I am not much into following the patterns, but since some patterns are also met in the markets it is very possible, of course, the fact scenarios for those years are very different from the fundamentals of now.


When we see the S2F model of PlanB it is very similar to what it shows in OP.




Source: https://twitter.com/100trillionUSD/status/1314160853533569024

This model is one of the ones I like the most, in fact it has an expiration date and that is the best, because it does not become any pre-established tool.

From my point of view, in my beginnings my first account was made in Bittrex and I really liked it, also when I met Binance it caught my attention much more, besides that Binance has much more volume than Bittrex there was something that disappointed me about Bittrex , is that it banned the country where I reside, and it seemed in very bad taste because this is crypto, there should be no prohibitions for countries, however Binance did not do it and that generates confidence for those countries that handle considerable volumes of Bitcoin trading.

All this will always be used by whales, if we just follow their thinking we could achieve a lot, and we have it at a glance:

Bad News = Buy Bitcoin, why?

Because weak hands will always be carried away by any news, panic is what moves them the most, and there is nothing better than buying when millionaires buy, it is the best way to obtain long-term profits.

I respect the people who follow and enter groups so that they can give them signals, but it must be taken into account that they have many limitations, why do they give signals? why don't they use those signals for themselves and win?

A friend was in a group of signals and at that moment bitcoin had a fall, those of the group pointed out that they could not give it more signals until Bitcoin rises in price or recovers, also the coins they choose are only for pump and dump I really don't recommend it.

Para todos los usuarios de localbitcoins.com ya eliminaron el requisito mínimo de 0.04BTC para los anuncios de poder hacer compray venta de BTC.


Este es uno de los Exchanges que más tiene volumen de negociación, además es uno de los mejores peer-to-peer (P2P) Y actualmente está en 248 países.
Y uno de los datos más interesantes es:





Source: https://es.cointelegraph.com/news/localbitcoins-removes-minimum-balance-requirement-to-sell-bitcoin-btc-ads

I think that the correlation between gold and bitcoin is only in the short term, gold has had a slight recovery, it is good, since Donald Trump fell ill with Covid-19 and his wife, they all believed that the price of the markets was going to end very low, in fact the problem of Bitmex regarding the accusation of fraud for some affected that they believed that the price was going to fall, apparently it may be that most people are beginning to understand the great potential that the market has of Bitcoin, we may now see a market rally to around $ 11k or higher.

Me quedo con la frase de Warren Buffet:

Fuente: https://criptotendencia.com/2020/10/05/venezuela-lanzo-su-propia-bolsa-de-valores/

Me parece interesante, lo que no me cuadra mucho es que el gobierno tiene sus narices metidas allí, por el simple hecho de afirmar que tienen una Gaceta Oficial, esto puede traer como consecuencia que pidan KYC y obtener la identidad de muchos Venezolanos que operen, y con ello captarlos para luego tratar de extorsionarlos sólo como el gobierno tiene sus  maneras Hitlerianas de hacerlo.

Espero que sea completamente descentralizado, aún no confío en los conceptos que para ellos tiene que ver todo lo del mundo Crypto, si no saben quién es Satoshi Nakamoto, es realmente preocupante y si van a poner al petro como medio principal para el Intercambio creo que menos, sólo sus seguidores son los que podrían establecerse allí, espero que no.

I like how they are implementing the game and the platform, the training part and the best and that it attracts many players who do not require a deposit to play and that it has a rain bot in the chat to grab currency and bet, I like Much like they have the vision and I hope they continue to grow.

This may simply be a small drop due to the panic of many Americans who think that Trump is like that pillar that supports the markets, especially the stock market, but it is not like that, it must be remembered that many traders and investors also take advantage of it in China. This type of news to buy cheap bitcoin, at any moment can make a good jump to $ 12k, if the fundamental Covid-19 did not manage to lower the price of Bitcoin to fear levels, much less now with Trump and his wife.

In the news they have said that President Trump has already been discharged, which means that it is very likely that he is improving or that he is already healthy.

I totally agree with you, this depends a lot on luck and not on calculations or what a bot can do, because the bot is programmable, in addition, human behavior through routines is easily detectable by the platforms, causing you to constantly lose.

En todos los casos el Bitcoin puede ser usado como una herramienta de defensa contra el dinero FIAT, en países como Venezuela el mismo presidente habla bien d del Petro( Obvio presidente totalmente comunista), el petro moneda hecha por el mismo gobierno que no tiene ningún futuro, pero se han dado cuenta que el uso de las criptomonedas es la manera más eficaz de evadir todas las prohibiciones que le han hecho desde USA. Pero esto al mismo tiempo Venezuela tiene uno  de los mejores volúmenes de negociación de Bitcoin.

También afirman que:


Aunque no lo diría de esta manera porque la mejor manera de mover el dinero para mi es a través de Bitcoin, y/o criptomonedas para algunos que sientan más afecto o se sientan más cómodos.


Ya se habla más de Oro, de Bitcoin, porque las alternativas frente a la economía tradicional muchos se han dado cuenta que en cualquier momento se puede ir a pique, y nadie quiere perder, todos quieren estar protegidos.



Fuente: https://es.cointelegraph.com/news/the-dollar-as-a-weapon-bitcoin-as-a-defense

Pese que el artículo citado es de mera opinión, me parece interesante el tema, sobre todo para nuestros hermanos Españoles, que Hacienda siempre tiene esa dura mano frente a estas economías alternativas del Bitcoin y criptomonedas.

I like the platform and how they are raising it, it would be good if they used more striking colors, such as red, black, yellow, white, by pure marketing law these colors attract a lot of attention. When do they release the full version?

In bitcoin always the best thing for now is to have it in Hodl mode! But of course according to many high-profile financial advisers like Robert Kiyosaki, real estate investing is best.

This would go into the mere matter of diversification, at the moment it is better to have FIAT money and acquire Bitcoin, because at any moment the investment of $ 10k can easily become $ 015k, $ 18k, $ 20k and more.

In a war all markets will be affected, Bitcoin will probably go down in price, but it will also be a safe haven, because the world economies will be under control. The only thing is that if there is a war of that style, it could be the case that the electricity is removed, today some designers in Venezuela are working to preserve communication in the Blockchain by taking advantage of radio waves telecommunication, because through satellites it would be a great option, but they would deactivate them, in the waves and radio signals it was different, because they could make transactions without the need for Internet and solving some electricity problems.

Well, for me the best thing is DEX, especially for what they lack in requesting information from the Exchange, KYC among others, but I recommend the service of centralized exchanges, especially Binance, they are very responsible when requesting support before any problem.

I do not remember well that part if when Trump won the Bitcoin rose, what I do know is that in December it is very likely that the price of Bitcoin could rise due to the fact that demand increases. The fact that a new president or elections arises to be replaced by the current one, may not be a fundamental one, but if it is for the price to rise, then so be it.

Todos los acontecimientos de estos fundamentales en este 2020 han causado reacciones en el mercado, sobre todo de caídas en el precio de Bitcoin, ahora lo más reciente es lo de la acusación de Bitmex.



Gráfico diario del par BTC/USDT. Fuente: TradingView


El mensaje de todo esto es que no se debe caer en desesperación, tantos acontecimientos es probable que baje el precio del Bitcoin, pero se sabe que todo esto puede ser aprovechado por los Strong Hands para comprar barato.

Fuente: https://es.cointelegraph.com/news/corona-trump-kucoin-bitmex-bitcoin-price-says-keep-calm-and-carry-on

Aquí es donde me hace recordar los libros de Malkiel Burton, donde enseña que todos estos fundamentales son aprovechados a principios del mercado en Wall Street, las emociones influyen mucho en el mercado.

En una nota personal, siempre que hay noticias malas con respecto a Bitcoin, lo mejor es comprar y aprovechar, porque muchos venden por pánico, esto hacen también los millonarios.

I recommend that you use Kucoin, Binance has always been a great option, but as long as you don't have problems because when it comes to seeking support from their team, they require KYC. The taxes you are talking about are very expensive, you must realize that the Bitcoin market is much better than the stock market, volatility is the ingredient that not everyone can handle and above all take advantage of.

Viendo todo esto desde un punto de vista de especulación en el mercado, muchos van a retirar, y el pánico en bastantes personas va hacer que hagan ventas como locos, ya hay muchos pronosticando que el Bitcoin caerá de precio y demás, sea cual sea la razón esto puede ser aprovechado por los Strong Hands o ballenas que están esperando el mejor momento para comprar Bitcoins baratos,a pesar de acusación puede verse como una gran oportunidad de compra.

Basándome en mi experiencia en Bitmex es impresionante los bots que tienen para mover el mercado las 24h y hacen que el order book se vea con tanto movimiento, si tienen este tipo de mercado interno en el Exchange, no creo que estén operando o que hayan operado ilegalmente , lavado de dinero siempre lo han hecho con dinero fiat.


Pero:

Los datos de futuros de Bitcoin muestran que los traders están enfocados en los 12,000 dólares


Curva de los futuros de Bitcoin. Fuente: Highcharts.com


Fuente: https://es.cointelegraph.com/news/what-bitmex-scandal-bitcoin-futures-data-shows-traders-focused-on-12k

Taking into account everything that has happened in 2020, I think that the mere fact of changing the year will bring good results for the market, if all this is fixed this year, if the cure for the pandemic comes out, my forecast for 2021 is of $ 18k, otherwise I think it will reach $ 12k.