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10961  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🕹️ Esports 🎮 Prediction & Discussion Thread on: November 06, 2021, 10:27:47 AM
Unfortunately, EDG did win and in the final we will see the predicted pair EDG versus DG. At the moment, the odds for the final are as follows:
Edward Gaming 3,40
Damwon Gaming 1,29

DG look like favorites, but as we can see from the semi-finals, such a coefficient on them is hardly justified. EDG will take at least one map in my opinion and the match itself will end with a minimal gap.

Half an hour before the start of the final and the odds are now as follows:
Edward Gaming 3,80
Damwon Gaming 1,24
I don't see any point in betting on DG, but the coefficient on EDG looks very attractive. For some reason, I have a premonition that after the first map the odds will become more balanced.



It was obvious   Cheesy After the first game, the odds really changed a lot:
Edward Gaming 1,90
Damwon Gaming 1,85
Interestingly enough, the odds on the 2nd and 3rd maps are still in favor of DG:
1,52 - 2,40
I must say that EDG played the first game in a dominant style and I see no reason why they should not continue and win, for example, with a score of 3-0.
10962  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Which one are You ? on: November 05, 2021, 10:48:03 PM
~
Professional Gamblers
                    These are gamblers who make their living out of gambling. Professional ones aren't addicted and they have the tolerance, patience,self control with which they make decisions whether to continue or take a break.
~
Personality Gamblers
                    This is the worst among the different types, because the aim is to make money. Important thing, they never think of anything. They do cheats, lies, do all illegal things to win in the gambling. They wish to be on the top.
~

I don’t see a big difference between these two categories (we’re not talking about explicit crime?) Could you explain with examples what is so bad about gamblers who want to be on top and their goal is money? In my opinion, these are quite reasonable desires. And I must point out that people who move forward no matter what often make discoveries and change the industry in which they put their efforts. They are very different from the non-passionate majority.
10963  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Genting Casinos awarded for their safer betting standards on: November 05, 2021, 10:30:04 PM
If we talk about my country (Russia), then people here are very worried about the reliability of casinos and bookmakers. There are many organizations with murky jurisdictions here and they operate according to the laws of the wild market - as long as you lose everything goes well, but if you win then it can be difficult or almost impossible to get your winnings. Therefore, I do not waste time on research, but use proven crypto casinos and bookmakers.
But with the evolution of internet now users can pick the most trusted and reliable casinos on different payment options and when we are taking about Russia I don't think most crypto gambling sites are not restricting them so they can make use of the trusted gambling sites on the internet.

A lot of things are prohibited in my country  Grin All crypto casinos and most of the regular ones (even legal in other countries). Even on this forum, I sit through the VPN  Cry
It is clear that I can bypass locks, but this is becoming more and more difficult (this year most of the VPN services were banned), and if we are talking about ordinary average users, then they are forced to use only allowed resources (which are often scammers in relation to successful players).
10964  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2021/2022 on: November 05, 2021, 10:20:37 PM
Quote
The Manchester Derby will take place tomorrow at Manchester United. After a painful defeat in the previous match vs Crystal Palace, Manchester City will try to give their best resistance to win this derby. For sure this is the toughest match tomorrow for both team. I just hope Manchester City manage to secure the full point in this derby.
This will be the end for Manchester United's dream to win title. If they lose, they can satisfy with a competition for top 4 or in particular the 4th position only.

Top 3 looks to be so strong and it's hard to climb up to 3rd or 2nd position on the table at the end. It's almost impossible task for Manchester United.

In fact, even if United loses, the theoretical chances will remain even to take first place (with a large number of contenders for the title, situations arise when the loss of points is not as decisive as when two teams are fighting for the championship). Interestingly enough, this is also the most important match for City - if they lose, they will be on a par with United who have been criticized all season, and the gap to Chelsea and Liverpool will become even more significant.
10965  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: [BOXING] Logan Paul vs Mike Tyson on: November 05, 2021, 10:11:54 PM
I agree that this is a staged fight and the result will not be determined in the ring, but rather will be written by producers outside of it. But I would be interested to know at what age Tyson his chances would be obviously lower than Paul? 60 years? 65? With the condition that Paul is at the present age and does not age.
Tyson has not fought Paul yet, it's hard to just guess because Logan Paul is also well conditioned although he has not won a fight yet. We should not be too hype with the popularity of Tyson, remember, he is not young anymore and his power in boxing is probably gone.

Yes, if we talk about professional boxing, then the power is really gone, but to knock Paul out you don't need a monstrous blow (as is the case with any ordinary person) you only need technique and the right place to apply force. The only question is whether Mike will be quick enough to do it, and Paul is not careful enough to miss such a trick. If we take purely physical capabilities, then I would consider Paul to be the favorite. The problem is that after a couple of missed hits, physical capabilities become significantly weaker  Cheesy
10966  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Dice against plako or slot on: November 05, 2021, 12:01:27 PM
The odds will almost be the same between dice and Plinko because those gambling games are based on luck.
Besides that, the chances of losing the money will be almost the same, no matter if you use a different strategy in each game.
But we know that many gamblers have played dice and they use dice as their favorite gambling games.
If that is about the percentage, that will depend on each casino because they will have a different calculation on how much they will take from each game.

As far as I know 0.5% of house edge is practically the standard for dice playing in any casino now. These are really the best odds among all the games on offer, which is why many players prefer dice. It is obvious that in any game the casino will have an advantage, but it is even psychologically more pleasant to play knowing that it is the minimum/best on the market.
10967  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: [BOXING] Logan Paul vs Mike Tyson on: November 05, 2021, 11:16:25 AM
You can never tell that because Mike here is the old boxer and we don't know if his stamina is strong enough to last until the last round of the fight. Logan Paul may have no won a single fight yet, but he is well conditioned and he might not be easily taken down by an old Mike Tyson.

You are 1 out of 100 to say that lol. Do you really believe that in this exhibition match, Paul will stand a chance? Didn't you know that if it's on a real boxing match, Tyson will just easily pulverize Paul even how the condition that is? If you saw Tyson's preparation during his fight on his 1st exhibition match, you won't be able to say that.

The fight will be an exhibition match so expect a staged result.

I agree that this is a staged fight and the result will not be determined in the ring, but rather will be written by producers outside of it. But I would be interested to know at what age Tyson his chances would be obviously lower than Paul? 60 years? 65? With the condition that Paul is at the present age and does not age.
10968  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: The Gambling increase due to the pandemic, stats, UK on: November 05, 2021, 11:07:38 AM
It's not just the gambling habit, time spent in social media also got worse. People do reply in comment sections like "The Flash".
Thankfully, I have not increased my gambling method but just spent more time analyzing the game to where I put my bets in. That way, I could increase my chances to win.
Being at home 24/7 will make you crazy when your company lets you do your job at home. At first, it sounds fun but as time goes on, (2 years) you get stressed and look for a way to divert it and gambling is one way.

In my experience, remote work is more likely to cause disgust for the computer and everything connected with it (gambling). In my opinion, in such conditions, a person does not have enough live communication and this cannot be compensated for by watching TV series, games or gambling. Maybe that's why during the pandemic, the popularity of audio rooms on various social networks has grown much more than the popularity of gambling?
10969  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: The reason why Crash Games usually crash at lower values on: November 05, 2021, 10:55:19 AM
I think that the algorithm is what matter the most in software controlled games.In slot machines it is the algorithm that controls everything and although most of the providers say each spin is independent of each other we all know that getting on the reels the top combination happens rarely because the algorithm has decided so bu being programmed by the developers of the game to behave that way.Same with crash games and other software related games.

Knowing the algorithm is quite interesting, but in fact, if it does not contain any errors, it does not give you any information that you could use in the game to improve your results. As for the relationship between spins, it does not occur at the level of programming of each spin, but at the level of the algorithm + a random number generator that provides input signals to this algorithm. We can say that each spin is really independent.
10970  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2021/2022 on: November 05, 2021, 10:28:18 AM
So, Eddie Howe is the next Newcastle manager. Deal to be announced today, it's until 2024.

They tried with Conte, ten Hag and Emery, all 3 refused the job. Fonseca was apparently close as well.

Howe is not a big name, but a coach who I liked and thought that he deserved a bigger chance. However, this feels too big and too early for him. Still, Newcastle had to do something - they are in a real relegation battle.

I think this contract contains certain conditions for each year that the team must fulfill under the guidance of a coach. Otherwise, I find it difficult to understand why this contract is concluded for 3 years instead of, for example, one. The team is facing a major restructuring and the position of the coach may change too.
10971  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Genting Casinos awarded for their safer betting standards on: November 05, 2021, 08:06:48 AM
I am not sure how big the achievement is actually but people do really care about safety on a casino?

If you are talking about safety of our betting money then wven operating casino should be awarded with such rewards since they are being fair and giving the rewards to the winners.

If we talk about my country (Russia), then people here are very worried about the reliability of casinos and bookmakers. There are many organizations with murky jurisdictions here and they operate according to the laws of the wild market - as long as you lose everything goes well, but if you win then it can be difficult or almost impossible to get your winnings. Therefore, I do not waste time on research, but use proven crypto casinos and bookmakers.
10972  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: What game do you prefer in gambling? on: November 05, 2021, 07:56:43 AM
I've done gambling using Dice, Sportsbetting, Poker.

But haven't placed many bets in Sportsbetting and Poker but mostly Dice on a well-known gambling website in past but not now.

Anyways what do you prefer most!

Sports - Live casino or Dice

I see threads with this question so often that it's time to create such threads on an ongoing basis, for example like this: What game do you prefer in gambling? [November]  Grin
As for me, it's betting and dice now. Poker is a thing of the past because there is no time for it, and online poker does not appeal to me because of bots and special software that kills interest in the game.
10973  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽UEFA Europa League Discussion Thread on: November 05, 2021, 07:51:07 AM
Entertaining matchday in Europa League with some surprises.
What a big win by Bayer against Betis - 4:0.
Leicester is so inconsistent this season that they weren't able to win against Spartak at home. Vardy missed penalty and foxes is risking not to reach next round.
Lazio - Marseille was good game to watch and it ended 2:2.
Dinamo Zagreb achieved very important win against Rapid.
One of biggest surprise is Real Sociedad draw with Sturm.
Midtjylland win against Crvena Zvezda away is also big surprise. Early red card played huge role in this game.
But Monaco 0:0 PSV and 0 shots on target by both teams is something disgraceful.

I was also surprised that Spartak was able to draw in away match, I rather expected a major defeat for Spartak than an effective draw. Now a really funny situation has arisen in the group - the teams have 7, 6, 5 and 4 points from the first place to the second. In fact, everything will be decided in the last two rounds and each team has a chance to take first place.
10974  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: November 05, 2021, 07:26:06 AM
Bayern has been the most interesting team in Europe so far. Either they win by 5 goals or they lose by 5 goals. But on paper, Bayern looks like the better team in my opinion. Also, Freiburg has been playing quite well, but Bayern on their day can thrash any opponent you throw at them. More so ever, Lewandowski is in good form. So I guess this match will go in favor of Bayern.

Are you writing this seriously? Matches when Bayern have conceded 5 goals happen less than once a year. They concede on average one goal this season, but score almost 4 goals. In this match, they are likely to win 3-0, 4-0, 4-1, this is clearly visible in the odds:
1.19 - 8.3 - 13.0
The odds for Bavaria's victory are so small that if you bet in this pair, then on the total or Bavaria's victory with a handicap.
10975  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2021/2022 on: November 05, 2021, 07:14:09 AM
I don't think Man City can win against Man United in Old Trafford. Man United players must have more motivation to win at home, especially with their current condition that must win each match to survive at the top 5 on the table. Ole also probably uses everything to make Man United players play all out, it can be the end of his career in Man United if he loses in this match. Regarding the performance of Man City, I think they experienced a bad situation. They have just got defeated at home previously, while Man United can win against Tottenham. How can you think Man City performance is better?

One unsuccessful match can hardly serve as a reliable indicator of the overall strength of the team, if we take a longer period, then the results of City are much better than those of United. I think that City will be the favorite in the upcoming match, but the odds that the bookmakers are offering now I think are unbalanced:
4.8 - 4.1 - 1.7
This is a derby, everything is possible, that's why I consider such high odds on City unreasonable, I think they should be in area 2.
10976  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽UEFA Europa League Discussion Thread on: November 04, 2021, 07:35:54 PM
Unfortunately, we can already say that Legia lost. The beginning was quite optimistic and with some luck Legia could lead with an advantage of two goals, but nevertheless, Napoli's players were higher in class and were able to turn the tide of the meeting. If today Leicester wins Spartak at home (of which I'm sure) Legia will move from first place to third.
10977  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽UEFA Champions League Discussion Thread -- Group Stage! on: November 04, 2021, 07:29:08 PM
Yes, I also found this game dangerous on the part of Real Madrid, since they had to secure themselves with a more comfortable advantage than one goal. But thanks to Benzema, everything ended well. By the way, if we talk about statistics, then in the next season (or by the end of this) Benzema will bypass Raul in the total number of goals scored for Real Madrid. Only Ronaldo will be ahead  Cool

Everyone taking note and complementing benzema, who noticed Vinicius junior last night,the Brazilian is such a big talent.
Providing two assist to benzema in the game.~

Vinicius Jr. is talented, no one denies this, but he has yet to prove that he is worth something and if he wants to go down in the history of football, then years of hard work are ahead. I remember a lot of players who were very bright in their youth but never made it to the next level.

Benzema is a great player and a consistent scorer. If he keeps scoring like he already does, he will bypass Raul this season for sure and not the next one. Wink

To catch up with Raoul, he needs to score 32 more goals, given the fact that in a good season Benzema scores 30 goals on average, it will be quite difficult.
10978  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) on: November 04, 2021, 03:42:00 PM
Milan really have one of their toughest matches this weekend against Inter. Things have been so far so good for Milan. They won ten times in their eleven Serie A matches and lost none until now. This match has the potential to be their first loss but I still want to believe in Milan here. Maybe they will have a really big difficulty against Inter but they should be able to get at least one point.

Interestingly enough, despite the 7 points advantage and home play, Milan is ranked worse than Inter:
3,00 - 3,65 - 2,31
In my opinion, there is logic in such odds, but I would rather make them like this:
3,65 -  2,31 - 3,00
It is unlikely that someone will want to concede in this match, most likely it will be a closed game, perhaps it will end with a score of 0-0.
10979  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2021/2022 on: November 04, 2021, 03:15:19 PM
As for Conte's transfer to United, it is difficult to say how real it was, since we are very far from the club's management and cannot know the full range of ideas they are considering.
At the moment, I assess United's results as the worst that can be with such a squad, that is, United cannot fall below (this is optimistic, isn't it?  Cheesy ). Therefore, I suppose that in the future, for one reason or another, United will start to play better and will rather be a competitor to the top three teams than allow someone to seriously compete for the 4th position.
If you realize that too, so far the problem is with the coach and not the squad, right? Grin
So, as long as United is coached by Ole, is that enough for United to be able to compete in the top 4? I don't think that will happen even though their squad is good. Indeed, now it seems like United still have hope of finally getting into the top 4 in the near future, but I'm not sure Ole will be able to keep him until the end of the season. Considering many teams this season who are also in their best form, and of course Ole's position with United is still not completely safe there. Imo

Right. Therefore, I see two options - either Ole will finally be replaced and United will strengthen their game (and hence the results), or (suddenly) Ole's efforts will begin to pay off and United will become stronger even with him. I guess I'm subjective (since I'm rooting for United), but I hope that now there is a certain gap in the results that will be corrected in the near future, and it can be explained by an unpleasant coincidences.
10980  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽UEFA Champions League Discussion Thread -- Group Stage! on: November 04, 2021, 03:09:40 PM
Real Madrid didn't get a very comfortable win against Shakhtar Donetsk last night. They won 2-1 but it was a really competitive match. And it was definitely Benzema's night as he scored two goals and had a big role in the win. This was not the only thing important. He scored Real Madrid's 1000th goal in the Champions League in this match also. Real Madrid are the first team which scored at least 1000 goals in this tournament now.

Yes, I also found this game dangerous on the part of Real Madrid, since they had to secure themselves with a more comfortable advantage than one goal. But thanks to Benzema, everything ended well. By the way, if we talk about statistics, then in the next season (or by the end of this) Benzema will bypass Raul in the total number of goals scored for Real Madrid. Only Ronaldo will be ahead  Cool
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