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13601  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Technical Support / Re: What are your biggest challenges around security your crypto? on: April 10, 2019, 01:47:25 PM
I like that question also (on are your prepared for loss and recovery if devices all stolen) and I've asked myself and others a few times in the past.

1. Most people would probably not be able to recover a lot of things, browser accounts, email accounts, much less a Bitcoin wallet. I know I could recover several of those at least from memory alone.

2. This for me is also the weak point, that most people use 2FA on a device, exposing them to at least the Password axis you mentioned. Myself I use a Google Authenticator for 2FA, as an extension only linked to 1 browser account. Browser and extension are uninstalled quickly after use. And means I could recover all my online accounts quickly from a new device with 2FA and change passwords. I expect this method opens me up to other vulnerabilities... anyone care to share?

13602  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2019-04-10] Institutional Bitcoin Trading Volume Grows For 4 Consecutive Months on: April 10, 2019, 11:34:26 AM
Look at the short history of that chart. The last time it reached 4 consecutive months, it dipped, before taking over supposedly 25% of volume against exchanges, and then the decline from which it's now climbing. Nowhere to go but up if it's so far down, kind of like how meaningful/meaningless 6 consecutive weeks of Bitcoin price increase means to interest.

It's a sign sure, but almost as useful as Bitcoin dominance, IMO. Also, a fifth of trading volume is institutional? Doesn't that seem suspect?
13603  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Bitcointalk's UEFA Champions League Football Preditor Pool £25 in btc to join on: April 10, 2019, 06:12:03 AM
Well done to the 5 of us predicting a Spurs upset! Trofo's still way in front though and with only only 11 games left, the equivalent of 1 week of games, I don't think anyone can catch you buddy!

I put in 2-0, strange no one tried for 1-0 actually, but I suppose on the evidence of the night's performance (if not the scoreline), this was a game City threw away. Son scores first CL goal at new stadium. Loris saves a penalty. I won my parlay so I'm not complaining at all!

My man LFC is probably readying to go to the match now with an early dinner. My sadness is that I have to try and watch this from mobile as I'm gonna be in a bus or train for most of the match. Yes, I know, sadness and despair, but I'll probably end up watching the game on replay tomorrow morning if we win, which we will. My mantra.

I feel for you, writing this in front of my 4k TV with unfortunately only HD signal for the game Smiley I am paying monthly subscription for 5 sports channels which have only Champions League coverage in HD so I have to use every minute of it. It is like trowing money into the fire but there is no better feeling than after coming from hard days work and football match with the friends you sit in your favorite "couch hole" with cold one in the hand and have superb picture on TV. I almost sound like that credit card commercial.

Thanks Trofo=p You should use every minute of it, and there is really no better feeling I agree. These days especially my days are really long and I don't have my friends around me, so it's really relaxing to watch football. Even if there is some frustration if we lose, being Liverpool, am pretty much immune to heartbreak Wink

I also bought a subscription a month plus back, but am in a foreign country so I get the game now but I don't understand the commentary very much. Most of my life spent listening to English or my native tongue so still feels different. To get the English channel would need me to actually get a whole different package with a new provider and while I could probably afford it, it's not even espn but Fox, which I don't like so much. As long as I get to see the game in crisp quality!
13604  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +6,541 units | 268 bets on: April 10, 2019, 05:58:28 AM
Courtesy of Champions League and the women's international friendly tourney in Spain, just recorded the most successful day in this season, with total nett winnings of 1,629.11 units (winning over 18/1 on 2 bets). I suspect we actually recorded much more but that was on a single underdog bet. Couldn't have asked for more really, the Kiwis winning by the only goal scored in 5th minute, and England defending really well to maintain the 2-1 lead till the end. But what about Spurs showing some steel eh?

Fantastic night for football and we also take our bankroll to above 5000 units, that's over 50% profit from 7 months of betting only 1% of the original stake!

Let's not get carried away. Ajax and United had amazing runs but it surely ends tonight. Barca and Juve to win comfortably:

Game 1: Ajax Amsterdam vs Juventus. Juve WIN @2.31. Betcoin: 2.28
Game 2: Man Utd vs Barcelona. Barca WIN @1.98. Betcoin: 1.98
100 units at Bitcoinrush @4.5747. Betcoin parlay: 4.5144

Odds advantage: 1.34%
Units advantage: 6.03

Running advantage after 269 bets: +6,547.94 (+6.03 units)

Running units after 268 bets (64W|204L): +5,776.8 (+1,629.11units)
13605  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Bitcointalk's UEFA Champions League Football Preditor Pool £25 in btc to join on: April 09, 2019, 05:29:47 PM
Well I got a simple parlay backing my Reds and Spurs to get some feel-good factor from the new stadium (I saw a snippet of their opening ceremony during the Liverpool/Saints halftime break, it was weird heh) and grab the win against Citeh, so I hope you're right tokes.

My man LFC is probably readying to go to the match now with an early dinner. My sadness is that I have to try and watch this from mobile as I'm gonna be in a bus or train for most of the match. Yes, I know, sadness and despair, but I'll probably end up watching the game on replay tomorrow morning if we win, which we will. My mantra.

Good luck, gentlemen.
13606  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Check Out my Bitcoin Hugging Strategy!!! on: April 09, 2019, 04:01:46 PM
Even if this strategy could be implemented (it's not really mindblowing btw, lots of small time forex scalpers swear by this) with a huge ass bankroll, I don't think you'd find an exchange willing to take those orders. Can't remember the term but forex brokers call it a direct hedge. Banned by most brokers back then, surely Bitmex would have limited it, especially on margin.

Course it works, until it doesn't.

13607  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: What do you prefer - Centralized or Decentralized Exchange? on: April 09, 2019, 03:01:04 PM
If I have an easy access to a trusted DEX, I would really consider using such platforms due to fast and easy swaps, though liquidity would be an issue since most traders and the big guns are still playing in the field of centralized exchanges. If there'd be a hit DEX, with huge actual volumes and a fluid platform, together with a smooth UI/UX, I'd definitely get my hands on it and trade there regularly. Centralized exchanges would still be the king of exchanges for the next few years if no one would build a promising DEX platform.
I agree with you.
The biggest problems with the DEXes are poor UI/UX, speed and interoperability, but this will be fixed soon Smiley

I think volume is the simple and single biggest "problem". I have seen DEXs with far greater UI than CEX... or even speed. Even the Waves lite DEX in 2017 was way better than most CEXs today, for example. I'm on a slightly aging laptop and even Binance on an order page takes a lot longer to load than most DEXs I've used. I'm not even going to talk about the lesser CEXs and the 2-minute page load. But because we all go where the volume is (sure, and price), then we use whichever platform doesn't scam us, doesn't have too shitty customer support, and fills our orders;)
13608  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: OFFICIAL APOLOGY FROM CRYPTOWISSER.COM on: April 09, 2019, 02:35:07 PM
OP, I do respect your decision but there are some things to note here and it is probably not a clearcut case of principles if you analyse the decision properly.

As LeGaulois points out, people who gamble are generally well aware of what they're getting themselves into. I don't think any reasonable gambler is under any illusion that gambling could be in any way a guarantee of profit.

This is actually the opposite case with trading. Most people sign up and deposit money at an online broker with very unrealistic expectations. And the ads are misleading too, and there is very little that exchanges do to promote better understanding of facilities like loans and margin trading, which have caugt out many an amateur trader.

I don't think 91% of losing depositors at casinos are unexpected. But 80% of losing depositors at online brokers? Now that's probably a figure not many people are aware of.

I see courses teaching people to trade for a living, people are being misled to think they could easily learn to trade as a career.
13609  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin posts seven consecutive weeks of gains on: April 09, 2019, 10:31:28 AM
Don't want to pour water on anyone but would that still hold true if we used any of the days to calculate? Purely out of curiosity, but I was almost certain w had a week of losses before the 5k spike.

Is this also the time to begin listening to Tom Lee's advice again and start looking for a bitcoin bear to make fun hehehe?

I reckon most of us only begin listening when everyone is dumping which ends in losses.

When did we ever start listening to Tom Lee? Someone forgot to tell me, I'm still on the McAfee bandwidth. Was thinking to switch allegiance to Changpeng for a while until he started with that FOMO comment. Pompliano's already taken out the champagne it seems, if his busy Twitter's anything to go by. Why I even know this isn't sad, right?
13610  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2019-04-05] How Crypto Miners help launder money on: April 09, 2019, 09:47:05 AM
I've actually read Cointelligence reports in the past and they weren't too bad but this headline doesn't start it off in a good way at all.

What it is suggesting in the lead is that those who pay higher fees are likely people who want to hide their txs? But isn't this a self-contradictory statement? I mean, what better way to call attention to yourself than to pay a fee abnormally higher than the average?

It's deliberate behaviour, sure, but why does this automaticaly qualify the attempts as laundering? The article in no way seems to validate this.

P.S. So this is the start or AML organizations in crypto?
13611  Economy / Gambling discussion / Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +6,541 units | 268 bets on: April 09, 2019, 06:19:47 AM
So much for following another tipster re Chelsea, but the good news is our fighting Scotland girls went all out against Brazil, exactly as their captain said they would pre match. 1 out of 3 underdogs ain't a bad return at all.

There are a lot more women's tonight and I smell a lot of opportunities, but I'll add them later. For now, 3 English teams play in Champions League and I'm backing the Reds and the ones for whom to dare is to do... so come on, Spurs!

Game 1: Liverpool vs Porto. Liverpool WIN @1.29. Betcoin: 1.3
Game 2: Tottenham Hotspurs vs Manchester City. Spurs WIN @4.25. Betcoin: 4.1
100 units at Bitcoinrush @5.4783. Betcoin parlay: 5.33

A women's parlay:
Game 1: New Zealand vs Norway. NZ WIN @5.72
Game 2: England vs Spain. England WIN @2.24
100 units at Betcoin @12.8128
No odds comparisons

Odds advantage: 2.71%
Units advantage: 14.83

Running advantage after 268 bets: +6,541.91 (+14.83 units)

Running units after 266 bets (62W|204L): +4,147.69 (+528 units)
13612  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin $10k Before June, Possible? on: April 08, 2019, 06:17:51 PM
Nobody knows what will happen. Anyone that makes a prediction is just guessing.

Markets travel in ways of least resistance where there is profit to be made. So when everybody bought in 2017 and were sitting on massive unrealized gains, the market went against them and took those gains away.

Same with the people who shorted when $5800 broke, they were sitting on large profits at $3100 and never took profit and are now most likely going to cover at break even. When that happens it might easily reverse and take out those traders who bought at $3100 or $2500 in May 2017 when the massive FOMO started.

Yeah, as much as I'm unconvinced that this winter is over (I think 2020 post halving is the earliest it could happen), I'll still remember that in mid-2017, no one except the wildest-eyed ones would ever dare speak of 5-figures. Of course, once 10k was breached, that crazy climb to 20k was on everyone's lips, but the point is, no point really saying what's possible because nothing isn't. No rules and different sets of realistic when it comes to Bitcoin.

I'm not sure about least resistance though. The supposedly tough technical 4400 didn't even have time to evaporate...
13613  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: What do you prefer - Centralized or Decentralized Exchange? on: April 08, 2019, 05:33:17 PM
I probably went through a period in 2017 where I had really high hopes for a DEX to be developed... non-custodial, distributed servers, open-source software, along with cross-chain atomic swaps. That would be some ideal piece of place to be to exchange! And the fact that there were scores of DEXs being developed, plus that some were already useable, gave a lot of hope. I used Waves and Counterparty and thought, wow in a year or two it could get way better!

It's not that I haven't given up on these things. I still believe that maybe even several ecosystems of DEXs, each with their own strengths, could work together. Maybe even on second layers like LN to amalgate. I don't know if that's even possible.

But yeah, for now, what works and what's practical is p2p, and to varying degrees of centralisation... think Localbitcoins on one end and Bisq on the other.
13614  Bitcoin / Project Development / Re: CASPEND - The next bitcoin marketplace ! on: April 08, 2019, 11:51:25 AM
From your website:

Quote
January : Idea, business plan and market study

I like to know about some details from your market study.
1. How big is your target user group?
2. How many users are willing to switch?
3. Do you already have any competitor ?
4. which country or region did you find most suitable for your project and why?

So I guess this project's in public beta?

Might as well take a look at the business plan, surely it would include the very basic information as above and actually more.

You know what would surprise me for once in a crypto business plan? An actual budget, cashflow projection and even expenditure forecast. I've seen perhaps a handful of BPs with so much as a skeleton budget (it's crazy to me how people expect to get interest in a business but have no idea how to do a simple costing exercise). If the detailed BP's too much to share, even a topline one-pager summarising, for example, market analyis, good enough.
13615  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin is the biggest venture capital fund that human kind ever made on: April 08, 2019, 10:14:10 AM
Despite the differences pointed out, I can't help but agree that there are certain concepts that almost qualify Bitcoin as a huge ass, decentralised, trustless VC. We are all the trustees, and what better way to ensure we are all complicit in its success than to ensure no entity controls it (being able to exert control over it, from some powerful entities is arguable though)?

P.S. Why is "high price" ever considered a factor for disliking Bitcoin? You can buy 1 dollar or 1 thousand dollars worth. Imagine trying to get a dollar of gold or a dollar's worth of Apple shares.
13616  Bitcoin / Project Development / Re: [MOON] I have a few top level Crypto domains. Do you want to build something? on: April 08, 2019, 08:27:12 AM
The domain name does somewhat limit the ideas and audience (moon and overdose anyway).

I suppose while waiting for the offers to come in, you could just put a sign on your 3 doors telling people where they should go if they want to learn about Bitcoin. This forum would be a great place to point to (not that Google wouldn't have helped them already). Or if you want to attract some attention, then to have the landing page point to several other sites you think are really good. If they see enough incoming traffic, it might perk some ears. Maybe I'm not familiar with some terminology but unsure if dose and overdose would get any searches directed your way.
13617  Economy / Gambling discussion / Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +6,527 units | 264 bets on: April 08, 2019, 08:09:46 AM
So our hedge won, but abject, abject performance from the bleeding Gunners. Only 1 other team in the top 4 leagues in England has conceded on every away game. You got 4 more matches on the road, Arsenal. It's sad but I don't think they'll make it in Top 4.

We go for single underdog games today. Chelsea should win this against the Hammers, and I actually disagreed with this tip from Cloudbet but with Hazard looking unsettled, Sarri getting even more negative than usual (is that possible?) and cracks widening, and the odds jumping for West Ham to over 11/1, I thought why the hell not?

100 units at Fairlay for West Ham to WIN at Chelsea @11.375. BCR odds: 10.12
Odds advantage: 13.23%
Units advantage: 124.5

And then women's international friendlies, plenty of underdogs, lots of great odds:
100 units on Scotland to WIN vs Brazil @8.28
100 units on Denmark to WIN vs France @10.09.

No odds comparison so no odds advantage

Running advantage after 266 bets: +6,527.08 (+124.5 units)

Running units after 263 bets (61W|202L): +3,619.69 (+450.76 units)
13618  Economy / Speculation / Re: I SMELL FOMO on: April 08, 2019, 06:03:48 AM
Hush now, don't let the people hear/see/smell/feel you. I think Mr Binance CEO probably jumped the gun when he used that F-word, he seems like the new McAfee in some ways, the way people seem to play tag with his catchwords. Gotta say, the numbers are all there, and so are the fundamentals. But it still feels like too soon. I know it's FOMO when some of the supposed ex-supporters change their mind again. That could be around the corner, could take a year still. Waiting for that 1 tipping point.
13619  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: Anyone knows whats going on with Bitcoinwisdom? on: April 07, 2019, 04:05:34 PM
I use https://www.bitstamp.net/market/tradeview/beta/ to follow Bitstamp, which is my main benchmark exchange. I also have the vanilla version of tradingview open to follow Bitfinex's market too, because some times it goes wild and the rest of the market reacts to it.

I think it's safe to say that the lack of developments on Bitcoinwisdom reflect the interest in that site. It may end up following Clarkmoody (for those who still remember it) and eventually take everything down.

It is quite ironic how we almost tested BTC-E's stuck ticker price of $2546 while Litecoin went well under BTC-E's stuck ticker price of $41.27. Cheesy

Yup. Bitstamp for me, but I don't even really care so much except I need a standard for *some* clients to refer to reliably, but in general everyone just accepts that we'll be off several dollars or so, and sometimes I win, sometimes they do. I even trade quite a bit p2p (all selling though) and if I need a quickie I just "btc to usd" on Google, same as any currency I'd check. I suppose once BTC goes back to 5-digit USD valuations, all these slight variations will matter a bit more than usual.

13620  Economy / Speculation / Re: The good thing about having a bad market condition! on: April 07, 2019, 02:19:04 PM
Friday afternoon/late evening was my best trading day in recent memory on LBC (my regular scheduled sell-btc-pay-bills period). Put up a significant sell offer, just a nick below market rates, and I got a flurry of offers emptying me out to escrow in under a minute. I was even delayed on a couple of orders just because I had to reply to the first ones first.

So I don't know about bad market condition, it was really nice to close all trades and everything out in 10 minutes what normally takes me a couple of days on a "good" market.

So yeah, guess people are all thinking now, no better time to buy cheap Bitcoin. They shoulda got it off me a week ago though;)


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