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1201  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: How do you protect bitcoin from an Electro-Magnetic Pulse? on: July 04, 2011, 12:34:09 AM
If you're talking about an EMP taking down large parts of the Bitcoin network, well, let's just say you'll have more pressing concerns if that happens.

Exactly.  It's hilarious how some people think Bitcoin will save them in some sort of global catastrophe.  Potable water, food, shelter, Guns/Ammo, and maybe gold/silver will be way more important in a mass EMP attack then stupid bits of code.
1202  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: PAYPAL SCAM ALERT, scammer is John Binns and paypal. on: July 04, 2011, 12:27:30 AM
You can still use Paypal (but not via Ebay) to sell Bitcoins safely.  If you are a seller, tell the buyer to send the funds as a gift.  They will have no recourse against you.  Of course, this just shifts the risk to the buyer but if you can get a buyer willing to do so, Paypal is perfectly safe to use for a BTC seller. 

In a world of anonymity, someone has to bear the risk.  Just make sure it's not you. 
1203  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: My country doesn't trust dollar anymore on: July 04, 2011, 12:19:51 AM
Indonesia has aging oil fields and rising local demand.  In other words, your country is a net oil importer and thus in the eyes of the US, we don't give a shit.  Buy our debt or sell us oil.  Otherwise, no one cares about you.
1204  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: PAYPAL SCAM ALERT, scammer is John Binns and paypal. on: July 03, 2011, 08:19:57 PM
You can't prove shipment.  Blockexplorer doesn't mean shit.  If Paypal doesn't consider a receipt from the USPS as a form of shipment (they require a tracking #) you think they're going to give a rip about blockexplorer?

Bitcoins were banned from selling at Ebay.  If you continue to use it, then you do so at your own risk so stop crying.
1205  Economy / Speculation / Re: How I know that the Bitcoin boat has sailed on: July 03, 2011, 05:31:33 AM
Elwar,

It seems like you're an "all in" type of person.  I think one of your biggest mistakes is lack of diversification.  Selling gold to buy company stock is a good example.  This is a big investing mistake.  Not only should you never put all your money into a single stock, this is particularly important when that one stock is your place of employment.  For the simple reason that if your company goes under, you not only lose your job but all of your investments as well.

I'm of the opinion that our economy is in for a very rough ride.  The first thing you should have is a rainy day fund.  MINIMUM of 6 months worth of expenses, more if you can.  Then you can do your traditional investing in whatever you choose.  Lastly have a small portion for speculation like investing in Bitcoin, risking only as much as you can afford to lose without it impacting your life.

Hope you have better luck this time.
1206  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Does it bother you Bitcoins is used to finance drugs, child porn and terrorism? on: July 03, 2011, 02:23:35 AM
Child porn? Girls without tits is not my preference, but in internet everything should be allowed in my opinion. There is even more disturbing porn legally available, such as 18+ girls getting abused by some old and rich fart or gayfag porn. Why to care about CP if all participants have fun from making it? I remember myself as 12yo kid wanting to have sex with girl soo badly.

I'm not Christian but if I was, I'd pray you get hit by a bus.  Maybe the OP can help me out.
1207  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Worst threat to bitcoin on: July 01, 2011, 10:15:39 PM
I am not using the wrong metric. You can convert any asset to money given enough time. I am not saying they have to make an attack within a certain deadline. And I am being conservative, beacuse you could even get a loan to make the attack, so even more people would qualify.

It's just that net worth is a figure that's easier to fudge.  Cash is cash.  Assets can be over valued on a balance sheet or liabilities can be under valued.  I'm not really trying to argue with you, like I said I get your point, I'm just saying liquidity is probably a better measure as to someone's capacity to destabilize a market.  Good point about using leverage.
1208  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Worst threat to bitcoin on: July 01, 2011, 10:04:21 PM
obviously it would take a lot of effort/money that probably only a government could pull off.

Right now you dont need a government, only a couple of tens of millions of dollars.

To put that in perspective, only in the USA right now, there are 1 million people that have a net worth of more than 10 million dollars. If a handfull of those wanted to harm bitcoin, they could.

Also the supercomputer argument is a known fallacy. Its a catchy phrase but does not make bitcoin less vulnerable to brute hashing attacks for the moment. The supercomputer argument is debunked in the thread above.

I'd rather see the number of Americans with LIQUIDITY in excess of $10 million.  Net worth factors in long term, illiquid assets.  I get your point though, I just think you're using the wrong metric.
1209  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: There might be another virtual currency following BTC on: July 01, 2011, 09:59:08 PM
In an economy, deflation is a much bigger evil than inflation.  Deflation promotes savings and discourages spending.  In other words, kills growth.  Why would you buy something for $1,000 today when you can purchase it for $800 down the road?  Inflation promotes spending and stimulates growth.  I'll buy this house for $200,000 today because it will be worth $250,000 in 10 years.  This is why central banks try to keep a controlled amount of inflation over time rather than deflation. 

The problem is when things are taken to excess as seen in government monetary policy and consumer indebetedness over the last decade or so. 

Bitcoin is deflationary by design, and thus promotes hoarding.  This is a bit of a paradox for something that is trying to become a currency. 
1210  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Do you really want a Currency or a Speculation vehicle? on: July 01, 2011, 02:21:50 AM
I personally agree the current bitcoin economy seems to be dominated by irrational speculators and this makes it basically useless for transactions.  However I think you'll find that most on this forum disagree with that view, and either way, changing bitcoin as you suggest is not reasonable and won't happen.  A better plan is to take our ball and move to another court.  There are others with similar thoughts trying to come up with a way to simultaneously achieve the fast consensus of bitcoin with the stable value/real backing of a commodity.

The best I can think of so far is something like namecoin but with a better architecture and general storage, not just DNS.  In any case, rather than demand bitcoin change our time is much better spent carefully designing something new.  If it is indeed better, and provides a promise of greater stability, rational people will realize that and switch, leaving the speculators in a circle-jerk.

Great post.  

I guess for me the concept of Bitcoin is very intriguing, downright ingenious in some respects.  So there's a part of me hoping it succeeds.  Unfortunately there's a more rational part of me that sees gaping holes in the model as to why it will fail.  But you're right, Bitcoin is what it is and certain aspects just cannot be changed.  Perhaps Bitcoin will be the jumping off point for a truly workable currency and in that respect, has value or at least a place in the history books for what may someday be the next currency.

I'll continue to watch this experiment closely but will stop harping on others as to its shortfalls.  We all have our opinions but you've made me realize that mine cannot change Bitcoin for the better.  
1211  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Do you really want a Currency or a Speculation vehicle? on: July 01, 2011, 01:55:17 AM
To be useful as a currency, BTC merely requires a value on which a buyer and seller agree. That currently exists.

That's fine if you want Bitcoin to be some geek currency accepted by .001% of the populace.  However, if you really want BTC to take off, it needs to become mainstream and widely accepted.  This cannot happen under such volatile conditions.  People are screaming at MtGox over $1 and $2 price movements, yet somehow your average joe business owner will somehow act differently? 
1212  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Do you really want a Currency or a Speculation vehicle? on: July 01, 2011, 01:39:04 AM
My conclusion; Peg it to something. And use it as a real thing.

I agree and even said the exact same thing in a previous post.  How do you get people to see the light though?  That's the difficulty.  Too many people are think BTC's will be worth $100 or more per coin someday despite having no logical explanation as to how that will happen under current conditions. 
1213  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: What if... on: July 01, 2011, 12:02:27 AM


Here's the thought.  Most of current value is speculative. 

You can't possiblely know this to be true.

Of course you can.  There's very little medium of exchange for Bitcoin so the value represented is based on the speculation of it's future adoption/uses.
1214  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Great trading at MtGox Right now! on: June 29, 2011, 06:43:52 PM
The Mt. Gox depth table has some asks below some bids. Something has gone wrong over there.

Rarely anything ever goes right over there.  We really need to get the volume over to another exchange.  I'm hoping this new BX exchange pans out.
1215  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Phantom asks at mt gox on: June 29, 2011, 06:34:01 PM
They are phantom asks, not bids, currently. And if people are using the mt gox interface they keep trying to buy at the price 16.75, when no one is selling that low.

Ah gotcha, sorry I didn't read your title well enough.  I wonder if people are doing the reverse of the exploit.  Putting up an asking price, withdrawing all their BTC's and hoping the order fills and they get cash with no BTC's in the account to debit?  Although if that's the case, why use such a low number of BTC's?  I would think they would try to get as close to that $1,000 limit as possible.
1216  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Phantom asks at mt gox on: June 29, 2011, 06:27:48 PM
How are phantom bids artifically holding down prices?  I'm assuming these phantom bids are using the exploit found yesterday and will not be executed.  Is it preventing legit orders from being executed?  If not, it's not holding down anything, just screwing up the bid/ask charts.
1217  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Can Bitcoin Survive? Is It Legal? - Forbes on: June 29, 2011, 05:49:52 AM
People are also willing to risk buying powerball lottery tickets even though their chances of winning are almost infinitesimal.  I do get what you're saying, a slow evolution towards acceptance.  I just question how many people are truly supportive of Bitcoin for the movement as a whole and how many are here to buy lottery tickets.  Perhaps in the end it doesn't really matter what the motive, the participation may be enough.

It's still a rather giant leap of faith at this point, however.  I'm curious to see how this all plays out. 
1218  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Watching amateur finance types flail on: June 29, 2011, 05:19:35 AM
You can buy anything on Amazon.com with bitcoins.

This is highly misleading.  Amazon.com does not accept bitcoins, an UNAFFILIATED entity conducts the transactions.  

Hey guys, send me your BTC's and I'll buy whatever you want from Walmart.  Does Walmart accept Bitcoins now?   Roll Eyes
1219  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Can Bitcoin Survive? Is It Legal? - Forbes on: June 29, 2011, 05:10:09 AM
If Subway were to accept Bitcoin, no one would know what to charge until the moment I got there.  And instantly afterward, the merchant is at risk due to volatility.

It's a problem I don't know how to solve,

It solves itself gradually as the Subway manager starts being able to buy his ingredients with bitcoin, then his rent, then his electricity, his staff's wages, etc.

Even if that were true, would the owner (I seriously doubt it's up to the manager) be willing to take those risks in the interim?  Right now you have a concept that could essentially be worthless or perhaps in time have value (as an exchange medium).  What sort of incentive would entice the owner to convert now?  The problem is the smarter business choice is to play the "wait and see" game because right now you can't pay your salary, utilities, rent or inventory with bitcoins.  You can speculate that BTC's will increase in value but a merchant is not a speculator.  A merchant needs cash flow NOW.

Everyone likes to compare Bitcoin to Napster, Facebook, etc. but it's a poor comparison.  Those sites offer a service.  Bitcoin is meant to be an alternative payment/barter system. 
1220  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Can Bitcoin Survive? Is It Legal? - Forbes on: June 29, 2011, 04:21:56 AM
Pegging could never be enforced.

I agree.  And that I think is a big problem.  If Bitcoin is going to be a medium for exchange, there needs to be some sort of stability.

If I buy a sandwich from Subway tomorrow, I and the merchant, know exactly what the price will be no matter what medium of exchange (cash, credit card, check, etc.) I use.  If Subway were to accept Bitcoin, no one would know what to charge until the moment I got there.  And instantly afterward, the merchant is at risk due to volatility.  In this respect, Bitcoin is similar to Gold. I can't take my gold to Subway and use it as a medium of exchange.  The price fluctuation is too volatile.  Of course, gold is at least a commodity and has inherent usefulness so it trumps BTC's in that respect.

It's a problem I don't know how to solve, but I think it needs to if Bitcoin wants to have a sustainable future.  Otherwise the only value is speculation and that will turn once people realize it cannot ever be an acceptable form of currency for the very reasons you mention. 
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