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1441  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Gamblers should not believe in first game win trap on: December 09, 2023, 11:38:57 PM
We once discussed this discussion, and I said that in fact most of what was said was just rumors. or, it's just something that is believed from one gambler to another with myths that gambling the first time usually gives you a win. in fact, it's not like that.  although, it seems that there are some casinos that have tricks like this to attract lots of new customers. that too, with the limits they have adjusted to. In essence, I agree with what you said. So, in fact luck plays an important role, especially in games that are based purely on luck. However, this has become very inherent in gamblers, and not a few even believe in it.

For me personally, none of that is a problem. Most importantly, a person must be prepared for the risks they face every time they carry out a gambling session. especially for beginners, before they get involved in gambling, whether just to try, for fun, or even seriously to make money from gambling. You must first know the methods and systems of gambling. Apart from that, the effects that can be caused if you don't have a broad understanding of this entertainment. There's nothing wrong with sharing experiences with gamblers who already have long experience.

Most importantly, we should not seek knowledge from gamblers who are addicted even if they are veteran gamblers. and there are no other words, other than gambling according to our abilities and limits without having to harm other parties or even our families. it doesn't matter whether we are beginner gamblers or old gamblers, we must be fully aware and instill basic concepts within ourselves.
1442  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Do you believe you can win on sports betting by analyzing a betting lines only? on: December 09, 2023, 11:11:19 PM
When I say 'line,' I am referring to the spreads or handicap of a certain team in the game. Through my years of experience, I have noticed that putting effort into analyzing the team's statistics and other factors, such as news and rumors, does not significantly affect my chances of winning.

I got this belief now that bookmakers are already knowledgeable about these aspects, and they take them into consideration when establishing a betting line for a specific game.

How about you? Do you share the same perspective or not?

To be honest, I don't know the mechanisms and ways in which betting companies design every option they present. However, because they are betting bookies, they will arrange it according to what they have adjusted. and I agree with one of the members who said, that the bookie will not know which team will win the match. where, they prioritize probability. and I completely agree with one of the opinions expressed by community members.

Referring to the first point you said, I will underline that in reality in gambling there is no such thing as significantly influencing the chances of winning. whatever it is, whether other gambling or sports or football. However, we really need the factors and variables that you mentioned, such as research, analysis, or anything else that we need to determine and decide on a match. and because of that, we can choose various options as you mentioned, for example handicap, Under/Over, 1×2, both teams to score and all other options.

And referring to my experience, balanced with understanding, experience, knowing the ins and outs of football. both patterns, systems, tactics, and all other factors, have a huge influence. but in any case, we leave the rest to the final result of the match. Well, if you are no longer sure, you have to dig deeper into the knowledge. Or, you can choose other bets besides sports.
1443  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: French Soccer League Predictions and Discussion Thread (Ligue 1) on: December 09, 2023, 10:47:03 PM
It has been a day filled with much of surprise across Europe so I'm not really expecting much from PSG tonight so I don't end up in another surprise, but then the obvious seems like PSG is at advantage than their opponent, Monaco earlier were able to get three points after their opponent got a red card of which turned out in their advantage.

The game between PSG just started and they are in their early minutes of the first half, PSG is already looking like they will be domineering in this game, moreover they are at home which I see to be a very good advantage for them, I'm I much anticipation to see how well Mbappe will perform after the recent news of Madrid loosing interest in him and probably not further make moves for him, so most likely he may end up a free agent, I just hope it doesn't affect his psychology and performance.

The match is according to what I predicted, if Paris Saint-Germain will score at least 2 goals in this match. and yeah, Bradley Barcola scored his first goal in this match, and that was quite good as an early goal. while PSG's second goal was scored from the chaos that occurred in the opposing team's goalkeeper's defense area. Fortunately, Kolo Muani was able to take advantage of this opportunity.
As a result, PSG continues its positive trend in this competition with the last 8 matches winning. Thus, PSG was able to maintain a distance of 6 points from Manaco who also won their match against Stade Rennais. Unfortunately, the PSG goalkeeper should have been able to block Mostafa Mohamed's header if he had been more alert. because, its position coincides with the direction the ball is coming from. Maybe, because Mostafa Mohamed's header had quite high speed, Arnau Tenas couldn't block it. PSG should have won this match with a clean sheet. Even so, PSG still got full points in this match.

Now, we are just waiting for the PSG match against Dortmund at Signal Iduna Park.
Regarding Mbappe going to Real Madrid, so far there are no rumors or definite news. So, what is certain is that Mbappe will still be in the PSG uniform at least until this season. Regarding next summer, that still has quite a long gap. So, let's just follow every match that Ligue 1 presents, even though it doesn't really offer exciting matches.
1444  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Saudi Professional League 2023/2024 on: December 09, 2023, 10:03:26 PM
My prediction was almost right and was thwarted by the Al Nassr match which I thought would score 3 scores and I was doubtful if Al Riyadh could score 2 scores but it turned out Al Nassr scored 4 scores and Al Riyadh 1.
Even though my bet lost, the achievement of tonight's match is that the favorite club can win all without any surprises happening and I think those who bet on this match will win it and Al Nassr is back again with a big score. Usually they are only able to score 3 or more but yesterday they were able to produce a score. a lot and Al Hilal was enough with 2 scores to win even though it was almost a draw but Al Hilal's defense was quite strong.
Maybe today I was unlucky but really enjoyed Ronaldo's performance.

You're out of luck, dude. maybe next time, you make better and bigger than the multibet you show. What's unique is that the odds are pretty good and always match your predictions. However, the odds are very low, not as expected, so in the end you fail on this multibet bet. Honestly, if I had to choose, my choice would be the Over option. because apart from Al Riyadh being a promoted team this season, Al Nassr almost always wins their matches with a landslide score when they meet promoted teams in the Saudi Pro League. or, I could refer to the handicap option perhaps with the -1.5 option. however, our methods are different and that is completely your right.

As for the other two matches, it is very unfortunate even though there are more ideal choices. in particular, the Al Taawoun vs Al Fayha match. As for Ahba, I don't really know this team. So, further research is needed if I am interested in betting like you do. My focus is only on a few matches and ideally 3 matches. By betting with a bankroll that is tailored to our respective abilities and desires, the results have a higher probability of winning for me. once again as I said, we have different ways and the same goes for betting points of view. and it's a shame, you just failed for the Al Nassr match. If the results match expectations, at least you will win this multibet bet. maybe next time, you will get better and keep up the spirit Dude.
1445  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Europa League 2023/24 Season on: December 09, 2023, 09:34:51 PM
By the way, PSG still has a good chance of getting into the Europa League - it will be difficult to win against Dortmund away, and Newcastle will most likely be able to beat Milan at home.

Newcastle still has the opportunity to qualify with Dortmund, but if PSG loses to Dortmund, the Dortmund and PSG match is a life and death match for PSG because they could have been eliminated from the Campion League if they suffered defeat to Dortmund, and Newcastle will go up to second place if Able to win over AC Milan, to be honest, Grub F is fairly Grub Hell where the strongest club from each league is in Grub F, so do not be surprised if Grub F is truly very difficult to predict who will qualify for the Grub phase or actually thrown into the league Europa ..

Yeah, that's true, especially since Newcastle are more favored when playing against AC Milan at ST James' Park in the group phase on matchday six. It's just that ahead of the match against Milan, Eddie Howe's squad will visit Tottenham Hotspurs headquarters. Even though Spurs are in poor performance in their last 5 matches, Eddie Howe's squad still has to make an effort to win this match.
Only after that, Newcastle will host AC Milan. which means, Eddie Howe's squad will be a little bit short of the stamina of its players. Moreover, Newcastle's condition is still being hit by players suffering from injuries. So, it is not certain that Newcastle will be able to overthrow AC Milan. Moreover, these two teams have almost the same style of play.

As for PSG against Dortmund, as you said. This match will be the deciding match for Luis Enrique's squad when they visit Dortmund headquarters. However, Paris Saint-Germain is more favored by betting bookies. But if I talk about a hunch, Dortmund and PSG will advance to the next phase.
for Newcastle and Milan, I have a feeling that Milan will go to the Europa League competition.
in other group matches, especially group B. To be honest, I don't want to corner Sevilla, but it looks like Sevilla will not qualify or get a ticket to the Europa League playoffs. but what is certain is that we will wait for the final result after this match is held.
1446  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: December 09, 2023, 09:07:52 PM
~~

I personally favor Galatasaray over Copenhagen for that match. Even though Copenhagen is in second place, for me they both still have the same statistics. Copenhagen is in second place because it has a goal difference of 1 point more. It wouldn't make much of a difference in my opinion. The most difficult opportunity is at Manchester United. No offense but I hope they can do better in the European UEFA league.

Honestly, for now I will not rush to assume or even speculate between the matches of these two teams. But one thing is certain, Copenhagen as the home team will maximize this match as best as possible in order to accompany Bayern Munich into the next round. Not unlike Galatasaray, Okan Buruk's squad will not waste the opportunity to advance to the next phase. However, Galatasaray had to work hard to make it happen by overthrowing Copenhagen at Parken, Copenhagen's headquarters itself. and it certainly won't be easy, not least for the home team.
In the first meeting, Copenhagen played their match with a draw when they visited Galatasaray. Now, it's their turn to play as the home team. For now, I just want to say that this match has the potential to return to a draw. But to know for sure, we'll just have to wait when the match is held.

In other matches in the Group A phase, this match was quite interesting and unique for me. I have been monitoring the odds for the two teams for several days, but so far there has been no change. Uniquely, both teams both have odds @2.50. which means, this match can be said to be balanced based on the odds given by the bookie. well, if the scenario is like this. I believe United has a chance to beat Bayern at Old Trafford. But to be sure, I will patiently wait and confirm the system and composition of players from both teams. So, there are no other words other than let's just wait before the match takes place.
1447  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: December 09, 2023, 08:42:56 PM
~snip~
My curiosity has sparked regarding the players that Barcelona will choose to put up for sale. It seems like that some useless players will be kicked out from barcelona.
Gavi's injury may be long and this makes Xavi want to buy new players. Felix's option may be good, because he has already started from scratch and will no longer adapt much. But maybe Xavi also has to think because he can't perform optimally after playing very well at Benfica. But it is likely that the transfer fee will be an obstacle, because Barcelona have currently spent a lot of money to buy players.

Supposedly, Ferran Torres should have been released last summer. but for some reason, Barcelona or Xavi still keep him. In fact, they could release Raphinha instead of Dembele. but once again, I don't understand why they did something that didn't match the expectations of many of us, even football observers. As for the other players, I don't know for sure, but Alonso is the ideal option that they can release next January. Or, Barca will release him as a free agent next summer.

However, unpleasant rumors are now approaching Lewandowski, it is reported that this Polish striker is an option that will be released by Barcelona. In fact, I don't know the validity of this report. So, I think this is just gossip.
as for being related to Joao Felix, and as Romano reported. If Xavi actually started to like the player from Portugal, he said I want to keep Joao Felix at Barcelona in the long term. I am very happy with Joao and he is happy too. "but it's still too early", the club will have to negotiate. The point is, Xavi is very happy with the two players from Portugal, both Felix and Cancelo.
As for Gavi, referring to Transfermarkt, it is estimated that he will return on June 30 2024.  But actually, I can't confirm its validity. Regarding the discussion in this post, let's see how it develops, especially in January.
1448  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: December 09, 2023, 07:54:08 PM
I won't be surprised if Aston Villa ends the match in defeating arsenal, arsenal  had always been like this . Sometimes they are unpredicted and unstable in their performance,  with the way arsenal is going I see they can still end up like last season missing to win the EPL again. The coach arsenal is still using the same strategy of last Season for this season and they are are still having the same results. It is so painful to see losing a full point again, if arsenal continues like this I'm even scared if they can be able their position in the first top four of the league.

There's no need to be afraid, even we as Gunners fans responded casually. after all, the difference in points from Liverpool at the moment is only 1 point. and if you only look at the Gunners pattern, yes they only look like that. However, if you look more carefully at the system that Arteta applies, you will see the difference. This defeat does not make us sad as fans. In fact, the Gunners didn't play badly in the match against Aston Villa.
Even a team at the same level as City, which is strong and dominates this competition, could fall, let alone Arsenal, which has just rebuilt its strength. Moreover, if I pay attention to several other leagues, the top teams are having bad weeks. Arsenal was no exception, even though they lost narrowly. Arsenal actually controlled the game, they were even better in terms of the opportunities that both teams had. Likewise tactically and technically, unfortunately Arteta's squad was unable to convert the 3 big opportunities they had.

What I regret a little is that sometimes Arteta is often late in making decisions when his team is having difficulty creating goal opportunities. or, difficulty equalizing. It seems clear that Arteta should have made a quicker change when Martinelli was not playing as he should. and, so do several other players. In essence, Arsenal failed to get points in this match. but what is certain is that this is football. Not always, a team is able to consistently win its matches throughout the match. After all, the competition has only featured 16 matches, there are still many matches remaining and the competition to win the trophy is still difficult for us to predict. Let's just enjoy it, even though in the previous post I clearly favored my favorite team. but what can you do, the Gunners lost in this match.
1449  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: December 09, 2023, 07:28:31 PM
However, in fact, Real Madrid has really had difficulty breaking into Real Betis' goal so far. The second half has started, while the goalless score still remained until entering the 50th minute. I don't believe Real Madrid can beat Real Betis easily in this match, even if Real Madrid has had a good performance in the previous 15 La Liga matches.

Real Betis playing at home should not be underestimated like that by some fans, especially if they review the H2H in the last 2 seasons. The match will most likely end in a draw, but not 0-0.

In the end, this match ended with a score of 1-1. however, the combination between Brahim Diaz and Jude Bellingham was really neat, and executed very well in the 53rd minute. unfortunately, after that no one else was able to convert the opportunities that Madrid created into goals. although in reality, Madrid owns ball possession with 63%. however, Madrid only had a few chances in this match. the only goal, came from a combination of Diaz and Bellingham.
Madrid had 12 total shots, 2 shots on target, 1 big chance. even though Madrid actually played quite well in the middle and front lines, their defense was not that solid. plus, they have difficulty creating goals.

On the other hand, the home team put up quite a good fight by having better chances than Real Madrid. maybe, because Anceloti tried to apply another pattern in this match. Real Betis had 14 total shots, 6 of which were on target, 2 big opportunities and 1 shot hit the goal post, they were able to convert 1 goal quite coolly. the result is the match as you said. The match ended in a draw, and the final score was not 0-0. In the end, these two teams had to be satisfied with sharing the points.

Tomorrow, an important match for Barcelona and Girona. a winning result will be very profitable for these two teams. If Giona wins, Madrid's position will be shifted by Girona. However, if Barcelona wins, the points difference will be very thin. So, let's just wait for tomorrow.
1450  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: December 09, 2023, 06:48:50 PM
Manuel Neuer and Bayern Munich's defense today was really bad. Manuel Neuer was most responsible for these 5 goals because he couldn't make a save even though I see all the goals happening in the same scenario. Manuel Neuer's form has declined due to injuries and his age, but to be honest this is not what Bayern Munich wanted.

Bayern Munich's performance could be said to be good when building attacks, but Kevin Trapp performed well today by recording 4 saves. It was a bad day for Bayern Munich so the result has gone in favor of Leverkusen. The team coached by Xabi Alonso leads the standings with a 3 point advantage over Bayern Munich, but of course the competition between the two top teams this season is expected to be tighter.

In the end, Bayern Munich slipped too. a team that is on fire without previous defeats. In fact, Bayern usually wins matches with satisfying results. However, in the previous 2 matches in all competitions, Bayern played with less than optimal performance. I mean, they didn't win the match with a landslide score. Previously, Bayern only won narrowly against Koln, being held to a draw by Copenhagen. Then, in the end it was defeated by Frankfurt with a landslide score of 5-1.

Ah, this is football. as I often say, going ups and downs can happen to any team. In fact, I also often say it for Leverkusen. In this match, I actually didn't watch the match. However, almost all of Bayern Munich underperformed and the worst was Neuer, referring to match statistical data.
But actually, we don't necessarily blame the goalkeeper. although, its performance really underperforms. but in fact, Bayern's defense line players played very chaotically. It would be a shame if Bayern had to lose points in this match.

In the other match, Dortmund is playing their match against Leipzig and the temporary result is 1-2.
Tomorrow, Leverkusen will visit Stuttgart, this victory will be a very important point for Xabi Alonso's squad.
1451  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: French Soccer League Predictions and Discussion Thread (Ligue 1) on: December 09, 2023, 06:19:47 PM
Almost some people would have thought that Lens would win the away match against Montpellier but it seems that this did not materialize after the two teams only played a goalless draw in this match. In fact, Lens really controlled the match with 66% ball possession while Montpellier only had 34%, but overall Montpellier was able to keep up with Lens' game.

Lens controlled almost the entire match. They were strong on all fronts in that match. But they had 5 shots on target and Montpellier had 4 shots on target. This shows that Lens performed poorly in that match. I bet on Lens in that match because I saw their last 5 games. To be honest, Lens played quite well, but the poor finishing made me lose the bet.

I actually previously suspected and said the opposite if Montpellier had a chance to overthrow Lens, in the match last night. In the previous post, I reviewed why Lens would not go all out in the match against Montpellier. Unfortunately, this match ended with a score of 0-0. and referring to the statistics of the match, Lens really had more control over ball possession. However, based on the chances of the two teams, they do not have a significant difference in chance comparison. The difference is, Montpellier relies more on counter attacks. Unfortunately, the 3 counterattack opportunities they had could not be utilized properly and converted into goals.

Referring to these two teams, I previously said in another post. if the home team at least doesn't want to drop points, neither does Lens. However, Lens has a game remaining in the group phase and that match will be a crucial battle. So I assume that Lens will focus more on the match ahead of Sevilla. But that doesn't mean Lens is ignoring this match. However, they will not appear allout because they have to save energy. that's why, I have two options in betting, handicap option and Under. however, Under 2.5 goals is safer. and yes, the results match the scenario. Well, we'll see when Lens host the match against Sevilla later.

For today's match, PSG will host Nantes. It seems that Enrique will make a rotation for his squad. because, after this match, Paris Saint-Germain will play a match against Dortmund in the Champions League group phase. This match is also decisive for PSG. However, referring to the predicted line-up, Asensio will start this match as a center forward. PSG should be able to overthrow Nantes without any problems. Mininally, Luid Enrique's squad will score 2 goals in this match.
1452  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: December 09, 2023, 05:23:37 PM
The game against Aston Villa is crucial for Arsenal. They need to bring in physical strength and aim for victory. Winning away matches, especially on tricky grounds, has been a challenge for Arsenal. To succeed, Arsenal should approach the game without being influenced by the previous Villa vs City match. Mental preparation is key, and if Arsenal can avoid defeat in their minds before the game, they have a good chance of winning. Aston Villa might face the consequences if there are no surprises on Saturday night.

As a Gunners fan, I hope that the Gunners can play this match smoothly, even though the match is played at Villa Parck, Aston Villa's headquarters. this match will be quite a tiring match, considering that the Gunners will play against PSV in the Champions League group phase.  Fortunately, Arsenal is in a safe position in the Champions League group phase by being in first place with 12 points.

While Aston Villa is currently in 3rd place in the standings with 32 points. In the previous match, Aston Villa was able to defeat the giant team, namely City, even with a narrow score. which means, in this match, Arteta must not underestimate his opponent's team which has the potential to be able to defeat or even overthrow Arsenal. but if I refer to the composition of Arsenal's players, Arteta will play his core players to get full points. now we are talking about betting options, Aston Villa with @3.70 and while Arsenal @2.02. It seems that this match will present a tough match for both teams. especially Aston Villa, who have the motivation to get full points at their own base. However, as an Arsenal fan I will still support my beloved team.
My estimate is that the result of this match will end with a score of 1-2 for Arsenal. The match will start soon, let's enjoy and watch.
1453  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: The worst slot provider ever? on: December 08, 2023, 11:43:30 PM
To be honest, I'm not that dominant in exploring every slot game provider. However, because of my first introduction to Pragmatic playing slot games, I indirectly tend to prefer games from Pragmatic providers. although actually, I tried several times with other providers and just wanted to experience a different sensation. but because we tend to have habitual patterns, indirectly the initial game is what I tend to play.

Apart from that, there are many ups and downs in my experience from the Pragmatic game provider. When I'm unlucky, no matter what game I play, the result is the same. that is, lose quickly. or even within a week or more, I always experience defeat. I'm a little annoyed, but this is a slot game. and I'm sure the pattern is the same even though the providers are different. well, at least there is a slight difference.

But I can't deny that from playing Pragmatic, I've had some good shots. if I have experienced defeat for days, and vice versa. I was lucky to be given a win in a few days even though I had won the previous day. Not infrequently, I get Maxwin in several games. and this is what makes me rarely play from other providers. Although in reality, the slot option is still a side game of sports betting that I like more.
1454  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: French Soccer League Predictions and Discussion Thread (Ligue 1) on: December 08, 2023, 11:18:48 PM
Lens, was unable to continue their winning streak, after overthrowing Marseille, Clermont and Lyon. in the match against Montpellier, this match had to end without producing a goal from the two fighting teams. Even though Lens actually controlled the game with 66% ball possession, they were not able to convert a single opportunity into a goal. Regarding opportunities, there is no significant difference.

Lens and Montpellier both have 2 big opportunities. The difference is, the home team had 18 total shots even though Lens was better at shots on target. In this match, Montpellier basically relied more on counter attacks. it was proven, they carried out 3 counter attacks as well as taking 3 shots even though they did not score a goal. So, none of them were able to be converted into goals.

And as I said in the previous post, this match will not produce many goals. and those who bet following my recommendation with Under 2.5 goals @1.79, congratulations on winning this bet. It's simple, in short, in my analysis, Lens will not go all out because they have an important match to host Sevilla in the Champions League group phase. clearly, this match is more important for them. However, that doesn't mean Lens isn't serious about playing this match. It's just that they won't waste a lot of energy against Montpellier. Meanwhile, Montpellier doesn't want to lose points in this match.  and their focus is more on defensive patterns so as not to lose this match. As a result, this match was as I predicted.
1455  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: December 08, 2023, 10:51:23 PM
I feel like Copenhag has the advantage of the pitch, that is the biggest thing that people are not talking about. These players are used to playing there, they have played there for a long time, some of them played there all their life, but Galatasaray players will be foreign to the weather and the pitch.

The pitch can't be grass, like not the grass we know, not the dirt and grass that we use everywhere, it's still fine by regulations, but it's a bit more rough, not really "fake" but more rough, in a weather like they have over at Copenhagen they had to change it, and Galatasaray players will not be ready for that, they are not used to it, they have mild weather where they live, so between the super cold weather that you may feel freezing, and also the pitch that is different, you are going to end up with a lot of trouble for the Galatasaray team, and if they failed to win at home, imagine how much difference that cold weather away game will be.

In the first meeting at Galatasaray headquarters, Copenhagen was able to provide resistance to the home team. In fact, Copenhagen was ahead with a 0-2 advantage. Unfortunately, in the 73rd minute one of Copenhagen's players was given a red card. In the end, Galatasaray was able to equalize the score to a 2-2 draw.
referring to the first point you said, this is quite reasonable and worthy of consideration, especially considering their initial match meeting. Apart from the points you are talking about, in their last 5 matches Copenhagen is experiencing a decline in performance. 3 defeats, 1 draw, in the Domestic League and 1 more match, a draw against Bayern Munich. However, because this match is being played at Copenhagen's home ground, they will appear all out in front of their own supporters. Moreover, they have great motivation as they finished second in the Group A phase.

As for Galatasaray, they performed quite well in their Domestic League. In fact, as professional players, they must be ready to fight in any weather and terrain. Moreover, Okan Buruk's squad also wants to win to accompany Bayern Munich in the next round. Referring to betting options, the odds provided by bookies do not have a significant difference. So, these two teams both have a chance. However, because Copenhagen acts as the home team, they should be able to maximize this match and it will be an advantage for them. Just wait, because in the next few days this match will be held.
1456  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: December 08, 2023, 10:24:58 PM
Xabi is still doing a good job, it's just that when talking about consistency, it's not the time to blame the players or the coach because when consistency decreases, the coach and players indirectly decrease because we are talking about a team that contains the whole of the players and the coach.

But for now I think saying their consistency decreased just because of the draw against Dortmund is quite funny because after all, seeing from the results that occurred in their last 5 matches only 1 draw and 4 wins is still very good and the draw against Dortmund I think it can be considered reasonable because Dortmund is also one of the big clubs in the Bundesliga and even always a subscription in the Champions League.

Leverkusen played very well in the match against Borussia Dortmund, especially when they fell behind early. In the second half, Leverkusen's aggressiveness was much more intense to score, in fact they had many opportunities but were unable to convert them into goals. Until the 79th minute, Okoh Boniface was able to score a goal and equalize the score at 1-1. as a coach, Xabi Alonso has done his best for his squad to equalize and even tried to fight hard to win the match even though the time gap was running out. Unfortunately, the final result ended in a draw with a score of 1-1.
and this would be very natural to happen, even conditions like this can happen to Bayern Munich when some of their players experience a decline in performance. and, this is what is unique about football. In fact, our adrenaline goes up and down for those who watch the match, especially those who bet on that match.

In fact, my question is the opposite, Terzic should have done something when his team was unable to get out of the pressure. even though, if he wants this match to be a victory for them. Tedzic can make substitutions and change his pattern to defensive. but for some reason Terzic didn't do it, maybe because there was prestige in this match. because as you said, Dortmund is one of the elite teams in this competition, so they are trying to match Leverkusen's game. However, in terms of play, tactical and technical, Leverkusen played much better than Dortmund. As for the results of this match, this is what it is. that in fact, the two teams were only able to share the same points.
1457  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: December 08, 2023, 10:00:20 PM
The winter transfer window is closing in on us and I'm wondering more about what will happen to Mbappe. Because he has still not extended his contract with PSG. He normally has an option to extend by one year but he doesn't want to activate that for now seemingly. PSG are doing good in the Ligue 1 maybe but the Champions League title is more important to them.

As PSG don't look good in the Champions League now Mbappe might be fed up with being away from getting competitive for the title finally. I wonder if Real Madrid will make a contract offer in January.  Huh

So far, I haven't heard any new rumors from Mbappe's statement after he announced his decision to terminate his contract in 2024. however, we don't know anything about what actually happened. it could be, if Mbappe has an unpublished deal. or, he is truly committed to his decision. Only one thing is certain, we will find out after the January transfer window opens. Will PSG still include him on the player sales list, with all the scenarios? Or, PSG will still try to keep him. So far, everything is just assumptions and what we speculate through reported rumors.

By the way, IMO, this season PSG is not targeting the Champions League trophy. however, they are more aimed at building the foundation of the team, and Luis Enrique is responsible as head coach of Paris Saint-Germain.
As for Madrid, they did not make any new statements after making their official claim on their official website. but who knows, that's just a scenario. but if Madrid can get Mbappe for free next summer, why would they bring him from PSG this January. Or, it could be that another club would be interested in bringing him. However, which club is willing to pay Mbappe's fantastic salary. There is no other way, but let's just wait and see how things develop next.
1458  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: December 08, 2023, 09:39:41 PM
The fact that Barcelona is seen as such a big favourites, even while they are trailing, is the proof that the whole world thinks that Barcelona is better and Girona is just "having a period", nobody believes that Girona will end up getting the title, nobody thinks that they would be even close, Barcelona is so many points behind and still considered heavy favourites, that's the proof.

I am not saying they will win, Barcelona may end up losing as well and that would be something dangerous for them because it would put them many more points behind and they need to end up winning in order to be stronger and that should be an important thing for them, but that doesn't mean that we are talking about a situation that would be true, maybe there is a possibility of them losing, but I am 90% sure that Barcelona will end up winning. This is an easy bet for me but it doesn't worth it with these odds, if it was more like 1.90 then I would have bet on Barcelona for sure.

It's only natural, because Barcelona is much better based on team depth. Even two Barcelona players who were not very reliable moved to the team managed by Michel. Erik Garcia is one of the players currently being relied on by Girona, he has played 12 matches for his new squad. while at Barcelona, ​​he mostly sat on the bench. even though in reality, this player was loaned by Barcelona. Likewise with Pablo Torre, even though he often starts matches from the bench.
Referring to what you said, that seems to be the case. but more precisely, many doubt that Girona will be able to win the La Liga title in this competition. The proof is that Girona was unable to keep up with Madrid and fell with a score of 0-3. was held to a draw by Real Sociedad, and will now play an away match at Camp Nou, Barcelona's home ground.

In fact, we cannot know the exact result of this match. However, what is clear is that Barcelona is far superior to the bookies and at the same time playing in front of its own supporters. The question is, can Girona overthrow Barcelona? yeah, why not. After all, in football, there is nothing we can predict precisely and accurately. It's just that, after all, Barcelona is more profitable and superior. If Barca lose, it will be a loss for them who will be separated by an increasingly wide gap in points. However, if Barcelona is able to win the match smoothly, Barcelona will further reduce the point difference. Well, if the odds provided are not ideal for you, there are other options you can choose. you can bet on Over, or Handicap. However, in my opinion, the handicap option is quite safe in betting on this match. at least, Barcelona will score 1 goal.
1459  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Saudi Professional League 2023/2024 on: December 08, 2023, 08:42:00 PM
Al Tai 1 vs 2 Al Hilal

Al Hilal's winning trend continues after winning 1-2 over Al Tai and has 10 points from Al Nassr who still have a game in the next few hours against Al Riyadh. Large difference in points makes the Saudi Pro League competition less interesting behind Al Nassr can't stopping the winning trend from Al Hilal and success lead top standings with 10 points left. Has opportunity for Al Nassr winning on next match but keep 7 points left between first and second place not really excited with Saudi Pro League tittle race for this season.
Al Ahli and Al Ittihad seems out from domestic league tittle race after their points remaining more than 14 points from Al Ahli, have many matches left and if can't stopping the winning trend from Al Ahli will make them easily for winning domestic league tittle before playing until 34 domestic league matches.

These two teams both won their matches, both Al Hilal and Al Nassr. Talking about Al Hilal, so far they have really appeared confident and quite impressive by winning 16 matches in all competitions including the match against Al Tai. in the match against Al Tai, Al Hilal was able to win this match even though with a narrow score of 1-2. However, their consistency remains on the right track after being held to a draw by Damac last time. In this match, tactically and technically Al Hilal was much better than the home team. It's natural, after all, based on the standings there are obvious gaps as well as the depth of the team.
Mitrovic, however, was unable to collect 1 goal again even though he was through the penalty spot. So for now, Al Hilal is still firmly at the top of the Saudi Pro League standings.

Meanwhile, Al Nassr was able to defeat the opposing team with a landslide score of 4-1. It's natural, apart from playing at home, the team they are playing against is a mediocre team. In fact, it seems like this fight is going in one direction. I mean, Al Nassr did not give Al Fiyadha a chance when referring to match statistics. As for the one goal scored by Al Ryadha, it was only a consolation goal for them. Thus, no changes occur in the first and second positions. but of course, this competition still provides quite a long match. As for the teams below these two teams, they are quite far apart in points. It would be a shame if Al Ittihad and Al-Ahli and even Al Taaowon had difficulty competing. and what is more worrying is Al Shabab, which this season has experienced a decline in performance.
1460  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Europa League 2023/24 Season on: December 08, 2023, 07:57:22 PM
It has been a really comfortable run for Leverkusen in the group stage. Because I think they had the easiest group among the biggest title contenders. They destroyed every single one of their opponents in the group and guaranteed qualifying for next stage as leader. They won't need to play an extra stage as well which is a good advantage.

Because we never know what would happen if they had a draw against a team coming down from the Champions League. But looking at the possible teams to come from there I don't see any team that can beat Leverkusen out of the Europa League.  Smiley

I don't doubt how consistent Bayer Leverkusen is in every match, they play well and solidly. starting from the defense line, midfielders and their front line. Xavi Alonso's squad played very competitively despite the limitations of its players. However, under his tactical and strategic guidance, Leverkusen played with high performance. not just Okoh Boniface, who has always been Xabi's mainstay. However, there are other players who are quite productive, such as Florian Wirtz, Jeremie Primpong, Jonas Hotmann and other players. which means, Xabi Alonso allows his players to score goals if they have the opportunity. so, they didn't just target Okoh Boniface as Target Man.

In its 13 matches in domestic competition, Leverkusen was able to score 38 goals. In the Europa League, they scored 14 goals and conceded only 2 goals. They have scored 15 points, even though Alonso does not always play his full core squad. Of course, Leverkusen already has a ticket to qualify for the next round. they just wait, which team will be their opponent. and what is certain is that Xabi has brought dramatic changes to Bayer Leverkusen since he took charge of this team.
Honestly, I like the style of play they display. since the start of this thread, I have consistently favored Leverkusen. However, I am also well aware that along the way, it is not impossible for Leverkusen to experience problems and perhaps even be eliminated in the next phase. However, based on the favorite team in the Europa League, it is clear that I side with Xabi Alonso's squad with what they displayed and presented for us to enjoy football. I will just enjoy every match they play, especially the crucial matches. Regarding trophies, there are still lots of matches to be played so let's just keep up.
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