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1181  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 09, 2013, 09:56:10 PM
But I was too pessimistic. I still think we can go quite lower short term, but I'm now pretty much convinced that $50 was the real bottom. In my book, thats quite bullish - heck, we where at $14 at the beginning of this year

People seem to be forgetting that you could buy thousands of Bitcoin for $15 each only four months ago.

Are they really worth $113 or more right now ?

Nobody seems to think so or they would not be sitting on the orderbook remaining unsold for days.


There's +170k BTC on the selling book. If sellers believed they were worth less than $113, they would be selling.
1182  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 09, 2013, 09:50:01 PM
Well according to our fellow triangle of doom, the price is actually supposed to stabilize now.

Should stay within $100-$115 and tommorow within $100-$110.

The triangle might not "complete". The price could exit the formation in the next... 10 minutes!
Dan dan daaaaan!
1183  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 09, 2013, 09:34:12 PM
Guys... The Humble Double Fine Bundle now accepts BITCOIN!

If Totalbiscuit starts talking about it...  Grin

what the...



magicaltux payed $2048. dunno what to say...


He is often in the top donors.
1184  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 09, 2013, 09:30:35 PM
If the guys making the charts could actually predict the market movements, they'd be rich and they wouldn't be on here making charts trying to convince people.


\troll
Yeah, that's not like any of us bought BTCs years ago because we predicted it would go up.  Grin


Anyhow, a little introduction to TA for the interested:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SIdzeC77eOo&list=UUL9No2CVecC_8WazyduwHaw

You buying BTC in 2011 had nothing to do with TA or charts. Give yourself the credit for that, you saw the potential (I've read your posts).

No, I wasn't defending TA with this, simply pointing out that "they'd be rich and they wouldn't be on here making charts" wasn't exactly true.
(With a tongue-in-cheek, I must admit.)

Edit: I saw the potential, but I was also too entrenched to recognize the possibility of a bear market. Now at least I'm sitting on the fence.
1185  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 09, 2013, 08:31:05 PM
If we stay at the current price for a week don't we break the trendlines ?
We'll just draw new ones. On log charts, of course. Grin

Anything that isn't on a log chart is just chart manipulation.  Grin
1186  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 09, 2013, 08:23:52 PM
Guys... The Humble Double Fine Bundle now accepts BITCOIN!

If Totalbiscuit starts talking about it...  Grin
1187  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 09, 2013, 07:43:14 PM
If the guys making the charts could actually predict the market movements, they'd be rich and they wouldn't be on here making charts trying to convince people.


\troll
Yeah, that's not like any of us bought BTCs years ago because we predicted it would go up.  Grin


Anyhow, a little introduction to TA for the interested:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SIdzeC77eOo&list=UUL9No2CVecC_8WazyduwHaw
1188  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 09, 2013, 07:36:30 PM
Im going short here fully leveraged. This reminds me of the recent 140 high with no volume. Looking for 105ish to make me a nice 25% gain.

 Lips sealed
1189  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 09, 2013, 06:51:55 PM
Wow. The old thread took almost 1yr to reach 1200 pages. This thread is only 23 days old and already up to 340 pages. (...)

I think this is our attempt to compensate for our lack of trollbox.
1190  Economy / Speculation / Re: The short term bear case on: May 09, 2013, 06:38:56 PM
Eh... more than 6 months remaining in the year... I would wait a little.  Grin
1191  Economy / Speculation / Re: The short term bear case on: May 09, 2013, 06:27:35 PM
Does anyone get the feeling that the market is slowing down as we near the apex of the biggest triangle ever seen?


Isn't that what is expected?



Quote
Volume: As the symmetrical triangle extends and the trading range contracts, volume should start to diminish. This refers to the quiet before the storm, or the tightening consolidation before the breakout.
1192  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 09, 2013, 06:03:01 PM
C'mon Bitcoin! This is boring!
1193  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 09, 2013, 08:27:17 AM
Times scales are so different... Tweaking the time scales in that way you can find similarities in every chart in the world.

Corrected that for you.  Grin
1194  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 09, 2013, 08:15:26 AM
If I may, I would like to add some of my own analysis.

Many "bears" here believe the support line will break under the resistance line, pointing to the 2011
bubble and the long and excruciating crash that followed. (Both lines should collide in the next 2 days, at around $115.)
They might be right. Both charts kinda look similar.

Let's look again:



Here we see the peak, with the inevitable collapse, the rebound, the second crash... and so on.
I think we all know this chart by heart now.


Oh wait...
Wrong chart.

This is our chart:




What the hell did I just show then?

The gold "bubble" chart.

Here is how it deflated:






Now, obviously the timescales are different. But take a closer look.
Observe how the "popping" is similar. And by similar I mean frikking identical.



Everything is in log scale, so what we see really are relative changes.


Contrary to gold however, our support is ascending.
Notice how both support points occurred at almost the same places.




The full gold chart:



Disclaimer: contrary to 2011, I'm ready to drop a good chunk of my coins at a moment's notice.
I will not simply hold all of them and miss a golden opportunity like the one that arose when BTC reached $4.

1195  Economy / Speculation / Re: The short term bear case on: May 09, 2013, 08:12:53 AM
If I may, I would like to add some of my own analysis.

Many "bears" here believe the support line will break under the resistance line, pointing to the 2011
bubble and the long and excruciating crash that followed. (Both lines should collide in the next 2 days, at around $115.)
They might be right. Both charts kinda look similar.

Let's look again:



Here we see the peak, with the inevitable collapse, the rebound, the second crash... and so on.
I think we all know this chart by heart now.


Oh wait...
Wrong chart.

This is our chart:




What the hell did I just show then?

The gold "bubble" chart.

Here is how it deflated:






Now, obviously the timescales are different. But take a closer look.
Observe how the "popping" is similar. And by similar I mean frikking identical.



Everything is in log scale, so what we see really are relative changes.


Contrary to gold however, our support is ascending.
Notice how both support points occurred at almost the same places.




The full gold chart:



Disclaimer: contrary to 2011, I'm ready to drop a good chunk of my coins at a moment's notice.
I will not simply hold all of them and miss a golden opportunity like the one that arose when BTC reached $4.
1196  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 09, 2013, 04:27:52 AM
Stupid DDOS. I was ready for a price drop.  Cry
1197  Economy / Speculation / Re: Predictions for the next bubble on: May 09, 2013, 04:24:07 AM
We are still in the first bubble! Wake up sheeple!
1198  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 09, 2013, 04:16:49 AM
We are officially over sold and people are scared to NOT have coins.

Hourly RSI is at 50... how is that oversold?  Huh
1199  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 09, 2013, 04:08:16 AM
So what's happening now... the downtrend got killed by the DDOS?
1200  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 09, 2013, 03:58:53 AM
My bold prediction:

MtGox will come back up, everyone will look at each others... and nothing will happen.
Price won't move (significantly) in any direction.

big assumption there, that everyone learns from past mistakes.  Better copy / paste this one to the wall of bold predictions.  Bold indeed.
Can I get my parade now?  Grin
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