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1061  Local / Português (Portuguese) / Re: Bitcoin bate US$ 30.000 com rumores sobre aprovação de ETF on: October 16, 2023, 03:55:43 PM
Então esse foi o motivo do pump hehehe

Temos que pensar os dois lados, se negar novamente deve dar uma caída, mas se aprovar deve dar bom, só que eu não espero um pump tão grande assim só pelo motivo da aprovação dos ETFs, eu não acho que passe dos 35k, faz tanto tempo que está nessa faixa de preço que até esqueci como é aquela montanha russa  Cheesy
Ao que indica, parece que o SEC está mais para aprovar do que para negar pelas notícias que andei vendo sobre o SEC desistir de recorrer sobre a Grayscale

Enfim, vamos torcer
1062  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: SINBAD.IO Mixer October Bitcoin Price Prediction Challenge on: October 16, 2023, 03:52:08 PM
Prediction 2: $28,000
bech32 address: bc1qz8h4lcs72njn7x9whh5w68xut5adzs9yk0dsvr
1063  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ UEFA Euro 2024 in Germany ⚽ - Qualifiers on: October 16, 2023, 02:04:39 PM
Belgium and Sweden will play today. The Belgians have guaranteed themselves entry to the Euro-24 finals. So I'm not sure they will win. Belgium is currently leading their group, while Sweden is in third position with 6 points. They won't be able to catch up with the Belgians, but they still have a chance to finish second in the group. The Swedes are seven points behind Austria, so they need only victories in the remaining rounds.

I think Belgium will not be able to win, they have no strong motivation, and the players will not want to get injured. And Sweden will actively attack all 90 minutes. I am sure that the Swedes will win.

These matches are always difficult to predict, as they add more variables to the result
As you said, Belgium is already classified, theoretically they don't need to win anymore, but playing without so much pressure to win can make the team play even better and get a great result
Sweden have all the pressure now, and to tell you the truth, I think it's very difficult to qualify because they have to score 9 points and Austria have 2 relatively easy games where at least one win guarantees qualification

Belgium's win is paying 1.69, so I might go for it, but I'll wait for the game to start and get at least 1.90 odds to make up for it.

Maybe I'll bet on Netherlands too, as they're at 1.95 odds against Greece.
1064  Local / Português (Portuguese) / Re: Honda agora aceita pagamentos em bitcoin on: October 16, 2023, 01:18:13 PM
Devem ter começado a aceitar Bitcoin porque a comunidade sempre fez brincadeiras com a Lamborghini e não com eles Cheesy Agora é esperar a opção chegar no Brasil também Cheesy Cheesy

Uma pena que eles vão manter os saldos em dólar e não em BTC após as vendas.. quem sabe no futuro também virem investidores.

Sabe que isso pode ter uma pequena influência mesmo?
Porque em todas brincadeiras, todos memes de internet das criptos, sempre o pessoal falou de lambo, nunca vi falar de Ferrari, Porsche ou outras marcas, é sempre Lamborghini

Deve ter um bom tanto de milionários no mundo que utilizam BTC e poderão pagar com a moeda, mas de certa forma é uma supresa já que a Ferrari é bem restrita com compradores
1065  Local / Português (Portuguese) / Re: E se não poder voltar para casa, como recuperar o Bitcoin? on: October 15, 2023, 09:56:18 PM
Eu fiquei meio traumatizado com esse tipo de site depois que me marcaram em um post em que eu falava bem de um, sendo que ele foi vendido anos depois e se tornou um site que roubava chaves. Tongue

O negócio é pegar um .zip do código do site de uma época em que ele foi verificado, conferir o hash, e rodar offline. Nunca usem o site diretamente.

Você falando, lembrei que eu fiz exatamente o que falou, eu tenho uma cópia bem antiga do site pra eu gerar os endereços offline, porém não sei verificar certinho se o código está correto, eu gerei na época algumas carteiras, imprimi e deixei coisa de 50 reais em cada uma, até hoje estão intactas

Fato curioso, olha o endereço de doação do site  Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy



Eu fiz na blockchain.info inicialmente, depois migrei o saldo pra ledger.


Ah legal, nunca tinha feito dessa forma pelo blockchain.info (hoje é .com)


Esses sites são perigososs. Similar a blockhain.info, uma online wallet. Afinal, foi gerado online.

Sim sim, esse da foto eu só fiz de teste mesmo pra mostrar aqui, mas na época eu baixei o site e utilizei offline para gerar os endereços, mas mesmo assim como eu não sei conferir os códigos e não manjo de programação, não tenho como saber se estão seguros da forma que foi gerada
1066  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ UEFA Euro 2024 in Germany ⚽ - Qualifiers on: October 15, 2023, 09:40:35 PM
Precisely because of that ( oth teams needing a win) I played one ticket on Spain and other on both to score. I really thought that there will be more goals. One was denied by VAR and the only regular one was from Spain so I won only one ticket. I should have put everything on Spain...

I bet on Spain to win and I've just checked the result, another winning bet hehe
I was rooting for Norway to win to be honest, because it would make the group very interesting, Norway would have 13 points from 7 games and Spain would have 12 points from 6 games, it would be more exciting and Norway would try very hard to qualify.
Norway needed to have won or drawn at least once with one of the two teams (Spain and Scotland)

But now they no longer have a chance of qualifying, unfortunately we won't even have Haaland at Euro 2024

At least I got some money  Tongue

Spain's victory paid off handsomely (1.98)
Any good tips for the matches tomorrow or on the 17th?
1067  Local / Português (Portuguese) / Re: Quantos anos de atraso se a binance falir? on: October 15, 2023, 02:13:23 PM
Fogo e sangue nas ruas não sei. Mas não digo que não. Famílias destruídas, não tenho dúvidas. E até pessoas a suicidarem-se por causa de dívidas e penhoras e sabe-se lá mais o quê.
Mas não percebi a pergunta. Atraso relativamente a quê?

Não sei se vocês utilizam esse termo aí em Portugal também, mas quando falamos nesse tipo de atraso, seria pelo fato do mercado regredir em várias coisas que já conquistou nesse tempo e pelo fato de demorar mais para atingir algo no futuro.

Exemplo simples, podemos falar que a FTX nos atrasou alguns anos em relação ao preço do BTC por exemplo, já que derrubou a faixa de preço que estava antes. Podemos falar também que a FTX atrasou a adoção maior do BTC pelo fator de desconfiança que gerou, e por aí vai
1068  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ UEFA Euro 2024 in Germany ⚽ - Qualifiers on: October 15, 2023, 01:25:53 PM
The Spain vs Norway match will be held at Norway's home ground. However, according to the bet avoidance, Spain is more favored, and people are betting on Spain. Spain have played 6 matches so far and lost one and are below Scotland in Group A. On the other hand, Norway has lost 2 matches out of 6 matches so we can confirm that it will be a tough fight between these two teams. Odds of this game Norway ×3.80 and draw ×3.40 and Spain ×2.00, the match can be drawn. Moreover, the match will be an attacking one as they are very strong in Norway's own ground.

Yesterday I gave a good advice, but didn't bet hehe, not confident enough to risk
In my opinion it would be worth taking the risk on goals over 3.5, which has odds of 1.70

But today I think I can make a profit from the Spain match. The odds are excellent for Spain to win, and I think the chances are enormous, even though Norway need to win at all costs, Spain have played well again and are a stronger and more complete team
With 2.00 odds (1.98 here at duelbits), I'm going to place a good bet, I'm confident in this one
1069  Local / Português (Portuguese) / Re: E se não poder voltar para casa, como recuperar o Bitcoin? on: October 15, 2023, 01:08:18 PM
Cara  minha seed está sem durex desde 2017, e até hj segue perfeita no mesmo papelzinho. Eventualmente olho ela mesmo, tipo 1x ao ano.

Além disso, tenho um backup em outro lugar, com outra pessoa. Acho tranquilo fazer asim. Acho q qt mais complexo o sistema  mais arriscado.

Pois é, duram bastante mesmo sem proteção extra, no seu caso já são 6 anos com um simples papel que não deve ter custado nem R$ 0,50, simples e seguro
No seu caso, você gerou a seed com uma ledger ou foi pela Electrum mesmo?

Tinha um site legal que eu já gerei algumas seeds, não sei se ainda hoje é seguro ou não, mas dava pra fazer umas paper wallets bem bonitas pra dar um pouco de BTC de presente pra alguém, ou mesmo pra guardar
Assim:


Fiz pelo https://www.bitaddress.org/
1070  Local / Português (Portuguese) / Re: E se não poder voltar para casa, como recuperar o Bitcoin? on: October 14, 2023, 09:27:33 PM
Não acho a essas placas de ferro sejam assim tão necessárias.  Basta guardar o papel direitinho, papel pode durar muito... e sempre devem ter 2 papéis.

Fazer um backup é um procedimento básico pra qq coisa..

Uma dica bem simples mas que funciona, se você laminar o papel ou plastificar, dura MUITO e fica bem protegido contra umidade, rasgos etc, só não protege de fogo mesmo
E se não tiver como plastificar, você pode apenas comprar aquelas fitas adesivas (durex) e passar no papel, como se estivesse plastificando mesmo, assim tem um efeito semelhante

Acho que todo mundo tem papéis em casa super antigos como certidões, contas antigas etc que são em papéis comuns mas duram muito
Você também pode conferir 1x por ano e caso for muito paranóico, pode reimprimir ou reescrever o papel e assim vai

1071  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ UEFA Euro 2024 in Germany ⚽ - Qualifiers on: October 14, 2023, 06:30:24 PM
... and today too considering Malta defensive lines is so poor then i am sure Italy will win with 2 goals margin or more and for betting option i think over 2.5 goals seems good pick instead of Italy win which is had low odds

I don't really like placing bets on goals, I do it once in a while but I don't manage to get as many right as I do on wins
In this particular Italy match, goals over 2.5 has odds of 1.28, and I still think it's quite risky for little return
In my opinion it would be worth taking the risk on goals over 3.5, which has odds of 1.70

The difficult thing is that of Malta's last 15 games, only England have managed to score more than 2 goals in the same match (4x0). Even though Malta haven't managed to score any points, their defense isn't that bad.
And when it comes to an Italy, I wouldn't risk betting on it. Italy have had a lot of ups and downs, and this could be a game in which they play badly
1072  Local / Português (Portuguese) / Re: MetaMask é removido da loja da Apple (iOS) on: October 14, 2023, 06:22:47 PM
Acabei de conferir aqui, e agora está disponível na APP Store





Será que foi alguma atualização que foram colocar no ar e deu algum problema, ficando indisponível na loja de aplicativos?
1073  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ UEFA Euro 2024 in Germany ⚽ - Qualifiers on: October 14, 2023, 12:44:45 PM
It's really crazy to see Ronaldo back to play as a right winger, 38 years old player can still able to compete with the young generation in terms of dribbling and speed, he also scored 2 goals for Portugal.

But it's a tough match too, Slovakia can still score 2 goals, despite Portugal give a big pressure to them.

Ronaldo is an example of a professional that many should be inspired by
While there are footballers who don't take proper care of their bodies, who don't like training, who smoke, etc, Ronaldo is extremely careful with everything, especially his health, and this is reflected in his disposition on the field
He is perhaps the best example of dedication that exists today, and at the age of 38 he manages to play soccer at a high level, something that many thought impossible until a few years ago

Portugal have been drawn in a theoretically easy group, but they're doing their job and have only won so far, along with France


Here are my bets on today's matches...

Interesting bets. Did you place them separately or is it a multiple?
If it was a multiple, how much were the total odds?

The bet on the Denmark vs Kazakhstan match is very interesting
In the first game I would have bet on Denmark without a doubt, but after Kazakhstan's victory I was quite surprised and I don't have a very good guess, so it may be that over 2.5 goals is a better bet than trying to predict the winner
1074  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: CONMEBOL 2026 FIFA World Cup qualification (South America) on: October 13, 2023, 06:11:26 PM
Why was Lionel Messi not included in the starting XI? He was called up only in the 53rd minute, as a substitute for Julián Álvarez. I believe that the message from Argentina management is quite clear. Messi is no longer an irreplaceable player, that he used to be. For them, the combination of Álvarez-Martínez-González is working pretty well. Still, I expected a bit more from Argentina during yesterday's match. They won with a margin of 1-0, and that too against one of the weakest teams form the CONMEBOL confederation.

I don't know the exact reason for Messi not starting the game, it could be that the coach wants to start finding options without Messi, since the game was supposed to be relatively easy
In more difficult games, the coach has to rely on Messi in the starting line-up

The team led by Lionel Scaloni who had a reason for not starting Lionel Messi. It's okay to give Messi limited playtime after his recent injury.

It's a good explanation, that could be the reason too

When I made my multibet bet and placed Brazil, even though I saw that the odds were 1.09, I thought it wouldn't affect anything, but then I remembered how Brazil has become a shitty team since the world cup, so I decided to cancel my bet and change my comment about them after their game ended, but it was already too late to cancel my bet, Brazil's time zone with my country is very complicated and the game ended at a time when I went to sleep, when I woke up to go cancel my bet, I saw that they had already played and unfortunately for me, they drew and with that I also lost my multibet bet. Looking at the game itself, it clearly showed the inefficiency of Brazil's attackers

It's funny that Brazil put pressure on Venezuela's defense many more times, but couldn't score a goal, it was as if Brazil were playing a friendly game, it didn't even seem like they were taking it seriously. while the few times Venezuela created danger, they managed to score a goal. In my opinion, this Brazilian team with this current coach, they won't win anything big, they will hardly be able to become world cup champions with a mediocre performance like that. Even though I bet on Brazil to win and lost my bet, I congratulate Venezuela on the draw, they deserved to win this game because they were playing seriously, unfortunately Venezuela has a shitty government, that's why they don't grow

I don't think anyone expected this result. For Venezuela it was historic. Brazil are not in a good phase, and recently the starting striker, Richarlison, has been in a very bad shape, and is already psychologically affected by not being able to score goals for the national team
Neymar was booed a lot yesterday, and rightly so

I even lost my bet on the Brazil game yesterday, I had bet on Brazil winning with goals under 3.5
I'm happy for Venezuela too, as the country is in a lot of trouble.
But a team with the players that Brazil has, it's very hard to see them playing so badly and not being able to score goals.
1075  Local / Português (Portuguese) / Re: Quantos anos de atraso se a binance falir? on: October 13, 2023, 05:41:24 PM
mas como sabemos que tudo que desce, sobe um dia e tudo que sobe, desce. Uma hora a indústria se reergue e a tecnologia só tem um ponto de chegada: mais alto.

O que está acontecendo com a Binance nos últimos meses é o mais saudável para o mercado todo, e quem sabe pra ela mesmo, parece que perdeu um bom espaço nesse tempo, tendo que sair de alguns países e tendo alguns serviços interrompidos em outros.
Como eu disse, talvez seja bom para que a Binance não tenha o domínio absoluto que vinha alcançando e não prejudicar o mercado todo em caso de algo ruim

Num cenário ideal a Binance perde força e fica equivalente às outras exchanges do mercado (Coinbase, Kraken, Kucoin, e aqui no BR a Foxbit entre outras)

Vou até responder sua pergunta também, se a Binance somente acabar, não iria retroceder em nada o mercado, mas se sofresse um hack ou desse um exit scam ou ainda algum escândalo igual da FTX, aí sim iria prejudicar muito.
1076  Local / Português (Portuguese) / Re: [SORTEIO2] 0.00062 BTC por um novo tópico on: October 13, 2023, 03:22:03 PM
Olha só! Entrando quase aos 45 do segundo, mas acho que ainda dá pra participar, né?!


Claro, no segundo post que é o post do bot tem o prazo exato: Data final: 15/10/2023 15:00:00 UTC
Ainda dá pra criar mais tópicos e garantir alguns tickets  Cheesy
 
Essas 15h em UTC é Meio dia aqui no Brasil, então vai até domingo

Boa sorte!
1077  Local / Português (Portuguese) / Re: Binance adiciona novas ''camadas de segurança'' para saque on: October 12, 2023, 09:43:47 PM
Mais um relato aqui, ontem fiz um saque na Binance, e não pediu nada adicional, somente o tradicional 2fa e código do e-mail, mais nada

Mas isso me lembra que na Binance as coisas costumam ser implementadas em "lotes" de usuários.
Não sei a forma que utilizam, mas quando pediu o KYC foi assim, começou pra uns, e depois todos tiveram que fazer, foi aos poucos, mas é bom já saber de antemão pra irmos nos preparando
Obs - fiz o saque pelo aplicativo
1078  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ UEFA Euro 2024 in Germany ⚽ - Qualifiers on: October 12, 2023, 06:11:31 PM
Truthfully bookmakers are underestimating Scotland too much

It's a good opportunity to think about the risk/reward and bet on Scotland. Although I think it's a bit hard because Spain is a strong opponent in any situation, even if Scotland are in great form
Maybe a bet in Scotland win / draw no bet

But I'd like to point out one important detail about this group: if Spain lose today, Norway could have a glimpse of hope for possible qualification
It's difficult, of course, but a miracle could happen  Cheesy
Norway would have to win today, beat Spain and Scotland
And hope that Spain lose to Scotland (possible), and lose to them (very difficult)
1079  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: CONMEBOL 2026 FIFA World Cup qualification (South America) on: October 12, 2023, 05:22:10 PM
In 3 days we will have games, I'm still thinking about which games I'm going to bet on, but so far I'm looking at these games for a possible multi bet:

Argentina - Paraguay

...

Brazil - Venezuela

...


If you place a multiple bet on the two victories, the odds are only 1.35 (although the chances of Argentina and Brazil winning are enormous).
It's not my style of betting, but it might be worth placing a goals bet

I've done a simulation here and a multiple bet with Argentina winning + Brazil over 2.5 goals, gives 1.82 odds, which is quite an improvement.



The Argentina match has a chance of not scoring many goals, as Paraguay defend well, but the Brazil match has a high chance of scoring more than 2.5 goals, especially as Brazil are playing at home, with a great attack and coach Fernando Diniz likes to play a lot in attack
1080  Local / Português (Portuguese) / Re: Quais as suas abas favoritas no bitcointalk em inglês? on: October 12, 2023, 04:35:42 PM
meio off em relação ao assunto do tópico mas vocês viram que algumas campanhas de assinatura estão parando de aceitar posts após a página 15 em alguns tópicos?
novas estratégias

o do brasileirão já está na página 10 agora. hahhaa

Tem algum exemplo de campanha com essa regra?
Não consegui encontrar aqui, mas eu já sabia de modo geral que alguns gerentes não gostam mesmo de alguns usuários postando em mega threads, mas não é uma regra absoluta, já que na seção gambling tem os tópicos de campeonatos e esses obviamente duram o ano todo e terão mais de 15 páginas
No fundo mesmo os gerentes querem que façam posts de qualidade e participem de forma orgânica aqui do fórum
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