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1181  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2020/21 on: February 16, 2022, 03:39:16 PM
Today is the day for Atletico Madrid to play their missing game which is against Levante home. Atletico Madrid are the absolute favourite team here and they shouldn't have any problem on defeating Levante by a comfortable score. Levante are at the last place in the standings and they are the most desperate team now. They don't have the strength to make Atletico Madrid have a hard time beating them. And winning this game is going to be helpful for Atletico Madrid to leave Barcelona behind by three points and have the fourth place again.

Atlético is the clear favorite in this match, but the bookmakers give them a very small odds - 1.25. Given their deep crisis and unpredictable game, I would not bet on them. Athletic concedes an unusually high number of goals this season, and Levante does this every season, so it seems to me that in this match, betting on total over will bring victory.
1182  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽UEFA Europa League Discussion Thread on: February 16, 2022, 02:08:20 PM
The match between Barcelona v Napoli became difficult to predict, in contrast to the previous one where Barcelona was not so good and inversely proportional to the previous Napoli. Now after yesterday's transfer window, the situation has changed as both are at their best at the moment and both have chances to win. It's different if this happened a few seasons ago then of course Barcelona would be the one to win, but now both seem to have equal quality and therefore I think it's difficult to predict. But even so, the odds currently available suggest that Barcelona are still the favourites and I think both teams will certainly be able to score.

This is a good guess (BTTS). The bookmakers are giving odds of 1.67 on this outcome, which looks reasonable. Barcelona concede a lot of goals and even from weak opponents, so we can safely assume that a team like Napoli will score at least once. At the same time, Barcelona will be playing at home plus they have stepped up their attack so they will most likely be able to score as well. Based on this, it may be worth making an additional bet on the total.
1183  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Why a single bet is better than a multi bet. on: February 16, 2022, 01:57:48 PM
What does accas mean? Abbreviation from the accumulated bets?
I don't have a Fortune Jack account, so I want to clarify - do they give cashback only on the occasion of a loss? It seems to me (although it’s probably worth making accurate calculations) that sportsbet conditions are better (bonus + boost + free insurance).

Sorry, yes, accumulator = acca = parlay = multibet. I'm not sure on the exact origins but my very first experience on sports was using UK books, they always used accumulator or acca for short. Then my first crypto books were North American and I noticed they used parlays. I think multi is a lot more popular these days but I actually only started seeing the term in the past few years. I could be wrong =) I probably still think "acca" or "parlay" a lot, but I suspect multi is a better term to avoid British and US ambiguations!

FJ does a regular "4+1" so you would need to bet 4 accas on UCL and the big leagues, NFL, NBA (to my memory) so that's all the big leagues covered anyway, and then you'd get a freebet back, based on the average amount of your past 4 accas. Essentially, a 25% cashback as a freebet, which is better than a lossback (which tends to be lower). Sorry for not being more descriptive. It's not active now but every season it comes by at least twice -- again, memory! Accas do need to have 1.3 min odds per leg, but that's easy.

Sportsbet does seem better yes, and every leg tacked on to the 5 gives you an additional boost... up to 100% boost on 10 legs maybe? But I think you lose out on the insurance advantage, and it has a 1.5 min odds per leg too, making your options a bit narrower.

Thanks for the explanation, now I understand everything. By the way, in my language (Russian) another name for multi bets is used - Express. It probably means that one big bet consists of several wagons (bets) as a train.
As for the condition for the minimum odds of 1.5, in total for five bets this gives a coefficient of ~8. In fact, this is quite an adequate odds (not 200 and not 1000) and if you make several bets in one weekend, you can expect that at least one will win. I think this is a perfectly acceptable condition.
1184  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) on: February 16, 2022, 01:50:08 PM
Friday 18th February
Juventus 19:45 Torino

Saturday 19th February
Sampdoria 14:00 Empoli
Roma 17:00 Verona
Salernitana 19:45 AC Milan

Sunday 20th February
Fiorentina 11:30 Atalanta
Venezia 14:00 Genoa
Inter Milan 17:00 Sassuolo
Udinese 19:45 Lazio

Monday 21st February
Cagliari 18:00 Napoli
Bologna 20:00 Spezia

Source: https://www.skysports.com/serie-a-fixtures

This turn will be a long one with 4 days of games, Juventus will play on Friday Huh

Pretty modest tour. For me, only two matches are more or less interesting: the derby Juventus - Torino and Fiorentina - Atalanta. The rest of the teams from the top of the standings have easy opponents and are likely to get 3 points without any problems. It might be worth placing a few bets on the most obvious pairs like Milan - Sassuolo, but the odds are likely to be too low to take the risk.
1185  Local / Альтернативные криптовалюты / Re: DeFi - "Атаки" и Безопасность on: February 16, 2022, 09:16:15 AM
Потому они и исправили ситуацию, что в ином случае претензии были бы лично к ним, а не к хакерам. Мне кажется маловероятным, что они просто "благородные" и заплатили 0,3 миллиарда долларов со своего кармана только лишь из-за "важнейшей инфраструктуры и развития". ~

Я не люблю гадать на кофейной гуще. После произошедшего TVL их моста упал на 99%. У них было два пути, либо скамануться, либо обеспечить выпущенные средства и работать над безопасностью. Они выбрали второй путь и теперь пытаются восстановить репутацию. Лично я не вижу смысла в каких-либо манипуляциях с их стороны. 

А причин может быть много. И нет ничего плохого чтобы порассуждать о мотивах их поведения.
Прежде всего что наводит на разные мысли это то, что подчеркнул SPQRCoin - теряются гигантские суммы денег (0,3 миллиарда долларов!), которые предположительно составляют 95++% от капитализации стартапа, но разработчики не моргнув глазом "возмещают" средства и продолжают работать как будто ничего не произошло.
Для меня это нонсенс, я трудился в разных бизнесах и не могу представить какой-то легальный бизнес, который при потери 95% средств не обанкротится.
Соответственно возникает очень много вопросов - кто стоит за проектом? Люди с бесконечными деньгами? В чем ценность проекта что надо терять 0,3 миллиарда долларов, а не просто банкротить его?
Например, Meta Марка Цукерберга продала свой криптовалютный проект за $200 млн. У Meta деньги реально бесконечные, но при этом они не списали средства, не заморозили проект "на всякий случай" (обстановка быстро меняется), а продали его за 0,2 миллиарда долларов. То есть, проект от Meta дешевле в полтора раза чем какой-то там мост (который еще и рухнул как вы пишите)?
Для меня эта история выглядит максимально непонятно.
1186  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ English Premier League Season: 2021/2022 on: February 15, 2022, 03:36:12 PM
manchester united may even be putting a lot of pressure on the opponent and at the end of the game they lose or draw, their problem in not being able to score goals and having a more effective style of play is making betting on manchester united something extremely dangerous, I particularly no longer I bet on games they make because I lost money. i think manchester united management should hire another coach and start hiring other players, they could keep bruno fernandes and cristiano ronaldo, but other attacking and defensive players and midfielders would have to be replaced

Rangnik will remain until the end of the season and the club's management will solve the problem with the head coach in the summer. It will be quite a difficult puzzle, as Manchester United already have a very expensive squad and it will be difficult to change it, and the new coach will definitely have his own requirements for the selection of players. I will be watching this restructuring with interest.
1187  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2020/21 on: February 15, 2022, 03:27:25 PM
Yes, the competition for the La Liga trophy is for Real Madrid and Sevilla. But I think Real Madrid still has a bigger chance to win it. Although the point gap is only 4, the remaining matches seem not really difficult for Real Madrid. Maybe the match Real Madrid vs Sevilla on matchday 32 will be a crucial match to determine which team to win the trophy. If Real Madrid can get 3 points in this match probably has a bigger chance to win the La Liga trophy.

The fact that now there are only two contenders for the title is obvious (and Sevilla is more of a theoretical contender than a real one). Their match will indeed be the final one of this rivalry and most likely after it Real Madrid will almost officially become the champion of Spain, but I don't think this match will be important. Real Madrid have a rather easy calendar of games and most likely the gap with Sevilla will already be critical by this match.
1188  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽UEFA Champions League Discussion Thread -- Group Stage! on: February 15, 2022, 03:18:36 PM
Finally the Champions League is on. And it feels great to have a wonderful game today: PSG vs Real Madrid. In this game, PSG seem to be one step ahead but I don't see them as very clear favourites now. Because Real Madrid's performance this season so far shouldn't be underestimated. They have done great so far in the La Liga and the Champions League both. Considering that, they have the potential to surprise PSG in Parc des Princes too. However I still think that PSG will win this game by a one-goal gap and capture a nice advantage before the second leg.

Even if PSG win the first game by one goal, it will be a very small advantage before going to the Santiago Bernabeu. And to be honest, I don’t see any special prerequisites for PSG to be a clear favorite in this match, as bookmakers show us. Benzema will take the field, while PSG are missing Neymar and Ramos. I think that it will be an equal game and the result can be anything.
1189  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: CrazyTime and Monopoly, should we trust? on: February 15, 2022, 03:08:32 PM
I have the same feelings about these games and therefore I have never played them. But logically, if these games were dishonest, then sooner or later their organizers would be caught on something (or there would be a leak of information about how everything really works) and the organizers of such games would lose their reputation. But I don't think I've heard of any such investigations or scandals.

No one yet surfaces out of dismay for losing thousands in the game. The monopoly game I use to play was is a board game, not this kind. But yes if it has auditors I guess they all could conspire players in thier favor by rigging the devices.

Hard to prove fairness, I even suspect the live cam casinos are arranging those decks of cards already before they distribute to the players. I don't buy it when there is no cheating. The house will hate the game if that is the case.

In order to constantly (on average) win casinos do not need to cheat - mathematics works in their favor. I think it's much more profitable to do business honestly than to risk being discovered and losing all business (due to punishment and loss of reputation). By the way, the honesty of the casino can be checked not only by the honesty of video broadcasts, but also by mathematical statistics - if the casino is cheating, then the analysis will show it.
1190  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Why a single bet is better than a multi bet. on: February 15, 2022, 02:58:33 PM
2. You can get very good value with accas too, though, but only if you select price boosts or add in value from other promotions. FortuneJack has a regular 25% cashback on 4-legged accas, for example. I don't mind stringing together 4 legs over 2 or 3 weeks just for the 25% cashback, and I see very good value in this. Sportsbet has a running 5-leg boost+free insurance, it's pretty much 10% or more of a price boost PLUS the bet back if you lose one leg.

What does accas mean? Abbreviation from the accumulated bets?
I don't have a Fortune Jack account, so I want to clarify - do they give cashback only on the occasion of a loss? It seems to me (although it’s probably worth making accurate calculations) that sportsbet conditions are better (bonus + boost + free insurance).
1191  Other / Archival / Re: [BTC] Лотереи, Конкурсы, Раздачи... on: February 15, 2022, 12:58:01 PM
Узрите! Невероятный рисунок, который будет оценен дороже чем 99,99% всех существующих NFT:



Нарисован для участия в этом конкурсе. До окончания приема работ осталось 2 дня, а участников примерно 60, значит 10 самых плохих работ получат по 20$, остальные минимум 50$.
Так что участвуем и поддерживаем участников из РУ локала:




1192  Local / Майнеры / Re: Предпосылки для бана майнинга в Казахстаl on: February 15, 2022, 08:55:07 AM
Вышла большая статья на forklog-e на тему майнинга в Казахстане. Всё как и писалось в этой теме: временный запрет плавно перешел в постоянный (поставки электроэнергии для белых майнеров до сих пор не возобновлены). Фактически работают только серые майнеры, а белые ищут новые дислокации так как повышение налогов + лицензирование + нестабильность поставок электроэнергии + остальные риски Казахстана уже сделали майнинг там нерентабельным.
1193  Local / Альтернативные криптовалюты / Re: Крупнейшие скам-токены криптомира on: February 15, 2022, 08:44:56 AM
Если мелкие токены брать, то список будет слишком длинным, такие проекты постоянно появляются и исчезают:

Создатель мемной криптовалюты Shibnobi вывел $3 млн и оставил держателей и инвесторов без денег.
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С крупными все впереди - на дампе, я уверен, мы многое узнаем про некоторые коллекции NFT, другие крупные проекты, а может быть что-то и про таких столпов рынка как USDT.
1194  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Drake Wagered $1.3 million in super bowl bet using bitcoin on: February 14, 2022, 05:33:47 PM
Is this is paid publicity? I'm just curious, but regardless, I still like the fact that a celebrity is not afraid of risking huge money using a crypto sportsbook. Stake is already popular in the crypto space, but with this publicity, for sure they will be more popular, and it will not end there as the whole crypto gambling world will benefit from this kind of publicity.

I am also interested in this and especially wonder how much such PR costs. But most likely the details (if this is PR and not a regular bet) we will not know soon. I think that like all major bookmakers, Stake has a VIP program to attract celebrities and there are many different bonuses for such actions as "show your bet on social networks". Therefore, most likely this is a real bet, but he received some bonuses for his activity.
1195  Local / Майнеры / Re: Рекомендованные розничные цены видеока on: February 14, 2022, 04:59:45 PM
-skip-
в-общем цены хоть и падают, но до нормальных еще очень далеко. ждем, чо.

С такой инфляцией в обвал цен до нормальных "старых" уже вообще не верится.
Вот еще информация, хотя и в статусе "утечек":

Quote
GeForce RTX 4090 выйдет раньше: анонс состоится в сентябре, а продажи стартуют в октябре. Официальная стоимость видеокарты составит 1900 долларов.
Radeon RX 7900 XT предсказан в самом конце года – в декабре, а в продажу она, предполагается, поступит в первом квартале 2023 года по цене 2000 долларов.
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Помню времена когда системный блок стоил 1к $ и это считалось стандартом, а сейчас видюха (пусть и флагман) 2к $ будет.
1196  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🥶 Winter Beijin 2022 🥶 Discussion and bet thread 🥶 Winter Game 🥶 on: February 14, 2022, 04:40:35 PM
It seems that all charges against Valieva have been dropped and tomorrow she will perform in the individual program along with all the other participants.
Valieva's headquarters came up with (or told the truth) a variant of how a prohibited substance could get into her body and they were believed. A difficult decision and in any case, many are already very unhappy with it.
But scandals (including doping) are an integral part of any big competition.
1197  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: CrazyTime and Monopoly, should we trust? on: February 14, 2022, 04:28:03 PM
I also questioned the fairness of these games. I can't imagine that somewhere part in the world, there's really a live studio hosting these games. Even it was a part of the popular gambling site, I don't trust these games even for a purpose of entertainment.

Not just Monopoly or games similar to it but for other live casinos as well.

Live Casinos is not in my vocabulary to play with.

I have the same feelings about these games and therefore I have never played them. But logically, if these games were dishonest, then sooner or later their organizers would be caught on something (or there would be a leak of information about how everything really works) and the organizers of such games would lose their reputation. But I don't think I've heard of any such investigations or scandals.
1198  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) on: February 14, 2022, 03:48:21 PM
Atalanta 0 - 0 Juventus

just as I predicted 1 month ago that juventus would be in 4th position, today juventus is in 4th position

Roma 2 - 2 sassuolo


It's the second game in which Roma loses the opportunity to have 3 points and with that they are in 7th position

Milan 1 - 0 sampdoria

now milan Is the leader, maybe they can be champions

Formally, Juventus are still behind Atalanta, as Atalanta has a game in hand. By the way, did your prediction relate to the results of the championship or the position of the team in any particular period of time?
Inter is still in the lead as they have a game in hand. I don’t know why, but bookmakers consider Milan weaker than Inter, and even with the same number of points, they would rate Inter higher.

Isn't it 1-1?  Juventus is now in 4th position but they lead by 2 points only while Atalanta has 1 match behind. Means Atalanta may take over the 4th position if they win the un-played match. Basically the last result of Atalanta vs Juventus is not really good for Juventus as if they could win it then they would have lead by 5 points so even if Atalanta will win the match 1 behind, Juventus will still stand in 4th position.

Sure. It was a tragic match (for Atalanta) to miss the victory in the last added minute.
1199  Local / Токены / Re: Все что нужно знать о NFT токенах on: February 14, 2022, 11:44:28 AM
Очередная "позитивная" новость из мира NFT, краткий пересказ/перевод:

Платформа Cent приостановила торговлю любыми NFT кроме NFT твит сообщений.
Cent не является такой популярной площадкой как OpenSea, однако, у нее есть своя ниша и именно на этой платформе Джек Дорси (бывший сео Twitter и действующий сео криптокомпании Block) продал NFT своего первого твита за 2,9 миллиона долларов.
Что произошло? Компания просто не справилась с потоком плагиата (как создания копий NFT, так и выпуска NFT контент которого  не принадлежит выпускающему токены) и скама (воштрейдинг и использование NFT как ценных бумаг).
Баны нарушителей не приводили ни к какому эффекту, так как вместо одного аккаунта появлялся новый или сразу три новых.

Хеджази (сео Cent) сказал, что возобновление торгов будет возможно с применением (в краткосрочной перспективе) централизованных решений, чтобы защитить авторов контента, а впоследствии, когда будут найдены децентрализованные решения этих проблем, от централизованных откажутся.

Из позитивного вижу только то, что Cent адекватно воспринимает действительность и дорожат своей репутацией, в отличие от OpenSea, которая признает, что стала хабом скама, но глобально ничего не делает.
Из негативного: "красивая" теория NFT разбивается о реальность - без централизованного оператора вся отрасль быстро превращается в мусор и сборище мошенников, а с централизованным она бессмысленна. Нетрудно догадаться, что "временные" централизованные решения Cent останутся постоянными, так как никаких децентрализованных (кроме дикого рынка) пока никто не предлагает даже в теории.
1200  Other / Archival / Re: Вникаем в Метавселенные на примере Decentraland и Sandbox on: February 13, 2022, 05:44:24 PM
Самая топовая новость по метавселенным, которую я когда-либо читал, это вот эта:

Женщина пожаловалась на групповое изнасилование в метавселенной от Facebook

Пофиксили довольно оперативно:

Quote
Meta объявила, что запускает инструмент «Личные границы» для пользователей VR-платформ Horizon Worlds и Horizon Venues. Благодаря ему виртуальные аватары пользователей не смогут подходить друг к другу на расстояние ближе 1,2 метра, пишет Reuters.
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Другое дело, что все идет по довольно предсказуемому сценарию: кто-то жалуется на действия отдельных людей, а "наказывают" всех. Уверен, что вскоре во всех этих якобы "метавселенных" будет не только безопасное пространство, но и безопасный лексикон (когда вам система просто не позволит произнести в эфире запрещенные слова). И будет такая же тотальная цензура как сейчас есть на фейсбук:

Quote
Ранее организаторы протеста отказались от использования Facebook, после того как сервис дважды заблокировал их официальную группу. Кроме того, слово «гудок» (Honk), ставшее одним из мемов канадского протеста, стало противоречить политике сервиса, и сообщения, его содержащие, перестали публиковаться.
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Так что никакая это не Метавселенная (где все потенциально равны), а метаконцлагерь.
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