if anyone is still wondering why the stock mkt is rallying, come on over to FRA .

its ok.  double bottoms are not uncommon.  the blockchain marches on.

Thanks for the suggestions.  i'll certainly take them into account.

i realize that FRA won't be for those who don't trade and its difficult to tell just how many here do. 

As a professional trader i don't have any articles from the past.  what i do is trade.  i would point out that the detailed substance of this thread, due to the discourse you mentioned, is a unique experience into the almost realtime thoughts of a professional trader and his understanding of how money and the economy works for a solid 3 months straight.  i'd say my evolving recommendations have been pretty spot on and the timing extraordinary.  a critic might complain that gold is right where it was when i opened this thread and they'd be right but if you follow the evolution of this thread and my recommendations along the way about closing my shorts one would have made money. my methods involve swing or positional trading which span weeks to months.  if you look carefully since the beginning of this thread i have made some extraordinary calls in gold, silver, stocks and UST's since 8/9/11.  my personal acct is up 65% since that date and i have a long career of making consistently good calls.  no way to prove that though w/o turning over all my records.  while the majority of hedge funds were losing big money over the month of October, i made the call to go long and close shorts on 10/6/11 which ultimately led to the best monthly return in the stock mkt since 1976.  its all here for the record.

i never even put up a donation address.  my intentions here were to help ppl along in the Bitcoin economy and i hope i accomplished that.  FRA will be a way to feel i'm being appreciated for my efforts.  if it doesn't work out its no big deal for me as it won't be my main source of income no matter how successful it becomes.  i'm hoping ppl here will give me a chance.  i don't think they'll be disappointed.

thanks for all your constructive contributions to this Forum.

I have added PayPal as a payment method to my website.

does that represent one sale?

i skimmed through the original paper.  lotsa mathematics attempting to model human behavior.  its impossible.  if it were, the quants on Wall St would never sustain losses.  people do all sorts of unpredictable things depending on the situation.  this is why investing is so difficult.

this is not a question of the relative value of the merchandise vs the btc used to buy them.  it is about the seller having every reason to ensure that the "money" used to buy his goods is real and not already spent elsewhere thus his motivation to broadcast the tx as widely as possible as soon as possible with or w/o a fee attached in order to get the tx verified into his receiving address.

Strategic Investing in Turbulent Times, A Macroeconomic Perspective.

Financial Risk Analytics

yes.  given how much time and effort i put into this stuff, i hope people will recognize the value.

guys, i'm gonna be locking down this thread sometime in about a week so i can start my own paid subscription website.  essentially i will be moving this thread over to my new site called Financial Risk Analytics and continue posting over there in the same form and manner i have done here.  right now its open for all comers until i get it locked down for subscribers only.  take a look at the website and give me constructive feedback if you will.  hopefully many of you will subscribe and help it along.

Financial Risk Analytics

How about "A Self Contained Financial Platform" upon which communities, industries, and nations can build?

yeah, i think you'd better go back thru my posts to prove that.  btw, why has the price gone back up?

it just seems to me that the most likely candidates to resonate with a description such as this would be self contained ecosystems like communities, industries, or nations.  surely these entities don't operate in a vacuum and do interface with the rest of the world but certainly Bitcoin could facilitate trade within them.

i am thinking about it in the context of an industry like the casinos using Bitcoin to trade like poker chips.  of course ppl would eventually like to get their USD's out of the "system".

but as the economy grows hopefully to the point of independence then indeed Bitcoin would be self contained.

Sovereign can be a large negative depending on who you ask.

to me the words "Self Contained" and "System" conveys compactness, tightness, and modularity.  my teenagers can be very independent but not always in a good way.

the "System" could be overlayed with a variety of industries such as online poker

i know this is obvious but describing these concepts to the avg person needs to be framed appropriately to enhance understanding.

i think you're right.  i am investing in anticipation of the turn upwards.  the global economy is debatably turning back up (if the stock mkt is any indication) and consumer confidence this AM was decidedly positive.  many economic indicators are actually turning up as well which makes overall asset investment appetite much greater.

there is no doubt that Americans benefit from USD hegemony being the reserve currency of the world.  what about everyone else?