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1201  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 20, 2016, 12:55:54 PM
Core prevails. Classic coin #rekt. Ya'll #rekt.

GG

1202  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 20, 2016, 12:42:36 PM
Looks like Classic wasn't quite off the table after all.

https://twitter.com/cnLedger/status/700981834562162688
Quote
"If core provide the specific date to deliver HF, and keep the promise"

Core is in no position to make promises on behalf of Honey Badger, much less force him to do anything by a specific date.

A HF done not for technical/engineering reasons, but merely to try and shut up the Classic extortionists, sets a terrible precedent.

If Core is agreeing to throw Gavin a bone just to stop his dogs' barking, the stalemate is broken and all hell will be unleashed on the markets.

I hope Core and Blockstream will on principle refuse to compromise under duress from the threat of Gavincoin's consensus destroying attack.

If they do not, the cold war balance of MAD is over and the Great Schism could get very hot very fast.

And we already have consensus...it's called The Holy Blockchain.


FUD DENIED

sfyl
1203  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 20, 2016, 12:26:20 PM

I like Antpool.

https://twitter.com/cnLedger/status/700972281221124096

Don't come here and tell me the chinese can't tell it like it is now and then.
1204  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 20, 2016, 12:16:17 PM

Looks like Classic wasn't quite off the table after all.

https://twitter.com/cnLedger/status/700981834562162688
1205  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 20, 2016, 12:11:48 PM
Bitcoin now has a rather nice flag formation after the rise from 200-500 with little media fanfare. The alt's are waking up and the halving is approaching. The only thing keeping bitcoin back is the blocksize debate which will soon resolve either by a HF with majority of miner support, or with Core acquiescing to the demands of the market and miners (3 weeks!) and fixing a 2mb blocksize HF in the roadmap.

The Chinese will stick with Core, they are quite conservative with respect to leadership. I'd be surprised to see Core implement 2MB blocks in addition to segregated witness, but we'll see.

And so long, farewell, auf wiedersehen 300s!

chinese are pushing for 2MB HF, core already hinted compromise. spoken word is HF in early 2017 with several other HF implementations as well.

told ya fuckers

https://twitter.com/cnLedger

If true, then it's hopefully a guarantee against further delays and more stupid.
1206  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 20, 2016, 11:52:44 AM
blunderer says weird things

Like a fucked up Yoda.

1207  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 20, 2016, 11:29:23 AM
You know how the big-block arguments are basically bogus? ... in the end they are appealing to cult of personality (Saint Gavin will save them)
It is not so innocent.

Gavin's 'vision' coincides with banksters narrative we hear every day - yes to bitcoin blockchain, no to bitcoin. For (basically) you don't have to have bitcoins to compete for blockchain inclusion. Unless you think $0.01 worth of bitcoin is considerable hedge against blockchain spam?

You don't pay a penny. You pay a fraction of a bitcoin that was going up exponentially in value. Your coin has less chain-writing utility and so it doesn't appreciate as fast, if at all.  

Don't take my word for it. Look at the five year logarithmic chart.


What are you blabbering about, bud?
Learn the difference between a monetary system and a payment system!

You know what I like best about the smallblockers? How remarkably well they succeed to contain huge cognitive dissonance without blowing apart.

For them it's all about 'preserving the original vision', and never to rewrite the initial social contract, otherwise: chaos, loss of integrity, the banks win.

But then, they somehow also have to deal with the fact that in the white paper, Moses Satoshi mentions the terms "Electronic Cash" twice, "payment" (in a non-technical sense) 6 times, but the term "artificial scarcity driven clearance network" exactly zero times.

I guess it's not so much about preserving the original social contract after all, and more about locking in those parameters, that at some point were introduced rather arbitrarily, that define the social contract they personally like best. Supreme court ideological battles, anyone?

Ouch!
1208  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 20, 2016, 11:15:36 AM

Do we care that the price hit $430?
1209  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 20, 2016, 09:19:06 AM
Core Power Rangers have been given an ultimatum

It's not about votes granted by breathing... it's about votes granted by quadrillions of hashes...  Kiss

You honestly expect Honey Badger to respond to ultimatums (ie threats)?

If X gives a shit about ultimatums and threats, X is not Honey Badger.

As for the [impressively large number of] hashes, their function is to act as well-paid security guards, not executives.

If the security guards start demanding a vote in the boardroom they protect, the board will simply fire and replace them with new rent-a-cops.

There is nothing indispensable about sha256, and if the centralized miner tail tries to wag the distributed socioeconomic majority dog we will simply change to another PoW.

"simply" he says.

Yes I said "simply."

You seem confused so I'll draw you a picture.

If Gavincoin forces a situation where catastrophic consensus failure is unacceptably likely, the socioeconomic majority will simply change the PoW to something other than sha256^2.

It's not hard; the code has already been written.  We may even use the crisis as an opportunity to upgrade to a less centralization prone/friendly algorithm.

But don't take my word for it, read what the CEO of Spondoolies says.

https://medium.com/@vcorem/lesson-learned-from-the-classic-coup-attempt-or-why-core-needs-to-prepare-a-gpu-only-pow-6a9afe18e4b0

Sha256 isn't any more important to Bitcoin than an individual worker bee is to Honey Badger.  Their angry buzzing and futile stings simply have no real power.  They can try to make Honey Badger give a shit, but the attempt only results in their own demise.

The Sovereign Citizens of La Serenissima will not allow Gavinista bankster shitlords like R3's Mike Hearn and Coinbase's Brian Armstrong to trade off their critical consensus (as preserved in the Holy Blockchain) for the sake of high time preferences.

Any impatient/impertinent miner that joins in such a hostile effort may go straight to hell, and take their suddenly-obsolete sha256 ASICs with them as a handy doorstop/paperweight/boat anchor/souvenir.

Guy Corem has about as good a business sense as you have. About as much charm and grace too. I really hope you two can join forces and get that shitcoin of yours. Take Peter Todd with you. He seems to like shitcoins.
1210  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 20, 2016, 09:13:36 AM

Looks like someone tripped over the wire and shut down their core pseudonodes.

Nodecounter.com
1211  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 20, 2016, 08:09:01 AM


Lambie is a celebrity.
1212  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Estranged Core Developer Gavin Andresen Finally Makes Sensible 2MB BIP Proposal! on: February 20, 2016, 12:19:25 AM
If your argument for not buying the stove is that it will burn the house down and that is proven wrong, and you reply with "well I will torch the place if you install the blimmin thing so I'm right anyway", then that's a problem in my mind. That is the argument they've been running with when talking to miners lately and that's what made them sign that blimmin document.

literally...... that's just, like, your opinion, man. i don't think Core has said anything of the sort. maybe you can point to some such arguments from Core devs.

Could you please explain to me why their HF in 2017 will be so much more safe than the one the community has been begging for for a year now?

because weak blocks/IBLT's are estimated by Core to reduce bandwidth needs for nodes by 90%. that is 90% of the whole damn problem that we're talking about = safer to raise the limit.

i don't see any evidence that anything but a small minority is making noise about this.

Will segwit even be activated if Antpool throws a hissy fit and refuses to run core? Right now core devs are the root of the contention. Will they be able to wish contention away when they need a HF or will that as well turn out to not be a problem?

you could say Classic devs are at the root of the contention. it just means disagreement. the easy answer is that no consensus on change = no change. that's how the protocol works.

the difference is you are arguing to change the consensus rules, so the burden is on you to provide evidence for why. i was merely quipping that i haven't seen evidence that this supposedly urgent problem is urgent, nor a problem.

blocks aren't actually full on average, nor fees prohibitive. so it seems to me that we could integrate an optimal fee mechanism into the client before the network actually clogs up (if it is going to).

And my position is that you're the one saying it's ok that Bitcoin is hitting the wall. So I say the burden of proof lies on you.

why? blocks aren't actually full on average, nor fees prohibitive. your opinion that "bitcoin is hitting the wall" isn't really founded in fact. the burden lies on you to explain how that is so.

No, not really. You quipped, and I quipped back , but somehow you think your quip was more legitimate than my quip so my inner nerd blew a fuse.

nah, not more legitimate just saying that the burden of proof for why we need to make a change, falls on the person claiming we need to make that change.

It doesn't matter anyhew. The world doesn't give a flying fudge about what I say so I'll say it just to keep from going crazy.

yeah i dont think anyone gives a shit about what we say here. but here we are  Cheesy

I'll tell you a little secret: Blocks will never be full on average. Even if we cap it to 100KB.

If you think that means we don't have a problem then there's not much more to say.
1213  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Estranged Core Developer Gavin Andresen Finally Makes Sensible 2MB BIP Proposal! on: February 19, 2016, 10:55:14 PM
Sure, but as you see, their communication method is FUD and lies. That bothers me.

Beyond that: all the reasons proponents of XT and Classic raise.

FUD and lies? i disagree, but opinions are like assholes. we all got em. XT and Classic proponents have raised some points, and Core and much of the community vehemently disagrees. = contention.

If your argument for not buying the stove is that it will burn the house down and that is proven wrong, and you reply with "well I will torch the place if you install the blimmin thing so I'm right anyway", then that's a problem in my mind. That is the argument they've been running with when talking to miners lately and that's what made them sign that blimmin document. Could you please explain to me why their HF in 2017 will be so much more safe than the one the community has been begging for for a year now? Will segwit even be activated if Antpool throws a hissy fit and refuses to run core? Right now core devs are the root of the contention. Will they be able to wish contention away when they need a HF or will that as well turn out to not be a problem?

Quote
well that's anecdotal and dependent on how you define nerds. not very reliable

anyway, what happened? nothing. an unconfirmed transaction with insufficient fees went unconfirmed. and no one lost anything (unless you accept zero confirmations as a valid payment, which no one should be doing)

perhaps a solution is to integrate an optimal fee mechanism into the client.

Seems to meet the same stringent terms you allow yourself. But yes, it's anecdotal evidence. One got stuck for four days before the network unclogged and I received it. An integrated fee calculator is something you integrate before the network clogs up. As are alternate solutions to the block size problem. Or you simply bump up the block size limit.

the difference is you are arguing to change the consensus rules, so the burden is on you to provide evidence for why. i was merely quipping that i haven't seen evidence that this supposedly urgent problem is urgent, nor a problem.

blocks aren't actually full on average, nor fees prohibitive. so it seems to me that we could integrate an optimal fee mechanism into the client before the network actually clogs up (if it is going to).



And my position is that you're the one saying it's ok that Bitcoin is hitting the wall. So I say the burden of proof lies on you.

No, not really. You quipped, and I quipped back , but somehow you think your quip was more legitimate than my quip so my inner nerd blew a fuse.

It doesn't matter anyhew. The world doesn't give a flying fudge about what I say so I'll say it just to keep from going crazy.
1214  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Estranged Core Developer Gavin Andresen Finally Makes Sensible 2MB BIP Proposal! on: February 19, 2016, 10:24:34 PM

that fork was an emergency update, where there was no controversy over the implementation.

here, we have multiple competing development teams that disagree (including actively lobbying miners against one another), and the stated threat of moving forward with or without miner (and surely node) consensus. that can easily mean chain forking into multiple ledgers ...forever.

if the network can't reach consensus on the rules to enforce, the only means to establish a single (trustless, decentralized) ledger are broken. that will erode a lot of trust in bitcoin, possibly beyond repair.

XT, Classic and Unlimited are compatible with 2MB. If Core goes 2MB how is it contentious?

that's a big if, for now. so...contention.

gavin withdrew the BIP101 pull request from the Core BIPs on github, but isn't XT still implementing BIP101, which is 8MB block size limit to start? that means miners can produce blocks as large as 8MB.

8MB blocks are not compatible with Classic's 2MB block size limit.

further, since Unlimited has no hard-coded block-size limit, it views all blocks as valid (whether max 1MB, 2MB or 8MB). that means that it accepts Core, Classic and XT blocks. but Classic and Core won't accept blocks above 2MB, meaning if any such blocks exist, compatibility with both XT and Unlimited is broken.

none of these are compatible with a 1MB limit, of course.

this represents a possibility for at least three separate forks. A 1MB fork, which rejects Classic and XT blocks above 1MB. A 2MB fork, which rejects XT blocks above 2MB. And an 8MB fork, which accepts Core, Classic and XT blocks.

XT has joined Classic in their goal to achieve consensus for 2MB (https://bitcoinxt.software/patches.html). Unlimited nodes will handle 2MB but there doesn't seem to be more of a chance that they will mine a 8MB block after a 2MB HF than tomorrow or yesterday. So if the argument against a HF is that it would be a contentious HF, then where is the contention if Core decides to join the party?

ah okay. so it's simply 1MB vs. 2MB. if Core joins the party, and everyone agrees to wait for miner consensus before forking, it wouldn't be contentious. that's fine with me.

but why should Core do that? just to make the "must-fork-now" camp happy? the basis for the disagreement is technical.

Sure, but as you see, their communication method is FUD and lies. That bothers me.

Beyond that: all the reasons proponents of XT and Classic raise.

...
any evidence for this "sky is falling" attitude? any evidence of huge fees? what is "huge?" i've always been able to get my transaction in the next block for minimal fees.

bitcoin has "restricted blocksizes" yet, it is "very popular and people [are] eager to use this coin."

Whelp, this is about as popular as Bitcoin gets, because the network can't handle any more volume. Enjoy Smiley

hehe well, seems to be chugging along just fine to me. i dunno who's getting their transactions constantly stuck but i've always been able to get my transaction in the next block for minimal fees.

I've gotten txs stuck when other people send to me. And they're nerds. Which means a) if they can't get it right, a lot of others will fail b) you can't instruct them on something they think they know how to do.

well that's anecdotal and dependent on how you define nerds. not very reliable

anyway, what happened? nothing. an unconfirmed transaction with insufficient fees went unconfirmed. and no one lost anything (unless you accept zero confirmations as a valid payment, which no one should be doing)

perhaps a solution is to integrate an optimal fee mechanism into the client.

Seems to meet the same stringent terms you allow yourself. But yes, it's anecdotal evidence. One got stuck for four days before the network unclogged and I received it. An integrated fee calculator is something you integrate before the network clogs up. As are alternate solutions to the block size problem. Or you simply bump up the block size limit.

1215  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Estranged Core Developer Gavin Andresen Finally Makes Sensible 2MB BIP Proposal! on: February 19, 2016, 09:50:04 PM
...
any evidence for this "sky is falling" attitude? any evidence of huge fees? what is "huge?" i've always been able to get my transaction in the next block for minimal fees.

bitcoin has "restricted blocksizes" yet, it is "very popular and people [are] eager to use this coin."

Whelp, this is about as popular as Bitcoin gets, because the network can't handle any more volume. Enjoy Smiley

hehe well, seems to be chugging along just fine to me. i dunno who's getting their transactions constantly stuck but i've always been able to get my transaction in the next block for minimal fees.

I've gotten txs stuck when other people send to me. And they're nerds. Which means a) if they can't get it right, a lot of others will fail b) you can't instruct them on something they think they know how to do.
1216  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Estranged Core Developer Gavin Andresen Finally Makes Sensible 2MB BIP Proposal! on: February 19, 2016, 09:44:52 PM
that fork was an emergency update, where there was no controversy over the implementation.

here, we have multiple competing development teams that disagree (including actively lobbying miners against one another), and the stated threat of moving forward with or without miner (and surely node) consensus. that can easily mean chain forking into multiple ledgers ...forever.

if the network can't reach consensus on the rules to enforce, the only means to establish a single (trustless, decentralized) ledger are broken. that will erode a lot of trust in bitcoin, possibly beyond repair.

XT, Classic and Unlimited are compatible with 2MB. If Core goes 2MB how is it contentious?

that's a big if, for now. so...contention.

gavin withdrew the BIP101 pull request from the Core BIPs on github, but isn't XT still implementing BIP101, which is 8MB block size limit to start? that means miners can produce blocks as large as 8MB.

8MB blocks are not compatible with Classic's 2MB block size limit.

further, since Unlimited has no hard-coded block-size limit, it views all blocks as valid (whether max 1MB, 2MB or 8MB). that means that it accepts Core, Classic and XT blocks. but Classic and Core won't accept blocks above 2MB, meaning if any such blocks exist, compatibility with both XT and Unlimited is broken.

none of these are compatible with a 1MB limit, of course.

this represents a possibility for at least three separate forks. A 1MB fork, which rejects Classic and XT blocks above 1MB. A 2MB fork, which rejects XT blocks above 2MB. And an 8MB fork, which accepts Core, Classic and XT blocks.

XT has joined Classic in their goal to achieve consensus for 2MB (https://bitcoinxt.software/patches.html). Unlimited nodes will handle 2MB but there doesn't seem to be more of a chance that they will mine a 8MB block after a 2MB HF than tomorrow or yesterday. So if the argument against a HF is that it would be a contentious HF, then where is the contention if Core decides to join the party?
1217  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 19, 2016, 09:30:28 PM
fork off already.


This is a good example of what I am talking about. This is something a consensus builder would not say.


BJA:   I hope that you are not suggesting that deep down inside that you possibly could be a consensus builder.

 Roll Eyes Roll Eyes Roll Eyes

There is no "I" in "consensus", but there is an "us".
OF FUCKING A!!!!

Ok, I'm new to this. Who do we invade?


Fry's Electronics. We will need to build enough supermines by the Grand Coulee Dam to prevent a 51% attack by the ChiComs.  

are we blowing somthing up?

i'm in!

Ok, but we'll expect strict discipline.



Edit:


are we blowing somthing up?

i'm in!

My shorts, hopefully.

That was uncalled for.
1218  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 19, 2016, 08:55:15 PM
fork off already.


This is a good example of what I am talking about. This is something a consensus builder would not say.


BJA:   I hope that you are not suggesting that deep down inside that you possibly could be a consensus builder.

 Roll Eyes Roll Eyes Roll Eyes

There is no "I" in "consensus", but there is an "us".
OF FUCKING A!!!!

Ok, I'm new to this. Who do we invade?
1219  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Estranged Core Developer Gavin Andresen Finally Makes Sensible 2MB BIP Proposal! on: February 19, 2016, 08:50:41 PM
I don't imagine we can or need to do anything more than what we're doing. I'm honestly just trying to understand the pushes and pulls involved in the possibility of a protocol change.
Me too.  Let's try 1.1MB for a little while to see.  Depending on what we learn then we can fallback to 1MB or try the next increment of like 1.2MB or something.  Why do we feel compelled to jump to 2MB all at once?

Because changing the blocksize requires a hard fork, the common wisdom being that hard forks are traumatic events, sort of like [invasive] surgery. If you already opened the patient, might as well do everything that needs to be done, instead of removing just a wee bit of the tumor & having to do the whole thing over again in a month.

If you give a 6 months notice, I will most of the users and miners will change their software in time. This happened before.

it took 4 hours to sync all miners on earth last time we had a HF, and no one had any notice.

that fork was an emergency update, where there was no controversy over the implementation.

here, we have multiple competing development teams that disagree (including actively lobbying miners against one another), and the stated threat of moving forward with or without miner (and surely node) consensus. that can easily mean chain forking into multiple ledgers ...forever.

if the network can't reach consensus on the rules to enforce, the only means to establish a single (trustless, decentralized) ledger are broken. that will erode a lot of trust in bitcoin, possibly beyond repair.

XT, Classic and Unlimited are compatible with 2MB. If Core goes 2MB how is it contentious?
1220  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN] Ethereum: Welcome to the Beginning on: February 19, 2016, 03:44:22 PM
Well untested vaporware does fluctuate quite a bit during speculative trading. We could see 0.0012

If the price drops to 0.0012 and the bitcoin price does not rise, it means Ethereum is a dead system.

No it doesn't, not by a long shot. Ethereum has a somewhat different raison d'être than other shitcoins.
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