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1421  Economy / Economics / Re: Hoping that its the end of corona virus on: November 10, 2020, 04:06:26 PM
I also feel that this pandemic provides many opportunities for corrupt government officials to embezzle funds.  With steps to save the country's economy, the government prints money or increases the country's debt to provide economic stimulus.  Instead of distributing these funds properly and correctly, they take the opportunity for their own benefit.  The vaccine that is made is hoped to be able to end this pandemic.  Because the longer this pandemic is with us, the more victims will be.  Not only victims who are infected with the virus, but also victims of hunger and victims of bad people in our country.
1422  Economy / Economics / Re: Biden and Cryoto on: November 10, 2020, 03:36:47 PM
and some people are now openly saying they have btc stash like druckenmiller, a billionaire hedge fund investor. certainly, he's not the only one out there, i bet there are more of them still silent with their crypto stash

https://www.coindesk.com/druckenmiller-invests-bitcoin

Yes I believe so too, they just don't open up to Bitcoin.  Until now, Biden's attitude also does not support crypto explicitly, but that's not a problem because bitcoin is legal in that country.  Currently, even many companies are hedging with Bitcoin, because currently fiat money is not a promising thing.  So Biden or not, Bitcoin has its own place to grow, it is not a seasonal asset, it has been proven for years.

1423  Economy / Economics / Re: Coronavirus is very harmful to fiat currencies, not bitcoin on: November 10, 2020, 02:27:03 PM
Have you seen how governments responded to the corona virus?

Quite simply, in Italy, the US and elsewhere, they will increase their budget deficit, and add debt. In my understanding, that's very bad for fiat currencies, while BTC will remain unaffected, thanks to the lockdown on money supply.
I also think its pandemic will increase govt debt. Many people said crypto will not survive when COVID-19 strikes us. But we all know what happens later. The Crypto market gain momentum through DeFi hype and I think govt now will think about how they can use crypto in their own way. Many companies already invested in bitcoin we all know that. More are doing the same now.

It is very clear that the pandemic has hit the economy of every country.  So this economic rescue was carried out by providing large subsidies to the community.  How can the government provide a lot of subsidies if the state revenue decreases, many companies suffer losses and even close, is it possible only from taxes.  Surely what the government is doing by increasing debt or printing money.  All of this had a clear impact on fiat money.  On the other hand, everyone has started to worry about their assets.  Amid economic uncertainty, people are defending themselves by saving their assets to Bitcoin.  It is not unusual for Bitcoin to appreciate during Covid.
1424  Economy / Economics / Re: How long will it take banks to phase out physical cash completely? on: November 10, 2020, 01:53:32 PM
I wouldn't call that a negative opinion

If anything, it should pass as a realistic one. And this is not about the government at all, either rogue or benevolent. In fact, it is more about the dark side of human nature as such, and the cashless option gives it a perfect weapon in the form of almost complete control of some people over the lives of other people. There is no "government" as something standing on its own. technically, it is just a bunch of people with authority, and to expect them to always act out of good will is extremely naive. The temptation to abuse this control would be too strong specifically because of its devastating power and effect. Cash, on the other hand, effectively solves this issue (along with crypto)

In fact, if the world is currently moving towards cashless, this process will take a very long time even though it has been accelerated due to the pandemic.  Even China itself, which has been using wechat pay and alipay for a long time, has not implemented a total cashless policy.  Currently we are only discussing the possible impact if cashless itself is implemented, even though that is far from being a reality.  It may be too naive to think of everyone as good, but not everyone is stupid, even though you are right that we each have our own way of defense and there will definitely be a way out for every bad thing that happens. (such as crypto, one of example of our defense way)
1425  Economy / Economics / Re: Effective Covid-19 vaccine found on: November 10, 2020, 12:48:12 PM
The vaccine is really what we need because it will affect all of the aspects in a country especially the economy.

But it still takes a lot of time before we can really benefit that tested vaccine and we are confident and guaranteed that it is actually 100% works.

Maybe, the difference in those vaccines are its effectiveness to human. Each and every countries are doing their best to make the best vaccine that they can bring to humanity to help end this pandemic.


What I know is that generally vaccine development takes 8 to 10 years and the possibility of a vaccine can be made faster, at least it takes between 12-18 months and this is a realistic calculation and based on optimism according to James Cutrell.  But if you look at the recently announced vaccines Pfizer and BioNTech even less than a year of development, can this really convince us it is really effective?  Hopefully this is real good news, and hopefully there's no conspiracy behind this.  Because the conclusion I can draw during this pandemic is that the biggest threat to the world today is not a general gun war but a conspiracy of biological weapons.
1426  Economy / Economics / Re: Coronavirus is very harmful to fiat currencies, not bitcoin on: November 09, 2020, 05:08:01 PM
Bitcoin is a non-exist resource. It is improbable to pass the infection from one person to another.

Anyway, it might profoundly impact fiat since people can contact their monetary forms and embrace conceivable that the infection can go through to other people.
So it's better to utilize the digital forms of money and make an online installment by sitting home.
Covid can impact fiat; however, it has no connection with crypto, not even the Cost.

Why the pandemic worsens the value of current fiat money because it is used legally in the country as a transaction tool.  All economic policies taken will have a direct impact on fiat money.  How not, because what determines inflation in a country is fiat money, not bitcoin.  Monetary policy is devoted to regulating the supply of fiat money, not other assets.  Because if it is excessive, there will be inflation, if it is less, there will also be a decrease in people's purchasing power.  Bitcoin is not that common for everyone even there are still many countries that have not legalized it for reasons of economic problems.
1427  Economy / Economics / Re: Effective Covid-19 vaccine found on: November 09, 2020, 04:15:17 PM
Not only in the US, but also my country says vaccines are in the final stage before distribution.  The vaccines made in my country are also said to be effective, so this news is not really a surprise.  The question here is what makes all the vaccines different?  now it looks like they are in a race to offer their vaccine and it is sold at a high price for a huge profit.  This news will also not affect bitcoin, because when the pandemic appears, bitcoin prices will continue to rise, and in the future it will too.
1428  Economy / Economics / Re: Here is a conspiracy theory on: November 09, 2020, 03:33:21 PM
Talking about conspiracies is endless.  But right now I believe this is indeed an ordinary pandemic, even if there was a conspiracy at the beginning the impact would not be as bad as what the OP talked about.  Until now, my country has been doing well even though the debt has increased, and the current total debt is still fine when compared to the country's GDP.  Inflation in my country was maintained even though there was a slight increase, but not hyperinflation, although I admit that unemployment has increased.  If it comes to nuclear war, my mind is too naive, but I'm sure it's not like this.
1429  Economy / Economics / Re: Government slowly open the economy, will it make the pandemic worst? on: November 09, 2020, 02:45:04 PM
This situation really be on the horns of a dilemma.  Reopening the economy is a move that everyone wants but it will increase the number of infected cases.  On the other hand, if you want to reduce cases of covid-19 infection, the government must lock down and worsen the country's economic conditions.  Nobody expects both.  However, that is the reality we must accept.  New normal is an issue that must be accepted by the public, ready to survive side by side with the virus to survive hunger.  Like living in the walking dead series.  Silent and uninspected but starving to death or struggling but zombies are ready to pounce.

In countries such as India and Brazil, sero-sample surveys have found that in some of the cities up to 60% of the population is having antibodies to COVID 19. That means that these people are unlikely to get infected again in the near future. So even if the government opens the economy, the spike in the number of new infections is going to be quite limited.

May I see an article related to that?  I just heard about it.  But if that is true, it is good news for all of us.  There is evidence that humans can have covid-19 antibodies.  So that we are not too anxious to stay active on the condition that we maintain health protocols.  But I also believe, one day we will all be immune to this pandemic, just waiting for the time.  Because this pandemic is not like HIV, which even today there is no cure.
1430  Economy / Economics / Re: How long will it take banks to phase out physical cash completely? on: November 09, 2020, 01:49:09 PM
Moreover, someone with sufficient mandate may specifically not like how righteous and good you and your actions are. The temptation is just too strong, up to a point where it doesn't really matter how good or bad your ways would be. To sum it up, it's only a matter of time till you fall prey to this cashless and equally ruthless system, innocent or guilty. Therefore, cash is the way to go (in addition to crypto, naturally)

Isn't that just our bad guess to the government, you only conveyed the negative opinion.  If you are too afraid of the system created then there is something wrong behind it.  However, every policy taken I believe has been considered the pros and cons.  I'm also not sure if you only keep assets in the form of money.  There are many forms of investment that can be used to save large amounts of your money.  There are gold, stocks, bitcoin, other physical assets.  I am not the type of person who keeps assets in the form of money.  Maybe you are too, so don't worry too much.  What is the use of the law and law enforcement when there is an injustice?  The government is also our choice, so just trust our leaders.

The problem is that government agencies are tempted to expand the very concept of illegal operations and it is unknown what wilds the rich imagination of lawmakers can lead to. Also, full control over money by the state leads to the second temptation, when you want to introduce new taxes and fees from the population, because there is constantly not enough money in the Treasury and this situation is chronic. Therefore, the proposed amenities may be followed by a fee after a while and there is no certainty that everyone will be very happy with this fee.

I agree, with the cashless policy it can encourage the temptation of the government to do something like that, but the government has people we have chosen, and I still believe that with the term above, there is the most absolute government, namely "people's sovereignty" where we can continue to monitor anything.  policies made by the government on the impact of this cashless, and if the government starts to deviate a little, we can use our voting rights by taking to the streets.  Didn't none of the governments want demonstrations to happen?  it's a bad thing for a country if it happens a lot.
1431  Economy / Economics / Re: How long will it take banks to phase out physical cash completely? on: November 08, 2020, 05:13:39 PM

Cashless is an easy way to control people
I couldn't agree more, behind the convenience and comfort felt by the community with cashlessness there is a nightmare of fully controlling money from the government when we carry out bad risk activities.  But if we live our life the right way, it's not a nightmare.  Unless you are doing money laundering, or doing illicit transactions, a drug dealer, your money will be easily detected.  But this won't happen any time soon I think.  Because changing ordinary things to new things, it will take a very long time even though there is an acceleration of this pandemic.
1432  Economy / Economics / Re: Venezuela Planning New 100,000-Bolivar Bills Worth Just $0.23 on: November 08, 2020, 04:17:07 PM
Well.. just one small question here. Why can't they just re-denominate their currency? Not saying that it is going to slow down the inflation rate, or keep more money in the treasury.. but having bills of 100,000 or 250,000 sound really weird. If I was the finance minister, then I would re-denominate the currency by a factor of 1 million. So the rate becomes 1 New Bolivar = $2.30. It is not going to last long.. but still, it is worth giving a try.

This is happening when inflation is going out of control. In the end of the 1920s in Germany, there were bills which were worth 10 trillions. A year before such a bill was worth 100. The 10 trillion bill was enough to buy one bread. Next day, bread cost 50 trillions. Same happened a few years ago in Zimbabwe. Now in Venezuela, even though at slower pace.

An unpopular opinion here.

In case they are unable to maintain the value of the national currency, why can't they make some foreign currency as the legal tender? I am talking about currencies such as US Dollar and Brazilian Real. If I am not wrong, Zimbabwe allowed its citizens to use USD and South African Rand after its currency got heavily devalued. Why can't Venezuela do the same, rather than printing banknotes which are worth less than toilet paper?

Right, I would rather agree if the adoption of another currency in the country of Venezuela is legalized than printing more money.  Currency redomination will also not help much as the government also has to print large amounts of money.  In addition to requiring greater costs to print new money, the government must be prepared to overcome the additional inflation problem due to a decrease in people's purchasing power.
1433  Economy / Economics / Re: Government slowly open the economy, will it make the pandemic worst? on: November 08, 2020, 03:36:49 PM
The government is trying to reopen the economy in a limited portion because of running the economy in a way that can be beneficial for all. Because of the lockdown, many countries reverse getting decreased and if it continue then they will face trouble in near future. That's why the government is trying to reopen but where it reopened it, it makes the people in danger with the affect of the virus.

No government generally now will try to impose lockdown till the situation is under control. As in last 7-9 months economic activity has already taken a huge toll, business unit have shut, lost of jobs, people are becoming poor and many do not have any money left. Thus, only by opening up of economic they can start to get back thing on track to an extend now and with precautionary measures people should be working.

This situation really be on the horns of a dilemma.  Reopening the economy is a move that everyone wants but it will increase the number of infected cases.  On the other hand, if you want to reduce cases of covid-19 infection, the government must lock down and worsen the country's economic conditions.  Nobody expects both.  However, that is the reality we must accept.  New normal is an issue that must be accepted by the public, ready to survive side by side with the virus to survive hunger.  Like living in the walking dead series.  Silent and uninspected but starving to death or struggling but zombies are ready to pounce.
1434  Economy / Economics / Re: The pandemic did push the world towards a more digital age. on: November 08, 2020, 02:45:56 PM
The automotive companies are recording pretty decent profits and high EBIT due to all the pork and extraneous waste that they've grown over the past 100 years. I think they're realizing that they don't need large dealerships spaced every 10 miles when being able to order a vehicle online and have it delivered to your house works for those concerned with mostly A-B travel or who already know what they want without needing a test drive. Companies have to have saved billions from not "mailing" sales people all around the world on expensive business class flights and instead using zoom/google meets.

I don't know which automotive company has made profit during this pandemic because it reduces costs, which is usually replaced by digital-only processing via zoom.  However, if you look at the data on the automotive industry in my country, the sales decline occurred about 50% from last year.  And some say the automotive industry's revenue has decreased by 15%.  No one has yet noted that during this pandemic, auto companies were profitable.
1435  Economy / Economics / Re: Not enough Corona Virus Vaccine until 2024, at earliest on: November 08, 2020, 02:18:40 PM
Here in India, the government is already taking the necessary steps to vaccinate its citizens who are above 60 years of age. On top of that the high-priority groups such as medical professionals and students may get the priority. In total, 300 million people are expected to get vaccinated in the next 4-5 months. At this pace, by the end of next year almost everyone here will be vaccinated against COVID 19.

Will the vaccine to be distributed in India really prove effective?  Because as far as I know that generally vaccine development takes 8 to 10 years.  However, if seen from the words of James Cutrell, the vaccine can be made faster, at least it takes between 12-18 months and this is a realistic calculation and based on optimism.  So how can India be sure it is really effective?  what steps are taken for the vaccine trial?  because if it's carelessly, it's dangerous.  Honestly, now I doubt that the vaccine will be effective.
1436  Economy / Economics / Re: Biggest threats to the price of Bitcoin. on: November 07, 2020, 05:41:15 PM
The possibility that could cause bitcoin price to drop drastically I can conclude is that the wholesalers are short selling, they are selling a large amount of their bitcoins to cause panic from the small traders and all join in selling so the price falls and they buy back cheaply.  The government can also make bitcoin prices fall, when all countries prohibit transactions related to bitcoin, inevitably the bitcoin price will fall.  Another is when there is a negative issue related to bitcoin, where there is a massive hacker attack on the digital exchange, this issue can make many traders worry and immediately exchange their bitcoin for other assets.  And when bitcoin has a more profitable competitor than bitcoin, it will soon be abandoned.
1437  Economy / Economics / Re: Need of the hour : Use the Crisis on: November 07, 2020, 05:05:45 PM
I do not get how we moved to third wave already, when was the second wave and how did it end?

I remember the first wave, around march or so the whole world started to have it bad, and around summer times it looked to be getting better and by the end of the summer it started to go back up and ever since that we are not doing that well, did we decided that second wave started at a certain period and ended and restarted as a third some other time?

In any case if you are looking to profit from crisis, you have to realize that people who went to gold rush in California didn't made the profits, it was the shovel makers that made the money. So, if you are going to start a business off the back of a crisis, you should not do something regarding crisis itself but a business that helps others out of crisis.

I am also quite confused about how to determine the current pandemic wave.  As far as I know, in my country the first wave started in early March until now there is no sign of ending.  However, many say that it is already in waves two or even three.  But that's not the main problem here.  My focus is more on what businesses can be created during this crisis and get others out of this crisis themselves.  What can be seen today that businesses that can be run and are not too affected during the pandemic are digital-based businesses or businesses in the field of community staple products.  In addition, other businesses experienced a decline in profits, some even went bankrupt.  Can you provide an example of the business you are referring to?
1438  Economy / Economics / Re: Will the Digital Yuan makes China even more powerful? on: November 07, 2020, 04:08:31 PM
Chinese people have been using wechat payment or Alipay for a long time, and most people pay on those platforms using barcodes just like people using apple pay, it's easy as using only a smartphone or credit card.
if digital yuan completely works and easily used as mentioned above and could displace paper money, in case of economic control and efficiency it will make Cina even more powerful because they can control the flow and distribution of money within their country, no one can lie about their finances or evade the tax.

Perhaps more precisely, full of strength in the area of ​​a transparent financial system.  Because the impact of digitizing the yuan will not have a full impact on the economy, what determines the country's economic strength is its foreign exchange reserves.  The bigger the country's foreign exchange reserves, the stronger the country.  The digitization of the yuan only seems to give the government the power to control black money and taxes from its people.  Another benefit will make transactions easier due to their speed, security and convenience.
1439  Economy / Economics / Re: Is COVID-19 an excuse for governments & central banks to print money? on: November 07, 2020, 03:27:36 PM
The central banks don't have any other option. Many of the countries have announced huge stimulus measures. The United States alone expects the stimulus spending to be in the $3 trillion range. So from where this much money will come in? In the end, the central banks need to print all this money as the tax revenues and other receipts are not enough to cover even a small part of it.

It is not that to overcome this pandemic an alternative besides printing money, it can be with other approaches, there are many types of monetary policy that can be implemented by the central bank.  Printing money to tackle this pandemic is not a common practice in the economy.  Because by printing money, the government must really control the money that has been printed. There will be many problems if printing money is not supported by strict supervision.  There are many people who will take advantage of this opportunity, greedy politicians and officials, and there are many others.  It is a fact that has been done in my country, printing money can cause inflation of up to 67% because the distribution of money is not going well because many unscrupulous individuals take advantage of this situation.  This is a hard lesson for my country so that currently the government in my country has not yet adopted a policy of printing money.
1440  Economy / Economics / Re: Second lockdown in Europe can their economy survive this?. on: November 07, 2020, 02:23:59 PM
..because in their bid to earn money from tourists, they ended up getting more covid cases. Furthermore analysts also believe that Greece’s economy will tank for now, but if everything remains open next year then it’s quiet possible that their economy might rebound to a certain extent.

Not to blame only the government but their people itself.

yeah right, we can't just blame the government.  Cooperation between government and society is needed.  When the lockdown policy is enforced, we should comply with the policy, not only comply with health protocols, we can also remind our families and people around us to comply with applicable regulations.  The government also has to make very strict and well-planned regulations, not decisions that are rash, or decisions that are not well prepared.  Because 1 wrong decision in this pandemic could make the country continue to fall into the future.
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