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15161  Economy / Speculation / Re: Financial Risk Analytics-Subscription Service on: April 26, 2012, 09:09:44 PM
Update emailed:

LOL!
15162  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin up. on: April 26, 2012, 06:53:30 PM
http://seekingalpha.com/article/525521-russia-and-mexico-both-buy-nearly-1-billion-worth-of-gold-in-march

so the Fed is really going to turn control of the global monetary system over to Russia and Mexico?
15163  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin up. on: April 26, 2012, 02:51:52 PM
Apple wash, rinse, repeat.
15164  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin up. on: April 26, 2012, 02:04:39 PM
perhaps you don't know.  the demand for credit is non-existent, hence the low rates.

Normally you talk a lot of sense cypherdoc; but it's worrying that you think central bank interest rates have anything to do with demand for credit.  They should have everything to do with demand for credit; but the rate is not set by a market, it's set by a committee.

well i think there are differing opinions on this, like the horse before the buggy or vice versa.  the only area of consumer loans that has grown over the last 4 yrs is in the student loan arena and thats more a bad sign than anything else.  the kids can't get work so they decide to go to school instead and get degrees from worthless predatory lenders like the Univ. of Phoenix via Sallie Mae.

since the demand is so low, interest rates will naturally fall, but you're right that the central banks try to lower rates to boost demand by buying UST's in the open market creating artificial demand (~60-70% of demand is from the Fed); the problem is it isn't working.  you can't force ordinary ppl or corporations to borrow; the old pushing on a string analogy.  this is why the economy refuses to get back to ordinary growth; we already have too many debts and we're tapped out.

as bitcool says above, somehow consumers are spending but its b/c they're decreasing their savings rate.  thats not a good long term strategy.

eventually the bond vigilantes will come to the US.  they've been hibernating for 30 yrs.  and then the Fed will find they've lost control of interest rates.  you see that the CB's in Europe have already had this happen to them.
15165  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Access blockchain.info wallet without password, two factor, or e-mail on: April 26, 2012, 02:29:09 AM
Set the secret phrase.

How do you verify the identity of an anonymous person whose entire digital presence may have been compromised? I'm open to suggestions.

there's only so much you can do if ppl screw up.
15166  Economy / Speculation / Re: Financial Risk Analytics-Subscription Service on: April 25, 2012, 10:41:01 PM
Any interested new subscribers should PM me with your email address before 4/30.
15167  Economy / Speculation / Re: Financial Risk Analytics-Subscription Service on: April 25, 2012, 08:36:00 PM
Update emailed:

Here's the issue.
15168  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin up. on: April 25, 2012, 05:05:09 PM
Guess you don't know how the economy works then. Oh well. Only way to keep rates super low is with massive artificial supply of credit.

perhaps you don't know.  the demand for credit is non-existent, hence the low rates.
15169  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin up. on: April 25, 2012, 04:51:06 PM
Boring fed meeting..

Business as usual.

The country is doing crappy, but gotta be crappier before we print faster then we currently are.. (which is crazy fast, lol)



By saying they are keeping rates low until at least 2014 means inflation inflation inflation. Same story and will remain so for some time.

low interest rates are a sign of Deflation whether you think they're manipulated or not.
15170  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin up. on: April 25, 2012, 04:46:34 PM
Boring fed meeting..

Business as usual.

The country is doing crappy, but gotta be crappier before we print faster then we currently are.. (which is crazy fast, lol)



the problem is that "boring" isn't acceptable.  for markets to keep rising they need "stimulus".
15171  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin up. on: April 25, 2012, 04:36:59 PM
silver touched below $30

my ZSL up 5%.
15172  Economy / Speculation / Re: Financial Risk Analytics-Subscription Service on: April 25, 2012, 04:30:29 PM
Update emailed:

Data
15173  Economy / Speculation / Re: Financial Risk Analytics-Subscription Service on: April 25, 2012, 04:07:05 PM
Update emailed:

I don't like it.
15174  Economy / Speculation / Re: Financial Risk Analytics-Subscription Service on: April 25, 2012, 02:08:11 PM
2 Updates emailed
15175  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: George Selgin advocates Bitcoin AGAIN on: April 25, 2012, 01:31:01 PM
you can't really expect an academic economist to come right out and say we need to shift to Bitcoin. 

everything he says, IMO, comes right up to that point and stops probably as a personal hedging mechanism.  i think whats stopping him is that it might be that he believes we need a computer controlled monetary system that introduces a fixed amount of currency on a regular basis w/o interference.

i think he still has a ways to go before fully understanding Bitcoin as he says some things about it that are bizarre or incorrect.  but he does understand that it is democratic money not controlled by a special interest group and that it could solve our present problems with fiat money in an unbiased way.
15176  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoinica Under New Management on: April 25, 2012, 12:07:04 AM
sounds to me like Zhou just needed help esp. after losing 45K BTC's and who better than the Intersango team.  i think Patrick also demonstrated some security holes to Zhou and made him realize he couldn't do it alone.  just speculating.
15177  Economy / Speculation / Re: Financial Risk Analytics-Subscription Service on: April 24, 2012, 10:59:01 PM
Update emailed:

Apple
15178  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin up. on: April 24, 2012, 09:38:39 PM
Now tomorrow we need the fed to say that QE3 is more likely blah blah blah.. and everything will keep on chugging up that hill.

i got a good joke for you.

what's a gold and Apple bugs worst nightmare?

SOUND MONEY!
15179  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin up. on: April 24, 2012, 09:21:27 PM
bleeding off now.  forward guidance decreased.
15180  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / George Selgin advocates Bitcoin AGAIN on: April 24, 2012, 07:32:40 PM
http://www.soundmoneyproject.org/?p=7368

see 27:10
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