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1201  Economy / Speculation / Re: Speculate where the price will be headed when gox comes back on: May 09, 2013, 03:57:30 AM
My bold prediction:

MtGox will come back up, everyone will look at each others... and nothing will happen.
Price won't move (significantly) in any direction.

big assumption there, that everyone learns from past mistakes.  Better copy / paste this one to the wall of bold predictions.  Bold indeed.
Can I get my parade now?  Grin
1202  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 09, 2013, 03:43:12 AM
DDOS attacks are sold in hour increments, aren't they?
1203  Economy / Speculation / Re: Speculate where the price will be headed when gox comes back on: May 09, 2013, 03:20:38 AM
My bold prediction:

MtGox will come back up, everyone will look at each others... and nothing will happen.
Price won't move (significantly) in any direction.
1204  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 09, 2013, 03:11:48 AM
Inb4 panic buy to troll you all.  Grin
1205  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 09, 2013, 03:04:03 AM
Well, that was anticlimatic.  Sad
1206  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 09, 2013, 02:55:47 AM
What else are you doing while watching BTC live, this forum... any other activities?

Yes, but I'm not sure everyone on this forum is 18 or older.
1207  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 09, 2013, 02:35:55 AM
Clearly, it's Evolve trying to break the support. Damn bears!  Cheesy
1208  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 09, 2013, 02:31:24 AM
Nice... MtGox going down when a downward trend is initiated. Panic sell, anyone?  Grin
1209  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 09, 2013, 02:27:14 AM
Darnit. I keep getting disconnected from the MtGox websocket (clarkmoody).
1210  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 09, 2013, 02:23:48 AM
Sure. But the zero just means displacement from the mean. A car's suspension is a damped oscillation but that doesn't mean it goes through the road when you run over a squirrel.

Agreed. But because price variance observes a Cauchy distribution, rather than a Gaussian one, so the "mean" is meaningless (pardon the pun) and can only be determined retrospectively from the oscillations.

What is more interesting to me is why, when the oscillation has about died away, the tendency seems to be for things to fly off in one direction or the other. I don't seen any obvious mechanism.

The mechanism is the butterfly effect in Chaos theory (which I confess I don't have more than an overview of). It is the butterfly effect. I think we saw this at $97 when someone bought 5,000 coins and a run to $166 resulted.


Nononono.

Obviously it's a Dirac function applied in order to be able to characterize the system's function.
How are we suppose to program good trading bots otherwise?
1211  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 09, 2013, 02:19:59 AM
Okay I just dumped 126, looking for someone else to jump on this and drive it to $108

Dumping 50 at 108
120 at 107.80

and 150 at 107.5

to keep the motion down



Bear plunge team?
1212  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 09, 2013, 02:13:56 AM
As the old saying says:
Quote
Disregard emotions, acquire BTCs.




Oh. My. Gawd.
Did you print this? Do you have the model?
1213  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 09, 2013, 02:08:21 AM
Time to sell little Goomboos  Grin
1214  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 09, 2013, 01:52:46 AM
As the old saying says:
Quote
Disregard emotions, acquire BTCs.
1215  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 09, 2013, 01:43:23 AM
Is http://bitcoin.clarkmoody.com/ bugging out for anyone else?
1216  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 09, 2013, 12:24:25 AM
Isn't this assuming the price is going down?
1217  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 09, 2013, 12:12:22 AM
Has everyone gone?  Is it just me and ChartBuddy here now? 

Nothing's gonna happen before the coinapolypse.
1218  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 08, 2013, 11:15:41 PM
More TA bullshit then, for the interested:

Quote
The symmetrical triangle, which can also be referred to as a coil, usually forms during a trend as a continuation pattern. The pattern contains at least two lower highs and two higher lows. When these points are connected, the lines converge as they are extended and the symmetrical triangle takes shape. You could also think of it as a contracting wedge, wide at the beginning and narrowing over time.



http://stockcharts.com/school/doku.php?id=chart_school:chart_analysis:chart_patterns:symmetrical_triangle
1219  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 08, 2013, 10:45:32 PM
The day we all get our own bear!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CVMBdi4dgME
1220  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 08, 2013, 08:33:25 PM
Elaborate, please.

It was a joke. No one knows.

I suppose my smiley usage was less skillful than I thought...
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