortuneJack.com | Free Spins Raffle #7 | Join for Free to win 50-100 Free Spins on: March 15, 2022, 01:00:20 PM
FJ username: Boristhecat

I'm in!
1023  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Gambling in METAVERSE on: March 14, 2022, 03:51:08 PM
Let's say I like poker, slots and betting. What advantage or new experience that any concept of the Metaverse can offer that I should be interested in? When I play the listed games of chance, it doesn’t matter to me whether a virtual character is sitting next to me or not, on the contrary, I’m interested in a minimalistic interface, because while the opponent (for example, in poker) is thinking about the move, I can look through the quotes of bookmakers and choose something interesting.
What can the Metaverse offer in gambling for an ordinary player?
1024  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2020/21 on: March 14, 2022, 03:41:33 PM
Barcelona have been the most impressive team of this week in the La Liga so far. Because they completely destroyed Osasuna by 4-0 in Camp Nou yesterday. They took control of match very early and kept their dominance that way until the final moment of the match. It was like that we watched the usual Barcelona in the old times. They don't have Messi now maybe but they are still doing a great job by getting better and better in time. I have started raising my expectations from them for next season a lot.

I wonder if Barcelona spent their entire supply of goals for this match or saved something for Galatasaray? I am happy with the victory (because I bet on Barcelona), but I would not draw global conclusions from the victory over such a weak opponent.
As for the next season, as I understand the game moments will be in the background regarding the main problem of Barcelona - a huge debt. I have not heard any positive news about its settlement.
1025  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽UEFA Champions League Discussion Thread -- 2021/22 Round of 16! on: March 14, 2022, 03:36:11 PM
With each season, the PSG = P$G formula becomes more and more true. They spend astronomical money only to crash in the first serious match where they need to show character. This happens almost every season (only the Champions League covid season was more or less successful for them).
Mbappe is leaving, Messi is getting old, Pochettino will definitely be sacked - I don't know what the PSG management will do to make the club stronger next season or at least not experience a dip in results.

Maybe it time for the whole management of PSG (including the sheikh who gives them all the money) to slowly realize that money does not automatically give you the big titles in european football. They have a great team no doubt, but i think it is wrong of the management to demand that the team must win the Champions League title before each and every season, that puts a huge amount of pressure onto the players and once an unexpected setback happens like that big mistake by Donnarumma yesterday then the whole team suddenly is starting to get nervous again because they know what huge expectations the management always have.

Well... It's a difficult question. In previous seasons, there was (in my opinion) no special pressure on PSG. No one demanded a title from them here and now. However, they were often disappointing. This season has been a complete disaster. The composition of the team was strengthened as much as possible, but the results fell (this can be seen even in the matches in Ligue 1, where PSG are in the lead, but they won many games in a difficult struggle and in the last minutes). At the same time, PSG completely failed in the Champions League. I think in such a situation the pressure on the players and the coach from the owners of the club is fully justified.
1026  Local / Альтернативные криптовалюты / Re: Аналитика, анализ, прогнозы. on: March 14, 2022, 03:27:22 PM
Ты не поверишь, но депят ударными темпами. Следующий шаг наших властей - принудительный обмен вкладов на гособлигации (читай отожмут).

Частично это уже произошло - валютные депозиты отжали и принудительно конвертируют их в мусорные облигации рубли.
В такой обстановке нести даже деревянные в банк это расписаться в собственном слабоумии. Но пока ТВ и все СМИ под контролем кремлевской банды всегда найдутся те, кого можно оболванить, особенно сейчас, когда военная истерия на максимуме, а последствия еще только начинают проявляться.
1027  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: March 14, 2022, 03:17:52 PM
For me, Bundesliga is not interesting at all because I think we all know that Bayern Munich is going to be the winners of this league and Dortmund is going to be the runners-up. And if we know that the top two are going to end like this, I don't think there is much interest left for anyone. And Dortmund having a match in hand does not ensure them 3 points.

In fact, there are interesting seasons in the Bundesliga, such as when Leipzig took second place in its first year of getting there. The hegemony of Bavaria, of course, tired everyone, but imagine how happy everyone will be when it ends.
Now, when the championship of Bavaria is almost guaranteed, you can entertain yourself with betting. In the end, if we know the champion in advance, then why not make money on it?
1028  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) on: March 13, 2022, 07:52:22 PM
Atalanta 0 - 0 Genoa

It seems that beating Genoa is becoming an impossible mission, once again they will be able to stop a big team and with this result Atalanta is left behind, and it's a shame because in the last two years they had a lot of potential to go far, I'm talking about being champions , but in the last games they are in decay

Just recently, Atalanta were comfortably in 4th place and potentially had a ticket to the Champions League next season, but now after a series of 12 games where they won only 2 wins, they are in such a position that now they risk not even getting into the Europa League. It looks like the team is running out of energy. But there are 10 more games ahead and it is not clear how they will get out of this situation.
1029  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: Drake became partners of the Stake Casino on: March 13, 2022, 05:21:24 PM
Stake has a history of partnering with many sportsmen already and it was just a matter of time until a popular celebrity joined the party. It was a good marketing move for Stake, because the public of Drake is huge, what means he will bring a lot of recognization not only to gambling, but also to cryptocurrency environment among his fanbase.

Now I ask myself if another crypto casinos will go through the same path, launching a similar marketing campaign with celebrities.

The fact that more and more crypto casinos are investing heavily in their promotion can be seen even on this forum - I see that the payouts in campaigns are growing and there are more and more of them. Celebrities like Drake certainly have a big impact on their audience (I think it consists mainly of young people) and thanks to the collaboration with Stake, it can be said that the crypto adoption is accelerating.
1030  Local / Майнеры / Re: Предпосылки для бана майнинга в Казахстаl on: March 13, 2022, 05:06:57 PM
-skip-
солнечные батареи у нас невыгодно кажется. реальный вариант в деревнях, где земли много, на дачах разве что крыши ими закроешь, а то солнце, то туман, то дождь, то облака...

Теперь уже не кажется, а 100% - с курсом доллара срок окупаемости солнечных панелей уже превысил их эксплуатационный срок (наверное в разы), про отечественных производителей я ничего не слышал и вряд ли они теперь появятся.
Да и раньше окупаемость вызывала большие вопросы. Панели + аккумуляторы для обеспечения круглосуточного майнинга, мне кажется, были прибыльны только на пиках хайпа.
1031  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: The paradox of arbitrage betting (and how to make money on it) on: March 13, 2022, 04:53:57 PM
Conclusion: if you find an opportunity to make an arbitrage bet, then you can bet only on one of the outcomes and on average you will still be in the black plus avoid problems with ToS of bookmakers.

How would a bookmaker be able to exchange information with another about a particular player?
Only if that player uses the same nickname in both houses or has KYC in both houses as well.
And even then, I think it's unlikely that they talk to each other about players.

However... It's very difficult to see totally opposite winning possibilities in both houses, the best bookmakers use good algorithms to predict the favorite and they adjust it all the time.

I think that the existing identification capabilities (not to mention the KYC, which is quite common for many bookmakers) allow you to very effectively determine the relationship of accounts. In the situation of bookmakers against an arbitrage better, it is obvious that the bookmakers are in an allied position and are interested in establishing a channel for transmitting information between themselves.
As for the opportunities to make such bets, yes, they are not simple, but not so difficult either, because, for example, in live betting, the odds change very often and quickly.
1032  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2021/2022 on: March 12, 2022, 01:48:19 PM
55 minutes behind but in the match Brighton - Liverpool the score is still shaky, Liverpool leads with a minimum score of 1-0 although their playing advantage is huge. Bookmakers offer very interesting odds for Brighton to win:

31,00 - 7,00 - 1,15

I will not bet on Brighton, but I think that in a home match this odds would be justified for it. For such a bet to be profitable, Brighton must win from this position more than once every 31 matches. I think it's real.
1033  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Marketplace (Altcoins) / Re: Will NFT be the reason for a massive boost in gambling in the near future? on: March 12, 2022, 01:40:26 PM
I guess almost knows what NFT stand for as "non-fungible tokens" but can't say for sure to others if they knew that NFT almost covers every sector including gambling. We know how gambling is taking a great leap year by year but do you think that NFT might be a primary reason in the future for a massive boost in the gambling industry?

NFTs are at the peak of the hype (or already slightly below), so in the future I expect only a correction from this industry, or a huge fall (if the correction of the NFT market coincides with the correction of the crypto market). By the way, what do you think links the NFT and gambling? I cannot see a direct connection between them, and even more so what should be of interest to gamblers. Or do you mean investing in the NFT as a gamble? This makes sense, but in my opinion, lovers of risky investments and gamblers are still different communities.
1034  Local / Альтернативные криптовалюты / Re: Аналитика, анализ, прогнозы. on: March 12, 2022, 12:59:38 PM

Да, после таких тем Walletexplorer.com скомпрометирован (какие сервисы еще?) все такие сервисы стоит рассматривать как заведомо работающие против вас и обходить стороной. Либо (если позволяют знания/умения) спамить их запросами по адресам, которые заведомо принадлежат всяким "белым" организациям.

Не забываем, что крысы Chainalysis, которые и предоставляют данный сервис, сохраняют ваш IP (и все остальные данные до которых могут дотянуться) чтобы потом использовать это против вас же.
Ну с ип вопрос легко решается, а тут вы прям свой уникальный адрес сразу сливаете. (Это же хеш, совпадений там быть не может) Никогда не доверял всяким блокэксплорерам, поэтому и остаюсь в тени до сих пор кмк

Теоретически, если прям совсем припекло, то можно использовать VPN и проверять свой адрес среди сотен (или тысяч, я не знаю насколько там все автоматизированно и какой величины запросы допускаются) других, найти их не проблема - даже через те же баунти таблицы, которых тысячи до сих пор в открытом доступе.
Но для себя я решил такие сервисы полностью игнорировать.

-skip-
Ставку сделал - на сегодняшний день это конец путинскому режиму, в течение 1...2 лет или путч/переворот, или революция. Привет новый 1991. Ситуация может поменяться конечно, но сегодня я вижу это так. Выходит что каждое поколение должно пройти через распад СССР и дефолт, девальвацию и деноминацию. Печально и не смешно. Но некоторые позлорадствуют над детками, не видившими такие "прелести", которые выросли в относительно спокойные времена.

Дефолт и девальвация уже, остальное приложится. И хорошо если страшный конец (1-2 года на что вы делаете ставку), но ведь может быть и ужас без конца - вариант Северной Кореи, где уже внук первого фюрера правит.
Что касается распада, то если рассуждать без эмоций, то внешние силы как раз заинтересованны в том, чтобы он не произошел. Проще иметь дело с одной страной, чем с пачкой бантустанов. Именно поэтому Запад не дал СССР полностью доразвалиться и в целом играл на то, чтобы на постсоветском пространстве оставался существовать этот монстр, где в одной части страны 14-й век, в другой 17-й, а в столице 20-й. Именно поэтому Чечню можно было хоть ядерным оружием испарить - сильно бы это никого не взволновало.
Но сейчас чума полезла "наружу" поэтому концепция (временно?) резко поменялась.
1035  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: French Soccer League Predictions and Discussion Thread (Ligue 1) on: March 12, 2022, 12:16:08 PM
I also completely disagree that Paris Saint-Germain showed poor quality of play in the match with Real Madrid. If it hadn't been for Donnarumma's monstrous mistake and then the referee's unwillingness to fix the violation of the rules of the game, then PSG should have calmly won this match because it looked much more solid in the game. Carlo Ancelotti would have been on the verge of being fired from Real Madrid, because before this match there were rumors that Florentino Perez was very unhappy with the first match and threatened to fire the head coach if the club did not advance to the next stage of the tournament. Another question is that such a strong team should not fall apart in a few minutes, as happened after Benzema's second goal, and this is some fault of the average level of the French championship, where the absolute majority of teams do not pose such problems to such an indisputable leader as PSG.

Probably the main complaint against PSG is not in the low quality of the game, but in not high enough (plus a poor final result). A two-legged confrontation lasts at least 180 minutes and it is not enough to "play well until the first mistake (the referee or own player)". So the claims are quite fair. By the way, what violation should the referee fix? When Donnarumma knocked the ball out, he was outside the goalkeeper's area and Benzema fought him according to the rules - body to body.
1036  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: March 12, 2022, 11:54:56 AM
i also think that today in such a very important game for both teams, mönchengladbach will win the home game against hertha bsc berlin. hertha is currently in a very negative flow and they have the second worst defense with 58 goals against. the completed trainer change a few months ago has also brought nothing and has totally failed.
my prediction for the hertha coach - if Tayfun Korkut loses today, he will unfortunately be sacked.

Apparently, the bookmakers also take into account these considerations, since they quote the victory of Borussia very high - 1.61. This coefficient looks suspicious if you look only at the standings of the teams - both teams are not so far apart and making one of the teams such a clear favorite may be the wrong decision.
1037  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) on: March 12, 2022, 11:38:04 AM
Not sure Napoli will win easily here due to the fact, in two matches they ended in draws. I agree Verona is not very good in defense, but it doesn't seem like a problem if Verona can score goals consistently in every match. But even so, I don't believe that Verona will win, because from such considerations it is very likely that the final result of this match is a draw again. If that happens, then their head to head record will get a draw in three consecutive matches.

Based on these considerations, it will probably be profitable to bet on the exact score of 1-1 and 2-2. Usually bookmakers give a large multiplier to those who guess the exact score, and probably in this match such a score will really be logical. Verona is not very good in defense but very good in attack, I think Napoli will not be able to keep their net intact.
1038  Other / Archival / Re: [BTC] Лотереи, Конкурсы, Раздачи... on: March 12, 2022, 11:29:34 AM
Очередной конкурс от sportsbet.io
Sportsbet.io ⚽ Arsenal + Southampton + SPFC ⚽ Prediction Contest (SUN & WED)

Game 1:  Southampton v Watford @ 3:00pm GMT  (Sunday)
Game 2:  São Paulo FC v Mirassol @ 8:00pm GMT  (Sunday)
Game 3:  Arsenal v Liverpool @ 9:15pm GMT  (Wednesday)

Правила:
a)  Угадать минуту на которой будет забит первый гол (не имеет значения какая команда забьет)
Этот прогноз распространяется на три игры
b)  Угадать победителя матча и точный счет

Пример:
Game 1:  20' 2-0 Southampton
Game 2:  20'  2-0 São Paulo FC
Game 3:  20'  2-0 Arsenal

Тот кто наиболее точно угадает минуту на которой будет забит первый гол получит бесплатную ставку на 1 mBTC!
Если вы угадаете минуту и угадаете точный счет матча, то ваша бесплатная ставка составит 2 mBTC!
1039  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2020/21 on: March 11, 2022, 03:39:40 PM
Even though I agree with you that Atletico isn't as strong as they usually have been in former seasons, but seriously this game should end with three points in their favor. Anything else would be shocking especially during this phase of the season. It is all about the qualification for the CL next season... What other motivation could they need? And Cadiz lost 3 out of the last 5 games and tied 1. So that shouldn't really turn out to be an incredibly tough game for Atletico.

Three days later, Atlético will play the decisive match for reaching the 1/4 finals of the Champions League with Manchester United. Manchester United are the same losers as Atletico this season, so it is probably impossible to predict the result, but since the game will be in Manchester and the result of the first leg is 1-1, it will be the toughest match for Atlético. Under normal circumstances I would be 100% sure that Atlético would win, but right now I think Atlético will be preparing for the game against Manchester United and may lose points today.
1040  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: The paradox of arbitrage betting (and how to make money on it) on: March 11, 2022, 03:25:52 PM
This is a completely wrong example of arbitrage. No matter how "confident" you are in the outcome of the battle, it may end differently. The meaning of arbitration is in guarantees. Your premonition and analytics do not guarantee anything.
If you're sure about Jalin Turner (1.67) and Kevin Holland (1.26), just bet on them and take the easy money, right?
Jalin Turner (1.67) and Kevin Holland (1.26) together is only worth only (2.10).

The way the arbitrage I posted works is, one side is (4.90) the other side is (3.58).

Bet 1 mBTC on both sides, 1st parlay pays out 3.90 mBTC and 2nd pay sout 2.58 mBTC.

Total winnings come out to either 2.90 mBTC or 1.58 mBTC once the 1 mBTC loss from the losing leg is factored in.

Its a guaranteed win as long as the lock plays hold up.

You write nonsense because it has nothing to do with arbitrage betting - and Turner and Holland can lose their fights and then your supposedly "guaranteed profit" will turn into a loss.

I think that there are two problems with this:

1. You are not going to find a lot of profitable arbitrage opportunities. Even if you sign up to a subscription service, by the time that you see a recommendation/tip it's probably already too late and the opportunity has been taken advantage of.

2. A lot of the people here don't have the bankroll management that is necessary for this, and it's not a "surebet" in the sense that you are only making paper profits (in terms of EV) and not necessarily booking it in reality. There is a huge difference in risk.

1. The theoretical possibility is one thing, the practical implementation is another. I showed a theoretical possibility. And in fact, arbitrage opportunities are not fleeting phenomena at all - for example, if you bet a week before the event, then you will most likely have the opportunity (long in time) to make an arbitrage counter-bet. If this opportunity does not appear, then you can wait for the start of a sporting event and catch such a bet in live mode.

2. The problem of the presence or absence of the necessary bankroll does not cancel the fact that there is an opportunity to make arbitrage bets.
I do not see a fundamental difference in risk, since at a distance (as I showed in the calculations in the first post), from the point of view of mathematics, such bets are equivalent to classical arbitrage.
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