So went to newegg and

every amd 5600.  is sold out
every amd 5700xt is sold out
every amd 6800.   is sold out
every amd 6800xt is sold out


every nvidia 3070 is sold out
every nvidia 3080 is sold out
every nvidia 3090 is sold out

same for provantage

same for amazon


now this is not counting crazy reseller prices.

at amazon all amd 5600 and 5700 are in reseller hands

here is a amd 5500 at 260 sold by amazon
https://www.amazon.com/VisionTek-Radeon-5500-Graphic-Card/dp/B0843CM44Z/ref=sr_1_20?dchild=1&keywords=amd+5500&qid=1606826056&sr=8-20


a month ago I got msi 5600 for 250  from amazon.



so 40 mh for 250
now 26 mh for 260


there are no cards to buy.

yet hashrate is still under 300th for the eth network

https://etherscan.io/chart/hashrate

It is because 19500- 20500 is about right for mining profits to be sustainable.

Once we get to 25k-30k later in December I will begin to get a bit excited.

7 of top ten are 2020 numbers.

And we closed out November with every day above 13700. An all time first for any month to remain that high for every day.

To me I lots more at high levels.

I think in December of this year we will push all the under 12000 off the top 100 list.

I also think we will push all the under 13000 off the top 100 list

that would mean at least 22 good days.

No we hit it and fall back a little.  Dance around 19500-20500

we will eventually move hard up to the range of 25k-30k.

This December

In January a big correction maybe 14-16k

Then take off in fall of 2021 over 50k.

Well it is not much for miners.

July 2019 price was 13k or so.

This 19.2k is sort of that due to diff increases and 1/2ing

For me a miner  25k-30k  December 2020 =  13k July 2019

but when we got to the price of 13k in  July 2019 we tanked for quite a while.

19k is very sustainable number for mining.

30k right now is too high to stay.

Think what I do mine and hold eventually selling on upswings at tiered levels.

So if a big time miner has hodl hard and long he will dump like a mofo at some level.

The level is not 19k
The level is about 30k for me.

Dump my larger holdings at 30k and hope for a strong correction.

There are major mines that hodl and could dump at the 30k level.

Remember they will earn coins back via mining and be very flush.

I still think this cycle above can happen at the 30k level.

I have 2 evga

https://www.evga.com/products/product.aspx?pn=10G-P5-3885-KR

EVGA GeForce RTX 3080 XC3 ULTRA GAMING, 10G-P5-3885-KR, 10GB GDDR6X, iCX3 Cooling, ARGB LED, Metal Backplate


They run at 95mh each 190mh total since nov 18th

9 x 224 = 2000 gallons an hour.

So do we have a pump for 10 racks which recycles at 33 gallons a minute

If the pump dies do all 10 racks go off line?

Or is there a backup pump?

Remember my coins are always 50% cheaper due to my power deal.

Since I purchased quite a bit of gear to mine from July 1 to Nov 30.  I need to pay it off.

I have break points.


13000 small sale
13500 small sale
14000 small sale
14500 small sale
15000 small sale

hodl til 19k

2 sales
at the 19k price.

dip purchased some PayPal btc for fun.


will now hodl till 20.9k

20.9k
21.4k
21.9k
22.4k


hodl till 25k


Simply can not hodl  as much until I pay down the gear purchases from July 1 to Nov 30

But I always hodl some of the coins.

All asics paid off.
All gpus will pay off in 10-15 days.

Around dec 15  I can hodl harder as I go to 0 gear debt.

20 k coming up

21k. soon to follow

Looks like 25-30k by new years.

then Jan-Feb correction to 14-16k


then the real bulls get loose in fall 2021

50k is reasonable by dec 2021.

Okay where are you ?

Tell me you are in NJ, USA I can help.

As I am in that state.

If you are not close by

I may have a controller in my spare parts.
I do have a psu.

I read your log I think the problem is your psu.

19.8k

 20.0k in sight




19848 is the new ATH on bitstamp

She has to catch her breath.  Maybe in an hour or two.

We got to 19337 at 8:24 eastern standard time.


Can't seem to make that final jump up and over.

We must try try try again.

19.3 baby!

As I said 19k, 20k, 21k in around 36 hours time

19156 no 19182 at bitstamp


I could just stare at it all day long.

I think that would be a bad time frame to buy one of those.  More likely something older than those dates is better choice.

I used to play with 1960-1979 cars which had zero electronics.  Once the 80's came around most cars changed and started to get some electronics in them.

 I am pretty sure  1995 and newer Mercedes has electronics and 1995 BMW and newer has  electronic controls. I have a  friend that owned a BMW dealership/repair shop

So I think you are not picking an old enough date to make sure the cars are not computer tuned.

So we are knocking at 19k again

maybe this time. we pass 19 and 20k and 21k in under 36 hours!

I am ready to sell  some  at 20.9k  just a small piece

fail order likelihood

1) hash boards
2) psu
3) controller

If you did what I said it points to a dead psu a little more than a dead hash board.

How to test if it is not the psu?

pull a working psu from another unit that must be working.

---

Take the psu from the dead unit and put it to the good unit.

if the good unit works than the suspect psu is good.

I am pretty sure if you do this the good unit will not work.

---

that brings use back to is it a dead controller?

take the dead or suspect unit pull the controller swap it to the working unit.

if the working unit still works.

it means your psu's and your controllers are all good.

what is left? the hash boards.

This is btc section I asked mods to move this to alt coin section


https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?board=160.0