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161  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: how many halvings have you witnessed? on: October 24, 2023, 01:00:18 PM
The crypto market has seen three good halvings, and each of these halvings sparked a bull run months later. The crypto market will experience its fourth halving in 2024, and it is anticipated that what happened during the previous halving will repeat itself in the upcoming halving season (2024).

I'll experience my first halving and bull run in the years 2024 and 2025. According to what I have read or heard about the halving season, there has never been a halving without a bull run that followed a few months later. By next year, we will see more of the same.

In the three previous halvings, the bull season took place some time after the halving and what we expect is that history will repeat itself again. But in the end, it's just our prediction and expectation, we have no evidence or anything to guarantee it will definitely repeat.

Yes, I don't want to disappoint you because it will be your first time but you need to plan further. For example, if bull season comes much later than we expected or there will be no bull season after that. What will you do and continue to wait or leave the market...? You should have a plan for those things.
162  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Will Bitcoin EFT income reach BTC 100 thousand dollars? on: October 24, 2023, 12:52:56 PM
Right now, many community investors believe in the speculation of the majority and even the experts in this industry. Before that happens, what will the SEC do about that? Because every time there is an application like that in the ETF, the SEC often gives rejection to those who apply for the application.

But who knows? Maybe in this instance of halving or the upcoming bull run, for the first time, there will be approval from the SEC with an application that can get through.

Have you checked the markets today and have you seen any news surrounding ETFs? BlackRock's Bitcoin Spot ETF has been listed on DTCC under the symbol IBTC, this shows that SEC approval of ETFs is just a matter of sooner or later.

I doubt we will even get SEC approval for ETFs before the halving and we will probably have a bull season before the halving. I believe that with ETF approval, bitcoin can also reach $100k without halving. I'm bullish on it and with what's going on in the market, it's not going to stop anytime soon.
163  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Do you prepare for a Bitcoin bull run? on: October 24, 2023, 12:40:22 PM
No, I'm not preparing for the bull run, because we have plenty of time. I expect the bull run to happen several months after the 2024 halving.
The current price pump to 30K isn't anything special. I'm sure that many traders will start to sell BTC and the selling pressure will push the price down. You seem pretty hyped up. I'm always a bit skeptical about bull runs and I think that being a little bit cautious and taking everything with a grain of salt is the way to go. I'm also sure that there will be several price drops before the price pump, so many newbies and many traders will start panic selling(again).
My crypto wallet is OK(I hope that it will be OK for the rest of my life  Grin).
I try not to guess when the bullrun will start, my portfolio is ready for growth, if it starts now it will be great, if it happens not now but in a few months, I also won’t be disappointed about this, because globally it won’t change anything for me .

If growth starts now, it will be a little unexpected for me, I expected growth to start in the spring of 2024, but I don’t pretend to be a great analyst and I will be glad if the bull market starts right now.  Smiley Bitcoin has grown very significantly and its dominance continues to grow, in this situation altcoins look very weak, perhaps this is another reason to think about the strength of Bitcoin.

I bet that if bitcoin goes up from now on and we officially enter bull season, many people will feel regretful because many are still too dependent and believe that history will repeat itself. Many people are not prepared for an unexpected scenario when ETFs are making the market more exciting than ever. I also predict many more price drops until the halving or bull season, but for now ETF news is on the rise. I have also prepared myself for a scenario where we will have a bullish season before the halving. It will be very interesting.
164  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: October 23, 2023, 10:42:06 PM
Crazy how they could get back Into the game and still win the game comfortably. I'm rooting for them still next weekend, they host Celta Vigo at home. They win and go top of the league. Real Madrid wins and they would go ahead of Girona. Barcelona wins and they'll go behind Girona in the La Liga standing.

El Classico would be a good chance to see Barcelona winning, ( Real Madrid has no striker ) they have good midfielder's but no goal scorers seems like short one to the team. Girona points accumulation against small side is the key to them at the top. They're doing what should be done.
La Liga is the kind of environment for players with higher technical abilities, no wonder a player like  Daley Blind without strength has been successful so far with Girona. He had one assist to his name.
One problem Madrid has is indeed the striker. Joselu hasn't found the best performance yet.  Rodrygo doesn't seem to be effective for the top ball. When the midfielders were locked in, Madrid was dead. This we can see when Madrid against Sevilla. Madrid's midfielders can't move freely to make chances. They are if locked, so there are not many can attempt kicks from outside the penalty area. So this moment should be a reflection of Anceloti, using midfielders to score goals is not as effective as possible. They must immediately look for a new attacker in the middle of the season.

It can be seen that after Benzema left, Real Madrid's attack weakened. Joselu is truly irreplaceable. Vinicius seems immature. The current squad has very few strikers, so the solution to becoming a balanced and sharp team may be recruiting more.
Mbappé will be the ideal name for them to complement their attack. If there is Mbappé and Vinicius. Real Madrid's attack power will become more terrifying. Mbappé is not a classic striker, but he can also create many dangers thanks to his ability to move, accelerate, dribble, and be mature enough to lead his teammates.
165  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: My little research. on: October 23, 2023, 03:53:01 PM
You are new and don't have much knowledge about bitcoin so what you need to do now is knowledge and knowledge. You should not rush to accept bitcoin for your business or rush to invest in it with large amounts of money. It sounds easy, but when you enter the market you will see that there are many things you have to face, so prepare everything carefully before entering the market. Investing in bitcoin is just like your business, everything takes time, you should not rush and think that you can get rich quickly from bitcoin.
166  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Why Bitcoin is different from other means of investment on: October 23, 2023, 03:48:14 PM
If you invest in real asset, it will give you maximum security and no risk. If you invest $1000 in Bitcoin, you have risk and volatility. Moreover, if you invest in real estate, you will not get much profit, but it will be safe. And if you invest in bitcoins, you can earn good amount of profit from here, but instead you will have risk for your money. Also, you can't invest small amount of money in real estate, but you can invest in Bitcoin with that amount and make profit. Real Asset has many advantages which you will not get in crypto investment, but if you invest in Bitcoin you will get good profit after long time. That's why I think it would be admirable not to invest in real asset with a small amount of money, but rather invest in Bitcoin.

But I disagree with the part I put in bold. Once it is called investing to make a profit, there is no investment without risk. Risk is more or less, but there is no such thing as no risk. Real estate or gold both have risks but it will be much smaller than bitcoin but as you said, everything is proportional. High risk high profit, low risk low profit. And I agree with you that, with small capital, investing in real assets is difficult or impossible when it comes to real estate, but with bitcoin it is too easy. Bitcoin is friendlier than other assets.
167  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Will you leave gambling if your future wife/husband tells you to do this ? on: October 23, 2023, 02:18:17 PM
People often say that people addicted to gambling and alcohol never know how to love and care for anyone in their hearts. No matter how many explanations they have, they only justify their wrong actions. Gambling addiction is in the blood. Do you believe that? Once the blood of gambling appears in any man or woman, it will take root, germinate, and overwhelm reason, conscience, and humanity. Especially for female gamblers, only brainwashing or blood transfusion can change. I say it's so severe that their ability to quit gambling is a challenge, even if their spouse advises them. If a person is truly addicted, it will be tough to stop.
168  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Gambling and it effects on: October 22, 2023, 11:29:00 PM
We are participating in gambling activities so frequently that it has become an addiction. Surname, it is easy to fall into depression or regret after spending money on gambling and suffering from health problems related to stress, migraines, digestive disorders, insomnia... Gambling addiction causes severe financial consequences, damages the addict's relationships, and even ruins the person's career and life. Most people who are addicted to gambling only realize their problem when some severe consequences or damage have occurred.
169  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Quit gamble! Easy or Hard? Let's talk. on: October 22, 2023, 10:52:50 PM
Quitting gambling needs to start with needing something new or better than the gambling they are interested in.
There is no need for any reason for someone to quit gambling.

Quitting is quitting and that means that gambler just want to get out of this habit because it doesn't do good for him or even if it does but if he don't think he'll be staying there, he has to quit.

No matter what people say when you're quitting, it's the same thing what people say when you're addicted to gambling. That's why you have to choose yourself and inner peace for that. No words from other people should dictate you just to have a reason to quit.

If you want to get out, just simply be out.

I don't think gamblers' willpower is that strong. 'You say quit, you will stop''. Gambling, for me, is simply an entertaining game. I didn't necessarily decide to give it up. Unless there's another fun game that interests me. The determination to quit gambling is only for people with severe addictions. But for these people, quitting gambling is very difficult.

Gambling is also considered a simple solution to help many people reduce stress at work and family. If you know how to play correctly, gambling can be an extremely fun game. Gambling is not necessarily bad.
170  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Which is the best crypto exchange for P2P transactions ? on: October 20, 2023, 11:29:13 PM
Which is the best crypto exchange for P2P transactions ?  I am looking for a good alternative to Binance P2P.

I find that if we use P2P of centralized exchanges, it will be more convenient than P2P of decentralized exchanges. In my opinion, liquidity on decentralized exchanges is still not high, I tried once with bisq but finding currency buyers and sellers in my country is quite inconvenient. There aren't too many options for me, whereas on Binance, I can easily choose traders with many different prices.

To be fair, CEX offers a better experience but the issue is privacy and people who don't care about that should stay at CEX. For those who value privacy and identity, DEX is definitely the choice but will be quite more inconvenient than CEX.
171  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin can change lives on: October 20, 2023, 11:17:51 PM
Bitcoin will certainly change someone's life, but whether those changes are positive or negative will largely depend on us, bitcoin has no power to decide that. After all, bitcoin is like any other investment, it can bring us wealth or it can make us lose everything, and it all depends on us. Many people have become rich by investing in gold, real estate and stocks, not just bitcoin. Don't forget today's top billionaires don't invest in bitcoin, it's all their talent, not gold or real estate that makes them rich.
Many billionaires in the world believe in this one asset, Bitcoin has the strength, namely that its technology is currently difficult to hack. Besides that, Bitcoin also has a limited supply and is not controlled by any party. If it had been easy to hack at the start, perhaps many people would not have trusted Satoshi's creation. For me, there have been many successful people who have changed their lives in Bitcoin, such as Davinci Jaremie, etc. As far as I know, the price of gold is controlled by the Fed in its monetary policy, in raising or lowering interest rates.

The capitalization of the gold market is nearly 20 trillion USD and is held by all countries in the world, while bitcoin is only 500 million USD and is held by not too many countries. In your opinion, which one is easier to control and manipulate? If you think the Fed has the ability to control the price of gold and bitcoin is only worth $500 million, what will it look like? The bitcoin network is decentralized but the bitcoin price is not decentralized.
172  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Quit gamble! Easy or Hard? Let's talk. on: October 20, 2023, 03:47:58 PM
More gamblers are finally managing to gain control over their finances and gambling games after experiencing bad experiences. Sometimes the impact can be to stop gambling, although sometimes it is only temporary. But there are also those who become more responsible with their gambling.
I myself think quitting gambling is quite difficult, especially for those who do it consistently every day, going to the casino and betting. it takes a long process to get out.


Being responsible in gambling is the top thing we must do. Players without responsibility are destroying their own lives.
Players consider gambling as their hobby and entertainment. Quitting gambling needs to start with needing something new or better than the gambling they are interested in. Suppose gambling becomes boring for them. They will automatically terminate the game quickly.
For those addicted to gambling, quitting is difficult. Severe addicts may need to take medication or see a psychologist.
173  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Quit gamble! Easy or Hard? Let's talk. on: October 20, 2023, 02:35:47 PM

Well, thank you very much.
I also feel sad and don't want to do anything. But this would be the wrong problem. Our lives are affected by gambling. We should put that thought aside. If you lose money, you can get it back, but if you lose your job or love, it is not easy to get it back.
I consider this a lesson worthy of us spending that money to buy this lesson. Now, I continue to gamble. But my mind is now very comfortable. The amount of money I'm willing to lose will never affect my life. A little knowledge and experience will be an advantage when playing this game. And it is still important not to be too greedy when you have won in gambling.

The gambler after losing the money,started to get addicted by the gambling.The main reason was to get back the loss in the gambling,but they fail to understand.It’s hard to recover the loss in the gambling until you had luck at that time.It’s hard to get back the job after fired by your boss.Some gambler start to do gambling as the full time after losing the job by the situation.Controlling your mindset was the important one in the gambling.If you loss ten games in a row,you should ready to quit the gambling for a period of one week atleast.So you forgot the loss pattern in the gambling.After the vacation,you can easy win by the free mindset in the gambling.

Getting back money lost in gambling is always the thought of most gamblers, and They try every way to find their lost money. And then things became more and more serious. They lose more and more. Some people have recovered their lost money but continue to play because they think that luck is on their side again, and as a result, only some people can get rewards in this game.
As you said, forget about the money you lost. Always have a good spirit to have a chance to win. And the important thing is that our heart is always comfortable, so gambling does not affect us. Gambling is just for fun. I repeat, don't let it disrupt our lives. Winning or losing in this gambling game is like a boy playing a video game. If someone cannot accept losing the money they play, it is best not to know about gambling, even just watching other people play.
174  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Quit gamble! Easy or Hard? Let's talk. on: October 20, 2023, 12:44:20 PM
I cannot quit gambling even though I knew and could not profit from this game. And especially, I am not addicted to gambling. I always control my emotions so as not to lose much money.
I love the thrill of this game. It's fun to play them. Whenever I have money saved, I set aside a little to try my luck. When I don't have money, I won't care about gambling. It could be a psychological adventure game for me.

That's great, that's how it should be. Gambling is fun especially if you know how to play it. What I mean is for those people who know how to control themselves you will really enjoy it. You won't get addicted or lose your way if you can control your emotions when it comes to gambling.

Even if he is doing great (I hope he continues that way). It is not rare for anyone of us to lose control of our gambling session. Has not ever happened to you? You are having a good luck streak while gambling and playing your favorite game but greed takes over you, so you do not think about withdrawing your wins and move on. So you keep rolling dices or spinning the slots wanting to keep getting more and more money, before you realize you have lost your earning and part of your starting balance.

It is easier to lose control when one is having green numbers, than when one is in the red. I do not know why, but also happens in trading, it is easier to accept the loss and sell the bags that selling for profit, because of the fear of missing out even more profits...

Gamblers who engage in such aggressive and violent behavior are deplorable. The law needs to step in to properly punish these people.
Really, people like this are giving gamblers like us a bad name. In my country, whenever they hear someone gambling, they are suspicious and have negative prejudices. Because many gamblers take out their anger on their wives and children, they give us a terrible reputation. That's why I gamble online secretly so as not to get a bad reputation.
175  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: If only property I have is bitcoin on: October 19, 2023, 11:27:57 PM
We have to imagine some life mystery as we are living, have you asked yourself of investment profit and investment loss. The mystery is behind the both when it occurs. Right now I'm thinking to myself of my investment and if only investment i have is bitcoin, and when I'm no more who will manage my bitcoin investment and how will my family know about my bitcoin investment, when  I was ill, I was asking myself series of questions in my mind.

> should I show my family my seed phrase ?
> If I die who will take over my bitcoin since nobody knows my seed phrase?

So I'm asking if it will be good to show any of your family person your seed phrase or should we keep having the secret of your seed phrase personal.


Only show the seed phrase to people you may trust, in my opinion. Not everyone in your family has good intentions for you, especially when it comes to money. Money has the capacity to change people's minds, so we must be conscious of it. Let's imagine you have 5 Bitcoin, which is fairly large, and if your family finds out, they will all be shocked and some of them will begin to form negative thoughts in their minds. You must be cautious and only tell people who you have confidence and who love you that you have Bitcoin.

Of course, not everyone is a good person, but we should not be too suspicious of everyone, including our wives or parents. What I find funny is that many people here are valuing bitcoin more than their wives and families. They would rather die with bitcoin than share private keys with their wives and children, they always doubt everything but want others to trust them, which is ridiculous.

One thing I'm more curious about is that, other than early investors, they're holding a lot of bitcoin and it's understandable that they're more cautious with people. But others always doubt their loved ones, how many bitcoins do they have? 1BTC or 100BTC or just 0.1BTC? Cheesy Cheesy But they always think bitcoin is more valuable than their relatives, who are always by their side when they are in trouble.
176  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin can change lives on: October 19, 2023, 11:18:11 PM
bitcoin has the ability to turn people from rags to riches and riches to rags if they are not good at managing their investments. there are many cases where people experience losses when they invest in bitcoin because they tend to be impatient and seem to use bitcoin as a shortcut to getting rich. and therefore learning from their experience a person can change their life by investing in bitcoin only if they are patient and keep holding on to the assets they have, because those who keep holding will win in the end.

Bitcoin will certainly change someone's life, but whether those changes are positive or negative will largely depend on us, bitcoin has no power to decide that. After all, bitcoin is like any other investment, it can bring us wealth or it can make us lose everything, and it all depends on us. Many people have become rich by investing in gold, real estate and stocks, not just bitcoin. Don't forget today's top billionaires don't invest in bitcoin, it's all their talent, not gold or real estate that makes them rich.
Indeed, Bitcoin investment is no different from other forms of investment - it is risky, yet profitable. However, we can never assume that all Bitcoin investors make money from this or it changes their lives, but sometimes this is also a reason for their big losses and regrets in life. Why? Because it depends on the person who invested in Bitcoin - the way they manage their funds and the way they analyze the market.

In your example, not all rich people invested in Bitcoin which I could agree and that is because they don't understand how crypto investment works, not on their scope. In this situation, of course, I'd rather not take this rather than stress myself.

What I want to say is that bitcoin is not the only investment in the world and it is just a tool for us to use and it is up to us whether we become better, richer or not. No one, or anything, can help us change our lives and become rich. People keep saying that bitcoin changes their lives, bitcoin makes them rich, and that makes many newbies think that just investing in bitcoin is to become rich without risk. There is no wealth without trade-offs, without costs, including investing in bitcoin, making money from bitcoin is not easy.
177  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Quit gamble! Easy or Hard? Let's talk. on: October 19, 2023, 11:02:50 PM
I can relate when you say you have a bad behavior or reaction when you experiment losses. I have myself felt bad for a couple of days after I had a bad luck streak rolling dices, in my case I get depressed and do not feel like doing anything.

I assume in your case you get mad instead of sad?
Because in my personal opinion, anger can be more difficult to control than sadness or melancholy. Either way, I hope you do not start to keep track on your wins and losses, because that is a very short path towards trying to chase money and we both know what happens when the chasing starts, it usually does not end well at all.

Good luck and take care of you and your family.

Well, thank you very much.
I also feel sad and don't want to do anything. But this would be the wrong problem. Our lives are affected by gambling. We should put that thought aside. If you lose money, you can get it back, but if you lose your job or love, it is not easy to get it back.
I consider this a lesson worthy of us spending that money to buy this lesson. Now, I continue to gamble. But my mind is now very comfortable. The amount of money I'm willing to lose will never affect my life. A little knowledge and experience will be an advantage when playing this game. And it is still important not to be too greedy when you have won in gambling.
178  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Why Governments Ban Cryptocurrency {Bitcoin} on: October 18, 2023, 02:55:26 PM
There are many reasons why a country bans Bitcoin, and most countries don't want to bring these reasons to the public. Some governments think that if Bitcoin is allowed in their country, they will not be able to control their country's economy, while some countries' governments think that if Bitcoin is allowed in their country, people will deposit their money through Bitcoin instead of keeping money in banks, which will result in their country's money going out , while some countries may ban bitcoins in the country considering their country's education rate. For example you mentioned China and Russia here, I know you all have very good economic condition of China and Russia, why they are not allowing Bitcoin in their country despite having good economic condition, there may be some reason behind it. Maybe they don't want another currency to rule their country. 
Different countries generally play different roles in banning Bitcoin.

To me, the government doesn't have too many reasons to ban bitcoin, they only have one reason, which is that it is decentralized. The decentralized nature of bitcoin is the only factor that makes it impossible for governments to be friendly towards it as it would destroy a host of government regulations and rules put in place to control us. But they never revealed that reason to the public and also gave hundreds of other silly reasons.

But government resistance to bitcoin is also gradually failing because they cannot stop people from using it and its adoption is gradually happening faster than in previous years.
179  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin gift to wife. on: October 18, 2023, 02:35:27 PM
I promised in a post on this forum a few months ago. I had a plan to give half of my bitcoin investment to my wife after marriage. I got married a few days ago. First I gave my wife all the ideas about Bitcoin. I was surprised to hear my wife, as soon as I told my wife about Bitcoin, she said that she had heard the name of Bitcoin before. I thought it would be very difficult to convince girls. But my wife was able to understand about Bitcoin very easily. I gave him half of the investment as per my word. He is very happy to get Bitcoin. My wife plans to hold bitcoin for a long time. Now you can say it is better to give girls gold jewelery than bitcoins. I have given gold ornaments to my wife as per her wish. Have any of you managed to teach your wife Bitcoin? Have any of you gifted bitcoin to a wife like me?

I don't have that much of the Bitcoin to give to my wife. Why don't I trade it when I give it to my wife she will sell it immediately. And I think also did you ask your wife What she will do with the Bitcoin? Or has she ever asked you to give Bitcoin? Or this is your own choice? But I don't think my wife will ever ask me this type of thing to give her, she only tells me to give her jewelry-type things but not things like crypto that have online prices.
I haven't got married yet and am not thinking of marrying now because in our society people will marry after they get some jobs and they get too old. Also, this type of gift can't think a wife will ask his husband. What do you think about it? Although wish you the best of luck for you and your wife after marriage a good life.
You may have missed what he said, he mentioned that his wife is planning to hold bitcoin long term, she has no intention of selling it anytime soon. Furthermore, this was their wedding gift to each other, she never asked OP to give her bitcoin.
If you are not married, you will not understand what married life is like, so it is difficult to talk about it. Most women prefer gold or expensive jewelry, but not everyone chooses gold over bitcoin. My wife also chose bitcoin and even told me to create a bitcoin savings account for our child instead of gold after she learned about its value and future potential.
180  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin can change lives on: October 18, 2023, 02:27:45 PM
bitcoin has the ability to turn people from rags to riches and riches to rags if they are not good at managing their investments. there are many cases where people experience losses when they invest in bitcoin because they tend to be impatient and seem to use bitcoin as a shortcut to getting rich. and therefore learning from their experience a person can change their life by investing in bitcoin only if they are patient and keep holding on to the assets they have, because those who keep holding will win in the end.

Bitcoin will certainly change someone's life, but whether those changes are positive or negative will largely depend on us, bitcoin has no power to decide that. After all, bitcoin is like any other investment, it can bring us wealth or it can make us lose everything, and it all depends on us. Many people have become rich by investing in gold, real estate and stocks, not just bitcoin. Don't forget today's top billionaires don't invest in bitcoin, it's all their talent, not gold or real estate that makes them rich.
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