I received this information from Stake via email. It turns out that his previous cooperation with the casino gave a good conversion and they decided to continue it further. I wonder in what form the giveaway will take place, I would like to participate )
I didn't really follow that thread and I might have missed some discussion. so, does this mean that the bet drake made on SuperBowl was really just a publicity stunt just like what the other members suspected? No one has direct evidence of this (maybe only the tax office hehe) but I think everyone agrees that such celebrities if they do something publicly (like Drake who published his bets and most importantly where he did them) then they do it for money. And now, after this news, their cooperation is officially recognized, and it probably doesn’t really matter when it started - then or now. |
|
|
|
Еще до этого, в 1939 году случилась "зимняя война" с Финляндией. С какого хрена? Финны нам угрожали? Каким образом?
Рекомендую почитать про повторное вступление Финляндии во ВМВ. Спойлер: Финляндия объявила о войне с СССР только 25-го июня 41-го года и только после того, как "миролюбивый" СССР опять напал на нее (это при том, что уже испытывал разгром по всей линии фронта начиная с 22-го июня). |
|
|
|
продублирую здесь - вводите свой адрес и облегчаете работу блокираторам  Да, после таких тем Walletexplorer.com скомпрометирован (какие сервисы еще?) все такие сервисы стоит рассматривать как заведомо работающие против вас и обходить стороной. Либо (если позволяют знания/умения) спамить их запросами по адресам, которые заведомо принадлежат всяким "белым" организациям. Не забываем, что крысы Chainalysis, которые и предоставляют данный сервис, сохраняют ваш IP (и все остальные данные до которых могут дотянуться) чтобы потом использовать это против вас же. |
|
|
|
It seems that the previous thread when Drake made huge bets on the Super Bowl at the Stake Casino has been continued:  I received this information from Stake via email. It turns out that his previous cooperation with the casino gave a good conversion and they decided to continue it further. I wonder in what form the giveaway will take place, I would like to participate ) |
|
|
|
With the defeat in this match, we realized again that there are a lot of problems inside the PSG team. And performing well on platforms like the Champions League without solving their own problems is like a daydream. Coach Poch needed to be fired earlier. PSG might not have lost so badly if they had been sacked their coach earlier. However, hopefully PSG will return in a stronger form next season.
With each season, the PSG = P$G formula becomes more and more true. They spend astronomical money only to crash in the first serious match where they need to show character. This happens almost every season (only the Champions League covid season was more or less successful for them). Mbappe is leaving, Messi is getting old, Pochettino will definitely be sacked - I don't know what the PSG management will do to make the club stronger next season or at least not experience a dip in results. |
|
|
|
Zlatan Abramovich and Roman Ibrahimovic - good mix )
Speaking on the topic, I do not see any problem in the fact that Chelsea will be bought by Trump. Even if someone does not like Trump as a politician, this does not mean that he should not be loved as a businessman. And it seems to me that it is better for Trump to be the owner of Chelsea than some regular sheikh (I don’t feel any negative towards them, but sometimes for them it’s not only a business, but also a purchase of status or money laundering).
I watched a documentary on Trump and got to know that he owned an airline too which went to into loss and ultimately it was closed. One of his colleagues admired him so much that even during those days - trump sided him. There is some charisma in his personality - Trump is liked by the American that is why he was supported by many Americans, most of the american appreciated and admired his policies. So, I think there is no harm if Trump own it. I watched a similar film (or rather read an article) and this material seemed to me very subjective - ordinary propaganda. As far as I remember, there were listed businesses where Trump failed and there are many more than one airline. But for some reason, those businesses where Trump succeeded were not mentioned there, although there were also many of them. Trump is indifferent to me, but I see bias in such a presentation of information. I don't think he's any better/worse than the other businessmen who are currently bidding to buy Chelsea. |
|
|
|
We have left nearly the first 25 minutes of the Barcelona - Galatasaray game so far. And this interesting game is still going on by a 0-0 tie. This makes me really think about whether we could see a surprising result in this game. But I still don't think so. Barcelona would definitely win this game by a decent gap one way or another. Their winning this game by two goals the most would still be a big surprise though. Galatasaray have been terrible in the Turkish Super League but they still seem to be doing nice in the Europa League.
Based on the results of the first half, I would never bet on Barcelona with the odds offered by the bookmakers now - 1.3. No matter how much Barcelona controlled the ball, it did not strike a single shot on target against Galatasaray, and Galatasaray was able to make one shot on target. If the game continues like this, Galatasaray will be closer to victory than Barcelona. |
|
|
|
|
Great Campaign Manager!
Strictly and competently does his job. Always in touch and ready to help.
During my time in his campaign, I went from Full Member to Hero. Great experience, thanks.
|
|
|
|
Всем спасибо за поздравления. Активно заинтересованный в теме форумчанин. Последнее время не очень часто заглядывает в наш раздел, но зато обычно старается высказываться содержательно. Boristhecat, поздравляю со взятием очередной вешки на ранговом пути, с героем!
Читаю я почти всё, благо локал генерирует не так много контента (зато концентрация содержательных постов на исторически самом высоком уровне наверное). Пишу как обычно, хотя из-за известных событий и способности некоторых пользователей политизироваться/агрессировать на ровном месте, этого хочется делать меньше. Но грешно жаловаться, так как при нашем мелком жемчуге, кому-то сейчас совсем плохо (скорей бы весь этот ужас закончился). Все мериты раздал (даже когда в некоторых случаях пришлось нажать кнопочку Show/Hide), пойду зарабатывать новые ) Всем позитива и мирного неба над головой. |
|
|
|
We had a winner here. Since, his username was hidden, I wasn’t able to know.
It’s YOSHIE
Wow! Cool! Congratulations to YOSHIE! 2 000 $ is a good bonus to feeling like a cool forecaster ) |
|
|
|
Conclusion: if you find an opportunity to make an arbitrage bet, then you can bet only on one of the outcomes and on average you will still be in the black plus avoid problems with ToS of bookmakers.
This would be one solution to avoid being flagged as an arbitrage gambler, but you are still taking risks here. If the outcome you bet on didn't come then you lost your money. Individual losses or wins are not important. Only the average is important. In this example (and in any other case of arbitrage bets), the average outcome will be profitable. I presume you mean sports betting, right?
There's no way they will know that you are doing arbitrage betting if you are doing it on two different sites.
Arbitrage betting in the first place is not illegal, so why would the bookmakers or sportsbooks care about that?
It's an opportunity, but a rare opportunity as it's not easy to find it and I find it very difficult that's why I didn't pursue that kind of betting.
Also, most sportsbooks (crypto sportsbooks) promote anonymous betting, so how would they know that you are the same person who bet on the other site?
Yes, I'm talking about sports betting. I do not have all the information to prove that by arbitrage betting on different sites you will attract attention, and you cannot prove otherwise. Therefore, it is worth thinking about different options. It seems to me that bookmakers are not stupid and effectively resist those who are trying to make guaranteed money. As for the difficulty of finding such bets, I heard that there are aggregator sites that provide such information. In addition, if you bet live, then you will have much greater opportunities to find an arbitrage bet. Yes, crypto betting shifts the advantage towards the player. But in any case, the struggle between bookmakers and bettors is not the main topic of my thread. I wanted to show a mathematical paradox. The formula for arbitrage plays in sports gambling looks like this IMO. To cite an example, consider the last UFC event: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/UFC_272Let's say you were fairly certain Jalin Turner (1.67) and Kevin Holland (1.26) would win their fights. But didn't have an idea of who would win the fight between Ludovit Klein (2.33) and Devonte Smith (1.70). Make 2 parlays-skip- This is a completely wrong example of arbitrage. No matter how "confident" you are in the outcome of the battle, it may end differently. The meaning of arbitration is in guarantees. Your premonition and analytics do not guarantee anything. If you're sure about Jalin Turner (1.67) and Kevin Holland (1.26), just bet on them and take the easy money, right? |
|
|
|
|
sujonali1819
I upgraded my rank to hero, I've already changed the signature.
Would like to take the hero slot since there are free ones, thanks!
|
|
|
|
I've never been involved in arbitrage betting, but what prevents you from using the account of a friend or distant relative with a different surname to participate in betting on the second site. As I understand it, they obviously will not be able to trace that you are engaged in arbitrage if you make bets under different IP addresses using VPN.
Big data. At a distance of 100-500 bets, but in fact earlier, you will be calculated and get a ban on both accounts even if you use different devices, VPNs, or even "work" together with someone real from another country. In addition, I'm not saying that all other methods are bad, I just "invented" (i think I'm not the first here) another way. I love math paradoxes and I find this one very interesting - you make an arbitrage bet but it's not really arbitrage (you don't bet on two mutually exclusive events) but still make a profit. |
|
|
|
|
For example, let's take the simplest case when we have the opportunity to make an arbitrage bet and get money without risking anything:
There are two outcomes of the event: 1 and 2, and let's say that at bookmaker A we can bet on outcome 1 with odds of 2.05, and at bookmaker B we can bet with the same odds on outcome 2.
It turns out that if we make two bets (for example 100$) on both events, we will get a guaranteed profit:
100x2.05 - 200 = 5$ net profit from a bet of $200
100x2.05 - either bet on event 1 or bet on event 2 wins
200 - money spent to place both bets
But there is a problem that bookmakers (most of them) prohibit arbitrage bets and most likely exchange information about the players who make them in order to get rid of them later. Is there a solution to this problem?
I think yes: the probability that of the two events 1 and 2 the first or the second will happen is the same. This means that if we bet only on event 1 (or 2) we will (on average) either win $105 or lose $100.
(105 - 100)/2 = 2.5 $ net profit from a bet of $100
Conclusion: if you find an opportunity to make an arbitrage bet, then you can bet only on one of the outcomes and on average you will still be in the black plus avoid problems with ToS of bookmakers.
|
|
|
|
I recently came across a sport headline breaking: Donald Trump reveals interest in buying Chelsea football club. And many thoughts ran through my mind, can Trump among many other bidders be the right man for the club. Cause it's only businessmen with the kind of passion as Roman Ibrahimovic had for the club that can still sustain and keep keeping the flag flying from where Ibrahimovic stopped.
What your take on this, with the likes of Trump in the race for the ownership of Chelsea?
Zlatan Abramovich and Roman Ibrahimovic - good mix ) Speaking on the topic, I do not see any problem in the fact that Chelsea will be bought by Trump. Even if someone does not like Trump as a politician, this does not mean that he should not be loved as a businessman. And it seems to me that it is better for Trump to be the owner of Chelsea than some regular sheikh (I don’t feel any negative towards them, but sometimes for them it’s not only a business, but also a purchase of status or money laundering). |
|
|
|
|
FJ username: Boristhecat
I'm in!
|
|
|
|
|
Поздравляю Excimer и Ratimov с повышением!
Оба шли к этому вопреки системе )
P.S. Возможно, сегодня я присоединюсь к вечеринке (ошибся, думал достаточно 480 активити и 480 мерита).
|
|
|
|
Interesting news. And even more interesting - is it true that the injury was received in a collision with Ramos? I've seen a few jokes on this subject and I don't know how jokes they are. This was my surprise. Well, Madrid has been given the home advantage; they are of course favorite in Santiago Bernabeu. But odd for PSG seems quite high at the moment TBH. I'm being tempted to place a bet for PSG instead of Madrid LOL though I wouldn't surprise if the match ends up as a draw   In fact, bookmaker quotes have not changed in any way after the news of Mbappe's injury. This is rather strange, or means that the latest news about the non-seriousness of the injury is correct and he will play as planned. |
|
|
|
|
Show Posts
