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1661  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: It's on! 2024 US Presidential Election Biden+Harris Vs Trump Bitcoin betting.... on: May 14, 2023, 11:42:36 PM
Very ironic that CNN, the same media and news channel that has attacked Donald Trump since the beginning of his political career now has turned into another platform for his word and ideas to spread, the Town Hall organized by CNN featuring Trump was a very weird show of propaganda and hypocrisy. However, there is no doubt in my mind that it has helped Trump to appear more charismatic and strong in a channel which has been against him for so long.

CNN will lose viewers because of this, though. I do not know what they were thinking. They cannot use conventional tools like a  Town Hall with a politician like Trump which is highly unconventional and he goes all in to break the molds.

Mainstream media is just a way to control population.

Whatever they say there will be on the minds of a large amount of people, so people in power want them to say specific things that suit them.

It's impossible to trust what any of these TV channels say as they are usually influenced by other people.

I don't think there's truly independent news, so the best is to just read and watch a lot of different sources and come up with your own thoughts about things.
1662  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: do you lose on slots? on: May 14, 2023, 11:37:59 PM
~snip~
If luck doesn't come, even if we increase the bet amount, it still won't help us to get a win, and instead, we will experience a big loss. We've had it before, but some people even keep doing it because they keep hoping that by doing it, their luck will come, which it doesn't.

And that's the point of limiting gambling so we know when it's time to stop and can secure the remaining balance. We can play gambling at other times and not spend the balance we have just for that day. And maybe we will be luckier next time so we can win some money.

The thing is that humans are not naturally good at calculating probabilities, instead of say, calculating the force to throw a rock to hit a target.

That means that only for very simple cases we would be able to naturally bet correctly.

Say for example I flip a coin, and you bet on what side appears. Most people would know that's a 50/50 scenario, but people think that if in the past there have been 4 heads, then the next one has more chances to be tails. That's wrong, as tails still has the original 50/50 chances.

And that's just a simple example, games in casinos are designed so that it looks like it's easier to win than what it really is.

The truth is that every single game in a casino has higher odds for the house to win, so eventually the gambler will lose everything to the house.
1663  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: The madness of gambling addicts. on: May 14, 2023, 01:26:56 AM
It's really a crazy thing that still happens a lot but on the other hand does it really have to be like that where it doesn't matter if they are relatives or not but they cross that limit just to gamble.
This is really unhealthy because apart from him being a cruel person, on the other hand I'm pretty sure he can't control the gambling conditions he does which makes him all consumed by a heavy addiction.

Any addict that is addicted enough will basically do anything to obtain the thing that the person is addicted to.

There are of course different levels depending on what causes the addiction, but the brain is an interesting thing and it will create crazy plans to obtain what it is lacking.

In a way this is a powerful machinery that could be used extremely successfully when the addiction is positive, but also a horrible thing when the addiction is negative.
1664  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Betting strategy question on: May 14, 2023, 01:23:07 AM
~snip~
Good point. But as for believing in superstitions, I think, to a large degree, it's a choice rather than anything else. It's a comfortable feeling to believe that certain behaviour or items can give you an edge in life by bringing good luck. Or it's convenient to shift the blame/responsibility to bad luck, i.e. why blame yourself and your crappy driving for crashing the car when you could blame some black cat or Friday 13th?

Yeah, that might be.

But I believe that you are responsible of everything that happens to you, good or bad. That way at least you have a chance to change your life.

If you blame things on others or in "god's acts", etc, then you can't change those things at all.

I much prefer getting all the blame, because it comes with the ability to change.
1665  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: How useful is Bitcoin to the youth? on: May 14, 2023, 01:20:16 AM
~snip~
I think that American youth will adopt it as a way to get rich but there will be a minority that sees it as a way to achieve freedom and fix a lot of the problems that will be facing their generation. I can't image what the cost of a house will be in 10 -20 years and how much of the world will be controlled by a tiny group of "elites" but I think if the youth is able to look past the get rich quick mentality, I think they will put it to good use to fix a lot of fiat problems.

Youth in developing world are probably much more likely to adopt it out of necessity and not just out of novelty or a get rich quick scheme. Hyperinflation is going to get worse and bitcoin will not only protect the youth from inflation but it will make it easier for young people to relocate to other parts of the world with their wealth intact.


Bitcoin is an asset, just like real estate for example, so in a way it's just investing.

The thing is that it's open to absolutely the whole world, without intermediaries, and almost no fees. I think that's a big difference compared to other investments.

Younger people probably will feel better investing in Bitcoin than in other things like real estate that might require a more hands-on approach.
1666  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: I am only trying to stay safe by gambling less on: May 14, 2023, 01:13:27 AM
~snip~
nowadays with the evolution of technologies, I wonder if someone goes to stay in a distant village they won't have access to a telephone and internet and gambling, it's hard to escape technology to avoid gambling, but it doesn't hurt to try , and it is true that staying away from all this for a long time the person manages to overcome the addiction, but we have to see if it will be a temporary or permanent cure

An addiction is a problem in the brain. You can travel anywhere but you will bring your addicted brain with you.

You will try to do anything to get your fix.

What might help instead is to have some purpose, something to look forward to. Once you have that you realize your addiction is holding you back from achieving that goal, and you naturally try to cut back or stop completely.

You need to swap addictions, get addicted to something positive instead.
1667  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Can i make 100 $ daily from online casinos on: May 14, 2023, 01:11:04 AM
~snip~
Okay, folks, let's dive into the swirling whirlpool of gambling controversy and its true identity as a showstopper! Imagine this: gambling is like a sizzling, electrifying waltz with Lady Luck herself. Sometimes she lifts us up in ecstasy, other times she crushes our dreams under her stilettos. It's a no-holds-barred dance-off without any promises!

The million-dollar question: Can we cut the cord between hopes and results? Can we exit the casino, brushing it off like another evening of fun? Resisting the golden jackpot's allure is like avoiding the temptation of a glistening skyscraper – can we do it?

But remember, never treat gambling as a way to make America great again. It's a dangerously enticing melody that'll lead us off the path if we lose sight of the borders. Enjoy the show, but keep your wallet safe, folks!

If someone genuinely have that level of temptation, it sounds to me that they are already addicted.

That''s the best client for a casino. Someone that is in that stage. Think about it as an outsider looking at the business of gambling:

A person travels to your location, puts money into your machines, then leaves empty pocketed. That same person then returns the next day, or week, or month, to do exactly the same again.

No wonder casinos are filthy rich while gambler are in financial ruin.

Note that you can say the same of any other addiction, like alcohol for example. You see a person going to your business place, buy alcohol until they are broke, then go home. Only to repeat the same the next day, week, or month. Bars and pubs make a lot of money off alcohol, but it's not even on the same level with gambling.
1668  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: FIFA World Cup 2026 :Canada/Mexico/United States: Discussion Thread on: May 14, 2023, 01:06:22 AM
~snip~
Hosting the World Cup in Qatar was proof that money is what defines the course of the biggest football event in the world.
FIFA CEO sacked? That's the least that should happen, don't believe that corruption ends there, because this was just a "deal" made because someone needed to be punished, but I'm sure there's a lot more rotten garbage in Fifa than just the CEO.

I believe the 2026 world cup will be "less corrupt" as FIFA needs to clear its name after what happened in Qatar.

At the end of the day money can buy anything, really.

The whole purpose of FIFA is to maximize their revenue through ticket sales, sponsor deals, broadcast licenses, merchandise, etc.

Decisions will be made based on dollar values, that's for sure.
1669  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: [POLL] Using AI to predict outcomes on: May 14, 2023, 01:04:16 AM
~snip~ If we’re talking about predictions, well we can’t really count on AI for something right now. The sole fact that even ChatGPT runs on a version of the internet from 2 years ago with all its pretty outdated. This renders all forms of prediction that involves AI moot, and nothing but a novelty to showcase that “AI is here”. If you’ll read OP’s post by the way it literally talks about him asking AI for bet predictions on a football game. Which have been made by someone and then proceeded but what I could only assume, is an unholy helping of sensationalized media. Anywho, as scary as Skynet, it’s nothing to be wary of as of the moment. No one’s getting replaced hy AIA or whatever.

Yes, but that doesn't stop someone from training an AI specifically for predicting sports results, and is fed real time data from all sports in the world.

That AI might be already out there making predictions. For years we have had machines telling us odds of sports, calculated from previous data.
1670  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: do you lose on slots? on: May 14, 2023, 01:02:22 AM
~snip~
Actually in this condition I quite don't understand how the category of addicts in this case is even though we can control our condition in gambling and don't feel anything when we lose because we realize that it's a risk but that doesn't mean we are not addicts when we do it repeatedly.
The addict's condition is to do it regularly, it doesn't matter if it's big or small in gambling, but as long as I'm still gambling, I still think it's an addict and I'm like that too. Regardless of being disturbed or not in financial condition as long as you are still gambling, it means that we are all addicts.

Addiction is a gradual process. So, for example if you gamble once in a while, say once every couple of years, then it would be safe to say you are not addicted to gambling.

Same with alcohol for example. If you just drink alcohol at a few events where they serve it, say weddings, etc, then of course you are not addicted. But if you plan your life around alcohol, then yes, you are addicted.

Same with gambling, if you start planning around it, then you're probably addicted to it.
1671  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: When Bitcoin will become stable currency? on: May 14, 2023, 12:59:39 AM
I cant imagine bitcoin to become stable, maybe investors will not buy and holds bitcoin as an investment if this would become stable, for me there is no way for btc to become stable because it is decentralized and i never seen btc become stable from the past so it will never ever become stable.

There will always be some level of change in the price since it is open for trade 24/7 in the entire world, so every single person in the planet has the potential to change the price, all the time.

But, over time, these changes will be less and less since there will be more capital invested in it.

Even today it is relatively small, less than some public companies.
1672  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: [POLL] Using AI to predict outcomes on: May 13, 2023, 05:20:40 AM
~snip~
chances of work or not are 50:50 so some say it works and the rest don't. I rather agree with you that AI might be more effective when used in other things like casino chatrooms or helping customer service effectiveness.

At the end of the day what matters is if you can provide something that is valuable for other people.

If you can do that with the help of AI then you have a way to make money.

If what you do is simply a low effort move that everyone else is doing, then you won't make any money.

It's similar to spamming really.
1673  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: When Bitcoin will become stable currency? on: May 10, 2023, 11:17:08 PM
I was thinking about Bitcoin as a currency a lot lately and I have some doubts about how currently we see its future.

The problem is, in order for Bitcoin to become a currency everyone will use, it should be stable. I know that you might say that people will still use it because it's not about stability, it's about freedom and technology. I agree with that, but Bitcoin needs to be stable in order for people to treat it like money, and not like an asset.

Just look at what people are saying right now, experts say that people shouldn't hold USD because inflation is just 5% a year, but imagine if you have bitcoin that can go down like 5% a day because some whales sold it. It will be problematic for people to use it on a daily basis because of that.

I know that people say that when Bitcoin will be adopted, it should become stable because there is a limited amount of it, but I don't see how it's gonna happen. From what I see people treat bitcoin as an asset to invest and hold and I can't imagine that will change in the future.

Why do you guys think Bitcoin will really become the "money of the future" and people will actually use it like one?
From what I see, I think it's possible that people in the future will still trade bitcoin or try to buy as much of it as possible to manipulate the market.

Bitcoin is the money of the present already.

It's also an asset that continues to raise in value over time.

It also provides a foundation in which technology can be used for innovation, like lightning, and any other projects on top of the blockchain like cheap international money transfers/exchanges.

Also consider countries like Argentina where they still use their currency even thought it has 100% inflation.
1674  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: FIFA World Cup 2026 :Canada/Mexico/United States: Discussion Thread on: May 10, 2023, 11:13:11 PM
~snip~
I also believe that the visa rules will be made more flexible, but the fans cannot count on that.
So, imagining that everything continues as it is and considering that the 2026 World Cup starts in the first week of June, then the fan will have, from now on, only three years to prepare, and he should mainly consider that he may have to wait longer than a year waiting for the consular interview.

If I'm not mistaken, you first need to fill out the DS-160 form that is found on the US Department of State website, then access the Visa Applicant Service Center website and pay a fee, and only then schedule the face-to-face visits for interview, collection of biometrics and photo.

With the US visa in hand, it is possible to obtain authorizations to also enter Mexico and Canada.

I think there are special types of visas for visits to events.

That means that they will be processed in a different section probably, and given priority since they know the dates of the event.
1675  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Can i make 100 $ daily from online casinos on: May 10, 2023, 11:11:38 PM
I cant believe this thread keeps alive.

I only can say

STEADY/REGULAR INCOME  GAMBLING

That its the only you need to know.

As long as you are the gambler though  Grin

The owners of the casinos are getting a nice fat regular income every month
1676  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: FIFA World Cup 2026 :Canada/Mexico/United States: Discussion Thread on: May 10, 2023, 10:06:10 AM
~snip~
During group stage, usually there will be three matches occurring per day. During Qatar 2022, most of the matches were held during the evening, because of weather conditions. However in the next edition, FIFA may spread out the matches, and at least some of the matches may be held during morning. And this will enable fans in Asia-Pacific to watch them live once they are back from their study/work. BTW, US-Canada comprise of several time zones and there is a 3 hour difference between Eastern time and Pacific time within the US (fortunately they haven't scheduled any matches in Alaska and Hawaii).

Given that the world cup is extremely popular all around the world, there will always be issues with time zones.

European Times vs Asian Times, or American Times vs Australian Times, etc.

There's always going to be a match at 4am for someone in the world  Grin
1677  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: When using Bitcoin to make purchases, do you feel bad? on: May 10, 2023, 12:49:54 AM
If you feel uneasy using BTC for trading, then you can consider converting the amount you want to spend into a stable coin.
As for the guy that used all his BTC to buy just one pizza, though it looked stupid and foolish, but it means a lot. That was the first BTC trade, if I am correct.

In my view it's much better to buy a pizza (they were 2 large ones) than some altcoin.

Bitcoin is money, and you can use it to buy things you need like food.

You can also save in Bitcoin, or sell Bitcoin for other assets like a house, etc.

But selling Bitcoin for an altcoin, or fiat, seems a bit odd to me.
1678  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: GekkoScience has a new stickminer that does 300+GH on: May 10, 2023, 12:44:49 AM
Is it possible to run this USB Miner without a usb hub? I want to connect it directly to my USB3 port. I meant with its stock frequency.

It is possible, but the frequency at which can be run will depend on the specific USB port you are using. Note that you can even use a USB2 port, the main thing that matters is the power delivery of the port, not the data part of it.

If you run it slow, you can plug it in basically anywhere. The higher you run it, the least USB ports will work, and eventually you'll need a fan as well unless you want some melted components.
1679  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Betting strategy question on: May 10, 2023, 12:06:28 AM
~snip~
Unfortunately, our brains are wired in a way that if you've took some action and got desired result (positive feedback loop), you'll feel the urge to do it again. So if someone had the discipline to stop betting in the right time and walked away with profit - they're likely to return and try to repeat that success.
Gambling perfectly exploits psychological flaws.

That is true.

Our brains are always trying to explain things however they can, even if it doesn't make sense.

For example, if you happen to experience two rare independent events at the same time, your brain will think they are correlated somehow even though it was just a coincidence. This explains some of the "bad luck" tales like a black cat crossing or superstitions in general. The brain thinks "Something happened at the same time that something bad happened, so they must be correlated", but it's just a coincidence.
1680  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: When using Bitcoin to make purchases, do you feel bad? on: May 10, 2023, 12:02:45 AM
~snip~
Anyone who holds Bitcoin today is free to spend it on the things we want and nothing can stop us. Now, if anyone has used bitcoin for pizza these days, how does he know that Bitcoin will rise to the level it is today.

       Because maybe the person who made bitcoin pay for the pizza had a lot of Bitcoin at that time, it was like a coin or a small amount at that time. So of course it won't feel terrible either because the value of Bitcoin was really low during the years when it was still cheap.

Absolutely.

At the end of the day spending Bitcoin or fiat is the same because at that time they are worth the same. You can exchange one to the other at the exchange rate of the day and it wont make any difference.

The main difference is in which way you save your money for the future.

Saving money in fiat is a bad idea as it devalues over time. Saving in Bitcoin is a better idea, and you can also save your money in different assets. Saving in fiat is the issue.
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