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1161  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: January 17, 2024, 04:46:21 PM
-snip

People will be expecting Manchester city to defend the champions league as most recent winners which is very possible but Manchester city may aswell loose out if they don't get their complete squad on ground as at when required ,it will be really soothing to see another team win the champions league this season.
even thought I also like Man City, I dont expect this team to win the title in the UCL, but I rather hope that Real Madrid can get the title because if Man City gets another title it will be boring on the one hand I am one of the people who really Like Real Madrid in depth, the performance of these two teams is very balanced, but we have to remember that Real Madrid is one of the most experienced teams in the UCL and I am sure that Madrid can win another title this season.
1162  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) on: January 17, 2024, 03:34:25 PM
Juventus' victory with Sassuolo is indeed a big threat to Inter Milan's current position. Juventus really wants to compete hard to be able to overtake Inter Milan who is at the top of the standings, and at the same time wants to win the Serie A title this season. So Inter Milan must really maintain its playing performance and must also remain consistent in the next match. So you can be sure that Inter Milan will be fine, but if Inter Milan makes a big mistake in the next match, don't expect Inter to stay at the top of the standings. Competition in Serie A is very tight to win the top position in the standings and also win the title this season, because the performance of Juventus and Inter Milan looked very good in the previous few matches.
of course, Juventus current performance is putting pressure on Inter on the one hand, Inter has to work hard to win the title in the UCL and this is not an easy job for Inzaghi and the closer it gets to the UCL match schedule, Juventus will be more aggressive in adding points, while in the upcoming match Juventus will get the big advantage against Lecce very easy on the one hand, Inter has to fight Fiorentina, which is one of the teams that can provide resistance to Inter.
I dont expect Juventus to be at the top of the standings, but this is a very fierce competition and if juventus can really take over the top of the standings, I have to be able to admit that Juventus will regain its glory.
and on the one hand, I cannot avoid what Juventus has shown because this team truly ambitious in pursuing their target of being at the top of the standings, getting the title as well as getting ticket to the UCL next season.
Allegri plays a very important role here, he has been a great coach since last season who can give the best for Juventus and for a very bright future.
1163  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: January 17, 2024, 02:02:00 PM
In fact, if you think about Roma's bad results so far, it is not entirely Mourinho's fault and more precisely, Roma is indeed a poor club that cannot provide a larger budget so that Mourinho can target the players he is targeting. Now we also know that in the end Roma can only get a coach from their former legend, namely De Rossi and I am sure that Roma will not be able to sign a better coach with their current finances.

I think it's better for Mourinho to return to Chelsea because apart from that being his home, on the other hand he will get a very large budget from Todd Boehly to be able to get the players he wants and if he returns to Manchester United it won't necessarily make Mourinho better. Moreover, Manchester United is a problematic club and on the other hand, their ideals are too high if they want to try to win the title.
how is it possible that a reliable coach is able to take the team to a higher level while the management is very stingy for me.
even though this is very disappointing, I really support Mourinho departure because he is a very reliable coach and if he serves as a coach in a bad team his reputation will definitely decline and this time I am more relieved to see that Mourinho can save his reputation.

no, I dont agree if Mourinho joins Chelsea because this team is in trouble improving its performance but only has ordinary players and if Mourinho joins Chelsea I'm afraid it will only end the same as at Roma.
I would be more confident if Mourinho at least took a short break to look at a team that has a better future so that it can contribute to achieving higher titles.
1164  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: January 17, 2024, 01:22:20 PM
It was a very disappointing defeat, as it came against a team in a lower competition than them. If I'm asked if they deserve this defeat, then the answer is that they do, because in the game they are not so good and even the opponent can play better than them. Maybe the red card could be the reason for their defeat in this match, but still by chance when they were still playing with 11 players in the first half they did not show anything better.
West Ham must evaluate their defeat in this match, because if this continues it will be a threat that comes from within themselves when in the Premier League.
It seems that West Ham is experiencing a decline in performance because I see that there are no problems whatsoever with the players who I currently see are very fit, but for some reason the West Ham players have difficulty when they want to score, even though they have not been able to take advantage of several opportunities well.
If West Ham performance is still like this when they play against Sheff Utd in the coming week, it doesn't seem convincing because even though Sheff Utd is at the bottom of the standings, this team often puts up resistance which makes it difficult for the away team to score.
It's a shame but the narrow score doesn't really matter anyway.
1165  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: French Soccer League Predictions and Discussion Thread (Ligue 1) on: January 17, 2024, 11:48:19 AM
There was a fierce fight for a while in the match, but I agree that the most critical moment of the game was the penalty taken by Lens, which did not lead to a goal. If that penalty had been a goal, the score would have been different today. The player would not receive a red card and we would watch a harder fight. Maybe Psg would take a risk and score another goal. That's why something happened that changed everything: The penalty was not a goal.
well, that's what I actually mean, the match could have ended in a draw if Frankowski had scored during the penalty kick and also if the Lens defender had not received a red card.
everyone must have watched the match at that time even though some people said Lens were weak but for me not because even though they were competing with only 10 players Lens were still able to compete and provide resistance that put pressure on PSG defense even though they didn't score but I was amazed by Lens performance which looked very good.
It's just that the fierce competition became very bad when the defense became a little weak and the score that Mbappe scored was the result of a comeback when the Lens players were too advanced and in the end Dembele managed to pass Mbappe.

I am very sure that all the conditions in yesterday's match could almost have ended in a draw, but everything became very bad after the red card came.
1166  Local / Ekonomi, Politik, dan Budaya / Re: Keluh Kesah pedagang UMKM on: January 16, 2024, 06:13:15 AM
sebatas cerita dari pengalaman teman saya (bukan saya) dia menceritakan memang sejak terjadinya resesi waktu itu banyak sekali pedagang offline mengalami penurunan bahkan sangat sepi dan teman saya sebagai penjual pakaian dan segala barang yang berbahan dasar kain merasakan dampak tersebut dan ketika saya main ke tokonya dia bercerita banyak sekali dan yang membuat saya kaget dalam sehari biasanya dapat pelanggan setidaknya 10-20 orang tapi saat itu menurun drastis hanya mendapatkan 5 pelanggan bahkan kadang sehari cuma 3 orang aja itupun tidak beli semua.
nah, singkat cerita banyak sekali curhatan saya jadi kepikiran dan saya tanyakan kenapa gak ikut tren aja atau berjualan online ? dia jawab gak bisa caranya.

nah, inilah terkadang orang awam yang memiliki usaha terkena dampak negatif dari perkembangan teknologi karena orang awam sulit untuk mempelajari jualan online sedangkan salah satu cara untuk bisa tetap mempertahankan bersaing di bisnisnya harus mengikuti perkembangan teknologi ini dan akhirnya saya perlahan memberikan sedikit bantuan dengan cara mengajari cara berdagang online dan hasilnya lumayan bagus bisnisnya masih bisa berjalan lancar mendapatkan banyak pelanggan setiap hari meski toko sepi tapi orderan jalan terus.


dari beberapa pengalaman tersebut dan bahkan banyak sekali teman saya saat ini yang sudah berjalan di jualan online memberikan inspirasi kepada seluruh orang yang ingin membuka usaha akan lebih baik mengikuti perkembangan teknologi seperti berjualan online dan pelajari bagaimana cara memiliki usaha UMKM tapi tetap bisa mendapatkan pelanggan yang banyak dan khsususnya untuk pengusaha muda saya yakin siapapun pasti bisa sukses membangun bisnis UMKM dengan cara online
1167  Local / Ekonomi, Politik, dan Budaya / Re: Paylater dan Pinjol, mempermudah atau Menjebak? on: January 16, 2024, 05:34:02 AM
Yang memiliki rasa tanggung jawab setelah berhutang dan mampu mengembalikannya secara tepat waktu memang bukan masalah yang harus dibahas gan, tetapi yang menjadi acuan disini adalah orang-orang yang suka berhutang namun tidak suka membayar dan kalaupun mau membayarnya tidaklah tepat waktu seperti yang sudah dia janjikan sendiri gan.
yang garis bawahi perlu di perhatikan bahwa jika memang siapapun yang merasa dirinya tidak memiliki tanggung jawab yang besar atas segala urusan (termasuk hutang) lebih baik hindari daripada hanya akan membebani hidup sendiri + merusak hubungan dengan orang terdekat hanya karena hutang, seperti yang saya garis bawahi.
seharusnya, siapapun orangnya pasti bisa memikirkan bagaiman sifat dirinya sendiri apakah dia orang yang bertanggung jawab atau tidak dan di satu sisi harus mengukur segala sesuatu dengan cerdas seperti ingin meminjam uang di pinjol / orang lain, lihat dulu kemampuan untuk membayar apakah ada pemasukan yang cukup untuk menutup hutang tersebut dan jika memang tidak ada pemasukan akan lebih baik di pikirkan kembali sebelum meminjam.

Quote
Saya menganggap Paylater dan Pinjol itu bukanlah sebuah jebakan gan selama kita hanya menggunakan seperlunya saja atau ketika sudah benar-benar mendesak dan membutuhkannya gan, karena kedua hal itu juga bisa dianggap sebagai opsi pertolongan mendadak bagi mereka yang membutuhkan barang ataupun uang dalam waktu yang sesegera mungkin tanpa harus menjalani proses yang begitu ribet. Jadi kedua hal itu bukanlah sebuah jebakan sengaja, tetapi bisa menjadi sebuah jalan kemudahan selama setiap orang hanya menggunakannya disaat membutuhkan saja.
yap, memang benar kalau sebenarnya pinjol itu bukan sesuatu yang buruk dan bisa membantu ketika situasi benar benar mendesak tapi saran dari pengalaman saya, akan lebih baik tidak menggunakan pinjol meskipun keadaan sangat mendesak sekali atau benar benar emergency lebih baik jangan pinjam di pinjol dan lebih baik mencari pinjaman perorangan yang tidak membebankan biaya bunga yang besar.
seperti yang kita ketahui bahwa hampir keseluruhan pinjol memiliki bunga yang tinggi yang dapat membebani kita ketika ingin mengembalikkannya dan percayalah meski keadaan emergency pasti ada yang bisa memberikan pinjaman tanpa bunga.
dan yang di khawatirkan nantinya dalam jangka panjang menjadi kebiasaan pinjam di pinjol meski tidak terlalu mendesak dan hal hal seperti ini harus benar benar di perhatikan demi menjauhi resiko dalam jangka panjang.

nb : pinjol itu tidak menjebak tapi bunga yang tinggi yang akan menjebak kita
1168  Local / Altcoins (Bahasa Indonesia) / Re: (diskusi) harga pancake(cake) dan axs on: January 16, 2024, 04:23:19 AM
kalau untuk Cake sepertinya masih ada harapan gan agak beda sama AXS yang mana trend'nya udah habis gak kayak dulu lagi meskipun nanti bisa pump lagi tapi gak ada jaminan bisa sama kayak waktu itu.
sedangkan kalau Cake itu kan dari token asli Dex Pancake, nah, otomatis hypenya masih ada terus bahkan masih lumayan bagus dalam jangka panjang.

jujur aja sih ane agak skeptis sama AXS semenjak rugi banyak dulu staking kalau gk salah sekitar 40 AXS pas di harga IDR 700k akhirnya rugi banget pas harganya dump.
yah, cuma saran aja sih kalau ane lebih ke Cake kalau di suruh milih salah satu.
1169  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: What strategies do you adopt that can help to make millions in sport betting on: January 15, 2024, 04:09:19 PM
I never felt like I was a sports bettor who made millions of dollars but if you want to know usually gambler who wants to get rich quickly from sports betting they will use large budget betting on a single bets and only pick one game and that is one of the easiest strategies to make money millions of dollars.

but if you ask about strategy when I bet on sports betting, I only use parlay bets for no more than 5 matches and I choose to bet at odds that are not too high to get a bigger chance of winning and a much lower risk.
It is not recommended to anyone that if you really want to bet a large amount, it is better to bet on single bet with odds that are not too high.
1170  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Making too many picks reduces chances of winning. on: January 15, 2024, 03:58:03 PM
that's true but from my experience it has two directions.
initially I bet on esports betting in dota 2 routinely betting on single bets and every day I had 2-4 betting slips but all of them won and the total amount that I remember from several bets that I made regularly almost all of them won and I got quite a big profit for me and currently I still have all the pictures of my winnings.

but after I was tempted to bet on soccer betting, I tried betting regularly but the results were almost the same, between losses and wins.

after that, I learned from the experience I had that actually the chance of winning is not because we make too many choices, but as long as we focus on predicting, analyzing slowly and mastering certain sports knowledge, the chance of winning is definitely big, but still sometimes surprises ruin the betting slip.
1171  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: What's The Weirdest Alibi Of Gamblers So They Can Continue Gambling? on: January 15, 2024, 12:03:16 PM
in my opinion it is like directing us to continue gambling, by continuing to gamble I don't think it will guarantee that luck will happen, because luck is an expression of beliefs and attitudes to explain the behavior of someone who has control over events that happen by chance, therefore according to I think luck will only happen not to those who try, but to people who really have strong luck, because there are people who win at gambling with just one gamble.

This happened to my friend, I have been gambling for a long time, never getting a big win or jackpot, even though if you call it trying, it seems like I myself have tried my best. but with my friend who didn't know anything and wanted to try gambling, with one gamble he won a big jackpot. and this happened to three of my friends, therefore I don't believe that luck will happen to those who are willing to try.
sometimes wise words can lead us astray if we cannot understand them maturely and like the wise words mentioned by my friend, it is true that this will happen, but if it is done in the business sector, a person will not give up if they fail when doing business.
but it is not good if it is taken seriously in gambling because we know how the basis of gambling is about luck that comes without knowing when it will arrive.
with this, anyone who hears something with an alibi such as words of wisdom should not take it too seriously and it is better to process these words more wisely or else we will fall into a bad zone such as becoming addicted because we gamble too often.

trying means there's no harm in continuing to try, but it means you have to stick with strong responsibility, use the rules as your own guide not to lose control and still have to use smaller amounts to spend on gambling and dont spend too quickly on the gambling budget you have.
and my advice would be better if you try the right game, for example sports betting with small bets and using parlay bets. this is the right choice to try your luck.
1172  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Land-based Casino Enjoyers are something else. on: January 15, 2024, 11:23:25 AM
-snip
And people who experience this unstable mental disorder may not be easy to recognize because they can act like most normal people. They also didn't do anything embarrassing, like in the video. In fact, they looked normal and fine. But only when he talks or experiences problems can other people know that he has a mental disorder. He may destroy anything he sees to vent his emotions.

Perhaps she was too lazy to go to the toilet, so she decided to pee where she was sitting. Well, she shouldn't have done that because it was very embarrassing. There are many possibilities as to why she doesn't want to go to the toilet, but if we look again, it looks like she is receiving a telephone call while sitting in front of the slot machine. But we don't know. Someone who recorded it also didn't approach the girl Grin
ah, I have dirty thoughts. Cheesy
but I'm sure the girl doesn't have a mental disorder but she just has a mental or emotional state that can't be controlled.
because it's true what you said, it seemed like she was getting a call from her cell phone and I saw that the girl didn't press any buttons but for some reason she managed to pee on the seat.

the question is, if he really has an unstable mental disorder, why doesn't the casino ban him because usually someone who has a mental disorder usually answers with illogical answers when spoken to?
then the person who recorded the incident why didn't he tell the casino or warn him to immediately continue urinating in the toilet.

Indeed, this is a strange occurrence in land-based casinos and anyone who has ever gambled in a land-based casino will definitely encounter oddities like this occasionally.
1173  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Is gambling all about luck? on: January 15, 2024, 10:05:47 AM
-snip
It is clear, because in my opinion, it is also something that cannot be denied, because it is the rule that the house edge will always win, of course they set up the casino for the purpose of making profits from many people, so there is no way that the house edge can lose, and if someone does get a win, it is because they are lucky, because it is luck that can provide victory in gambling. you should realize that the purpose of the casino is to make a profit, not to provide profit, especially easily, it is impossible.

-snip
well, this is what I mean, all of this must be truly understood by all gamblers because whatever happens if we bet on a type of bet that depends on luck, we will never be able to win and will always lose in the long run, so we would be better off if gamble using the smallest amount and think of it as a small amount of money to try your luck or think of it as paying the casino for giving us a place to have fun.
If a gambler can understand what we are talking about, there is definitely no addiction or no misunderstanding in understanding gambling.

In fact, there are still many old gamblers out there, even a very large number of beginner gamblers, who think that gambling is not about luck, but the more we gamble, the closer we are to winning big, and they always ignore the house edge which always eats away at our balance slowly without us realizing the budget we have. already empty.
even though it is true that we will get quite a big win, if we take the time to calculate the total, the win will certainly not be able to cover the losses.

we must always remember the house edge not to bet excessively and use bets with a budget that we can afford to lose.
1174  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Use your winning responsibly on: January 15, 2024, 09:15:25 AM
-snip
It's quite a rough day if a gambler loss all his winning.
maybe this is the reason OP shared his winning story of spending something useful and choosing to quit immediately when he won, setting aside a little for another gambling budget.
and now we know the OP intention is so that we can know the right time to stop betting and dont waste the winnings we have earned and prefer to immediately spend something useful, no matter whether it's electronic goods or whatever, definitely spend all the winnings on things a positive compared to spending more on gambling.

the last time I won a bet on gambling I just used it to have fun with the family even though this looks like throwing away money just to have fun but for me it is very beneficial because instead of having to spend it to bet again and only I get the pleasure but if it is used on vacation together family, everyone can feel happy and there are many benefits from all this.
1175  Other / Off-topic / Re: Do you think gambling every day is better? on: January 15, 2024, 08:59:35 AM
-snip
-snip

But yes you can bet daily where the money will be small. I think you can manage your money according to your needs if you play every 1-2 days rather than getting addicted to gambling.
I often say about commitment and financial management in other threads which means that if you really want to gamble every day it's no problem as long as you can be responsible for what you have planned.
for example, you have a monthly salary of $200 and set aside 5% or $10 to bet within a month and bet on low risks such as sports betting by betting $0.2 or less.

with the example I said, there is no harm in gambling every day as long as you can manage your budget well without spending your budget on gambling quickly and on the one hand gambling is just a game to try your luck and as long as we have a strong mindset not to be too greedy and If you choose to bet in a small amount, everything will be fine without any addiction and respecting the money is also very much needed.
because if a gambler can appreciate the money they have, they certainly won't be greedy when it comes to spending money on gambling.
1176  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: January 14, 2024, 09:43:45 AM
Thank god Dortmund won.
Imagine they would have started the 2nd half of the season with a loss against yet another bad team, that would have been the end of it.
In the first games they must get their points because they mostly play weak teams before facing most of the top teams near the end of the season.
In the first half of this season they lost plenty of points because of being unable to beat teams like Cologne, Bochum and so on, this should not happen again if they want to make a run for the UCL.
I was not sure that Dortmund could beat Darmstadt and when I became skeptical about Dortmund match yesterday I thought that Dortmund would just split the score and end in a draw because Dortmund previously had 5 matches without winning and only got a draw but yesterday Dortmund managed to secure 3 points to secure their position.
I have the same thought imagining that if Dortmund loses against Darmstadt or only ends in a draw it will be proof that Dortmund will not be able to perform like last season.

for some reason this season Dortmund looks very chaotic while this team is famous for being a team that always produces new talent but this season it seems like it is difficult to get players like before or indeed this is a work in progress but if Dortmund continues to have inconsistent performances I am sure they will lose opportunity this season.
1177  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: French Soccer League Predictions and Discussion Thread (Ligue 1) on: January 14, 2024, 07:45:14 AM
A few hours remaining to start this match and now it seems Lens laterally got no luck against PSG. In the last season, these two teams were racing with each other for the French League title and Lens was even close to winning the French League but they couldn't do that in the last weeks. But this Lens is much different than what we saw from them in the last season and in the current situation of both teams, think PSG can easily beat Lens.
Lens doesn't look like last season but believe me, Lens are starting to improve and the start of the season looks very sad but now they have reached 8th place even though they were beaten Nice but that was an away game and I saw Lens when they played away that can't be said consistent, but if you compete at home, Lens could hold a draw or beat their opponent.
but the problem is that Lens today has to compete against the League 1 leaders, while PSG is currently starting to show its strongest performance since Mbappe decided to stay at PSG until his contract expires this player wants to give a good performance before leaving PSG.

In today's match, I find it difficult to say that PSG can win even though Lens is a little weak, but if they compete at home, Lens is able to withstand attacks from PSG and the score becomes a draw. so in this match it would be better if I bet on the Asian total which is much safer for me because if I choose to bet on PSG winning I'm afraid the match will end in a draw.
1178  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: January 14, 2024, 07:22:21 AM
Arsenal is currently in so much set back and they really need to fix up else they may end up just amongst top five as Manchester city, Liverpool and others are really get in the race to the top so will not letting any opportunity to move ahead get pass them, Liverpool is bent on staying at the top and in their recent performance they have really been performing brilliantly and maintaining their top position well enough but they still need some consistency or else Manchester city will take over leaving them at the second position on the table..
currently, Arsenal is experiencing a fairly deep decline in performance, even in EPL matches they have shown very bad performances lately, but we dont know what will happen next when competing in the UCL because performance in the EPL does not provide a guarantee that they will perform badly in the UCL because all the teams entering the next round in the UCL will definitely try as hard as possible to get through to the final round, even though it is impossible, at least there is strong resistance from Arsenal.

this time I really doubt Arteta team, which at this time cannot be confirmed as to whether the cause of the decline in performance in the domestic league is whether this is just a strategy to maintain the physical stability of the players or whether some of the players are injured or have experienced fatigue, but what is certain is that competing against Porto is a task which is very difficult because even though Porto is not very popular, this team could beat Arsenal with the strong defense that Porto currently has and even the attack line that looks ordinary but actually Porto attack line is very sharp.
1179  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Does signing up with affiliate links gives these benefits? on: January 14, 2024, 06:11:56 AM
maybe that's normal, but to be honest, I haven't studied this yet.

however, if you really register using a referral link from the biggest influencer in the world, if the casino really has the intention to cheat its customers, isn't this something strange? I mean it all depends on the casino's policy, if the casino is part of the best casino, they will never differentiate between customers who register using a referral link or just register without a referral in terms of withdrawals or deposits.

I have never experienced this but I think logically that if the casino differentiates between regular customers and customers who use referrals it seems unfair as if regular customers are not given good facilities but customers who use referral links always get good treatment and this needs to be addressed avoid it in the long term because it will be very scary if one day you gamble and get a big win and end up not being able to withdraw the winnings just for the reason of not registering using a referral link. very silly
1180  Other / Off-topic / Re: Know when to stop on: January 14, 2024, 05:30:27 AM
Quote
* Stop when your losing is now getting to you.
Quote
* Stop when you are not even winning at all, it's not your thing.
Quote
* When your losing is weighing you down, stop and restrategize .

this has the same meaning when victory is difficult to obtain, it is defeat.

regarding the right time to stop is one of the basic strategies to avoid gambling addiction because limiting the time for gambling like this teaches us all to be consistent and avoid expecting something big from gambling and this method is relatively the easiest to do but depends on the mindset each.

such as when betting on a casino game using a budget of $100, limiting yourself when you lose 3 times, it is better to stop to bet again the next day or when you win, you must also have limits, for example if the winnings reach $20, you must immediately stop and withdraw the winnings.
It's quite easy to do, but as I said before, this method still depends on the mindset of each gambler and if you want to be a healthy gambler you will definitely do it this way.
but if a gambler finds it difficult to set limits like this I believe he is an addicted gambler.
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