~snip~
We are talking about a presidential poll, and this is for aggregate of polls. In this case, I would say that the +1.0% lead shown for Trump is not very insignificant. And as a matter of fact, different poll agencies have published POTUS polls for the last few days. And out of the last 17 polls, only three have shown Biden in the lead. All the other polls have shown either Trump in the lead, or a tie. Given this, I would say that Trump is clearly having an advantage right now. And also, the electoral college system will amplify that advantage.

~snip~
Maybe Messi won't get anything in the next World Cup, but what some users here have mentioned is that Messi is still Messi, a football superstar who has become the idol of footballers all over the world and that also includes Argentinian footballers. Messi won't get anything, but young Argentine national team players will get something very valuable in their lives, namely playing football with Lionel Messi. It is possible that in the 2026 World Cup there will be several new faces in the Argentina national team and we can confirm that their average age is 20-29 years which means they are football players born in 1997-2006 and it is certain that they will be very motivated for every match.

~snip~
As much as luck remains the primary determinant of a gamblers fate, we could still bank some on skill as, there are a few games that uses a bit of skill and know well in a fair play situation to determine who wins. Games such as we have in sports betting. It’s almost normal for the elite teams to take the lead and shine on every time with some few cases where you can have even an almost relegated team come up with some surprises and be the victor.

Another game for the casino board games is the game of poker and even blackjack. Play your cards right and you just might find yourself winning impressively.

Still, there is a luck factor attached as, you never can accurately speculate when those surprises are going to come or not. So, you don’t ho all in at any point. It could easily turn out to be a big mistake.

~snip~
Ironically, lately Biden has done nothing to prevent more sections of the wall to be build, approved the deportation of people from Venezuela back to their country of origin,etc.
Biden may be in his golden ages, but as a politician he is not stupid, he knows people from New York (a democrat/blue location, is suffering for the immense inflow of migrants without having a proper preparation and he does not want to be pointed out as responsible for all the chaos, specially as close as we are from the election day.

This all situation is nothing but a softball for the political rethoric of Trump and the Republican party, I would not be surprised his in the following polls Trump started to even take lead over Biden by some points. Because, whether we like it or not, Trump is good enough at using others mistakes against themselves, for his own political benefit..

Games like dice give a player a 49% chance of winning a bet if the odds are set at 2x, and that doesn't include the house edge as that is cut from the amount if you win the bet. If we talk about slots, most of them have a lower than 97% RTP (Return To Player), so there is basically no chance for a player to get back the complete amount even if the slot gives back to them unless the player is extremely lucky and they manage to win more bets than losing.

So, the probability of losing in slots is obviously higher than in other games and that is the reason why they eat up a lot of money even if they have good RTPs. Other games might not have any RTP, but they provide slightly higher chances for the player to win certain bets.

I think Casinos take advantage of that. Games like slots have a system like they will give you a jackpot when you have a small bet. Seriously, I think a system like that really exists. When you play a small bet, you will get a jackpot on a small bet and of course you will regret placing a large bet in the hope of getting the jackpot again.

First of all, I wouldn't consider Wikipedia as an authentic source of information. And secondly, +1.0% lead for the GOP candidate is earth shattering. During the 2016 POTUS election, Hillary actually had a lead of 1.9% and despite that Trump swept the polls with 304 electoral votes against 227 for Hillary. A lead of +1.0% in favor of Trump would actually mean 400+ electoral votes and even lean-blue states such as Nevada, New Mexico and Maine flipping to the GOP. And I would say that the polls look fairly accurate. There is a lot of anger even in blue states, regarding the border crisis.

Excessive frustration will only trigger a person to gamble non-stop because he will try to recover his losses and use more money to continue gambling. But it also won't guarantee he can recover his losses and he may experience more losses. But if he can manage his emotions so that they don't escalate further, he will realize that it is time to stop gambling and leave the casino so as not to suffer even more losses. He must be aware of it because he must be a responsible gambler and not spend too much money gambling. Moreover, gambling will not always give you a win, even a small win.

For me these days, I do wish I could gamble more instead of spending frivolously and indulging in cheap entertainment that cost me my funds, time and attention. Most times I don't get as much thrill and fun like when I gamble and have my blood pumping or emotions raving, but I know the importance of control and the need to instead save or reinvest my funds to solve a better need.
Investment is in the form of HODLing BTC as I have always said and perhaps in knowledge of trading and real world skill, hence why I heed to forming better money consumption habits than gambling which is easily addictive.

~snip~

Well, gambling in reality is that we already lose before we start gambling. Because we need to pay first the game before we are allowed to play. And if you’re not lucky enough, you still end up losing all your capital. This is the reality in gambling. Whether you win or lose, the house itself have already been getting initial profits from the players. That is why play only what you can afford to lose, and not end up blaming the casino site for not giving you chances to win.

~snip~

excessive frustration lead you to be more aggressive and instead of quitting or stopping it generate the kind of mindset that you needed to proceed and continue, more time to gamble can convert into more money to deposit, the moment you realize that you are doing wrong decision making is when you already emptied your bankroll together with your save money or money that's not supposedly for gambling and supposedly for more important things that it was saved or prepared.

Situation at the southern border is just appalling. 8,000 illegals are crossing the border each day, as per news reports. Just in the month of August, a total of 232,000 migrants crossed the border without any sort of paperwork. Rolando Salinos (mayor of Eagle Pass) was forced to declare state of emergency. Border agents can't just deal with the huge numbers who are crossing the border and it is quite possible that some may be slipping through without any background/biometry check. And from the pictures, I can see that >95% of the migrants are military age men, with very few women or children among them.

~snip~

Speaking of Wikipedia, that's what I found there about "realclearpolitics":

"In 2020, The New York Times noted that since 2017, when a large number of its straight news journalists were laid off, RealClearPolitics has had a rightward, pro-Trump turn"

And I went to Wiki because I was suspecting something like that. Trump "is back on top" for once, and they are happy to report it.

But Trump is not "well ahead", far from it. Even if we take the data from the same site, realclearpolitics.com, it looks like this:



I wouldn't call it "well ahead", to be honest.

Many sportsbetting sites are not accepting bets on 2024 USA elections right now, so, I can't say what bettors think, unfortunately.

~snip~
It's really hard to say which FIFA world cup will be his last world cup because I remember in 2018 Messi said that FIFA 2018 world cup was his last chance to win but out of curiosity, he participated in FIFA 2022 and he won it. He even said again that FIFA 2022 was his last chance but after the win, he even plans to participate in FIFA 2026.
Probably, he is not in phenomenal shape right now because age leaves its mark on the body but Messi's dribbling skills are constantly developing, every year he dribbles better and shows magic tricks, he still hasn't shown his limits. Such a phenomenal player. To be honest, I will not even be surprised if he plays in FIFA 2030. Simply there is no reason for him to retire, he will be way better player at the age of 43 than many other 20 years old players.

Addiction or using it excessively is not good. But we as humans have the desire to get more so it is normal when we see many people becoming addicted to gambling. But we have a way to prevent gambling addiction from coming to us. We must control ourselves well while gambling and have no desire to chase bigger wins. If they cannot resist that desire, they will only experience loss, resulting in them experiencing frustration and anger because they have experienced that loss. And if you are no longer a gambling addict, you must be truly grateful and never repeat things that could make you become a gambling addict again.

~snip~
actually no need to use vpn to access gambling sites, you can change the dns on your phone or computer easily, it can be useful for those of you who want to access banned gambling sites, you can use free dns such as clodflere or google dns.

~snip~
If they are skilled, it is because they learned it to the point of mastering it well. If it is luck, we can only wait for it to come, and it will not come to everyone. Only certain people can get their luck. Successful gamblers may own their casinos, but they hide their identity as casino owners and enjoy their lives peacefully. There is no point in showing off their success because that will only make them enemies.

And it is true that behind success, there are sad stories experienced by each successful person. And if they can learn from the mistakes he made along his journey to success, he will be a successful person. Successful gamblers also learn from their mistakes to become successful gamblers.

~snip~
Its interesting that a lot of people believe sports betting is just about data, but there's more to it than that, isnt it? The human element of the game is being lost if we only use AI to make predictions. Lets say a star player is injured and the replacement is a beast in training but has little to no internet statistics. That would be completely lost on AI, wouldn't it?

You make a valid point: AI might not be able to discern subtleties that humans do, such as the atmosphere created by instructional videos. Bookies will surely realize the significance of these "hidden gems" if we humans do. They may be ahead of the game, adjusting the odds in light of these revelations. Thus, perhaps, just perhaps, in the realm of sports betting, AI and human intuition go hand in hand.

currently, the reason is that young players or players who have high quality talent will refuse to move to the SPL as long as it is not known as one of the best leagues in the world. and that is very natural because Mbappe and Haaland definitely prefer to have a career in europe to improve their talents and experience more challenges and on the one hand, if these players have great careers in europe, of course the prices of these players will also increase.
like Ronaldo and other european star players who are currently in the SPL, initially they had career in europe until they were quite old and after retirement they would receive very high offers to earn large amounts of money before retiring and that is natural thing for me.

As this is the active World Cup thread, I'll post it here
If many here are already thinking it's bad that the World Cup will be played in 3 countries, take a look at this news that just came out:

The 2030 World Cup will be played in 3 continents and 6 countries

A brief summary: Argentina, Uruguay and Paraguay (South America) will play the first matches of each team in their own country, to celebrate the centenary of the World Cup
After that, the World Cup will be played "normally" in 3 countries: Portugal, Spain and Morocco (Europe and Africa).

It was FIFA's way of holding the World Cup where it prefers, while still paying tribute to the 100th anniversary of the first World Cup

So, what do you think? A good way for FIFA to please everyone?