~snip~
regression to the mean
you are right.
but what about small wins? would you stop forever after a small win or keep going until you hit the jackpot?

in the end of the day seems like the best way is opening a casino not playing in one.

~snip~
Australia is not an Asian team 

It would be a good game of hockey but France will have an advantage. France and Australia both topped their groups.
In the knockout stages, France beat Morocco 4-0 while the Australian women's team beat Denmark 2-0.

If we go through the odds at Stake, we will clearly see that bookmakers are also favoring France in this match. One may take the risk to bet on Australia and get the odds of 3.45 but i do believe that 2.17 odds for France is pretty decent too.

~snip~
$100 is not a big amount when it comes to gambling.  So earning $100 a day from gambling is not a problem and losing a million dollars in 1 day is not impossible. So gambling income depends on how much luck you have and how much gambling experience you have. No one can guarantee you that you can make regular $100 income from gambling but it is possible.  However, it is important to know that you can also lose all your money if you gamble.

I think I was first introduced to gambling when I was still very young. I guess I was still in high school back then.
My friends and I used to play games while wagering something. I wasn't fully aware that what we were doing at that time was already considered as gambling I was only educated about it when I told my parents stories of how my friends and I were hanging around after classes. The experience was fun and interesting. I got thrilled by the fact that I'll be able to get something bigger than the amount of money that I was betting as long as luck is on my side. Since I was told by my parents not to engage myself in such acts ever again, I have since avoided gambling.

However, in our digital world right now, I believe that there's nothing wrong with gambling as long as you are doing it moderation and you've done a lot of research before wagering something.

When people first start gambling, people think this is just a game, but over time it becomes a habit and leads to dependence. If addicted to gambling, players will constantly pursue bets leading to losses, extracting available money, even stealing, and cheating to get money to satisfy addiction. Regularly plan to get more gambling money, such as lying to family or acquaintances to borrow money to gamble. When the loss is extreme, family and friends stay away from the creditor to come to them. They can be psychologically unstable, sometimes leading to suicidal thoughts.

~snip~
there's a name for this cognitive bias if I'm not wrong
confirmation bias or something like that, not sure in english

it's like sharing only the ups and not the downs what don't allow someone to have a clear picture of the situation.

always best to try to see all aspects of reality instead of only part of it.

France vs Australia, a tough one to decide who will sealed next round. France always tougher in their appearance, progresses to the quarter finals after eliminating Morocco 4 nil with triumphed victory. Facing the host of the women's world cup will be really tough for France, but not relenting, they have good players that would match the energy of Australia in the game. Moreover, France top striker, Kadidiatou Diani always happen to be in goal scoring positions, no time to relent, they determined to eliminate the host and proceeds to the semi final.

~snip~
When you went to a hotel to stay with your girlfriend, they can check if you are married or not, it says so right on your passport that you have different names, and if you have the same name you were allowed to stay in the same room, if you didn't had the same last name then you were asked if you were married or not (because you can be married and still have different names) and if you weren't, you weren't allowed to stay in the hotel.

This may not be the issue for some of the very top hotels there, but it was an issue for lower level ones for sure. People need to realize that Qatar forced their own tradition and culture and it was literally by force, literally detained when you carried any lgbt flag anywhere, they had ZERO respect towards peoples beliefs and they hide it behind the mask of "respect my culture" when they did it. Worst world cup host in its history.

~snip~
luck is a tricky godess
it's funny to think why she smiles at some people and not at others
and why some people have these huge luck strikes winning game after game after game

I met this guy once who was great at lotteries and bingos and won dozens of it... just weird. against all odds.

~snip~
It will be hard to earn a hundred bucks in a daily basis because luck isn't and won't be constantly on your side. No matter how good you play or how many relevant information you have, if it isn't your day to win, then you'll likely lose. Because winning is a combination of having the skills, knowledge, and luck to increase the probability of winning in every bet or play.

If someone will play with initial amount of 2000 bucks, it's possible to earn a hundred, but I don't think it will ever be consistent. This is because there will be losses. The collectove amount of losses might even equate to more than what someone make so it's really important to assess the situation before risking a huge amount in gambling. Only spend what you can afford to lose, folks.

~snip~
This makes sense.

To be a successful gambler, of course you have to play and bet consecutively and if not, just actively, to reach whatever goal you have in mind. Just like being a gambling addict, consecutive plays and bets are done because of gambling dependency. Only that they have lost track of what they are really after or what they sought for in the very beginning. But when it comes to frequency of bets and plays, I think there's not much difference.

The only difference is that a gambler that is successful knows his goal, how to achieve it, and make it into action. He does not make unnecessary acts such as overspending to chase winnings. Unlike what gambling addicts do most of the time. A successful gambler makes a calculated decision, while a gambling addicts just go with whatever they deem fit.

DCA method is the best strategy like you said OP with 50k weekly. But I might prefer to buy a dip 100k worth for a start then I can start the DCA method. Using Binance wouldn't be that safe and it might lead to the raise of eye brown of the exchange. I would prefer using a DEx with a trusted P2P guy with liquidity so that transaction can go smoothly without a problem. $1M is a huge amount of money and you need to make your purchase for at least 15 times,it all depends on the price of bitcoin when you are buying.  The dipper the price the more bitcoin you will get and vice versa this is one thing with DCA method.

~snip~
exactly! if a successful gambler uses artificial intelligence to win large amounts of gambling he must immediately stop gambling, it does not mean just stop temporarily because if he stops within a week its same as spending a lot of money again and on the one hand if he returns to gambling using artificial intelligence like AI it will be very dangerous because the casino system usually has given a warning flag to the account and if it is done again the risk of the account being banned is very possible.

~snip~
yep, that makes a lot of sense, in other words, becoming a bookie with a capital of $2k. like for example buying a slot machine and placing it in a shopping center or anywhere frequented by people, of course it will generate more than the OP wants but the question is whether he can afford to do that because of course it will be subject to high taxes too.
unless the OP maybe owns his own betting website and builds his own casino and manages to earn over $100 that way better than having to resort to betting on sports because even if betting on the underdog there is still a 1% chance of losing.

~snip~
To be honest, I've never invested a lot of money in slots. It's usually just a few dollars spent for fun, nothing more. Since slot machines rely purely on luck there's no way to control your luck, and I can't see myself risking a hugfe amounts of money on them. People who wager large sums on such bets seem crazy to me because I wouldn't feel comfortable depending purely on luck.

If you were to ask me whether I'd be willing to put $50 or even $100 on a real-life gambling event, I might consider it but I wouldn't do the same for slots.

People need to realize that Trump lost the elections and he is at risk of being jailed for the crimes he did and STILL the biggest republican candidate, nobody with a big name is even trying to get it because when you lose once you are usually out.

However, the reason why Trump is getting the nomination was the fact that even if you lose, if you won before and became president that means you are going to be the nominee again, he ran and won once and Biden ran and won and the elected current sitting president, those two will be the candidates and unless one of them is in jail or the other dead, then we are going to see these two running for it. That's it, there is no more talk, we would need one of the candidates not be able to run for them to lose, if they are running, they are winning.

~snip~
No one asked the Qataris to change their religion or to dance as per the whims and fancies of the tourists. All we asked as to keep the promises that the Qataris gave, when they won the rights to host FIFA World Cup. Qataris used the tournament as a venue to splash their wealth. They spend anywhere from $250 billion to $300 billion on hosting this tournament (and at the same time refusing to provide a penny as compensation to the 6,000+ dead construction workers). They broke their own word by imposing a total ban on beer, just two days before the tournament. Beer was available only to those with the top-tier ticket. Also, there was a lot of discrimination towards unmarried and LGBT couples.

I am not sure whether a gambling addict can ever become a successful gambler. In order to be successful in gambling, you need to follow strict rules for yourselves. First of all, bet as much as you can afford to lose. And after betting, you need to follow strict stop-loss guidelines. You need to pullout when it becomes clear that the losses are getting unaffordable. Gambling addicts are unable to follow any of these rules, and this results in their financial ruin. And if you don't follow these rules, I don't think that you will ever become successful in gambling.

~snip~
Here I consider something, at the moment that people buy the tickets to the world, those people have to be assigned a visa immediately, according to the number of tickets that the people buy, because it is something that has to be like that, I think that in A World Cup should not have or exist borders for anyone, neither for Africans nor for people who come from other places that other countries consider prohibited or prohibited, because that does not make sense to me, and even less because it comes from decisions of world wars or something like that, I think that the existence of borders is something that should not exist, because we are all humans, or at least until now things with the aliens have not yet been released to the public to know how it is.

As long as there is only one race, which is human , that should not exist, Unless a world War is created and all the countries of the world participate to remove that beto , the truth is that for me it does not make sense, then in Such a glass a visa to go see the world is not bad , I Consider that a person who eats enters to go to the World Cup, should be granted from at least 5 days before the start of the World Cup and that it expires 5 days after the World Cup ends I believe that this is the most appropriate , and for any person without exception, wherever they come from and those who remain in the country illegally , as this is very difficult to Control, but that is what the authorities are for and I believe that this is not so hard for them to grab people and throw them away.

I know that any method that is going to be applied by the USA so that they can enter the country will be used, that is something that can and will happen, people who want to enter the USA will only have to get a ticket for a soccer match, I don't know if they will give visas for a certain time, or how it will be, if it is for a permit for 1 month or something like that, what is difficult to determine is how many people are going to stay in the country Illegally , that is what is difficult Easy to determine , I don't know how they will do it , but it's quite a Challenge Really.