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1701  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: Taproot proposal on: November 26, 2020, 02:15:44 PM
Is it actually a "vote"? I thought pools signalling for support for the activation is merely to tell everyone in the network that they are ready for the upgrade, not a vote.

After looking at some BIP about activation method or activation for specific thing, i found out word "vote" is never used. But just like bitcoin can be perceived as investment or gold, people also can perceive activation as vote or explicit support.

I guess there are a few distinctions, particularly when it comes to softforks.  With a "vote", participants are generally bound to honour the outcome, even though they might disagree with it.  Whereas the outcome of Taproot activation is effectively an ongoing 'opt-in'.  There is nothing that mandates its usage.  It's more analogous to an invitation to an event with no end date.  A "take it or leave it" kinda deal.
1702  Other / Meta / Re: The Avatar would have to be optional in signature campaigns? on: November 25, 2020, 06:37:37 PM
So we recently had a topic about requesting intervention to make avatar ads clickable and now people want intervention to make them optional.  Certainly a lot of interest in avatars lately.  I'm not a member of any other forums where the admins need to play "avatar police", so it all sounds a bit strange to me when people come up with these ideas here.  

What benefit would it bring to the forum?  If the answer is "None.  It would only benefit me" then it's probably safe to assume it's not going to be a priority for the staff here.
1703  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: What will happen to Bitcoin after making new ATH? on: November 24, 2020, 03:02:00 PM
Fundamentally, nothing will change with Bitcoin itself.  The network will find another block in approximately 10 minutes.  Everything continues as it currently does.

It's the people who change.  They lose their minds a bit.  Plenty of hype and commotion.  An increase in the quantity of bold proclamations, wild guesswork and ludicrous theories.  Nothing we haven't seen before.
1704  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin hits the home page of The Wall Street Journal on: November 24, 2020, 02:52:35 PM
Mainstream news publications don't generally run headlines about what other publications are talking about.  It's almost as though these cryptomedia blogs don't want to achieve legitimacy and only see themselves as second-hand sources of information. 

Also, "media reports on fiat price of Bitcoin during bull run" is hardly a revelation.
1705  Economy / Economics / Re: Find out how social trading is transforming the crypto landscape on: November 24, 2020, 02:24:28 PM
As if there wasn't enough manipulation in trading already.   Roll Eyes

In game theory, trading is widely considered to be a zero-sum game.  One person's loss is another's gain.  Attempting to copy the trading style of others just puts them in a position to exploit your (now entirely predictable) behaviour.

Don't engage this strategy obvious trap.  Either think for yourself or prepare to lose big time.
1706  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin Surpassed MasterCard Value on: November 23, 2020, 01:29:18 PM
Bitcoin is not a company so it's not useful to compare its market capitalization to the total asset value of an actual company like MasterCard. You are making an apples-to-oranges comparison.

Assets are defined as things that can be sold for liquidating a company, you cannot sell off (liquidate) all the bitcoins that exist and expect its market value to stay the same while you do that, the market capitalization "assets" will surely go into free fall. That's why Bitcoin's market value can't be considered as corporate assets.

True, but then people also argue it's not 100% accurate to compare it to the M1 of national currencies either.  There isn't much we can compare it to, which is a shame when comparison is a useful method to help people understand scale.
1707  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: Taproot proposal on: November 20, 2020, 11:15:42 AM
AntPool signaling BIP8 like SlushPool, that's some news now! Smiley Perhaps, I've been too critical a few weeks ago when I was expecting some skirmish from miners regarding the upgrade. If that's the pace of miners activating Taproot we should get there in a reasonable amount of time.
Some of them eventually had to recognize which is the one and only bitcoin that rules.

I'm working under the impression they're treating it like any other software update.  Some will opt to do it sooner, some a bit later.  I don't get the sense there are any political motivations involved in the decision.  More a question of simply when it's convenient timing to upgrade.

I could be wrong, but I think it might just be a case of people expecting drama when there may not be any.
1708  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: PayPals Bitcoin is a scam on: November 20, 2020, 08:18:37 AM
Too far to say that paypal is a scam with bitcoin in it, because we all know the legality used by paypal.

There is often a crucial distinction between "legality" and "morality".  Just because it's legal, doesn't mean we have to find it acceptable.

I'm still of the opinion that any custodial service dealing with IOUs and not operating full-reserve is effectively a scam.  Most people just don't realise it yet.  This applies to any exchanges or webwallets operating fractional reserve, not just PayPal.

It's a bit like 'Schrödinger's Cat'.  Until you open the box, you cannot tell whether the service has your BTC or if it's actually dead.
1709  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: China’s Miners Struggle to Pay Power Bills, Regulators Clamp Down on OTC Desks on: November 18, 2020, 09:48:42 PM
They knew the risk of taking up mining in an authoritarian, socialist country where you can get publicly executed in 21st century.

Should that not lead people to respect them more, though?

Ordinary people in authoritarian countries are taking a bigger risk than the majority of us to take part in this system, yet so many people living in relatively free nations give them nothing but shit for it because they don't like the leaders of that country.  I find it quite distasteful, personally.
1710  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: China’s Miners Struggle to Pay Power Bills, Regulators Clamp Down on OTC Desks on: November 18, 2020, 07:44:26 PM
In 21st century, Chinese people have their own version of Google and Facebook and even Windows operating system! They are soon going to get their own version of government controlled bitcoin. So why do they need bitcoin at the first place?

Why don't you let them decide that for themselves?  Maybe some of them need it because they aren't on board with what their crazy totalitarian leaders are doing.  Maybe it's a statement of resistance on their part.  Or perhaps they have reasons that have nothing to do with your scorn of their government.

I'm guessing there are people in China who probably don't like your government either.  Try to keep things in perspective.  They're just people, like you.


The faster these Chinese miners leave the crypto market, the better!

Good thing it's not up to you, then, isn't it?  You're starting to sound pretty authoritarian yourself when you proclaim that miners from certain geographical regions aren't welcome. 

1711  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: A look at PayPal’s TOS and What it Means for Users on: November 18, 2020, 07:09:53 PM
Bump

I've been looking into whether Paxos need to maintain full backing as part of their regulatory obligations.  I'm sad to report the impression I'm getting is that fractional reserve IS permitted.   Sad

See the following link to read the capital requirements for all companies who have obtained a Bitlicense:
https://govt.westlaw.com/nycrr/Document/I85908c7a253711e598dbff5462aa3db3

It basically reads the "superintendent" (whoever that is) gets to decide what funds are "sufficient".  This does not instil confidence.


1712  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: PayPals Bitcoin is a scam on: November 18, 2020, 06:46:41 PM
For anyone who doesn't quite understand why some of us see the potential for an actual scam, despite the fact that PayPal are a "respected and recognised company" or whatever, I'll see if I can make it clearer:


If we're talking about national currencies and custodians (i.e. banks), it's a widely accepted practice for such custodians to operate fractional reserve schemes.  Laws and/or regulations say it's fine for them to do that.  If we work on the assumption that it is highly unlikely all of their customers will attempt to withdraw their entire balance in cash at the same time, there is no issue.  

But when it comes to cryptographic currencies and custodians, fractional reserve suddenly becomes a very perilous gamble.  If the company in question are not capable of signing a transaction for every BTC they claim to own, they are technically insolvent.  Bitcoin doesn't do debt.  It's not a thing in our ecosystem.  A valid transaction must take place on the blockchain in order for a customer to withdraw funds from that custodian to their own wallet.  There is no way to fake it.  Meaning that if PayPal do eventually decide to offer BTC withdrawals, they better make damn sure they have sufficient funds in place, or they're going to have some very upset users, making some very legitimate allegations of scamming.

And until/unless they offer BTC withdrawals, we can't know for sure if they're solvent or not.  Paxos, the actual custodian, do have a NY "Bitlicense", but in terms of capital requirements, that merely means:

Each licensee shall maintain at all times such capital in an amount and form as the superintendent determines is sufficient to ensure the financial integrity of the licensee and its ongoing operations based on an assessment of the specific risks applicable to each licensee. In determining the minimum amount of capital that must be maintained by a licensee, the superintendent may consider a variety of factors, including but not limited to:
(1) the composition of the licensee’s total assets, including the position, size, liquidity, risk exposure, and price volatility of each type of asset;
(2) the composition of the licensee’s total liabilities, including the size and repayment timing of each type of liability;
(3) the actual and expected volume of the licensee’s virtual currency business activity;
(4) whether the licensee is already licensed or regulated by the superintendent under the Financial Services Law, Banking Law, or Insurance Law, or otherwise subject to such laws as a provider of a financial product or service, and whether the licensee is in good standing in such capacity;
(5) the amount of leverage employed by the licensee;
(6) the liquidity position of the licensee;
(7) the financial protection that the licensee provides for its customers through its trust account or bond;
(8) the types of entities to be serviced by the licensee; and
(9) the types of products or services to be offered by the licensee.
(b) Each licensee shall hold capital required to be maintained in accordance with this section in the form of cash, virtual currency, or high-quality, highly liquid, investment-grade assets, in such proportions as are acceptable to the superintendent.

Or, in plain English, some random dickhead with a fancy job title gets to decide how much BTC they need to keep in reserve.  And that person probably doesn't understand the risks of not being fully backed either.  Hence my cynicism.



TL;DR - Don't operate fractional reserve with Bitcoin.  It will fuck both you and your customers.
1713  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: The Lightning Network FAQ on: November 18, 2020, 02:28:19 PM
Fyookball isn't an "independent researcher", he's clearly a big blocker and probably a Bitcoin Cash supporter. That's ok for me but his postings (on his blog and here) shouldn't be considered neutral science.
Don't believe the math in the article, because the author is a big block proponent. SmileySmileySmiley  Funny.
Unfortunately for you, mathematics is a neutral science.

Contrary to popular belief, numbers can lie if you're clever about it.  How else do you explain companies cooking the books on their accounting or the popular expression "lies, damn lies and statistics".

The question always becomes "what numbers did they deliberately leave out"?

I'm sure a fraud like Faketoshi would insist that his numbers add up too, but we know better.    Wink



//EDIT:  Apologies LoyceV.  I need to stop using my phone when replying to multi-quote posts, heh.  Too easy to select the wrong text on touchscreen devices.
1714  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: what happened to the popular btc conversion app? on: November 17, 2020, 10:36:57 PM
Yeah, I noticed that too.  I'm sure it was up earlier today, so maybe it's just a temporary outage and will come back later.  


//EDIT:  Definitely a temporary blip.  It's back up again now.
1715  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: How can Crypto be Good for Mass Adoption? on: November 17, 2020, 09:51:33 PM
How can an average person buy Bitcoin(/s) when the price reaches a newer level?

They'll simply buy smaller quantities.  At some point, people will start moving the decimal place and thinking in terms of fractions of a bitcoin.  People generally (unless they're rich) won't even think about buying whole bitcoins anymore.  It'll be unattainable for the average person.  Such is the nature of scarcity.


Many people have enjoyed(or should I use the word earned) free crypto (please stop Denying), Many have mined, Staked, Bought at the lowest of prices and so on. How can it be any good for the mass adoption when only a few (in comparison to the people around the world who are not yet into Crypto) have the crypto currency just because they are a bit early into the scene.

I've heard this argument before.  The counterargument given was that early adopters were taking a bigger gamble on an (at the time) highly obscure and nascent technology.  As such, they deserve to be rewarded for their foresight.  They invested time and/or money on something that might have gone nowhere.  In fact, due to the importance of network effects, if the early adopters hadn't done what they did, you might not even be here to nitpick now.


Now, It's not that I'm against anything, But the real problem that no one seems to care about is how can the wealth be distributed equally among all so that people (irrespective of being late) enjoy all the benefits equally

Assuming you use Bitcoin the way it was intended to be used, everyone does gain the same benefits.  The benefits are autonomy over your own wealth without having to rely on third parties.  No one who can block or restrict your transactions.  Noble as it might sound, I don't think equal distribution of wealth was on satoshi's todo list.
1716  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2020-11-15] What We’re Getting Wrong About Druckenmiller and Bitcoin on: November 16, 2020, 06:42:57 PM
Bitcoin's bid/ask spread is similar (or better) than gold's.

And even if it wasn't, illiquidity still wouldn't be a "barrier to entry" unless you had plans for using some high-frequency-trading algorithm.  The rate at which Grayscale are hoovering up BTC is evidence enough that there's sufficient liquidity and that the appetite is definitely there for institutional investors.

It's as though the author of the article is slowly realising that all their assumptions were wrong and then decides it would be a good idea to write as if everyone had made the same wrong assumptions.   Cheesy
1717  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2015-11-15] What We’re Getting Wrong About Druckenmiller and Bitcoin on: November 16, 2020, 01:55:12 PM
Adding his sonorous voice to the chorus of renowned investors talking about bitcoin recently, hedge fund manager Stanley Druckenmiller stated on a CNBC interview this week that he believed bitcoin could perform better than gold.
“I own many, many more times gold than I own bitcoin, but frankly if the gold bet works, the bitcoin bet will probably work better because it’s thinner and more illiquid and has a lot more beta to it.“
This is worth diving into a bit, because the statement is good news for the industry, but it is not the bullish affirmation that it initially seems.
This is not Druckenmiller saying that bitcoin has a better value proposition than gold, or that it has a harder cap or that decentralization is the way to go.
No, this is Druckenmiller saying that bitcoin has more upside because of its market inefficiencies. Let that sink in: The very characteristics that many investors have cited as barriers to investment are what a renowned investor believes will award bitcoin a better performance.

Source https://www.coindesk.com/druckenmiller-bitcoin-what-he-really-said

Isn't that just a lengthy way of saying he likes it because it's volatile? 

I don't think "Hedge fund manager likes volatile assets" sounds all that newsworthy, really. 
1718  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: PayPals Bitcoin is a scam on: November 16, 2020, 12:08:08 PM
We really need to stop using the "scam" word as a sort of synonym to "bad service"; because obviously there's a HUGE difference between the two.

I agree to a point, but there is a limit.  If it transpires PayPal are operating fractional reserve, then I'd be inclined to call it a scam.  They'd be selling something that doesn't necessarily exist.  Those who understand how fiat works begrudgingly accept the premise that fiat works that way.  But it's wholly incorrect to accept the practice of Bitcoin IOUs which literally cannot be spent on the blockchain.  That would be a step too far and is 100% a scam.  Best we reserve judgement until their third party custodian, Paxos, provide evidence of full reserve.


More fractional reserve banking is just what we need.

This is how they are going to FIATize crypto. Soon nobody will give a damn about bitcoin's limited supply.

But perhaps we should await some proof before we grab the pitchforks?  I'm suspicious too, but facts are better to act upon.

1719  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: The Bitcoin movement launches its first limited edition streetware collection on: November 15, 2020, 09:35:23 PM
what did you people think about Bitcoin Movement? Can it helps in bitcoin adoption?

I'm more of a cynic and would assume the inverse.  They're probably just using Bitcoin's brand recognition to sell clothing.  

It doesn't even have the word "Bitcoin" in it, so I don't know how it's supposed to spread awareness.  If people don't already know what bitcoin, or "BTC" is, they would probably only see what they perceive to be a random string of characters.  The only way anyone unfamiliar with the concept is going to understand what "B T C M V M N T" means is if the person wearing it stops to explain it to them.
1720  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2020-11-12]A Bitcoin Mining Pool Is Deliberately Censoring Transactions on: November 14, 2020, 11:33:04 PM
Either through ideology, greed, or a healthy mix of the two, I honestly don't see a whole bunch of pools going along with this.  It's not a pool's long term interests to undermine one of Bitcoin's fundamental tenets and it's not in their short term interests to give up the transactions fees they could be collecting.
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