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121  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2022/23 Season on: May 01, 2023, 08:51:12 PM
It is difficult to do that because it is typical for Madrid to hold back and defeat big clubs by relying on counterattacks, especially if you look at their performance last season when they faced PSG, Manchester City and Liverpool in the Final.
I think the conditions will still be the same even though this is risky but this is still possible for them to do of course especially on several occasions, Manchester City is a little late when facing a quick counter attack.
I'm not too sure that Real Madrid will use a playing strategy to take advantage of counter-attacks because if they do this I'm sure they will be under enough pressure to beat Manchester City. Because Manchester has the quality of defenders who are quite solid in their defense, so if counterattacks become a mainstay of Real Madrid then it will have a less solid effect in winning.

I think this match will be quite hot at the Bernabeu stadium because Pep Guardiola will try his team to play better than what they have done so far. They don't want to repeat mistakes like last season.
It is true that defending in this case also has a big risk, but by trying to attack and go all out there, it can also make them difficult with the counterattack done by Manchester City because they are also very quick in that regard.
Odds are now in favor of Manchester City despite playing at the Bernabeu in the first leg but indeed this has become quite reasonable I think with the current condition from City, but I will be in Madrid this time.
122  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: May 01, 2023, 07:38:23 PM
I still think about Tuchel in Munich. At the moment he is no better than Julian Nagelsmann. I think it looks worse. Of course it is difficult for this short time for Tuchel. He came in at the end of the season with some problems. Tuchel is actually a good coach, but in the Bundesliga he hasn't been able to show that. If he fails to win the Bundesliga, will he be fired?
Julian Nagelsmann had been interested in Chelsea, but he refused. Maybe he will go to Tottenham. I think Julian Nagelsmann's substitution for Tuchel was too hasty.
There are some conditions where he really needs a lot of time to make this better. In fact, in this case, I prefer to emphasize the not-so-precise timing of the change of coach for Bayern here.
Tuchel is required to extend the rest of Nagelsmann which is actually also risky. Regardless of whether it is good or not, adaptation is important and Bayern should be aware of this because not all coaches can do something magical during the first few matches because it is necessary to improve adaptation and chemistry between coaches and players.
123  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: April 30, 2023, 09:37:19 PM
Bayern got to the top once again, it is looking like they are going to be doing fine. I knew the moment they fired Nagelsmann and got Tuchel that it may take a while before they can dominate like they always do, and they had a few bad games here and there, got eliminated from UCL which happens anyway, but they could be back on track now. It looks like they are still not at 100% Tuchel method just yet, but so far this is a good enough level to beat other teams at least.

Over time, either by the end of the season, or probably next season, they are going to be 100% Tuchel and they are going to be insanely well, going to change so much. Hopefully Dortmund will try harder and give us a good show up until the very last game of the season.
Yes, this takes time and in fact this change can be said to be not very accurate and hasty because Tuchel has to adapt to a competition that leaves little residue this season and Bayern's position is still less favorable to try something new.
But yesterday's draw for Dortmund puts Bayern on top again now and that's a very good thing for them at the moment.
124  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2022/23 Season on: April 30, 2023, 09:22:50 PM
Real Madrid should control the games against Manchester City and as possible have dominance in midfielder area,
Well, i don't think Real Madrid are going to control the game against Manchester City, in last season's SF when the both sides squared off, City controlled the game for the both legs, and still did not win. I don't think any football side can control the game against Manchester City, you just have to come up with a different game plan, and last season Real Madrid chose to hit City on the counter attack, which they were successful at.

Having said that, i don't expect Real Madrid to seek complete dominance against City, they will be patient and wait for their time on the counter attack, but i think it is City that would progress to the final this time around, they definitely must have learnt their lessons from last season and i am pretty sure they'd not allow it to repeat again this time around.
It is difficult to do that because it is typical for Madrid to hold back and defeat big clubs by relying on counterattacks, especially if you look at their performance last season when they faced PSG, Manchester City and Liverpool in the Final.
I think the conditions will still be the same even though this is risky but this is still possible for them to do of course especially on several occasions, Manchester City is a little late when facing a quick counter attack.
125  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2022/23 on: April 30, 2023, 08:13:26 PM
This victory didn't even change anything for Real Madrid in the standings, but the additional 3 points made Real Madrid widen the gap between the points and Atletico Madrid.
For Almeria, this loss has brought them closer to the relegation zone because the points are quite close.
Nothing can really be expected for La Liga for Madrid because they have really lost their chances there but this is still very good to get out of Atletico's pursuit and their confidence.
The presence of Benzema made all the players better, especially for Vini and Rodrygo, who indeed performed very well in this competition.
I think it's a total misunderstanding to think that Real Madrid played with so much energy like they did today because they're trying to fight for the Spanish La Liga title. They already know that even if it's not mathematically impossible for them to win the league at the of the season, they have to finish the season with a with good performances. The second spot in the is secured already but Madrid would still want to send a strong message to their UEFA Champions League semi final opponents that they're capable of winning not just the tie but alsi the competition
Even with the current condition they don't prioritize La Liga but they won't fully do that because we know it's about prestige and they don't want to be in the third tier and I'm sure they won't be there.
But when talking about the championship it is clear that this is impossible to achieve. The gap is far enough now that Barcelona will not be stupid by losing in their conditions with only one La Liga competition left.
126  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: April 29, 2023, 11:31:55 PM
This game was expected for Dortmund to win but they still lose to Bochum. The way Dortmund is going it seems if Bayern Munich comes back to their normal performance they will easily take the first position from Dortmund. Dortmund is not very okay this season to win the league.

Tomorrow's Bayern Munich match will be decisive, if Thomas Tuchel's team manages to win then it is certain that Bayern will return to the top of the standings because currently Bayern is only two points adrift of Dortmund.
Bayern Munich has a more than 75% chance of winning, I didn't expect them will make a mistake like a few weeks ago when they draw against Hoffenheim


Borussia Dortmund may never have an opportunity like this again. Bayern Munich gave them a very important advantage for the league title, but they failed to use this open opportunity. I think Bayern Munich will beat Hertha Berlin tomorrow and take back the league leadership. Also, I don't think Bayern Munich will make any mistakes in their remaining games. They made a big mistake once and gave their opponents a really important opportunity, but their opponents failed to capitalize on that mistake. I think they know they will lose the league title if they make one big mistake again.
With the current conditions and the probability of Bayern winning higher in this competition, this is obviously a little less for Dortmund.
Although after they are at the top their chances can be greater but after today especially after Bayern can win then their chances are getting more difficult because of course if Bayern win then the top position is regained and only hope Bayern lose in the remaining matches with their focus being in the Bundesliga really hard.
127  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2022/23 on: April 29, 2023, 10:03:55 PM
This victory didn't even change anything for Real Madrid in the standings, but the additional 3 points made Real Madrid widen the gap between the points and Atletico Madrid.
For Almeria, this loss has brought them closer to the relegation zone because the points are quite close.
Nothing can really be expected for La Liga for Madrid because they have really lost their chances there but this is still very good to get out of Atletico's pursuit and their confidence.
The presence of Benzema made all the players better, especially for Vini and Rodrygo, who indeed performed very well in this competition.
128  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2022/2023 on: April 29, 2023, 09:13:31 PM
Their defensive line is strong only that happens when Varane and Martinez are in it but when they are injured this is obviously a big problem for Manchester United.
For next season, they really need to overhaul their defensive line in this regard in order to make their conditions much better because if things like this are maintained then it will indeed be the same in terms of results in the end.

If you are watching the full game and the defensive line of MU was strong enough during the first half. Everything changes once malacie was entering the game and eriksen leave from the field. The defensive line of MU becomes very inconsistent and that's why totenham was able making two goals to force the result to be draw. Ten hag must marked it as his mistake. He shall not use injured players as his excuses. MU needs to buy so many good defenders and sold the useless defenders.
These defenders are useless for the team

Malacia
Meguire
Bissake
Dalot
Tominay

Those guys must be sold by MU to the another club. The money raised from them can be used to signed some good defenders to make sure if MU will not have same problem again in upcoming season.
Ten hag sees the current problem as serious problem that will be so hard to be solved.
This is something to think about for next season because their defensive line for the core and the proposal is unbalanced.
Some players like Maguire have been included in the sale list but so far no one wants to do that and I think United will still release him sooner or later even though this is obviously a financial loss because he was bought at an expensive price but it is a win-win solution when you see his performance continues to deteriorate.
129  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2022/2023 on: April 28, 2023, 01:29:34 PM

I think MU really needs great players guarding their back line because MU's defense very easily creates gaps that opponents can take advantage of, but even so playing as the host, of course Tottenham doesn't want to be humiliated for the second time after being beaten by Newcastle last week with a landslide score of 6 - 1 , Tottenham managed to make a comeback in the second half which had been trailing 0 - 2 , Tottenham finally managed to draw the score 2 - 2 , Manchester United actually appeared to dominate. They had a little more shots on target, namely eight times.
Their defensive line is strong only that happens when Varane and Martinez are in it but when they are injured this is obviously a big problem for Manchester United.
For next season, they really need to overhaul their defensive line in this regard in order to make their conditions much better because if things like this are maintained then it will indeed be the same in terms of results in the end.
130  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2022/23 on: April 28, 2023, 10:01:23 AM
Sevilla won a dramatic victory when they played an away match against Bilbao with a narrow score of 0-1. Actually, these two teams played quite evenly, but it seems that Sevilla was a little lucky in this match. Even the statistics record that Bilbao didn't do a single shot on target against Sevilla, didn't the two teams just play in the central area without threatening each other's goals?

However, Sevilla's only winning goal came in injury time after receiving a penalty and Ocampos did not waste this opportunity to seal victory for Sevilla. With this result, Bilbao is stuck in 7th place in the standings, even though they have the opportunity to shift Real Betis' position if they manage to secure full points at home. For Sevilla they have climbed to 11th place in the standings and it looks like they will continue to achieve a positive trend in the remaining final matches of this season.

I watched the highlights of the match. I think it was one of the most boring matches I have watched this year, both teams played very defensively and we only watched passes, there was no football player trying to score a goal. If I was watching this match at the stadium, I would be sorry for wasting time Smiley
Thanks to the goal they scored at the last minute, they got 3 points. They will probably finish one of these rankings in the league at the end of the year. Not a good season for Sevilla
The lack of opportunities and the monotonous play throughout the first and second half because the ball is more often in the middle area is indeed a bit boring.
I didn't watch this match until it was over considering the condition of both teams who were too careful.
But apart from that, Lucas Ocampus' late penalty goal still gave Sevilla 3 points and made them more comfortable in the middle standings at the moment.
131  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: April 28, 2023, 07:45:33 AM
1. FC Union Berlin VS Bayer 04 Leverkusen

The stake odds for this game are 2.95 for Union Berlin 3.05 for a draw and 2.40 for Leverkusen, Right now Kevin Behrens has a red card and has 1 game suspension, Jerome Roussillon, and András Schäfer can not play because of injuries, I think Leverkusen is doing great in my opinion and they could surely get the win their latest match was a dominant win against the Leverkusen, so my pick is Leverkusen,

Union Berlin against Leverkusen is definitely the top game at this weekend. 3 points are very important for both of them. Both want to play international again next year and I think both teams will make it. Leverkusen have to win a few more games to cement it. But with their performance it should be possible. In this game they are a bit more the favourite for me.
In terms of odds, I pretty much agree with that, especially having beaten Leipzig the week before, this will obviously add to their morale at the moment.
The Union are still having a bit of trouble keeping their defensive areas in check and that is evident by still conceding goals in the last few games they have played. 2.4 is clearly quite profitable in terms of current betting.
132  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2022/23 Season on: April 28, 2023, 06:11:36 AM

Manchester City have become a truly remarkable team. The main reason behind this team being so strong is that all the players in the team are quality and the coach of the team, Pep Guardiola, is an amazing person, the team is so strong today because of his amazing strategy and training.
so what? from the last few seasons they were like that too but in the end they lost and lost for this competition.
Their mistake of being overconfident in every competition actually backfired.
It has been several seasons that they continue to be favored but have to lose because of their own fault and if this season is like that in the end the conditions will remain the same and continue to repeat.
133  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2022/2023 on: April 28, 2023, 05:54:27 AM
When you have Newcastle at third place, and United at fourth place and Newcastle beats Tottenham 6-1 while United gets a tie, that is a bad look for United. Surely looks like Spurs team got together to play better, that's a good sign for them, but for United it is not a good look, even if it was a simple 1-0 win, that should have been locked and ready. They are still missing a game, so if they win that then they would get ahead of Newcastle and that third place is really important, it is a lot of money difference, both for UCL and for the league results as well. They need to get back to winning times and do a lot better, sure they have some missing players, but they need to be doing a lot better with whoever they have available to pass Newcastle.
Manchester United's next game is against Aston Villa for the rest of their remaining fixtures. I think this is still a little difficult especially with Aston Villa's current condition which is like getting an instant improvement since Emery was there.
Even Newcastle had to lose conspicuously for their home match so it is clear that if Manchester United is not careful then this could not be as expected.
134  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: French Soccer League Predictions and Discussion Thread (Ligue 1) on: April 27, 2023, 09:55:53 PM
Strasbourg - Lyon will be played tomorrow with odds that aren't that far so quite interesting. Lyon are favourite and Strasbourg have the home advantage.

The performance of the two teams made the city not too aggressive in determining the odds and indeed that is quite reasonable because even though Lyon can be said to be better than Strasbourg but Strasbourg's performance in the last few matches is also quite good and of course they play at home which could bite in this match.
But despite being in Lyon with odds of 2.41 I think it's worth doing.
135  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2022/2023 on: April 27, 2023, 09:33:47 PM
Now actually with the condition of Arsenal's defeat it is already confirmed I think.
Apart from the rest of the Manchester City match, it can be said that it is not difficult, on the other hand, Arsenal will still have 2 troublesome matches because after Manchester City, there is currently Chelsea next week and Newcastle after that.
Obviously, this is still very difficult for them, especially with their current condition, which is still very problematic in terms of performance.
The EPL belongs to Manchester City again now.
Indeed. We can see that Arsenal missed full points in 3 matches before they played against Man City. It was surprising that Arsenal got 3 draws in 3 matches, sadly they got defeated by Man City too. Now, it is clear that Arsenal is not in a good situation to defend their position in 1st place. Man City becomes stronger, they won't have a problem playing against smaller teams in the next few matches.

I don't think Arsenal will get a problem playing against Chelsea but it is surely very difficult to get points against Newcastle. Moreover, they will play against Newcastle away, I bet Arsenal will get a draw or be defeated in this match. So, it is simply clear that Arsenal probably finishes in the runner-up position this season.


I would probably say more boldly in this case because they are not in a bad shape in defending their position but their chance to defend their position is closed and it will open again when Manchester City have a bad game later.
currently the gap between Manchester City and Arsenal is only two points and Manchester City still has 2 games left. This means that it only takes one win to make them in the top position especially if the remaining two matches are won then it will be very comfortable for Manchester City.
136  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2022/2023 on: April 26, 2023, 10:02:21 PM
Manchester City only need a draw, it is enough to maintain the momentum of the champion because it is true that they have 2 remaining matches to get 3 points but if they really want to be safer then obviously doing their best with 3 points for this match will be very good for Manchester City.
At the moment they have everything in terms of odds and performance they are clear favorites but Arsenal can still make a reversal although it will be difficult.
We already know the result of the match, Man City won with big scores (Man City 4-1 Arsenal). Man City only needs to win 1 unplayed match, then they will lead the EPL standings. In the next match, Man City will play against a smaller team (Fulham), I think they won't have a difficulty getting 3 points. With the current situation at Arsenal, I am optimistic that Man City will be the champion of EPL this season. Arsenal has failed to maintain their position at the top standings, they missed the big chance this season. Although 2nd place is not a bad achievement for Arsenal, it is very unfortunate that they throw the opportunity in less than 10 remaining matches.


Now actually with the condition of Arsenal's defeat it is already confirmed I think.
Apart from the rest of the Manchester City match, it can be said that it is not difficult, on the other hand, Arsenal will still have 2 troublesome matches because after Manchester City, there is currently Chelsea next week and Newcastle after that.
Obviously, this is still very difficult for them, especially with their current condition, which is still very problematic in terms of performance.
The EPL belongs to Manchester City again now.
137  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2022/2023 on: April 26, 2023, 09:24:58 PM
But tonight, the king have been separated from the followers and Asernal booted back to we're it belongs, I never expected Asernal possible winning since the last couple of matches were Asernal failed to make any significant positive impact and have recorded a lot of failure in both loses and draws, so once again congratulations to manchester city for their tonight winning.
This adds to the string of bad results for them.
Next week there are still Chelsea and Newcastle lining up against them. Although it is true for Chelsea that it allows them to get points but the problem is in Newcastle who are rising again now.
With Arsenal's mental condition which is not well, I am a little worried about that even though in terms of position they will remain in 2nd position at the end of the season.
138  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: French Soccer League Predictions and Discussion Thread (Ligue 1) on: April 26, 2023, 09:04:12 PM
After suffering defeat last week against Marseille, Lyon will now play an away game at home to Strasbourg this week. In depth the squads of the two teams are clearly different, Lyon is superior but Strasbourg can sometimes make it difficult with the current quality of its players. It is surprising that last week Strasbourg managed to beat Reims, we know that Reims was so strong when they hosted their opponents at home.

Of course, with these various considerations, Lyon must be wary of Strasbourg and Lyon might fail to steal points away from home later. But I'm pretty sure that Lyon will win even by a narrow score, Lyon have to win if they want to have the same number of points as Rennes.
Strasbourg is not better than Lyon in terms of strength, this is their chance to win again after their defeat last week. On the other hand, Strasbourg is also on a positive trend with the consecutive wins they got in their last 2 matches. Another advantage that Strasbourg gets is that they will play a home game in this match. Even though on paper Lyon are still better, that doesn't mean they will be able to win the game comfortably.
They got a morale boost after the 2 consecutive victories created when defeating Ajaccio and Reims and of course the home competition will be something more for Strasbourg at the moment.
In terms of strength, Lyon is still superior, but it is not impossible for Strasbourg at the moment, especially if their goal is a draw, it will be very good for them.
139  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: French Soccer League Predictions and Discussion Thread (Ligue 1) on: April 25, 2023, 11:03:38 PM
PSG will be in big trouble if Messi is not at PSG next season. This season PSG became dependent on Messi. Without Messi performing well, PSG's overall performance would have been poor. PSG's performance in next season's Champions League will be poor if they cannot find a suitable replacement for Messi. But I think eventually the PSG management will be able to renew their contract with Messi. We will see Messi for one more season with PSG. Messi's return to Barcelona seems unlikely.
We know very well how Messi has contributed to PSG this season, counting the many goals and assists he has created this season. It's just that sometimes when PSG lose, all the blame will be borne by Messi and that's what makes Messi uncomfortable at PSG. But Kylian Mbappe definitely wants Messi to stay at PSG because he is an important figure who has helped PSG have a pretty good season. Apart from that, I also agree that it is unlikely that Messi will return to Barcelona because Messi's salary is still too expensive for a club that is experiencing financial problems like Barcelona.
It's a bit disturbing because it seems that the defeat by PSG is the fault of their star players because Messi, Mbappe and Neymar seem to be responsible for this.
This is clearly a bit selfish in my opinion because regardless of anything, this is clearly a bit against conscience, of course, especially all the mistakes are clearly the team's, not the individual's.
On the other hand, there are some conditions where there is news that Messi's salary will also be reduced which makes this even more uncomfortable.
140  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2022/2023 on: April 25, 2023, 10:31:49 PM
One of the most interesting matches to look forward to tomorrow is the match between Manchester City and Arsenal. Both teams will really hope to win the match to increase their chances in the title race. Arsenal appeared under the pressure of failure after losing a lot of points in the last 3 matches, while Manchester City will appear so eager to increase the chances of leading the standings before the season ends.

Manchester City, who are playing at home like this, are expected to win the game over Arsenal. Their probability of victory is very high compared to the away team, to me it makes a lot of sense. Arsenal may have to accept the fact that their title chances will be lost if Manchester City win, but I think they will put in their best game during tomorrow's match.
The match Man City vs Arsenal will be a very crucial match, it may determine which team to win the title. If Man City wins the match, I assume Arsenal will lose the chance to win EPL title.  But if Arsenal wins the match, they still have a good chance to win the title. So, both teams need to win the match and need to secure 3 crucial points. To be honest, I expect Arsenal to win the match but I doubt it because their current performance looks unconvincingly. Moreover, the match will be held in Man City home, Man City clearly has the advantage in this match. They also have a stronger squad and they are in good shape lately.

Manchester City only need a draw, it is enough to maintain the momentum of the champion because it is true that they have 2 remaining matches to get 3 points but if they really want to be safer then obviously doing their best with 3 points for this match will be very good for Manchester City.
At the moment they have everything in terms of odds and performance they are clear favorites but Arsenal can still make a reversal although it will be difficult.
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