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10681  Economy / Economics / Re: Inflation, printing money and Bitcoin on: April 25, 2020, 03:43:01 PM
Pretty good analysis I would say, thank you. It somewhat resonates with some of my own thoughts. I definitely think that the US Fed's now unrestricted ability to print infinite money opens the possibility to a 1920s Germany scenario (for us Southeast Asians who were occupied by Japan in the Second World War, we actually refer to the 1940s "banana money" scenario -- you can still buy them easily off flea markets in most countries here), BUT it won't happen because they, as you point out, know how to control the flow and they're actually printing money they've approved to be pushed out (that's mainly stimulus money right now).

It will affect inflation, and it may just cause the debt ceiling to crush the system at some point later on, forcing them to print even more than they should. But for NOW, the here and now, it's not going to destroy the fiat system that Bitcoiners hope for. This system is broken, rotten to the core, swathed in band-aids, but there's too much at stake and too much invested for its players to just give up so soon.
10682  Economy / Economics / Re: Oh look! Another covid thread..... on: April 25, 2020, 03:09:45 PM
I don't really enjoy any of the covid talk, it's tiring and in my work, I'm not now required by clients who want to hop on trending hashtags to also add elements of it to the work I do, which feels almost tasteless to me, but there we go, we need to eat. But since it's you, here are some random (?) thoughts to add to that element:

1. Most governments in the developed world are taking care of those who lost work. Where I am, they will earn at least 90% of their salary if they lose their income or jobs, and in worst-case scenario, they will get on welfare. This is the same in many countries around me.
2. In my home country, government is giving small stimulus packages, like in the US. Instant cash to help, moratoriums on bank loans. But for the majority of people, this will run out in weeks, and doesn't help them pay rent or bills. People already are starving now, people I know are already moving out of homes to consolidate space and bills. Some close to me are moving back to villages to farm. Drastic life changes just so they can eat.
3. I'm in a weird position. Not qualified for anything in my resident country, nor for the aid back home because I don't live there. If I lose my income, there is no fallback plan, I already have seen paycuts, and many of those like me are in deep, deep trouble. So I look around and see people depressed by cabin fever, depressed by lack of contact, but I'm instead squeezing so much more work into my hours in anticipation of shit getting worse. It's not a complaint or a rant. I just wonder how many are like me. Making sure we get every bit of income we can now because it will dry up even more.
10683  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: BitcoinNews.com's English Premier League Football Pool Discussion Thread on: April 25, 2020, 02:07:49 PM
@hilarious that is a brilliant idea. They probably don't even need to do it without stirring the Toon hornet's nest. Just pump the prices of hospitality tickets, pump the price of VIP tours off-games, pump every possible prawn-sandwich-catering package and they could really get themselves a nice pocket of change to get their dream team.

@harko two seasons maybe, but even that lineup won't be guaranteed to gel together in one season, so maybe 3 seasons minimum to play well together, but then you'd still need to beat City and Liverpool regularly.
10684  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Craig W. only claims to be Satoshi, because he knows the real Satoshi is dead? on: April 25, 2020, 01:04:29 PM
I don’t know if this is true or not, but you do have a point here. It might be that Craig Wright knows about this Satoshi Nakamoto and maybe the real person is dead and he then decides to claim that he’s the one so that he can take all the glory.

Or maybe he took the courage to do so, because he saw other people that has been claiming to be the real Satoshi that nothing was done to them. You just can’t tell. And moreover, I am not wishing that Satoshi be dead, because I am hoping that one day he would show up and reveal himself and take the spot he deserves. I seriously want to see who the real Satoshi Nakamoto is, and I don’t want him to die , not yet lol.

Just take a few minutes to read up. And you'll realise he has no point. The theory of Satoshi being dead is a plausible one (relatively, as is the theory aliens kidnapped Satoshi), but the discussions that follow this particular thread of CW knowing stuff, has no merit, is full of holes and contradictions. It is extremely easy to:
- prove Satoshi is dead.
- prove any claim of being Satoshi.

Yet none of the claimants have been able to do anything other than peddle fantasy stories not even really interesting.
10685  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin and the Black Americans on: April 25, 2020, 11:07:05 AM
I don't disagree that black Americans suffered more from the system than whites (mainly because the whole system is rigged by old money, which is white) but I don't get what Bitcoin's really to do with anything, other than it was very likely designed by whites.

Interesting read on the book, nevertheless, but this level of wokeness is a bit misleading when it comes to Bitcoin discussions, because this money system ain't got nothing to do with colour.

Brown and yellow people, are probably the majority on this forum, for example. Am I wrong?
10686  Economy / Gambling / Re: 🚀 Sportsbet.io - Main Club Partner of Watford FC ⚽ Fun. 🏀 Fast. 🎾 Fair. 🏆 on: April 25, 2020, 09:33:15 AM
@cryptofrka: the concept is just so cool just reading your explanation. There's got to be more than 1 play allowed though on this kind of contest!

For me, us and Sportsguru, this is the first style of promotion we have done like this, so Im learning a bit too!

Good luck with your weekend and Ill be back on here when I have some solid results on NFL Multi master and NFL Sportsguru!

Have a good weekend, Steve! I think the promos are fantastic, though I really hope I get to view the next Sportsguru when the new round comes (it's a blank screen now on nostraguru). That was definitely the idea I thought would work well with people.



10687  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bloomberg report Bull run on: April 25, 2020, 08:27:38 AM
I'd have hoped to say Bitcoin's already matured. Adoption is probably accelerating, but I think the network's survived enough attacks and crises to be called mature now.

It was only invented 11 years ago. And we still see horrible bugs or vulnerabilities from time to time.

How fast is it reasonable to expect acceptance by mainstream, traditional investors? I would have assumed quite a lot longer than 11 years. Of course, by the time pension funds are willing to consider BTC, it will probably be trading at 6 figures USD. That's the payoff of being an early adopter of a speculative (immature) asset. Smiley

Ah we're talking about different things maybe. I referred to maturity of the network, but yeah I agree, it's immature as an asset or currency.

We'll always continue to see horrible bugs and vulnerabilities, the likelihood's simply too high for that not to happen. Last year Visa still had a big bug discovered. Fiat's bugs continue to prevail. A system isn't mature when it has no more bugs to discover, it is when it is in little danger of failing when bugs are discovered, to me anyway;)

Mainstream adoption? Oh I've always said we're far, far away from what people would like to believe. I'm Bitcoin all the way, but outside the developed world, visible Bitcoin adoption is at least a decade away -- but that's one big reason why I still think it's hardly late at all to "get into it" one.

I know it's a bit vain to say we're early adopters but relatively speaking, when we're decades away from seeing things priced in btc instead of usd, we really are. Great feeling, isn't it?Wink
10688  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bloomberg report Bull run on: April 24, 2020, 06:40:10 PM
 Born From the Financial Crisis, Bitcoin Maturation Accelerating
- I'd have hoped to say Bitcoin's already matured. Adoption is probably accelerating, but I think the network's survived enough attacks and crises to be called mature now.

 Stock-Market Shakeout Accelerates Bitcoin's Gold-Like Transition
Not sure Bitcoin's ever going to be gold-like in the near future, and not sure I want it to be like it either. I think a couple more halvings for sure, when it's only 1.56 per block, so in another 8 years or so.

 Bitcoin Futures Taming Bull Calf Toward Digital Version of Gold
OK we're really scraping the barrel here. Bull Calf? What was 2017?

 Bitcoin and Gold Showing Convergence With Endurance
That's a lot of gold comparisons

 Covid-19 Supporting Bitcoin On-Chain Indicators, Dominance
 Covid-19 May Give Libra Life, Spur Fed's Digital Currency Spirit
Any comparison to Covid and Bitcoin has to be at best tenuous, at worst, tasteless. But that's just me.
10689  Bitcoin / Project Development / Re: Bit-Get : Bitcoin Widget on: April 24, 2020, 11:49:46 AM
Any plans of having a PC version of this app?
It would also be nice if the source code was available for viewing to users just to be sure app wasn't created for malicious intentions. Trust is so hard to come by here since scammers have killed it all with malware that steal people's funds and sensitive information.

Yeah, or just a simple browser extension that has a notification if any of your desired triggers are met (something akin to a sportsbetting app where conditions are met and they let you know). I do get the phone idea. You're out and about and just want to be notified of something. Not necessarily useful for traders only but I could see use for a news person just to Tweet out huge price moves.
10690  Economy / Gambling / Re: 🚀 Sportsbet.io - Main Club Partner of Watford FC ⚽ Fun. 🏀 Fast. 🎾 Fair. 🏆 on: April 24, 2020, 10:12:42 AM
Never could fix the error on loading page so I wasn't able to join the NFL draft promo but hope someone from here wins it!

My multimaster hasn't done any better, only 5 correct picks (boo).

But happy to see the new MM out -- and happy to see quite a few 4/1 picks in this selection. Oh you so know me, Sportsbet. You so know me.
10691  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin Masterbating 2.0 Emails, don’t fall for the trap. on: April 24, 2020, 08:22:46 AM
unless you're someone important. public official, candidate for office, CEO of a fortune 500 company etc. then that shit will come back to bite you. Wink

Unless you pull of a Bill Clinton, where he got even more popular after all that Lewinsky nonsense. Or if you're a girl, then in which case you'll get even more famous and people will start offering you jobs.

Like that Jessica Khater from pron to Head of Institutional Lending

But hey, it's Bitcoin. We've got Ver, Wright, McAfee, why not unwitting pronstar?
10692  Economy / Speculation / Re: Is the US Stimulus check going to raise the price for bitcoin? on: April 23, 2020, 07:02:23 PM
Imagine now if that 400B monthly stimulus sees even 1% go into crypto. 4B a month for the next six months if the EMP Act gets greenlighted.

What are you referring to? "EMP Act?" I don't see anything about that in the news. I heard some House Democrats were talking about $2,000/month payments but I'm skeptical anything like that will ever pass.

Yup. That's the one. Emergency Money for the People Act. Maybe 2 weeks ago? Or last week? It's all a blur to me now when it comes to stimulus packages.

It's never going to happen of course, as it'll more than double their monthly spending. But hey, since they're printing money already...
10693  Economy / Gambling / Re: ▄■▀■▄ 🌟BITVEST.io🌟 💰WIN BY 🔶PLAY 📈INVEST ☕SOCIAL➡🔺PLINKO🎲DICE🎰SLOT🔲KENO on: April 23, 2020, 02:06:12 PM
Yeah, the real gamblers knows the difference between shady places losing your money and legit places that cost you some money. Bitvest is as legit as it gets and has been around for years and there was just one mishap which is fine and could happen honestly, not a big deal for me because I know in the long run I will recover (and in profit anyway) and will continue to make a profit in the long run as well.

Not really. I still wouldn't trust 100% some places I gamble a lot at, especially the anonymous ones where there is absolutely no protection against an exit scam. I trust them, only because I've been with them long and they've honoured payments, etc. I'd even recommend them, including Bitvest. But I'd never ever say to people you can trust anyone 100%. It's just irresponsible.
10694  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: BitcoinNews.com's English Premier League Football Pool Discussion Thread on: April 23, 2020, 01:02:17 PM
He probably isn't and I'm sure it'll be of the oil barons in the Arab world but I expect many more clubs to be bought in the future  by these people and they're just probably waiting for their chance to swoop them up. Most people don't want to let go of the clubs they own but Newcastle seems to have been a liability and nothing but a stress for Mike Ashley and the fans also hate him. Can't see why they'll like the new owners much more either, especially if they don't start spending cash, but as people have said it's not as easy as it used to be so I'm sure they'll get frustrated pretty quickly if nothing changes.

There's this guy, a former leader in my state, imagine a huge tract of land and sea full of oil, and full of timber, and extremely small population. We only hit 50% literacy LAST YEAR, we still fight diseases most countries eradicated decades ago (right now we have rabies, hand foot and mouth disease, in addition to Covid). Yet our GDP is massive, most goes towards central government (if anyone ever wonders how Malaysia got so rich), and massive untold amounts into the pockets of our ex leader, now retired.

Taib Mahmud, totally under the radar but he has also been rumoured to be the richest man in Asia. Take into account his entire dynasty and he puts some names to shame. He stays out of limelight because he doesn't do things like buy football clubs!

Oh and I do hope that streaming shake up happens!!! It's criminal how I actually subscribe to a local service for English games and I still don't get to watch all of them.

@tokeweed

Being stuck indoors all day & not being able to see friends & colleagues is depressing to be honest. We all work all week & look forward to the football & a few beers at the weekend but all pubs & bars are closed & football is off atm.

I’d say currently is one of the lowest times I can remember for my mood.

Hope you're well buddy. I've been working remotely for almost 4 years in a new country now, so I haven't met any of my friends (I don't have many anyway) for that long, and because of my circumstance, I hardly even meet people. I know only my butcher, neighbour... probably a bit more used to it than most, but it's still a rather lonely existence. That time I got out in Qatar for a few days was pretty cool, meeting real people for the first time in zonks. Now without football, it is a bit more depressing and especially with paycuts and now filling weekends with jobhunting rather than football. Bloody depressing... but we're all be okay I think.

Should go see you guys when we celebrate the league win!
10695  Economy / Speculation / Re: Is the US Stimulus check going to raise the price for bitcoin? on: April 23, 2020, 08:43:42 AM
Well there are actually "some" that are buying bitcoin with their stimulus check, the coinbase ceo twitted this a few days ago,

https://twitter.com/brian_armstrong/status/1250907110730170370

Basically he posted a chart which shows deposits in an amount similar to $1200 spiked about 4x during the last few days. So its either a coincidence or people are investing their money in crypto. Kind of like Costco had big screen TVs at exactly $1200 last week.

Well, it's not really evidence of buying, those are just deposits of the exact amount of stimulus cheques. Binance US also noted the same spike in $1200 transactions, but yeah, hard to believe that people are depositing stimulus cheques there NOT to buy Bitcoin.

Imagine now if that 400B monthly stimulus sees even 1% go into crypto. 4B a month for the next six months if the EMP Act gets greenlighted.
10696  Other / Off-topic / Re: My 14 year old son bought Bitcoin on: April 22, 2020, 04:36:00 PM
From 30 to 50 in a matter of minutes, very swift aging Shocked

I was just going to say, then I saw the whole thread;)
Also just realised my age isn't correct on bitcointalk. Or is it?Wink

With browser and cloud mining no one will get rich, and it will be good if he just lost some time before he realizes this is moving in the wrong direction. Faucets are almost same, but you can get some altcoins like Doge very quick and play with them, learn about wallets, transactions and get better picture how crypto is working.

In fact, browser and cloud mining is almost certainly going to get people into negative income if not done right, they're far better off just saving up to buy a bit of bitcoin. Faucets also work, but really it's only if you just want to test it and willing to slam faucets for 100 days or so to make min withdrawal. And yeah, probably suitable for most teens, but if he's good at coding, just go code on fiverr or some other and get paid in btc;)

P.S. I got btc for my kids and one of them already lost it. Lesson: I need to hold their private keys. I kinda expected it though, good thing it was a small amount. On the bright side, I contributed to btc's scarcity factor!
10697  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) on: April 22, 2020, 02:48:54 PM
Probably indeed almost certainly something related to money.
IMHO there are two possibilities.
They have threatened to give fewer prizes for this and next season, the teams take money based on the final ranking position.
They simply realized that if they refuse to play, the whole system can collapse as there is no money coming from private individuals and TVs.

Not sure about the date, they missing "only 12 games" and if they play every 3 days it is only 6 weeks if EUFA will delay all, they can easily and probably more safety start in June.

Yeah, it all boils down to money, and I think you hit the nail right on the head with the first option. Play, and get what we committed. Don't play, and you guarantee less prize money.

Brescia know they're most likely out anyway, so they'll want to squeeze the most out of this.

I don't know the financial status of clubs in Serie A but judging from the fallout yet to come at Barca, you think this will be a huge reset button to reshuffle the power structure?
10698  Bitcoin / Project Development / Re: My new trading bot is up&running and i came up with an interesting question on: April 22, 2020, 11:50:08 AM
Not a veteran bot user, but when I tried in the past, each was perfectly capable of running many strategies concurrently, each keeping its own records, easy to compare side by side in the same bot. And this was years ago. Pretty sure things have advanced by now.

At the height of my trading career mid to late 2017 (well, in a bull market, everyone can claim to be a trader ... Wink ) I set up an open source bot based on Gecko. This bot already does exactly what you describe and can, for example, carry out several different runs with different bot strategies concurrently. I liked the paper trading/backtracking feature best at that time. You can try out your trading strategies in Gecko based on historical data and thus determine whether you would have made a profit or not.

Maybe that also would be an opportunity for you OP to determine which strategy would be the most suitable here: Download an open source trading bot and use paper trades/backtracking to test which approach would have brought you the most profit (or, as in my case, the least loss).

You can find information about Gecko here. The project is no longer being developed, but that should not be a problem for this application.

Exactly. And I've stayed well out of trading, let alone using bots for years now, but can't help but see during 2017/18 even Gunbot tout these functionalities. Think more recently HaasOnline got a major upgrade that lets you do all those things too -- historical backtracking sounds pretty cool, but strategies that worked well in past don't tend to in current/future markets no?

And yeah, everyone can claim to be so smart in a bull market, I certainly recall all the proud posts of winning strategies being peddled to this day;)
10699  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: $3 billion in 'dust' to enter the market will push the bull run past the halving on: April 22, 2020, 10:34:23 AM
Last year, coming across an old account in a teeny exchange, decided to offload the shitcoins for btc and was just short of withdrawal minimum.

I actually did a calculation some time last year when btc was at around 3.6k. All of my dust in scores of accounts I eiter opened for gambling (where plenty of rains and tips were accumulated in 2016/17). All dust in stupid bouts of altcoin buying when they were actually worth something. All of that was easily worth 0.05 or more, had I been able to consolidate without having fees eat them up.

I bet you, as lucius points out, a lot of big boyss could pretty much clear up all those stablecoin dust and get into btc big again. I'm thinking all those delisted coins esp customers never claimed. Not sure why it didn't happen at Black Thursday though.
10700  Economy / Speculation / Re: Mythbusters: today's chapter - Bitcoin's correlation with traditional markets- on: April 22, 2020, 09:33:23 AM
I keep saying that if shit is bad for regular people -- and that means you and me and 99% of this forum -- then we will be spending on bread and bills, not forking out for more btc.

We'll even be liquidating btc (selling) to do all that. I know cause I'm forces to sell more these weeks, most of us freelancers and self employed have to welfare or stimulus package.

This isn't to say bitcoin isnt a safe haven. If we had to store value, and store it safely, hedging against loss of fiat, we would. If I had to run with my family and gather whatever wealth we had in a bag, you bet I'm keeping it in btc and not a lump of gold.
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