Bitcoin Forum
May 28, 2024, 07:18:06 PM *
News: Latest Bitcoin Core release: 27.0 [Torrent]
 
  Home Help Search Login Register More  
  Show Posts
Pages: « 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 [9] 10 11 »
161  Economy / Speculation / Re: Skeptical of the skeptics... on: July 07, 2011, 08:13:14 PM
[...]
I still think it's an interesting project that will be used as a model by future economists, but I'd be very uneasy if I had a large amount of money tied up in them at this point. 

1) There is nothing wrong with speculators (so long as they aren't defrauding anyone) - they are merely individuals who try to predict future value, by putting their own money on the line. An efficient market is made by their actions, as they bring pricing signals forward in time. It's as important in Bitcoin as it is in the oil markets. But people HATE speculators!  Roll Eyes

2) The dollar IS just paper, man. It's an important philosophical, economic, and moral issue. Expressing antagonism toward a monetary system which is inflated at whim at the expense of those who are coerced into holding it is a very reasonable position to take, IMO.

3) Regarding mining, exponentially increasing difficulty is anything but foolish. You forget that one of the primary reasons for the number crunching (which you call wasteful) is to make it difficult for any computer or network of computers to manipulate the protocol. The longer Bitcoin operates, the more secure the blockchain becomes due to this dynamic. Not foolish.

At the core of your skepticism is, I think, a disapproval toward anyone who is able to obtain wealth without "hard work." Some miners will indeed make a killing from their early discovery of Bitcoin, and that doesn't sit well with you. You think it's "unfair." The irony, of course, is that in the same breath you defend fiat paper currencies which have for centuries enabled the politically connected to obtain incredible wealth through the process of inflation. Yet, it is not wealthy bankers profiting from the printing presses for whom you seem to have disdain - but rather a small group of tech-enthusiasts who first discovered what may become a revolutionary technology, and risked their own time and capital to invest in it.

Well-said.
162  Economy / Speculation / Re: Skeptical of the skeptics... on: July 07, 2011, 06:14:52 PM
But in the end, it will be the people that make or break Bitcoin, not the technology.

Very true. While the decentralized, typically "amateur" nature of the btc marketplace will yield some worthless offerings, it's also open to ANYONE from anywhere in the world. An impoverished Sri Lankan 17 yr old with $200 netbook could write the next killer app for Bitcoin. And the marketplace's hyper competitive nature, with almost no barriers to entry, will tend to produce brilliant products and services but these may be months away.

You know, you're right.  I forgot about this.  And the low barriers to entry are yet another great asset of Bitcoin.  In fact, Bitcoin lowers barriers for *all* trade, but just those interested in Bitcoin-related business.  An all-around win.  And yes, some 18-year-old Bangladeshi with a $150 netbook could kick all of our asses on this and become the next Bill Gates.  Unlikely, but entirely doable.  It will be an interesting year, that's for sure.
163  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Someone Random Trademarked "bitcoin" : Now we can't use the term? on: July 07, 2011, 06:10:10 PM
Anyone contacted the EFF yet? Smiley

Might be a good idea.
164  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Miners and early adopters, make it rain! on: July 07, 2011, 05:57:22 PM
Too long, didn't quote.

I already buy the things I need with my bitcoins. If I can't buy them directly, then I do it indirectly by getting (for example) a grocery store gift card, or buying USD at an exchange as a last resort.

And you may want to stop using that word "hoard". It's not hoarding, it's saving. Saving enables good investment (as opposed to the bad investment that easy credit enables). Good investment enables successful business.

Then, thank you.  I wasn't referring to people like you, in fact, I thanked you in my original post.  And yes, if you're spending Bitcoins on what you need and holding on to the rest, I'd call what you're doing "saving" and not "hoarding".  In short, I agree with everything you said.
165  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Someone Random Trademarked "bitcoin" : Now we can't use the term? on: July 07, 2011, 05:41:00 PM
His client is clearly either himself or a family member (his wife?).  Is it considered ethical for attorneys to represent close family members?  It's a big no-no for physicians and other health care professionals (except in emergencies) and can result in professional censure.
166  Economy / Speculation / Re: Skeptical of the skeptics... on: July 07, 2011, 05:29:48 PM

A good skeptic should ask, "is the underlying technology/protocol of Bitcoin sound?" If it is, then all those tertiary issues will be solved over time because the marketplace wants to profit from the efficiency of frictionless-money.


I completely agree with your analysis.  Forget all the immediate issues, a good skeptic *should* ask ""is the underlying technology/protocol of Bitcoin sound?"  However, I think an even better skeptic would ask the question "are the people around Bitcoin sound?"  The best technology in the world can fail if it's surrounded and promoted by the wrong people, and the worst technology can succeed if an organizational and marketing genius is behind it (viz., Microsoft).  Well, the devs seem very sound, although sometimes it's not clear to me if they realize they enormity of their task.  I am concerned that many of the businesses emerging around Bitcoin right now seem scam-ridden and/or amateurish, but I try to remind myself that we're in the gold rush days.  My hope is that right now, dozens of competent individuals are building the next wave of Bitcoin businesses, and that more reputable merchants are looking into accepting Bitcoin.  When I see things like the Android app, I am heartened.  But in the end, it will be the people that make or break Bitcoin, not the technology.
167  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Someone Random Trademarked "bitcoin" : Now we can't use the term? on: July 07, 2011, 01:28:56 PM
Just to be clear, I'm not concerned about whether it offends me or not.  I think it should be deleted because:

1.  It's bad for Bitcoin.

2.  You're threatening an actual person, with family, maybe kids, etc.  He may be an asshole, but he doesn't deserve to have his life threatened. 

It's funny, you cry fascism, but in many ways your absolutist world view and view on violent speech closely mirrors the *real-life* fascism I came face to face with in ex-Yugoslavia in the 1990s.
168  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Someone Random Trademarked "bitcoin" : Now we can't use the term? on: July 07, 2011, 01:07:18 PM
Really?  Censorship disgusts you more than calls for murder?  I guess that sums up your character.
169  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Someone Random Trademarked "bitcoin" : Now we can't use the term? on: July 07, 2011, 01:00:35 PM
Can a moderator please delete the teenager " assassination market"  posts?  I agree this guy's an asshole and I'd love to see him disciplined or disbarred for making a trademark claim in bad faith (not that that's likely), but can we please try to maintain at least a veneer of morality here?

You people posting assassination market posts fail to realize that it's not a funny joke.  I'm sure your teenage friends are laughing it up, but in the grown-up world we're disgusted.
170  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Forum moderation policy on: July 07, 2011, 12:55:33 PM
Can we please get some moderation on the thread in which the asshole lawyer filed a trademark claim on bitcoin?  I agree he's a jerk and I'd like to see him disbarred or disciplined for filing a fraudulent claim, but the "assassination market" posts are too much and should be deleted.  The world is watching, and as someone who is investing thousands of dollars in a Bitcoin related-business, I'm very concerned about the image these forums are giving the world.
171  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Is this a paradox? on: July 07, 2011, 12:30:16 PM
IMHO, this is a great thread to show the problems of the early adopters hoarding the coins.  And you see, it has nothing to do with "stimulating the economy".  It has everything to do with making more people aware of Bitcoins.  In a way, each coin is its own marketing campaign.  The first time I actually used one to buy something was a feeling of intense liberation.  But if most of the coins are being kept off-market because a few people have the delusion that they´ll be multibillionaires one day, then many fewer people will have that experience, and so it's unlikely that the word will continue to spread.  Actually, that's the true paradox.  In order for the hoarders money to be worth something in the long run, they have to at least spend some of it.
172  Local / Discussions générales et utilisation du Bitcoin / Un mec vient de déposer la marque Bitcoin on: July 07, 2011, 11:55:25 AM
Je ne sais pas si vous suivez les discussions à http://forum.bitcoin.org/index.php?topic=26527.0  Un mec aux USA vient de déposer la marque Bitcoin et a l'intention de faire de même en France et ailleurs, parait-t-il.  C'est un avocat qui n'a rien à voir avec le projet Bitcoin...   Nous allons essayer de combattre la déposition aux USA et il serait une bonne idée pour les défenseurs de Bitcoin en France de faire pareillement, je crois.  Si non, ce mec pourrait poursuivre en justice tous ceux qui utilisent le nom Bitcoin, y compris les bureaux de change comme mt gox.

Merci.
173  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: MY BTC just went POOF! on: July 06, 2011, 11:23:26 PM
have you checked the sandbox where anti-virus programs isolate non-cleanable virii?

it's possible your wallet could be there.  unlikely though.  sounds like a wallet-stealer.

and yes - i would heartily recommend linux.  don't be askeered of it - it's easy as windows, these days.

try here:

www.linuxmint.com/

the mint re-spin main line is based on ubuntu - but they also offer a spin of debian testing, for those who are a bit more secure in their knowledge.  in any case, for a first foray into linux, mint is unbeatable for ease of installation and use.  setting up a high-security user is pretty easy, too.

good luck.

Linux Mint is the bomb.  Every flavor of it. They've got even got a superlightweight LXDE spin that positively flies on older computers.  Mint looks great, too, unlike many of the Linux distros out there.  And if you like Mint LXDE, check out Peppermint OS, which is done by the same developers.  Linux's answer to Google Chrome OS.  Peppermint OS is cloud-centric, jaw-dropping quick, and beautiful, too.  Oh, and it uses Chromium instead of Firefox, which makes it even faster.
174  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Miners and early adopters, make it rain! on: July 06, 2011, 07:46:22 PM
Bitcoin must be valued first in order for merchants to want to accept them. Saving bitcoins is a signal to the market that they are valued. This helps increase demand and merchants will jump into the market and offer to trade their products and services for bitcoin. The recent press and subsequent price spike drew in a lot of merchants who saw the value of getting paid in an appreciating currency.

This is probably true.  My first instinct was to tell you that as a business owner, I can tell you that we don't care if a currency is appreciating or depreciating.  We care about getting more customers and better customers.  But I thought about it and changed my mind.  When the euro was gaining so much against the dollar back in 2007, I made a special effort to find more clients who paid me in Euros.  So clearly I do care about whether a currency I'm paid in is appreciating or depreciating, and others probably do as well.

Quote
I didn't say it was my business what anybody does with their bitcoin. I merely suggested that, if you want to use bitcoin, park your money there instead of in dollars. This creates a demand for bitcoin - helping to increase its value and purchasing power. Then spend it with vendors who supply products and services that you would have bought anyway. Save the rest in bitcoin - again creating value for bitcoin and increasing potential demand. It would be silly to spend your money on things you don't need just because someone wants you to "stimulate the economy".

Looking back, I twisted your words, so it's only fair you did the same to mine.  To be clear, I'm not suggesting that people buy things they don't need in Bitcoins.  I'm suggesting that they use their massive collections of Bitcoins to buy the things they do need.  And maybe they're doing so, who knows?  And the idea that large holders of Bitcoin will come out and spend coins on crap they don't need is ludicrous at this point.  It's not going to happen, and that's not what I'm advocating.

My concern here is not so much "stimulating the economy" as it is marketing the economy.  There's a subtle but important difference.  I'm not suggesting that people go hire workers to dig holes and fill them back up for the sake of stimulating the economy.  I'm suggesting that people spend Bitcoins -- on things they need -- so others will hear about them.  Over the past few weeks, I've come to realize that the absolute most important thing for Bitcoin at this stage is publicity -- good, bad, or in between.  I'm also urging people with lots of Bitcoins to make smart investments in infrastructure.  Clearly it's needed and it's in their interest to support Bitcoin. 

I am attracted to the idea of a deflationary economy, that's one of the many reasons I am intrigued by Bitcoins.  Clearly, the inflationary model leads only to boom and bust cycles and debt.  That said, Bitcoin's success is not the foregone conclusion many supporters seem to believe it is.  I hope I wrong about this -- I actually am happy to re-evaluate the evidence and admit when I'm wrong (see above).  And perhaps in six months I'll come back to this thread and eat crow.  But it doesn't take an economist to understand that if all the holders of a new currency hoard it, never spend it, and never attract any new users, it likely won't succeed *as an actual currency*.  In that case, Bitcoin may still succeed as an asset class, but my hopes for this stroke of genius are much higher than that.  I want to be able to spend Bitcoins anywhere in the world.
175  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Someone Random Trademarked "bitcoin" : Now we can't use the term? on: July 06, 2011, 06:55:56 PM
I'm glad as hell that someone discovered this.  Could have been a real headache.  Roger, I'll assume you weren't doing research on trademarking 'Bitcoin' yourself, right?  You were probably researching a product or service with 'Bitcoin' in the name.  Anyway, we all owe Roger a big thank you for finding this.

You know who might help us with this if it becomes a problem?  The EFF.  I'm upset at the way in which they returned all their Bitcoins, but I understand why they did it.  Even in a case like this, they would be serious legal and ethical issues involved if the EFF were holding any Bitcoins.

Alex, did it cost $100 to file the letter of protest?  And did you provide evidence of the MIT license?

Based on my research on this lawyer, Michael S. Pascazi, it looks like he probably has an ideological affinity for Bitcoin.  See: http://newstandardnews.net/content/index.cfm/items/2855  In any case, trademarking the name of an open source project a shitty thing to do.  I hope he's older and doesn't realize just how bad this will look in the eyes of Bitcoin supporters.  Mr. Pascazi, if you're reading this, perhaps you'd like to say a word or two in your defense?
176  Bitcoin / Project Development / Re: Today Im meeting the guys writting the new Iceland constitution to talk Bitcoin on: July 06, 2011, 12:18:57 PM
So today Im meeting with the guys creating the new constitution of Iceland, that is basically a process by which all the people in the country are participating to write it. More information in english here: http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/blogpost/post/iceland-crowdsources-its-next-constitution/2011/06/10/AGiBplOH_blog.html and their webpages: http://stjornlagarad.is/ and https://www.facebook.com/Stjornlagarad .

They want to know about Bitcoin, they like the idea, so Im going to meet them to explain them Bitcoin. The meeting will be about more things, so I dont know how much time I will get. The good part for Bitcoin is that it could appear in the new constitution from Iceland and it would gave respectability in the eyes of some.

The problem I see is that Bitcoin is designed to be an emergent currency (decentralized, pseudo-anonymous) not a government or constitutional currency. So I am thinking that the best way to focus this, to benefit both Iceland and Bitcoin communities is to suggest them to include a clausule allowing for competing currencies and forbiding legal tender laws and similar stuff. As examples of competing currencies the constitution could name Bitcoin (but only as example).

What do you think? Any other idea?

Thank you for doing this.  I think it would be a good idea to focus in on the commercial opportunities that will be available to the first country that embraces digital currencies.  Also, it might be a good idea to talk about generalities such as 'alternative currencies' or 'digital currencies' rather than Bitcoin specifically, other than perhaps a brief mention: "for example Bitcoin".  But you know your audience better than we do and better understand what they are receptive to.

Are you doing this as part of the Iceland Pirate Party or as an individual citizen?  Either way, thank you.  It's a great idea.
177  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: bitcoin economy on fire on: July 06, 2011, 05:08:31 AM
I have sold over $25,000 worth on my site in the last week, all in bitcoins. No discount, just the 24 hour average exchange rate applied to the purchase.

Take it from someone who makes a living from selling goods and services for BTC, there IS a bitcoin economy.

You're serious?

Yes. Why?

Jeremy, my wife and I spend dozens of BTC worth of dollars on Amazon.com each month.  I'll definitely try to route that trade through you in the future.  I just "discovered" you this evening, unfortunately right after I had bought 5 BTC worth of books on Amazon.com.
178  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: How hard would it be to pitch a bitcoin investment on "Shark Tank"/"Dragons Den" on: July 06, 2011, 04:51:45 AM
What we need is a TED presentation.

Yes, this would do it.
179  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Miners and early adopters, make it rain! on: July 06, 2011, 04:49:50 AM
Extremely well-written post, OP. Thank you for your salient message.

Remember, many of the .com millionaires went on to fund stage 2 projects in the web world, and made MUCH MORE from those investments. Something to keep in mind Wink

Yes, exactly.  Put it this way, if Bitcoin succeeds in becoming a widely-accepted currency, it may or may not eventually hit 1000 dollars/Bitcoin.  Some people forget how easy it is to re-denominate Bitcoins into microbitcoins, and so forth.  But if Bitcoin does take off, whoever invests in the first professionally-run Bitcoin predictions market *will* become a very, very wealthy individual.  Of that there is no doubt.
180  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Miners and early adopters, make it rain! on: July 06, 2011, 04:44:00 AM
I feel it's really none of my business what the early adopters and miners do with their bitcoin money. If they haven't spent much it is because they value holding their funds over spending them. It's simple economics that the holding vs. spending actually increases the demand for bitcoin by limiting supply and raising their value (increasing their desirability). When new people to the community see that bitcoin is valued enough to save they will see the merit in acquiring some and doing the same. The idea that "hoarding is bad" is a myth (see  http://economicsandliberty.wordpress.com/2011/06/10/bitcoin-and-the-virtue-of-hoarding-and-deflation/ ).

I appreciate your ideas, and I enjoyed reading the post you linked to, but more importantly the debate that followed.  I also appreciate the idea of a deflationary economy, but this is not a mature economy.  It's in a fragile state.  And it needs people to spend Bitcoins, so that more merchants will adopt it as a mode of exchange.

But, it shouldn't be hard for each of us to think about our everyday purchases and then try and figure out how to patronize bitcoin vendors who can supply us the same goods and services that we normally buy elsewhere. We can put our money where our mouths are and keep our paychecks in bitcoin and spend it out as needed - saving the excess.

So it's none of your business how early adopters do with their money, but it is your business what we do with our money?  I'm not sure I follow that logic.  Why should we patronize Bitcoin vendors when it would be so much smarter for us to save our Bitcoins, since they're worth so much?

The answer to that question is that we should patronize Bitcoin merchants and spend instead of save because if we don't, additional merchants won't adopt Bitcoin, and it will fade into obscurity and pennies on the dollar.  And what goes for us, who have only a few Bitcoins, goes for the early adopters, who have thousands of Bitcoins, a thousandfold.
Pages: « 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 [9] 10 11 »
Powered by MySQL Powered by PHP Powered by SMF 1.1.19 | SMF © 2006-2009, Simple Machines Valid XHTML 1.0! Valid CSS!