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13501  Local / Новички / Re: Раздача мерита нуждающимся/Есть задания l on: September 25, 2020, 09:21:32 AM
Нужна консультация на тему: Your listing was removed: VeRO Software Licensing Policy - письмо от Ebay
тот кто в теме понимает о чем речь.

По выполнению вы получаете 5 меритов

Интересует общение с опытным продавцом на ебэй (общедоступную информацию уже изучил самостоятельно).
Конкретно интересно вот что: мой товар (вещь в одной из игр) был удален, но множество подобных лотов как было в листингах так и есть, соответственно вопрос: как надо размещать объявления по этому направлению чтобы не попадать на делистинг.

Update: Задача снимается решение найдено.
13502  Economy / Speculation / Re: Who sets the bitcoin price? on: September 24, 2020, 05:24:53 PM
Thoughts about whales/organizations do have a solid foundation.
Obviously, large capital holders (both in bitcoin and in dollars and in mining capacities) can influence the market very strongly. Perhaps because of this, someone makes the erroneous conclusion that whales "own" the market.
The market does not belong to the whales but they often play with the price of bitcoin. Whales have the ability to improvise bitcoin price because they have a lot of capital. Supply and demand are thing that forever affect the price of bitcoin and it is trader who do.

I agree that exchange can manipulate bitcoin price within a certain range and we often hear that they also have fake volume and this is purely for the benefit of the organization itself.

It does not belong to them 100%, but how much does it belong to them? 95%? 60%? I don't know, but sometimes the figure of 95% seems real to me. Especially when I read about miners/exchanges and other crypt infrastructure and see how everything is tightly integrated with each other, from hardware manufacturers and miners to exchanges.
13503  Economy / Speculation / Re: If market crashes, BTC will crash twice as hard. on: September 24, 2020, 05:15:20 PM
A unique diamond/painting or something like that has little liquidity (they are difficult to sell) even when the economy is growing, but this does not mean that during a crisis they lose their value.

Sure it does. An economic crisis may not change the price you paid or the value you put on a diamond or a painting, but it will make them harder to sell. So if you really want to sell during a crisis, you'll probably have to sell cheaper than you otherwise would have.

I agree with you in general, but why am I forced to sell? If we are talking about investors, then it is unlikely that they bought bitcoin on credit. And they all know about economic cycles and the fact that after fiat money becomes strong, there will inevitably be a period when it becomes weak and asset prices soar. The only ones who will sell at any price are miners, but their influence (if we take the total capitalization of bitcoin) is not very large and is gradually decreasing.
13504  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Card counting in black jack on: September 24, 2020, 05:05:50 PM
Do you know such people (who won a lot of money from the casino not just because of luck, but regularly based on their skill)? I would like to know about them in more detail because there are many legends and tales about such masters, but there is very little reliable information, so I doubt that they really exist/existed.
Here's one for you.
https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2012/04/the-man-who-broke-atlantic-city/308900/
Didn't really read it thoroughly, but the article doesn't seem to be lying with the fact that he beat those casinos with pure skill since the first casino he visited already had security cams analyzing his every movement to prevent any type of cheating. Card counting may be done in the mind, but it still needs obvious eye movement as well as some kind of pattern or rhythm that may be helpful to you in remembering (imo that is). That, or you can just have a perfect memory, which is almost impossible.

Although it seems like the biggest factor here was removing the edge for the house, and instead, giving it to the player. I've read some other articles, and they've also detailed about them winning on casinos not only based on skill, but also by negotiating with them on discounts and the like, they then start to break the bank of the casinos.

Thanks for the link to the article, I read it with interest. And I was very surprised because the events of almost modern times are described - the beginning of the 2000s - 2010s. I assumed that by this time the card counters had no chance to win something because of the measures that the casinos had thought up when they were fighting against similar players back in the 60s and 70s.
13505  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: About Dice Games and Yolodice . Best strategy?? on: September 24, 2020, 04:56:11 PM
The result will be the same, do not waste time (if you are doing this not for fun, but for the sake of winning).
I had a different experience and I chose even higher chances of winning - 99%. If I remember correctly, the bet was 100 satoshi, after the first defeat I increased the bet 100 times - 10,000 satoshi (to return the lost).It seems that the chance of losing both bets in a row is small, but on a large number of bets (I set the automatic game), the loss inevitably came.
The most curios thing is that people always say: I bet with 99% chance of win and still lose once, twice or more in dice. What about to use 1% win of chance and bet this way? Less loss but chance of higher win if you increase bet on for example on every 30th bet.
~

I've tried such strategies as well. In this case, the deposit is reduced according to a different algorithm, we can say that we see an endless sequence of steps: first a large group of steps down (we are talking about the amount of money on the deposit), then one big up, then again a large group of steps down, then one big up, etc. On average, the sum "height" of groups of small steps is slightly higher than the height of the step up, so the deposit gradually touches zero.
13506  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Poker Worthwhile freerolls and low stakes high prize on: September 24, 2020, 04:44:17 PM
the problem is that if the tournament goes well, it means that you have to spend 5-7 hours at the computer.

Depending on which tournament, anything with over 2k registrants and standard blinds minutes should be around 7 hours but if you managed to hold for over 5 hours then you should be getting quite top spot with high prize money so its kinda worth it

If we are talking about tournaments with a serious buy-in, then of course, in this case, it is profitable to play until the very end. I mean free tournaments with prizes like tickets to the same tournaments but with serious prizes for example. In the past, I often played these on PS and sometimes even won real money, but now there is simply no time for that. My record is second place in a tournament of 16,000 players.
13507  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Poker Worthwhile freerolls and low stakes high prize on: September 20, 2020, 09:00:05 AM
Thanks for the interesting topic. Unfortunately, I don't have time for such entertainment right now) Before, I often played freerolls and sometimes won good prizes, the problem is that if the tournament goes well, it means that you have to spend 5-7 hours at the computer.
13508  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: About Dice Games and Yolodice . Best strategy?? on: September 20, 2020, 08:41:13 AM
Hello,

I was playing Yolodice today, and I was trying to figure out an strategy to have the maximum profit and lowest risk possible.

There are some things you can control in the game:

-Bet Amount
-Chance to win


I set the chance to 90% and the bet amount to 1/2 my stash. Then I started rolling. I made more than 100 rolls lol

I made a 200% profit in 5 minutes. However, I made 2 bad bets, and lost almost all. (Terrible experience)
Then I was able to recover my previous profit with the same strategy... and then made a few bad bets and lost almost all again.

I sent some more money to recover my lost profit. I am far from it now, but I was thinking about those 2 parameters we can set.

Do you think a 1/2 stash bet is too high? Maybe something like 1/4 or 1/5 is safer, but the reward is low as well. What do you think about chance? Should I keep it higher than 90, or try something lower?

The result will be the same, do not waste time (if you are doing this not for fun, but for the sake of winning).
I had a different experience and I chose even higher chances of winning - 99%. If I remember correctly, the bet was 100 satoshi, after the first defeat I increased the bet 100 times - 10,000 satoshi (to return the lost).It seems that the chance of losing both bets in a row is small, but on a large number of bets (I set the automatic game), the loss inevitably came.
13509  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Card counting in black jack on: September 20, 2020, 08:32:33 AM
There is only one way if  this will work on you, try experimenting with small amount. But casinos will not ban card counting if that isn't effective and doesn't affect or changes the possibility of winning and losing of a player. They banned it because there are actual people who are good at it and they are making tons of money so this seem to work for some who really knows how to count cards.

Do you know such people (who won a lot of money from the casino not just because of luck, but regularly based on their skill)? I would like to know about them in more detail because there are many legends and tales about such masters, but there is very little reliable information, so I doubt that they really exist/existed.
13510  Economy / Speculation / Re: Who sets the bitcoin price? on: September 20, 2020, 08:04:11 AM
It seems that this question is bothering some users from time to time. If you are focused on traditional finances it's hard to be convinced that Bitcoin is independent currency that is not tied to any financial authority, central bank or similar. Some even think that whales control Bitcoin fully including determing of price. Some also believe that some individuals or organisation are standing behind Bitcoin and influence the price.
For nothing of that there is no proof so Bitcoin price is defined by market, by demand and supply ratio.

Thoughts about whales/organizations do have a solid foundation.
Obviously, large capital holders (both in bitcoin and in dollars and in mining capacities) can influence the market very strongly. Perhaps because of this, someone makes the erroneous conclusion that whales "own" the market.
As for organizations (exchanges), there are similarly certain grounds for such thoughts: now most of the bitcoin trading takes place there and the price of bitcoin is determined there. If we take into account the factor of fake volumes, then we must admit that the exchanges have great opportunities to manipulate (within certain limits) the price of bitcoin.
13511  Economy / Speculation / Re: If market crashes, BTC will crash twice as hard. on: September 20, 2020, 07:48:12 AM
There are many subtle points here. To say that all assets fell would be wrong. Some asset fell strongly, some asset fell less strongly, which means that one of the assets rose relative to the other, right?

When Bitcoin crashes, what do you expect to happen to a low cap shitcoin? It will consistently crash harder than BTC. The same exact principle applies here.

Everything else equal, BTC will always crash harder than stock indices or gold, which are much more liquid markets, and which have much thicker bid sides.

It's not about fundamentals. It's not about "Bitcoin was made for this situation" or any nonsense like that. It's all about liquidity. In a liquidity crisis and flight to cash, which markets have the liquidity to absorb a big dump? That is what matters.

I understand the logic of your reasoning. But why do you think that the liquidity of an asset so strongly affects the degree of its depreciation during a crisis? A unique diamond/painting or something like that has little liquidity (they are difficult to sell) even when the economy is growing, but this does not mean that during a crisis they lose their value. As it seems to me, on the contrary, they grow in price as they guarantee the safety of at least part of the capital invested in them. Why should it be different with bitcoin?
13512  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: THE MOST PAINFUL DAY IN MY BETTING CAREER on: September 18, 2020, 06:40:32 PM
I think all of us gambler have this kind of situation where we could never forget because it was too painful because we lost too much money or even something special because of gambling.
But for me there isn't really a painful it is more of an embarrassing moment that was back in 2015 when I was betting on a local players on our place and I really thought that I handed my bet and when the game ended and the team won I was claiming my bet and the whole shop was looking to me with a serious face and told me that I never placed a bet.

Luckily for me, I always forget my losses in games (maybe they weren't big enough?). I remember that once in a tournament (in poker) I lost with two queens in my hand. That's all I remember now. I don't remember anything else - neither the amount of money, nor whose hand I lost, etc. But I remember exactly that when I was losing, I thought I would remember it forever  Cheesy
13513  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: What do think about skill games? on: September 18, 2020, 06:05:47 PM
I think that skill games are only possible when you are playing with other players. For example, games like poker or blackjack. In these games, the most skilled player really wins. One-on-one skill games with casinos still involve a bit of luck. You need to show your good skills, and the casino is enough to wait for the moment when you are not lucky.

The problem is that the ceiling for poker proficiency is very low and many players reach it with ease. After that, luck again decides everything. These are facts, if someone is in doubt, he can check the bets at bookmakers - bets on newcomers in super tournaments are equal to bets on current/former world champions.
13514  Economy / Speculation / Re: If market crashes, BTC will crash twice as hard. on: September 18, 2020, 05:44:25 PM
The idea of bitcoin not being a crisis affected one comes from wall street, not pandemic.
For example, if wall street goes down because it is wall street and they did something wrong and that is the only reason, that is understandable, that could mean they could fall and nothing more, bitcoin could stay high or even go higher because it should not be affected by wall street, it is not something that affects the whole world, only the people who are there and work with them and that is it, aka 2008 crisis for example.

However this wasn't like that, this was literally a catastrophic pandemic that killed hundreds of thousands of people and affected hundreds of millions, maybe billions of people's lives, obviously bitcoin is not against that, it was normal that it went down.

Interesting point of view, I have to think about it. It seems to me that the situation with the virus has now returned to normal (at least there is no more disaster) and we will be able to see how bitcoin will behave further. The fact that in the economy the crisis will worsen is obvious to me.
13515  Economy / Speculation / Re: If market crashes, BTC will crash twice as hard. on: September 18, 2020, 02:53:16 PM
But you must take into account that in March there was no reason for the crash either. Bitcoin is an anti-crisis asset, so the March events should have happened exactly the opposite.

Why do people think this? Bitcoin is a risk asset. In a panic-driven liquidity crisis, it crashed exactly like it was supposed to.

Maybe in a hundred years, Bitcoin will be reliable enough where it'll just dump 10-15% (like gold did) in a situation like that. But if even gold dumped in March, why would you expect Bitcoin to do the opposite?

There are many subtle points here. To say that all assets fell would be wrong. Some asset fell strongly, some asset fell less strongly, which means that one of the assets rose relative to the other, right? And if we look at two assets: the dollar and bitcoin, then I think most people expected that during the crisis, bitcoin would perform better than the dollar.
After that fall, bitcoin won back the lost positions, but there is no further growth yet. I hope that in the future the situation will become more certain and we will not see such inconsistencies again.
13516  Economy / Speculation / Re: sell now or you WILL regret it on: September 18, 2020, 02:42:19 PM
This is the best time to hold on as we are just scratching and preparing for the bullrun. The end will pay off for those with strong hands. 

Since we didn't pass through the wall of $12K, I am also telling my friends this.

I think that this might be just a back turn for the price to be ready for the higher goal in the next few months. The price is doing well as it hits again $11K and went down again which might just go back after some time. With the fast regain that happened, I don't think most of us sold our Bitcoin so I think most of us are still waiting for that pump to happen.

What factors do you think will trigger a bull market in the coming months? To be honest, I cannot imagine it. And I do not think that the presence of a large number of holders (who did not exit during the last fall) is a positive factor - with the next rise (large) they will take profits at each peak, which will lead to pullbacks.
13517  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: fortunejack withdarwal delay on: September 18, 2020, 02:37:36 PM
~
@OP if ever you come back again then better to lock up this thread so that there would be no more further replies on this issue if this one had truthfuly being resolved out.

And it would be very correct to edit the first post so that everyone can immediately see that there is no problem/has not been. Otherwise, the topic may start "living its own life" or some trolls will up it later.
But for some reason it seems to me that the author disappeared before the next topic)
13518  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: fortunejack withdarwal delay on: September 17, 2020, 09:38:19 PM

I was also curious why the amount have increase and since OP is not answering anymore, I think we might not know about the real story anymore, hopefully not just a made up story to attract attention of posters here as one can easily dispose their newbie account.

actually look at his post history, he made a scam accusation with a title " Bitcasino.io Scam" (https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5128173.0) and has not responded also. Roll Eyes

Yes, when I saw this topic, the first thing I did was check his post history. It is very unusual Smiley The account is quite old but only appears here to talk about problems without any proof. Maybe this is someone's alternative account created specifically for such purposes, but in any case, the stories are very meager and it is incomprehensible whether they are invented or not.
13519  Economy / Speculation / Re: sell now or you WILL regret it on: September 17, 2020, 09:28:48 PM
~
Do we really believe that someone would really claim that he do make a panic call decision? No one will surely tell that they are on panic when they do make such sell

but its actually obvious that there are lots who panic sell when the market tends to go down to the bottom.We can actually differentiate a crash and a regular sell-off point.

When we do trade then its mainly needed for such analysis and buying and selling decisions will depend on you.If you do saw the price is already on its peak then you can decide
neither you do sell or just hold a little bit more.Of course, mistakes and regrets will be always part of it.
~

There are situations when a panic sell occurs automatically and the trader cannot cancel it. If a trader used margin trading and hoped for bitcoin growth without pullbacks, then any serious drawdown will liquidate his position. Sometimes such liquidations go like an avalanche and then a real panic begins, but in fact it is quite justified. If the market crashes, then it is wise to close positions and open at more profitable levels.
13520  Economy / Speculation / Re: If market crashes, BTC will crash twice as hard. on: September 17, 2020, 09:20:27 PM
But there is no certain reasons for Bitcoin to crash now as you are saying,maybe we can see the dump proportionally or less but its not going to crash hard since we already witnessed the fastest recovery of crypto market when the whole economy of the world crashed during pandemic.

But you must take into account that in March there was no reason for the crash either. Bitcoin is an anti-crisis asset, so the March events should have happened exactly the opposite. But you yourself saw how it all happened. Therefore, I believe that almost at any moment anything can happen, a big rise and a big fall. Ordinary people cannot guess this, maybe whales have more awareness/capabilities, but they are also not unlimited.
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