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141  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Be careful what you wish for, it might happen on: July 15, 2022, 04:29:22 PM
The people that bought Bitcoin very early were already higher in the Pyramid than general since they owned a computer and had some (advanced) IT knowledge. From there on the distribution was probably more an average of society.

Also imagine there will still be a big boom ahead. New entrants will probably invest like 0,1btc while rich people will start with a full one. Same risk profile but bigger pockets
But Bitcoin will still preserve a workers savings over time, something fiat can’t do. Anyone has the opportunity to go in right now at the same price, yet a lot of people are spending more time defending fiat or demanding crazy policies(not you), than to take some actions that can benefit their future. It’s a lost cause to reach even distribution in a free market, because people aren’t rational enough to go in early. These earlier risk takers made it possible in the first place and later on they pay the same price as everyone else. There needs to be some incentive to build something.

The people that are rich later on will also need to start using their coins in real economic activity/ spending if they want to benefit from it, as there is no mechanism to create new coins that can make them richer without work or risk like in fiat. Better distribution will occur naturally when thiers law starts coming into play and Bitcoin will be used as a medium of exchange.

Im the case many rich people don’t use their coins at all, they’re like lost coins and out of the circulation, which also benefits the average individual again, as their coins in circulation will become more valuable.

There is unique things about a Bitcoin economy that benefits the average person, they won’t get purely exploited like in fiat. This is about fixing money and not getting rich, not everyone can be rich in the first place, yet Bitcoin still smh protects the interests of the individual again.

You would take away fiat that is controlled by Government and replace it with Bitcoin. Government would never actively allow this so in a Bitcoin world there would be some deconnection from central authority.

For me Bitcoin and reduction of government involvement would go hand in hand. Maybe not in extremes in the beginning but would be a logic consequence
A government that serves its people should have no fears of abandonment, maybe they should rethink who they really wanna serve.
142  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: How Satoshi Nakamoto Fooled the World on: July 15, 2022, 03:48:51 PM
i don't know what the world is turning into, here's the truth and here is the lies with money, people will still go for the wrong choice all because of what will pass through their glutonic unsatisfactory throat
Its psychology of the masses sadly, defying all logic or facts. When they lack social bonds, meaning in life, are anxious and frustrated they just need to get served one narrative that creates a common enemy and they will go nuts and will form a bond of sheeps. Then they do everything to make this bond survive and to keep the feeling meaning alive, no matter if its completely unethical or plain wrong. They can hide everything from the masses with this strategy, no matter if its the causation of inflation, that fiat is a predatory system or that Bitcoin isnt the cause of energy problems, they can just blame Bitcoin anyways and people will do as told. The only thing we can do against this is go against these false narratives again and again, to not let these sheep get out of hand in their ecstasy of craziness. Ignoring doesnt work sadly, as it only strenghtens their irrationality if they stay in an echo chamber.
143  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: How Satoshi Nakamoto Fooled the World on: July 15, 2022, 01:51:54 PM
Fiat currencies are simply records of asset ownership.
You give up ownership of an asset in return for fiat/ or give up fiat in return for assets. Fiat doesnt record what assets you own, you exchange it for assets. You can have a lot of assets and zero fiat, because fiat doesnt even record what assets you own in the first place.

This is literally what makes people rich in this system, minimising fiat holdings, and maximising assets being held. This is the only open secret regular people dont get yet, because they wanna maximise their holdings in fiat, even tho it makes them poorer over time and they are hesitant to acquire any assets/ or knowledge about how things work. Fiat currencies just record how much fiat you own, its not different from Bitcoin in this. After this logic any money is a fraudulent investment scheme.

144  Economy / Economics / Re: "Surprisingly, Tail Emission Is Not Inflationary" -- A post by Peter Todd on: July 15, 2022, 12:51:00 PM
None of that matters because **almost** all of the original 21 million bitcoins will eventually be lost oneday. Doesn't matter how they are stored, on what medium, etc.
It matters, its like assuming all gold in fort knox will magically disappear from earth one day. There is already high security, remote facilities/ bunkers in the swiss alps storing billions in bitcoin, safe from atomic blasts and everything, so lets just assume they didnt think of eliminating human errors from the process, but everything else(totally realistic). These locations could possibly exist in more places in the world. Regular peoples Bitcoin back ups are most likely stored in some places that are way easier to access, than digging out some new gold. Its even possible to still use backups when only some words are missing/wrong, by bruteforcing, so they dont even have to stay in perfect condition to be recoverable.

We can assume that there is also an amount of Bitcoin that is being recovered/ will be recovered. For now its true that some Bitcoin is lost forever, but as long as humanity lives in a civilization, we can probably assume that the ratio of lost/recovered Bitcoin will get close to zero one day. Or that a big enough amount of Bitcoin will simply never be lost, if no more Bitcoin will be recovered(In a timeframe that matters for civilization).

you can always dig more out of the ground.
What theoretical scenario is there where all already digged out gold would vanish from earth forever, that humanity would survive? It just doesnt matter.

block rewards eventually equal 0.
The market value amount of the block reward counts. We already counted out the possibilty of all Bitcoins being lost now, in a scenario that matters for civilization. With a tail emission you risk lowering that market value as it is debasement of the currency. In the scenario where the added tail emission doesnt have enough market value to secure the network, you could fall into the same debasement spiral as any other currency that started debasement fell into. You will need more and more debasement to pay for security, but users will start to drop out, because their currency is becoming worthless and there would be better alternatives for storing value competing in that situation. Bitcoin is competing against many assets and currencies worldwide, we cant assume it has already won forever and tail emissions will simply pay miners more in any situation. The possibility that the current Bitcoin protocol can be more profitable to miners/ more beneficial to users is there, and more likely to me personally.



145  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: El Salvador has become the first country to make #Bitcoin legal tender! 🇸🇻 on: July 15, 2022, 10:55:49 AM
I have frequently asserted to newbie bitcoin adopters that they should not be too preoccupied in the very beginning of their starting to get exposure to bitcoin in terms of learning how to hold and manage their own keys, even though it should be an aspiration for each of us, and especially the more value that we put into bitcoin....
When holding your own keys the important thing is to get it right, there is some time window someone can afford to take their time to learn these things and leave them on 3rd parties. In the initial stages, how much Bitcoin was bought can also be a factor, because if a newbie starts out with lets say 200$, then it makes little sense to get a hardware wallet that might cost something in the range of 150$. But over the course of dca this ratio will change, and then it will make a lot of sense to get one. Also in the beginning it might be overwhelming to learn about Bitcoin, and to self custody your money for the first time ever, so people might be more comfortable with sticking to something they know. The important thing is to get it right and not lose your keys, than rushing to hold your keys and possibly losing them. And then sure if someone wants to leave a certain % of their holdings onto exchanges, there might be practical reasons to do so. It will probably highly depend on the individual financial situation of El Salvadorians to consider taking self-custody or not. If someone doesnt even have any kind of savings, it might not even make a difference to get something more secure, as there is nothing to lose. But for someone with even as little as 1000$ it might actually make sense, to take self-custody over it, especially in Bitcoin. As it could grow over time and doesnt have the inflation, confiscation, censorship, banking problems of fiat.

Bitcoin might still help them build any kind of wealth as they can get access to payments that are not controlled by central entities. Oftentimes in countries with high degrees of emigration, people that left might want to send their family and friends some remittances, but most of it will be eaten by banks, governments or smugglers. This is a huge barrier that was almost impossible to overcome, and still is in countries where Bitcoin education is lacking. The problem is getting this knowledge to people that barely have access/ knowledge about technology and live in hostile/ controlled environments, just making Bitcoin legal tender makes this whole process a whole lot easier and safer already. And could help some people out of poverty in the long term.

Let's say for example, a BTC HODLer in 2015 was not very worried about having had bought $2,500 worth of bitcoin in 2015.. (which would have been about 10 BTC for $250 each), so that HODLer was not keeping track of his her bitcoin security and how his keys were held, but then pretty soon in early to mid 2017, those BTC have become worth way more than $25k and then currently they are worth $250k, and they had gone up to $690k in November 2021.. , so sometimes there could end up being justification to start to pay way more attention to how much value is in the bitcoin based on changes in the price, and there might be some needs to rethink security and even rethink the various locations that the coins (private keys) are held.  Are all the coins in one place or are they in different spots?  Are the coins connected to each other in terms of privacy?  Various kinds of concerns can develop if either the BTC changes in price or if more value is invested into BTC.
We saw this all the time with even older hodlers who just forgot they had some significant amount of Bitcoin on hard drives and didnt take any care of backing it up and then losing it. As Bitcoin grows in price, people can afford/ have to take greater security measures to save them.


We seem to be somewhat on the same page here, tadamichi, and in that regard, you and I are acknowledging the existence of both centralized and non-centralized services while at the same time recognizing and appreciating that some of these are more tied to directly being pegged to bitcoin than others, so for sure there are needs to start somewhere - including that some advantages are likely coming to a large number of people in El Salvador - even if some of the various services might only be tangentially connected to bitcoin - while at the same time, just having more options and opportunities increases the potentiality that El Salvadoreans are going to be able to learn more about bitcoin and maybe even to be able to move some of their value into completely self-custodian options.. but they have to start somewhere in their process of learning about bitcoin and learning about bitcoin-related services and even learning about various differences and risks that might associated with each in terms of privacy or convenience and other possible trade-off factors that they might consider to be potentially relevant to their circumstances and/or whether they benefit in the present or might they also consider possible future benefits too.
There is some kind of balance between the two. If someone is completely dependent on centralized services the tyranny starts, but in a healthy environment, where people took care of having enough access to decentralized services, centralized services would simply start to get abandoned if they tried some iffy things and only the good ones would survive, if people decide to only use them. There will probably always remain some kind of demand for some centralized services, for various reasons, or simply because many people dont realize the difference decentralization makes until its too late. The important thing is that we have enough decentralized services in use for people to have secure alternatives where its possible.

The state is attempting to be bitcoin-friendly.. so sure the state could do the opposite, too.. and create burdens  on the citizens in regards to bitcoin, but they are not.. and in some sense we are lucky that Bukele is not distracted into shitcoins and exerting a large number of controls in regards to how people can or cannot use bitcoin.. Sure some additional burdens could develop later - but the way Bukele seems to have a pretty decent grasp of what is bitcoin probably would not happen under Bukele .. and it will be interesting to see if there is a transition of the leadership and then how will the bitcoin matter be handled during and after such a transition in the leadership.
Good point, it kinda defeats the fud that Nayib Bukele is only trying to get investments from the outside into El Salvador, that was brought up by people. The shitcoin world would be happy to pump a lot more resources into a country, that they could make their playground, as they have billions in backings from VCs. And they could play into the trendy narrative that shitcoins are so much more energy friendly etc. But we see this is not happening, which makes these accusations look ridiculous again, any country wants investments, but this is obviously not a scheme to maximise money being brought into the country, as shitcoinery would bring in a lot more and be easier than just sticking to Bitcoin.


I doubt that we need to entertain those kinds of stupid frameworks.  Of course, there are dumb fucks in this thread and in other parts of the forum who propagate those kinds of mostly dumb ideas, and sure they have the burden to produce evidence and also the burden to persuade that their evidence supports their points, and we already know that a lot of times they do not bring very good facts and/or arguments, and bitcoin's ongoing growth and performance largely negates their overall points even if from time to time, they might be providing some concerns that are worthy to address.  

In other words, it seems to me that everyone has a right to participate and even to bring some lame game facts and arguments to the table, but we should not allow those lame game facts and arguments to distract us from understanding and appreciating what is more likely going on presently and how the future seems to be more likely to play out.

So for example the dipwit trolls and bitcoin naysayers (or shitcoin pumpers or fiat pumpers) frequently want to get caught up on what about this and what about this and what about that., and sure sometimes they make decent points, but frequently they bring up pie in the sky bullshit that is very detached from reality and they want to present a 1% or 10% scenario as if it were a 95% scenario.  So sure, we may well want to consider the various 1% or 10% scenarios, but not be giving them way more weight and/or attention than they deserve, unless the dipwit trolls can actually show us that the thing deserves more weight and attention.. so the burden is on them to present evidence and arguments to show those outlier scenarios in terms of having more weight than we had considered them to have... and sure there is no problem with giving them some attention, but we can also tell them to fuck off with their nonsense because I would rather be focusing attention on this thing that has a 60% scenario rather than the various lame 1% scenarios.
True.
146  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: How Satoshi Nakamoto Fooled the World on: July 14, 2022, 11:54:52 PM
- Regarding value in debt:  I hold a mortgage on someone's property.  They pay me interest on the loan as well as pay back principal.  Their debt is my asset.
Debt can be handled in Bitcoin too, theres no point here. The question is not wether or not debt is an asset. We are talking about forms of money. The claim is that debt is what gives fiat its value. But at the same time we know that debt based money creation has the consequence of debasing ones currency, which makes it less valuable over time, the more this process is being repeated. Which is already a contradiction in itself.

- There is no hard or sound money aspect to bitcoin. 
I will ask some questions now, to see if you even have the capacity to understand this topic, sadly its necessary because the amount of trolls is huge. What would the criteria for a hard and sound money be? And why cant Bitcoin fulfill it?

It is digits on a computer
Can software have value and impact on the world? Theyre all just digits if we go down to machine code.

not backed by anything
If software can have value, what value would a system have, that has made a breaktrough in computer science by making it possible to store information in an unforgeable, uncensorable, open to anyone way without needing a central entity, and uses this foundation to issue money?

except pure faith
The oldest reference from the whitepaper is from 1957, but we can also choose the second oldest one, as its more related to cryptography. So we have atleast 28 years of prior research that lead to this moment. We have more than 15.000 nodes running the software all over the world, building a network and enforcing rules. Millions of lines of code, some of the best maintained production software there is, over 800 contributors that are really good in their fields. Interdisciplinary knowledge that shaped its architecture. An active community that is engaged in many things and wants to see humanity progressing. Is it all just pure faith or actual work?

and a hatred for the status quo financial system. 
If the status quo financial system is good, why didnt Bitcoin stay at 0 market value? As it shouldnt even be able to compete against a superior system that is so beneficial, yet it is competing.

to the facts. 
Name them.
147  Economy / Economics / Re: "Surprisingly, Tail Emission Is Not Inflationary" -- A post by Peter Todd on: July 14, 2022, 10:36:41 AM
Guess bitcoin's fixed supply is maybe just a pipedream...because as peter todd points out,
Its not, there will be enough nodes that will never accept this change, so there will always be a fixed supply Bitcoin.

"An intuitive explanation for this result is that in the long run, the initial supply N0 doesn’t matter, because approximately all of those coins will eventually be lost."

too bad for people that thought the solution is just to subdivide bitcoin into smaller parts. those will eventually be lost too. and so on.
Bitcoins are backed up in a physical way(Steel, paper, whatever) and stored like any other valuable item. Is all gold lost, if we stopped finding new one? I dont think so. There is maybe 2 kinds of different people, the people that dont manage to take care of it well enough, and people that find ways to do it, and never/barely lose anything.

Backups can also be found again/stolen, or Coins can be transfered into a new wallet with a new backup, if the backup was lost but theres still access to them. This assumption will probably fail in practice, lets prove it, instead of claiming the species that is hoarding the most ridiculous things, is unable to hoard Bitcoin back ups at all, that are actually valuable.

So then we also have new ways to eliminate single points of failure trough multi sig, you can store seeds in different places and it doesnt matter if you lost however many seeds you specified beforehand. This is something not even gold or anything else has, imagine you could recover a full 5 ounces of gold, if you just need to manage to store 3 of them safely(or 3 of 5 access keys, if we want to be more accurate). And then its always possible to update the security model by just transfering coins into another wallet for example, if you have already noticed that 1 seed is lost/ compromised.

If theyre backed up digitally, its also likely for them to get into some hand that knows how to store them safely, after enough tries.

Bitcoins success wil likey depend on the properties it offers and not on the amount of coins in circulation. It can store the same amount of value, no matter if theres 15 million or 5 million coins in circulation, then it just incentivises people to even take more care of their satoshis, as the value of each individual satoshi rises. And rewards the people that keep them secure. Bitcoin is highly divisible, the circulation can actually be handled by subdividing it into smaller parts, this wont mess people up, that didnt mess up themselves, that is the subtle difference to inflation.

A tail emission is like debasing a currency, if we start to mix copper into gold, we can act like we have gold more coins, but once people realise this they will switch into alternatives again and the value of each individual coin falls in value. And the properties of your currency changed, so more and more people might not even want it anymore. There has been many attemps troughout history to fix problems trough debasement, but it never brought desirable results for the majority of users and never lead to a ultimately successfull currency.
148  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Be careful what you wish for, it might happen on: July 13, 2022, 08:00:36 PM
It is all true what you are saying but current monetary policy sometimes requires money printing so de facto creating inflation. This to fund some social investments governments are required to do to keep society afloat.

A good example are all stimulus given out during Corona. Probably also a big driver of the Bitcoin bull run.
If they just printed money in emergencies like this, it would be fine and justified. The real problem is that entire nation states are dependent on close to 0 interest rates and would go bankrupt if some normality would come back and higher rates came back. The complete reliance on printed money is dangerous in my opinion and requires central planning, which we know cant work in the long term.

Also its questionable that private institutions like banks have been given to power to basically create money out of nowhere, with fractional reserving and just 1% in minimum reserve requirements. In the beginning this concept might generate more economic growth, but what were seeing now is that the purchasing power of the population is lowering trough constant devaluation of money, and that in times where production is low, inflation creeps in too, the effects are catastrophic, we are going into a living cost crisis.

This system cant be fixed in itself anymore, that is the problem. It always requires more planning and policies, instead of being sustainable in itself.

The point I want to make is you are right Bitcoin is superior but to me its hard to decouple it from full decentralization.
Bitcoin is just decentralized in itself, to ensure its properties will stay like it is and that it cant be controlled by a minority of people, for money this is huge.

I get your concern. I think full decentralization will fail in practice, it was here before centralization and got replaced for a reason. We need police, hospitals, firefighters, courts etc. Who will protect an average persons property? Who will build roads and infrastructure? Who will pick you up in an accident? Who will treat you when youre sick? Who will help you if youre out of a job? There is so many things Bitcoin cant solve, its just money. States formed for a reason, many people might be frustrated currently, but having no social security net is even more damaging. And lawlessness wont ever work or come back on a big scale. There just needs to be some checks on the state again and we need to push bad monetary policy and central planning a little back, only decentralized money can compete against states. The government will just have to compete against it, this is not a replacement question, this dynamic comes in handy more than ever now.

These two things, in fact, work much better without the government.
Maybe my view is different here, because in the country i live you can get the same doctors and universities any rich person can afford, at barely any cost. There is no difference in the quality/ access of the service no matter if youre rich or poor. This might differ from country to country, but my concern is that when theres no real rules here, then poorer people might get priced out of healthcare and education, this is catastrophic for society. Getting a degree or going to a hospital shouldnt mean high debts like in the U.S.

Rich people can always afford better teachers and doctors privately, the state should offer the best quality schools and hospitals they can for everyone, this is the best case scenario for a society in my opinion. Rich people just use private insurances here to get out of public insurances, as it can save them some money, but then when theyre actually sick it becomes expensive and was pointless.
149  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Be careful what you wish for, it might happen on: July 13, 2022, 05:50:15 PM
I have a master in Economics but indeed I sometlmes wonder why we need Bitcoin.
Now you’re starting to ask the right questions.

I literally have zero day to day issues with payments and Im a frequent ebayer/investor all over the world. Fast payment options virtually at no cost. Inflation is an issue of all times and you need to longterm invest to hedge against this.

It could be its different in other areas of the world but for me I dont have any issues. I see the argument a lot so it must be the case in other regions

Do you have any practical examples of current issues for you as a buyer/seller ?
We have to look further than just buyer/ seller related issues, this is about monetary system design. Current payment methods are less relevant, as we have two competing currencies in circulation, Fiat(soft money) and Bitcoin(hard money), the payment stuff comes later. If we follow Greshams law, soft money drives out hard money from circulation, as people would rather keep hold onto something more valuable, than to use it daily. In the initial phase Fiat will still be the primary payment method, this doesn’t matter for Bitcoin now.

The first practical issue is Store of Value related. The money supply from last the financial crisis(2008) since now already increased by 182%, sure this isn’t direct inflation, but debasement still has long term impacts. Now you have already correctly analysed that it is necessary to hedge against this with long term investments. But we also gotta ask ourselves is this option open to everyone and can this economical model work forever? If the answer is no, we might consider, if it would make sense to invest something that could be a fix to the current issues. They are:

  • Loss of purchasing power.
  • Fragility of the banking sector.
  • Fraudulent activities by central authorities.
  • Failing fiat system that needs more and more authoritarianism to keep alive.
  • Risk of censorship and confiscation.
  • Lowered trust in financial institutions.

Also hedging against inflation doesn’t solve the problem of inflation in the first place. The whole approach has ever been let’s debase our currency to fix all problems, yet there’s no evidence of any betterment being the result of this approach. It’s the opposite actually.

To make it even more clear, let’s just compare different forms of money with the common criteria:

Most saleable good(easiness of tradebility with a good) - this changes over time.
  • 1. Fiat
  • 2. Bitcoin
  • 3. Gold

Store of value - Scarcity(Supply relative to other goods), Durability(No loss in functionality with repeated use)
  • 1. Bitcoin (limited; durable)
  • 2. Gold (unlimited, but scarce; durable)
  • 3. Fiat (unlimited, increasing rapidly; not durable, as debt-based money creation makes it a weaker form of money over time, with repeated use)


Medium of Exchange -

Acceptability(Used and accepted by others)
  • 1. Fiat(most accepted and used)
  • 2. Bitcoin(gaining more and more popularity and usage, but less accepted)
  • 3. Gold(accepted in special locations, probably only usable by overpaying in daily commerce currently)

Portability(Easily moveable across distances)
  • 1.Bitcoin(extremly easy and fast, can move faster than the person itself, least costly solution for high amounts today, most secure option)
  • 2. Fiat(Banking system is slow + costly, and even slower + costlier over long distances; No guaranteed security, because there’s always a counterparty risk(No matter if you use Credit Cards, Paypal or wire) or transportation risk/ cost when transporting physical bills; Also makes currency conversion necessary over longer distances)
  • 3. Gold(terribly hard, expensive and dangerous to transport)

Unit of Account -

Divisibility(Easily dividable into smaller units)
  • 1. Bitcoin(Easy, 8 decimal places)
  • 2. Fiat(Good, 2 decimal places)
  • 3. Gold(terrible, needs a lot of work)

Fungibility(1 unit is the same as the other)
  • 1. Bitcoin(All units are the same, altough some people argue that the history of coins can affect its desirability for others, cant be counterfeited, can easily be verified)
  • 2. Fiat(Bills are the same, but higher ones arent accepted everywhere, can be counterfeited, less relevant for digital fiat, but harder to verify overall)
  • 3. Gold(theres different coins/ bars with different degrees of desirability, also its not easy to verify real gold for everyone)

The only outlook we got from central banks to repair fiat would be to introduce digital currencies, but we all know this whole construct needs more and more complexity and control to keep functioning.

This is contradicting the basic task of money: enabling a system of indirect trade. Which of these 3 currencies can potentially do it the best, where would free trade flourish the most? And thus benefit society, because we can all agree that the well-being of society is in decline everywhere, it’s just obvious. We’re discussing social reforms, without trying to get to the root of problem. Fiat robbed money it’s beneficial function for most people, otherwise the opposite trend would be true, and we would see financial well-being in societies rise, the technological progress is there. But it’s just not the case.

Bitcoin is a money that is superior in all aspects listed above, except acceptability, but this is already on an upwards trend. We have the first money that works without a middleman. Where you can’t actually change the properties listed above easily. Where transactions can’t be censored, where wealth can’t be confiscated. Which money would benefit society the most, if we put our political biases aside and look at this from a neutral economical perspective.

To me the answer is obvious.

There is no current solution by fiat economists to protect an average individual from inflation, bank failures, confiscation risks, loosing your money with absolute certainty. Bitcoin is a unique solution to whole problem, so people simply choose this, instead of going the more inefficient route to hedge into other assets that don’t have the potential to fix the system.
150  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Everyone believes in BTC because of scarcity, how hard is it to increase.. on: July 13, 2022, 03:27:48 PM
..Supply if validators consent?
Why should nodes run a change that has no practical benefit? Artificially increasing the supply is basically just debasing a currency, there’s some people who believe such changes could fix security or distribution by ignoring what this basic concept does. This isn’t a new method and happened countless times with any currency almost, and always failed and never benefited the majority of a currency users.

Such a change would probably lead to a hard fork, and the OG Bitcoin would still come out as the better currency with more value. It’s probably impossible that every node would agree to such a change ever, so count it as impossible. That an altcoin will do it one day, is highly likely tho.
151  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Be careful what you wish for, it might happen on: July 13, 2022, 01:36:46 PM
The government won’t be out, they still have a monopoly on force and laws, but they lost their monopoly over money. Maybe they would even start to shift course and appreciate the properties Bitcoin offers to the people, and use it as a superior tool of finance and maybe even start contributing to it’s security etc.

Nice one  Smiley

But they will also need money for that 😊
So? They own many assets like gold, land, real estate, pension funds, some stocks, some companies etc. And can always give out their own currency with forced value attached to it. And will probably start owning Bitcoin or other assets themselves. Taking down a state isn’t possible that easily.

But if we are all convinced we will always need a centralized authority collecting taxes and therefore deciding for us (partially) why do we need Bitcoin ?

It would be weird to only need the decentralization for payments
Not just for payments, Bitcoin is money. If you don’t ask yourself why do we need better money, then maybe you don’t understand how the current monetary system is putting you at a disadvantage and making you poorer than you would have otherwise been. And is making entire financial systems fragile. That is what Bitcoin is here to fix, the only money that doesn’t require trust to work as the trust based money model always failed and will always fail.

And one addition, in the hypothetical case that so many people are pro Bitcoin that they would try to defund the state, if the state is against it. All it takes for the state is to appreciate Bitcoin and make it legalized to keep their power, it doesn’t even take force. So a scenario where a state would fall is highly unlikely.
152  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Be careful what you wish for, it might happen on: July 13, 2022, 12:59:26 PM
then in that dream utopia. it can be done by the technology.
but what you then see happen is instead of 'neighbourhood voluntary tax' it soon pools/syndicates into town tax, then country tax. where by it tries to make things cheaper per person by adopting a wider population into paying into the pool of funds.. and many decades later.. oh look government again..

yep taxes used to be village/castle level centuries ago. then it evolved. to national level. due to citizens opting for that kind of thing over time
Exactly, it will happen again and again.
153  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Be careful what you wish for, it might happen on: July 13, 2022, 12:52:50 PM
Something that always strikes me is that people underestimate the impact of a decentralized world. Especially more vulnerable people that depend on society for ‘survival’.
I don’t think decentralization will spread over to any aspect of society, you will still need government services for most things:

  • Healthcare.
  • Police.
  • Jurisdiction.
  • Education.
  • Military(no military only works, if no other countries has it, but if one country starts building militaries again, the others have to do it too, or they can be conquered easily).
  • Social services.
  • Basically everything the government is now doing too.

Except if they loose their monopoly over money, it could actually make societies more strong again and where decentralization really brings in huge benefits.

- my connection with an employer will be direct and I will pay no taxes —> I have a choice
It’s the same now in most countries, your employer will probably deduct taxes beforehand and you will only get the taxed amount payed out. Just like now, because otherwise the state would start closing their business. The difference with decentralized money will be: No one can confiscate your already taxed money, or make it worthless over time. This is huge, if people had this in the past, the whole course of history would probably have been different.

- No support for unemployment. Maybe this will stimulate more people to work but will also create some issues
They will tax people, there’s a saying: only two things are certain, taxes and death. Even if the state looses their power temporarily and a vacuum forms, after some time a new state will probably form again. We can’t escape this.


But isn’t that the essence of the issue ? In the theoretical case where Bitcoin would take over there would be an issue as the middleman (government) would be out and therefore not able to deduct taxes.

Services depending on these taxes (list you mention) would be under pressure.

I agree with you we continue to need these services but a decentralized world could create issues in this field
The government won’t be out, they still have a monopoly on force and laws, but they lost their monopoly over money. Maybe they would even start to shift course and appreciate the properties Bitcoin offers to the people, and use it as a superior tool of finance and maybe even start contributing to it’s security etc. Fiat creates them problems themselves don’t forget that, a mess that they have to try to fix, but they don’t have a fix they can create themselves.
154  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Be careful what you wish for, it might happen on: July 13, 2022, 12:41:37 PM
Something that always strikes me is that people underestimate the impact of a decentralized world. Especially more vulnerable people that depend on society for ‘survival’.
I don’t think decentralization will spread over to any aspect of society, you will still need government services for most things:

  • Healthcare.
  • Police.
  • Jurisdiction.
  • Education.
  • Military(no military only works, if no other countries has it, but if one country starts building militaries again, the others have to do it too, or they can be conquered easily).
  • Social services.
  • Basically everything the government is now doing too.

Except if they loose their monopoly over money, it could actually make societies more strong again and where decentralization really brings in huge benefits.

- my connection with an employer will be direct and I will pay no taxes —> I have a choice
It’s the same now in most countries, your employer will probably deduct taxes beforehand and you will only get the taxed amount payed out. Just like now, because otherwise the state would start closing their business. The difference with decentralized money will be: No one can confiscate your already taxed money, or make it worthless over time. This is huge, if people had this in the past, the whole course of history would probably have been different.

- No support for unemployment. Maybe this will stimulate more people to work but will also create some issues
They will tax people, there’s a saying: only two things are certain, taxes and death. Even if the state looses their power temporarily and a vacuum forms, after some time a new state will probably form again. We can’t escape this.
155  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: El Salvador has become the first country to make #Bitcoin legal tender! 🇸🇻 on: July 13, 2022, 11:18:16 AM
Yes, technologically there might be difficulties in verifying which transactions might be attributable to El Salvador and then whether some of the transactions might be done on the main chain or over lightning network or a combination of various ways that bitcoin transactions might be carried out on the base layer or on second and/or third layers.. and sure the further out, the more likely that there are going to be centralized dependency points that are not exactly the same as bitcoin, even though the values might get resolved on the main bitcoin layer from time to time... and for sure, I think that any of us should be skeptical regarding claims that transactions are being made and sometimes we cannot really verify the truth of the matter or even if we might be being mislead in one way or another regarding how closely the transactions (and interactions) are related to bitcoin or pegged back to bitcoin or even sufficiently collateralized if they happen to be further out on the layers and really no longer bitcoin transactions. 

I personally wonder about how some of the monetization matters work in terms of services like Strike..what are the costs of transactions and who's paying for the costs (and at some point are there interactions with legacy systems), so is the whole systems what it claims to be and are various aspects sustainable and backed up by adequate collateral too.  Sure if there is some system that is being built, then maybe it does not need to be profitable and/or sustainable right away, but surely we need to be skeptical if there is some system that ends up being like Luna/Terra/ DoKwon (scammer dweeb) that is using bitcoin in one way or another, but then really not even sufficiently backed up by collateral or has various centralized points of failure - while holding itself out and claiming that it does not.. Those can end up being tragic failures and then have some system wide negative ramifications when those systems end up failing and then causing folks to either sell a lot of BTC or lose confidence in BTC which may end up contributing to further cascading negative affects on BTC... Regular BTC holders do not likely appreciate when those kinds of systematic events happen and seem to contribute to the lessening of the BTC price (and even lessening of the perceived value of BTC).
Sure, if this is the concern i can completely understand it. When people use it they should put in the same mentality as with any centralized service and never trust it, no matter what.

This is something not unique to chivo and many people are still using centralized services for various practical reasons. But we also gotta look at the unique situation El Salvador was in, with 70% of the population being unbanked and not having access to easy financial services at all. Now he introduced a state banking like app, that gives people access to fiat, bitcoin main layer and lightning payments for people that had nothing beforehand. Then there’s practical reasons that make it necessary to convert between all these and make them interoperable. And people here are complaining about gambling and centralisation for using money and building infrastructure to introduce these services, what do they expect politicians to do? What more practical solutions could a central entity have offered in this situation, as they can’t even build something decentralized? Put emotions to the side and this is a huge opportunity he gave to people, who didn’t have access to anything beforehand. This is actually their opportunity to even use decentralized services easily in the first hand, as they now have access to the main layer and lightning, even if chivo wouldn’t use these in their daily operations. It’s just another side network.

People can only use decentralized services themselves, this a burden the state can’t take from them. It’s also important to have realistic expectations and look at how/ why things are being used. The state will do its job, and people need to do their own. Not your keys, not your coins. If we’re concerned, we should maybe teach El Salvadorians how to store their Bitcoin safely/ run nodes and not use centralized services when they don’t need to. Chivo might still offer utility, in the same way bank accounts and central exchanges still offer some kind of utility and we’re using one of the two too, without complaining to our politicians that these services are centralized, what else should they be? Should they start lying to us and just make it seem like it’s decentralized, when it can never be, to make us feel better?

Of course, we have a variety of wallets that are available and a variety of ways that bitcoin transactions are being done in El Salvador and other places.  I would not proclaim to have had studied the details of the matter - and I do understand that there are some possible centralized points that could contribute to various kinds of failures and even ways that folks are being mislead about either how transactions are being made and the extent to which people have options.

We do know that people do have options, but at the same time, it is quite likely that some newbies might  end up getting stuck using various kinds of custodial services, and surely some of them will also learn how to hold their own coins at the same time, and we know that holding your own coins is a preferable way of attempting to protect yourself on a personal level..  and even if there might end up being some systematic risks that come through various unknown third-party custody risks, then those might be valid concerns - even though they do not validate the case for bitcoin and they even justify why more and more user-friendly self-custody systems should be built and used..   Surely there are going to be some losers in this whole process too, and some of those are likely attributable to some of the growing pains of ongoing development and early stages in bitcoin. .which can also be considered as exciting times, too..
I completely agree, like i said, people shouldn’t get too comfortable with any centralized service and we should try to teach them now, to prevent further damages. The criticism on the state specifically are unjustified tho now, as no one before this government had made any considerable attempts at banking this huge part of the population, and the app is there to solve this task. It’s easy to bash anything without context, like some people here do again and again.

The simple question in the end is, would El Salvador have been better off without making Bitcoin legal tender and introducing Chivo? If yes, how and why weren’t they better off before? Constructive proposals are the only thing that could help them.
156  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: El Salvador has become the first country to make #Bitcoin legal tender! 🇸🇻 on: July 13, 2022, 01:25:06 AM
Then i dont get your point, any state wallet couldnt be trusted as decentralized, so they might as well use a centralized approach that fits their needs better. If people can still use any lightning wallet, then what is the shocking thing? We’re all also still using bank accounts even tho it’s centralized and untrustworthy.
Sure dude. Keep on bargaining.

I prefer utilizing my time somewhere lese rather than discussing something with a disrespectful 12 y/o kid with zero undertanding about economics.
Quote
It won’t be volatile forever, but this problem is fixed now by accounting in usd and just converting right away in daily commerce, that’s why they put up a trust fund to do exactly this.

I didn’t mean be to be disrespectful, but the volatility will lessen over time as it grows in market cap, one day it could be a way more stable currency and actually be useful to price things in it. For now in practice it doesn’t matter as we’re still pricing things in fiat anyways and businesses can simply convert without any volatility drawbacks. The real gain might be the option for people to have a currency that’s promising to be saved in the long term, and that many people would have the access to a kind of banking app, even if it’s centralized, as they can switch to decentralized alternatives from there.

From calling me cringe and stupid because apparently according to you El salvador was using LN
This wasn’t the reason and i never called you stupid, the cringe thing is that you accuse Naybib Bukele of not grasping basic concepts, when you’re the one who doesn’t grasp some basic things. Also El Salvador uses LN, it doesnt matter if just chivo does not, as you can still use LN everywhere.

to defending El salvador for using a centralized app(they are not even using bitcoin lol but something which is exact opposite of bitcoin's philosophy and smearing its name).
This is the cringe part again, as you would have ever trusted a state wallet to be truly trustworthy. And youre talking about all of El Salvador, even tho it’s just an app and people there can use any alternative they want. If they wanna bank people with this app and the state is a central entity anyways, that could never be trusted to have the authority over a „decentralised“ app, they might as well go the centralized route and be honest about it and more efficient at it. This app is built for fiat and bitcoin after all. Also if you’re not running your own lightning node, idk how you would consider it decentralized in the first place, this is a custodial solution from a centralized entity and you’re expecting decentralization and talking about Bitcoins philosophy, from a product that could never deliver it and isn’t supposed to deliver it.

157  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: El Salvador has become the first country to make #Bitcoin legal tender! 🇸🇻 on: July 13, 2022, 01:12:29 AM
I am not talking about profit or loss and I am also not saying that taking risks in bitcoin is bad if done properly.
They spent 2% of their government spending on Bitcoin last year. Is this gambling?

What if bitcoin falls to $12,000? What if it does not recover?
Then they tried, but it doesn’t matter as Bitcoin is legal tender now and they have to keep the trust fund. These 2% would have been spent anyways, what else would have been more promising economically?
158  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: El Salvador has become the first country to make #Bitcoin legal tender! 🇸🇻 on: July 13, 2022, 01:00:50 AM

Cringe. You’re the person here who doesn’t grasp basic concepts and can’t think further than 5 minutes.

If he had used BTC LN instead, then it could have been a different story. I wouldn't be pissed either because that would be the correct adoption.
They’re not using the main chain señor troll. You can use any lightning wallet and their state wallet uses lightning too, to my knowledge.
Sure dude. Maybe do a google search before you act so cocky on the internet then it will be less humiliating for you?lol
You can still use any lightning wallet, that is the point. Even if chivo doesn’t do it apparently.

Quote
Basically, people in El Salvador will use a centralized payment app that happens to denominate prices in Bitcoin.
The merchants can convert to usd right away trough chivo, maybe thats why did they did it.
What else did I say in my post?
Read twice before you comment.
Then i dont get your point, any state wallet couldnt be trusted as decentralized, so they might as well use a centralized approach that fits their needs better. If people can still use any lightning wallet, then what is the shocking thing? We’re all also still using bank accounts even tho it’s centralized and untrustworthy.
159  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: El Salvador has become the first country to make #Bitcoin legal tender! 🇸🇻 on: July 13, 2022, 12:53:56 AM

Cringe. You’re the person here who doesn’t grasp basic concepts and can’t think further than 5 minutes.

If he had used BTC LN instead, then it could have been a different story. I wouldn't be pissed either because that would be the correct adoption.
They’re not using the main chain señor troll. You can use any lightning wallet and their state wallet uses lightning too, to my knowledge.
Sure dude. Maybe do a google search before you act so cocky on the internet then it will be less humiliating for you?lol
You can still use any lightning wallet, that is the point. Even if chivo doesn’t do it apparently.

Quote
Basically, people in El Salvador will use a centralized payment app that happens to denominate prices in Bitcoin.
The merchants can convert to usd right away trough chivo, maybe thats why did they did it.
160  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: El Salvador has become the first country to make #Bitcoin legal tender! 🇸🇻 on: July 13, 2022, 12:32:07 AM
pay more attention to the reality that El Salvador is not in a very good economic condition.
Tell me a time when it wasn’t like this?

It would certainly make everyone in the cryptospace look stupid if the government of El Salvador goes bankrupt while their president irresponsibly continues to take risks with taxpayer's money.
The only person looking stupid here is you. Will you tell a poor person to fix their finances by just not spending money and doing nothing? This won’t work when there’s not enough money coming in, in the first place.

It takes work and investments to better things, especially if this country lacks in all areas. If they’re getting hate from people like you, means they’re probably doing things right.

He didn’t even take any risks, for the 1000th time, the Bitcoin El Salvador is holding are not at risk and serve a purpose, because they need to convert between different currencies, that’s why they’re using a trust fund.

Will bitcoin fix this?
Fix what? Do you see anything about fixing El Salvadors finances in the specifications of Bitcoin? Before you open your mouth, think of solutions, your crying wont advance anyone and we both know that you’re not interested in El Salvadors well-being, but spreading fud about Bitcoin adoption.

The mock is he is using taxpayer's money to gamble
How much money was used and for which purpose?

on bitcoin while a worldwide economic recession is going to occur.
How would relying only on the dollar would have bettered the situation for El Salvador in a recession?


This is why IMF suggested El salvador to not use bitcoin but instead work on creating a stable financial system.
Sure, this must be the real reason why they’re suggesting this and creating a stable financial system must be an easy task in a poor country that is plagued by corruption.

Bitcoin's role isn't to work as a currency for a nation.
So why does it work?

It will fail due to its volatile nature.
It won’t be volatile forever, but this problem is fixed now by accounting in usd and just converting right away in daily commerce, that’s why they put up a trust fund to do exactly this. Volatility will also work in your favour when you’re holding long term, there’s no advantage into saving into currency that is set in falling in value. People should understand money first when they talk about these things, Bitcoin isn’t used as a unit of account yet and that’s fine, the volatility problem doesn’t matter when you don’t account in Bitcoin and convert right away. Bitcoin will be way more stable in the future when the market cap matures, and then it can be used as a unit of account easily too.

Also as long as the dollar circulates it will probably be used for daily commerce, as this is what greshams law suggest. When we come to the point where the bad money(dollar) will have lost too much value, then Bitcoin will take over in daily circulation, this is what thiers law suggest. Everything we’re seeing so far is completely expected and in accordance with economics.

It could never work, even if everyone(somehow magically) started transacting with bitcoin then the network will simple fail.
Fail, how? It won’t.

Imagine a leader of a sovereign country failing to grasp such basic concepts.
Cringe. You’re the person here who doesn’t grasp basic concepts and can’t think further than 5 minutes.

If he had used BTC LN instead, then it could have been a different story. I wouldn't be pissed either because that would be the correct adoption.
They’re not using the main chain. You can use any lightning wallet and their state wallet uses lightning too, to my knowledge.
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