According to Kicker website 13 of the 36 clubs from Bundesliga and 2. Bundesliga are struggling a lot financially. And this is not some speculation, but was announced by the DFL to the representatives of all clubs in an online meeting. Most of the struggling clubs have already spent their TV money, which is paid in four instalments during the season. The fourth instalment is due beginning of May and if the media partners withhold it, because play hasn't resumed yet, then nine teams from 2. Bundesliga and four teams from Bundesliga would be broke in May/June (and that is also the reason, why I think play will resume in May no matter what more or less).

One club in Bundesliga and seven in 2. Bundesliga are struggling the most and this is my list of clubs which I think are those:

Bundesliga

Köln

2. Bundesliga

Hamburger SV
VfB Stuttgart
Hannover
Nürnberg
Sandhausen
Dresden
St. Pauli

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In the end, I don't think any of these clubs will (have to) file for bankruptcy, because the other (bigger) clubs will show some solidarity and even german government might jump in to help. But I always thought of the german clubs being run very solid financially, so this is quite a surprise to see 1/3 of them doing so bad in these times.

In german, but I think you are able to understand/speak it: https://www.pokerstars.eu/de/poker/promotions/terms/prohibited-jurisdictions/


Americas Cardroom is not restricted for dutch people according to this:

Source: https://www.americascardroom.eu/poker-customer-support/terms-and-conditions/

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In general it's quite hard to find good poker sites nowadays besides PokerStars, since Poker isn't booming anymore. The smaller sites all lack traffic, FullTilt was bought by PokerStars, others were closed by FBI etc. According to this, IDN Poker is quite big, but I don't know that site and The Netherlands seems to be restricted anyway. GGPoker might be an option for you, since dutch customers can play there.

From all I know, dutch customers are not restricted from playing at PokerStars and that would be the place to go, because it's the biggest poker site there is. Please note, that you have to do KYC with them. Then you can find poker clients with some major bookmakers (Bet365, William Hill etc.).

If you don't like to be KYCed, you can choose to play at SwC poker with crypto (BTC). There is also a tournament series starting tomorrow, if you want to play against your fellow forumites : https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5236603.0

Yep, thats the problem. Even the good old ESC (and its national domestic selections) are about money nowadays. Not sure, how it is in Lithuania, but for example that Melodifestivalen in Sweden is such a big and money-making event, that throwing The Mamas under the bus is comprehensible from a financial point of view. But maybe some (at least financial) compensation would still be justified, if for example The Roop fails to win the 2021 national selection.

In Germany we had the broadcaster just picking the artist/song with no selection process at all. In cases like these, I would really like to hear the reasoning, if another entry gets chosen for 2021

A few countries have already announced going forward with the same artist for 2021 ESC, but with a different song of course:

Austria - Vincent Bueno
Australia - Montaigne
Romania - Roxen
Azerbaijan - Efendi
Belgium - Hooverphonic
Bulgaria - Victoria
Georgia - Tornike Kipiani
Greece - Stefania
Israel - Eden Alene
Spain - Blas Cantó
Switzerland - Gjon's Tears
Netherlands - Jeangu Macrooy
Ukraine - Go_A

I would expect most countries to do the same, since it's kind of unfair, to rip the artists off that possiblity basically for no reason. Don't think the domestic broadcasters, juries or whomever took the decision, can use the fact of the betting odds having been bad, to justify selecting another artist. Otoh you could argue, that it will also be a different song, which might not be as good as the 2020 one, so a new decision/selection process is reasonable. Not easy.

The DFL and its members have agreed to lower the minimum age for Bundesliga players to 16 (was 16.5 before) starting with 2020/2021 season.

This is pretty interesting, because Dortmund (and they filed the request) has a superstar in the making in their youth team, who would be allowed to play in Bundesliga from November 2020 on then. Youssoufa Moukoko is crushing all records in the youth leagues for some time, that dude is a monster. The transition to Bundesliga is hard for every young player, but I can't wait to see him play with the big boys.

His stats for the last three years:

2017/2018 - U17: 28 matches, 40 goals
2018/2019 - U17: 25 matches, 46 goals
2019/2020 - U19: 20 matches, 34 goals (play is suspended for the moment)
Taken from: https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Youssoufa_Moukoko

He was 13 when starting to play in U17 and as 14 year old then already joined the U19. This is so impressive

He has lost so many picks, that we have given up counting. The few winners were celebrated to mislead people and keep on scamming. Don't be fooled by him hitting some higher odds every now and then, this is just statistics/maths and a monkey can do that.

OP does not keep track of his bets in here for a reason. He will start some new challenge (with record) on a hourly basis and when that challenge is lost or runs bad, he will just start a new one. Save your money or buy Bitcoin.

Out of curiosity I have now checked, how the players that finished 2018 in Top10 have done in 2019 season. The results are pretty bad.

Player	Won	Lost	W/L ratio	Net win*	Yield
________________________	______	______	____________	____________	____________
Novak Djokovic	54	11	83.08%	-413.30	-6.4%
Rafael Nadal	52	7	88.14%	+75.60	+1.3%
Roger Federer	51	10	83.61%	+91.10	+1.5%
Alexander Zverev	41	24	63.08%	-528.60	-8.1%
Juan Martin del Potro	8	4	66.67%	-95.80	-8.0%
Kevin Anderson	11	4	73.33%	-25.30	-1.7%
Marin Cilic	22	19	53.66%	-1008.60	-24.6%
Dominic Thiem	46	17	73.02%	+1651.50	+26.2%
Kei Nishikori	29	14	67.44%	-549.90	-12.8%
John Isner	29	17	63.04%	-95.80	-4.6%

*with flat stake 100,- Euro per bet

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Only Thiem is saving this from being a complete disaster. Overall a total loss of 1012.60 Euro with a -2.2% yield (tbf Anderson and Del Potro had injury-plagued seasons). What springs out, is that all players, that were eliminated from Top10 during last season (Isner, del Potro, Nishikori, Anderson, Cilic) are 30+ years of age.

Europeans really have some advantage with this matter, being just in the middle of things time-wise. So for future series, one could think about having different starting times (per weekend), to give all participants the possibility to play at prime-time once in a while.

And then, when this gets really big, we will have America-, Europe/Africa- and Asia/Oceania-series, with the Top3 of each series meeting at the championship table.

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Done - registered yesterday.

Mein letzter Stand ist Juli 2020 als Ziel. Aber du weisst, wie es in Krypto läuft. "In 2020" sollte passen


Ich bin kein Dev (du schon eher, wenn ich mich nicht irre), also nur meine Noob-Meinung: Taurion ist mMn blockchain-technisch wesentlich anspruchsvoller, da der Umfang der Features, das Gameplay und auch die Grafik/UI wesentlich vielfältiger ist. Taurion wird Elemente der Game Channels haben und falls du das Video geschaut hast, arbeiten sie jetzt z.B. daran, die Bewegungen der Fahrzeuge in "Echtzeit" darzustellen. Auf der Xaya blockchain wird im Schnitt alle 30 Sekunden ein neuer Block kreeiert. Die Fahrzeuge in Taurion bewegen sich X Kacheln pro Block. Also normalerweise "springt" dein Fahrzeug dann alle 30 Sekunden ein paar Kacheln weit. Nun kann man natürlich berechnen, wie lange Zeit es dauern wird, bis das Fahrzeug an der Zielkachel angekommen ist und kann diesen "Sprung" als fliessendes Fahren des Fahrzeugs anzeigen (schwer zu erklären, vielleicht einfach Video anschauen, falls noch nicht gemacht und Interesse daran).

SME ist eher ein "starres" Spiel, dort hast du keine Animationen oder großartige UI Sachen. Für taktische Sachen, ziehst du die Spieler auf ein Spielfeld, gibst paar Anweisungen (Pressing, Konter, Tackling etc.) und submittest die Transaktion. Ein Algorithmus berechnet dann, wie das Ergebnis von Team A gegen Team B ausfällt. Auch das Vollziehen von Transfers, einstellen/feuern von Managern, kaufen/verkaufen von Shares stelle ich mir einfacher (zu implementieren) vor.

SME wird sicherlich ein größeres Interesse hervorrufen. Ist ein bekanntes Spiel, mit großer Community und Millionen von Spielern/Downloads. Nicht jeder kann den ganzen Tag Computer-Spiele spielen und dies ist ein Spiel, was man immer mal zwischendurch anwerfen kann. Spieltage sind Mittwochs/Samstags, zwischendurch ein paar Pokal-Spiele.
Taurion hingegen ist ein Spiel, was man 24/7 spielen kann oder sogar manchmal muss. Hier spielt man rund um die Uhr gegen andere Spieler und muss sich verteidigen oder kann (afk) Spieler angreifen. Ich bin kein klassischer Gamer, und schon gar nicht hardcore, aber bei der Taurion Competition haben sich Leute nachts den Wecker gestellt, um ihre Züge zu machen, was ich dann doch schon sehr lustig fand Es ist ein Strategie-Spiel, wo man auch rechnen können muss. Warum haben sich die Leute ihre Wecker gestellt ? Ein Fahrzeug hat teilweise finanziell wertvolle Sachen geladen und hat eine max Reichweite pro Zug. Um dieses Fahrzeug vor Angreifern zu schützen, muss man es an einen sicheren Ort bringen. Nun kann man eine Route einstellen, aber die max Reichweite pro Zug reicht eventuell nicht, um den sicheren Hafen zu erreichen (eine lange Fahrt kann mehrere Stunden dauern). Um zu verhindern, dass das Fahrzeug verletzlich in der Gegend rumsteht, während man schläft, stellt man sich den Wecker, um den Folgezug zu machen.

Man kann natürlich auch SME exzessiv spielen, indem man den Gegner, dessen Spieler, die Stärken/Schwächen, Verletzte und Gesperrte analysiert - halt wie ein richtiger, echter Fussballl-Trainer - aber das ist wohl nicht, was die Mehrzahl der Manager machen wird. Die, die es machen und erfolgreiche Manager sind, können eventuell von ihrem Gehalt in Zukunft leben.

There is a little (bad formatted) glossary in the first post. Your question is mainly answered in this and this post.


I guess you are refering to when sport events will start to take place again (?). It's really hard for me to give odds for that in Italy, because I am not digging deep into the happenings there. I am closely following everything in Germany though and I think, that Bundesliga will start again in May without spectators (see here).

For the bigger football leagues it is easier to resume play behind closed doors, because the teams there are not too dependant on ticket sales. Basketball teams for example, especially in Germany, are heavily dependant on ticket sales; it's a big percentage of their budget. Lots of teams have already laid off some players to save money. So these smaller sports will resume way later.

To precisely answer your question, here are my odds (no juice^^) for Bundesliga starting again:

In May
Yes: 2.00
No: 2.00

In June
Yes: 1.25
No: 5.00

In July
Yes: 1.10
No: 11.00

In October
Yes: 1.02
No: 50.00

In April (2021)
Yes: N/A
No: 500.00

I am not taking any bets though If at least Bundesliga doesn't start by April 2021 again, then the apocalypse has happened and we have other issues to think about than sports


What is a life worth living in first place ? This is a very individual matter.

Most important thing is to do what makes you happy. Now this is not always easy, because you somehow have to earn money. Without money, it is very hard to be happy. I am not talking about millions here, but having enough money, to have a home, to eat, to pay your bills. To achieve this, the majority of people just does a job, that will guarantee this financial foundation. If people could achieve this by NOT working (maybe they are able to print money f.e.), like 80% would not be working. Or not work in that particular job or just do part-time or do charity work or whatever.

The life as a gambler is not always easy and it certainly isn't the right thing to do for most of the people. But I think I am more happy with what I am doing than 99% of the population. There are lot of setbacks - it's a rollercoaster nearly every single day, but I like it. I don't necessarily like the rollercoaster thing, but I like the advantages that come with me sitting in that rollercoaster on a daily basis. And there are setbacks with a "normal" job too. They are a bit different, because you will always get your pay no matter the setbacks, but a 9-5 job would bore the hell out of me. Having to deal with co-workers and bosses, being forced to be at certain places at certain times, spending 40+ years with something I wouldn't do in my spare time etc. For lots of people it's a compromise they take to have that financial foundation I talked about above, but for me this is no option unless I have to in the future. Then I would be one of "them" (and I am not judging "them", it's just not what I personally want to do in and with my life).

I have to deal with setbacks, that nearly all self-employed people have to deal with too. There is not that much difference imo and I like this quote regarding that:

Source: unknown

For more on why the advantages weigh out the disadvantages, see these two posts: 1 2

Nein. War ja für März angekündigt, aber gibt natürlich Verzögerung (sonst wäre es ja nicht Krypto ). Aber nicht lange, Mitte April wird es wohl. 100 Leute wurden erstmal für die Beta ausgewählt und in den closed beta channel im Discord hinzugefügt. Ich gehe davon aus, dass recht schnell weitere Leute hinzukommen werden.

Ein großes Problem ist, dass sehr viele kryptofremde Leute dabei sind und für die so ein Wallet was völlig Neues ist (kennt man ja von sich selber in den Anfängen). Also muss man die Leute vorsichtig ranführen, ihr Wallet zu encrypten, die Backups zu machen, wie senden/empfangen funktioniert, dass das Wallet vollständig gesynct sein muss etc. Die (aktivsten) Beta Tester dürfen ja einen Teil ihrer Shares, die sie für die Beta bekommen, behalten und ich gehe davon aus, dass viele User auf diese Shares bei Release schon gar keinen Zugriff mehr haben. Kannst du machen was du willst, viele können einfach nicht lesen oder haben keine Lust, fünf Minuten Zeit zu investieren.


Es gab keine wirklichen, offiziellen Updates in letzer Zeit, aber ich habe mal angefragt, ob man dort nicht auch zwischendurch mal was weniger Formales posten kann. Ich hatte ja gesagt, dass ich hier weiterhin Updates poste, aber will auch nicht wegen jeder kleinen Meldung einen Post machen. Ich sammle immer bisschen und mache dann einen größeren Post, wenn es nichts Weltbewegendes gibt.


Für Taurion gab es jetzt vor ein paar Tagen wieder ein Dev-Update mit den neuesten Entwicklungen: TAURION dev update | March 2020. Eine weitere, und die wohl die letzte vor Release, Challenge ist geplant, aber nicht in nächster Zeit.

Auch werden wahrscheinlich in/durch Taurion CHI geburnt, wie snailbrain gestern nochmal im Discord bestätigt hat:

Quelle: XAYA Discord

Wir sind jetzt bei 51.728.456 / 77.303.932 CHI, aber durch Taurion wird die Menge dann wohl verknappt. Taurion ist natürlich das flagship-game, weil auch inhouse, aber das ist höchstwahrscheinlich nur etwas für hardcore gamer. Aber man hat bei Huntercoin gesehen, dass man dort a) viel Geld verdienen kann und b) viele Leute zum Spielen kriegt. Damals war blockchain gaming natürlich quasi nicht existent, somit wenig Konkurrenz, also muss man abwarten, ob Taurion ein Erfolg wird. Diese collectible games sind ja recht beliebt und erfolgreich, aber echtes blockchain gaming ist das nicht. Muss man schauen, ob Spiele wie Taurion ihren Markt finden. Technisch wird es aber tip top sein. 

SME ist natürlich auch flagship, aber auf anderem Niveau und in anderer Hinsicht.

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Der Preis ist nach wie vor das Sorgenkind. Geht alles nur mehr oder weniger seitwärts auf niedrigem Niveau und Volumen sehr gering. Ist noch ein weiter Weg bis zum ICO Preis.
Ich betreibe einen kleinen Trading Service im Discord, wo ich für Leute, die keinen Liquid Account haben, CHI für sie dort kaufe. Man kann in letzter Zeit feststellen, dass es schwieriger wird, seine orders gefilled zu kriegen - also ein kleiner Aufschwung ist gefühlt zu verzeichnen. Aber wenn ein mini-whale keine Lust mehr auf CHI hat, dann geht es auch ganz schnell wieder runter. Abwarten, Tee trinken und auf Taurion/SME release oder andere gute News warten

Thanks I knew such thing existed, but was too lazy to search for it.

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@OP

You went from.....


......to.....


......to.....


......in a matter of 4 hours. This is just hilarious What is next ?

You seem like some 5y.o. who is bored like hell and seeking for attention. And pro question: How can a "100% confirmed winning pick" lose ?

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I can confirm that I received the three previous picks via PM and consider them spam. The 5 straight win challenge is lost, so you have to start a new one (without PMing me please).

Next pick lost, Nikiforov def. Korolev 3-2 (you should maybe bet on your selections to lose 2-3 ). Can't find that pick no more ? Of course not, because OP deleted it, right after the match was finished:

Yes, but this is a bit expected. After such a monster year, it's hard to keep the focus and younger athletes often lack consistency. Federer, Nadal and Djokovic are just a league of their own. Not only in terms of achievements, but in being able to stay at the top for ages and always being ultra-competitive. They have that little extra, what I don't see in any of the young guns tbh. Once the big3 retire, I see a wide open field in ATP, with lots of different winners for the Masters/GS. Comparable to what we can already see in WTA.

Medvedevs stats for 2020:

W/L: 8-4 (66.66%)
Net win with 100,- flat stake: -256.40
Yield: -21.4%

That W/L ratio looks still fine, but he is priced so low all the times (due to 2019 results), that the profits from wins are too smallish to make up for the losses.

Just for the record, since you deleted the last pick: Voronenko def. Boiko 3-2, your bet lost again. You have been misleading people from your very first post in this thread and now you are even being more shady by trying to hide losses.

I did some stats for the current ATP's Top10 and how they have done betting-wise in 2019 on the tour. All data and odds was taken from OnCourt; they have Pinnacle odds, which are pretty accurate on average. The standard w/o rules of 1st set completed for bets to stand apply.

ATP's Top10 betting results in 2019

Player	Won	Lost	W/L ratio	Net win*	Yield
________________________	______	______	____________	____________	____________
Novak Djokovic	54	11	83.08%	-413.30	-6.4%
Rafael Nadal	52	7	88.14%	+75.60	+1.3%
Dominic Thiem	46	17	73.02%	+1651.50	+26.2%
Roger Federer	51	10	83.61%	+91.10	+1.5%
Daniil Medwedew	58	21	73.42%	+1054.10	+13.3%
Stefanos Tsitsipas	53	25	67.95%	+1487.90	+19.1%
Alexander Zverev	41	24	63.08%	-528.60	-8.1%
Matteo Berrettini	42	23	64.62%	+1253.40	+19.3%
Gael Monfils	37	18	67.27%	+170.40	+3.1%
David Goffin	35	26	57.38%	-840.00	-13.8%

*with flat stake 100,- Euro per bet

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With betting on the Top10 every match throughout 2019 and using flat stakes of 100,- Euro per bet, you would have won 4002.10 Euro, equalling a yield of 6.1%, which is pretty good. But it's not that easy. You have four players that basically make you all your money: Thiem, Medwedew, Berrettini and Tsitsipas. And this is no surprise, since these are rising players, that played a very good season, so the markets took some time to adjust the odds. With the old top players like Djokovic, Nadal, Federer, there is not a lot of money to be made, you are more likely to lose here. I am not surprised about Goffin doing so poor, he was never a reliable favourite to bet on imo.

This way of looking at things is of course flawed, since it's only done in retroperspective - the Top10 looked different at the start of 2019. The Medwedews, Thiems, Berretinis, Tsitsipas' played better than one would have expected and thats why they finished Top10 eoy. So you could make money with them. Analyzing the betting results from the Top10 at the start of 2019 throughout the year, will lead to horrible results I guess.

These patterns happen every season. The difficulty lies in finding the players that will shine and those that will fade. But if you are able to spot these players, you can make money, by just blindly betting/opposing them.

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If you are interested in the stats of particular players, just shoot and I will post his results.

Correct. I would break the bank to get that guy - if it needs to be 100mln, then so be it. With only 20 years of age, that dude is already the heart and soul of Leverkusen. He is very versatile and a good general, such players don't grow on trees. 100mln is surely a lot and you are probably overpaying a bit, but this is an investment in the future. Not only does he improve your team, but you should be able to sell him for 200mln in a few years (bar any serious injuries).

Although I don't like Bayern always getting the best players from the other Bundesliga teams, they should be a good fit considering all circumstances. You don't need to go to Barca/ManU at a very young age as a german player. Step by step, like Kroos did.

These $50 price windows are really tight and all of them are taken in the price range where are for now. I am hoping for some whale dumping his BTC and sending the price south until tomorrow evening. Afterwards I want to hear the announcement of a Corona vaccine being found and mass production ready please.

This is what was to be expected, no ? Showing screenshots with just winning bets, only grading his winning bets in this thread here, doing everything in PM's to hide the losing bets - all paired with that lurid thread title. Just use these sort of threads as entertainment, but don't spend any money unless OP has proven himself publicly over a big enough sample size.