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17561  Economy / Economics / Re: Gold: I smell a trap on: September 29, 2011, 07:10:40 PM
sliding down the slope of hope.
17562  Economy / Economics / Re: Gold: I smell a trap on: September 29, 2011, 06:12:57 PM
how ugly is this.  pm stocks getting destroyed again.  gold up slightly but not for long.  wave 3 down is here.

Honestly, if gold does not correct more, with the one that is coming down right now, its a very bullish sign. Gold is still up a lot from a year ago. Its normal to have a correction.

Also, I have not seen mentioned tha the gold and silver margins were rised 21% (http://www.tradingnrg.com/gold-silver-prices-cme-margin-hike-by-21-september-24-2011/) forcing a lot of people to recapitalize or remove some positions. 21% is  a lot! Its very "curious" that they have choosen to do so just as the next deflationary mini-crash was starting. With the know history of the USA gov to try to keep the price of gold (and silver) down to help the survival of the dollar, it is "like" if they want to create a psicological effect to try to beat down gold and silver prices.

Mid and long term Im bullish on gold.

as i said before, i'm slightly more agnostic towards gold denominated in non USD.  you being in the euro means gold could make sense altho i would still be worried.
17563  Economy / Economics / Re: Gold: I smell a trap on: September 29, 2011, 02:46:43 PM
significantly, retailers and momo stocks are getting obliterated today.  the last sectors to break.  look out below.  its over boys.
17564  Economy / Economics / Re: Gold: I smell a trap on: September 29, 2011, 02:45:34 PM
how ugly is this.  pm stocks getting destroyed again.  gold up slightly but not for long.  wave 3 down is here.
17565  Economy / Economics / Re: Gold: I smell a trap on: September 29, 2011, 12:00:48 AM

I'm still waiting for my fills.


you got your call fills at $1800, your stock fills at $1600 now underwater, your USD/CHF short fill weeks ago, and now you must have got the rest of your gold fills now that its dipped down to $1588.  good luck.
17566  Economy / Economics / Re: Gold: I smell a trap on: September 28, 2011, 10:13:09 PM
do you have any idea what the psychology behind a wave 3 down is?  its this:

"OMFG!  we really do have a problem!  we are royally screwed.... sell, sell, sell!"
17567  Economy / Economics / Re: Gold: I smell a trap on: September 28, 2011, 10:03:37 PM
Repo offers will offer marginally better return and are coming from the same guaranteed backer as the interest on reserves. That will allow for a rotating flow of credit from banks to Fed; the Fed gets access to massive amounts of funding that has heretofore been held in a bubble, while the banks continue to garner risk-free return.

At every level, leverage is increasing and will provide necessary liquidity from the existing pool of funds; the debt from debt we discussed. It isn't a direct QE in the manner we've become familiar with, but a magnification of the amount already out - it just hasn't hit the real economy yet. When the problem grows further and the existing reserves have been leveraged to the hilt, more conventional QE will have to be accepted as it will be the only alternative to the final crushing deflation we're still waiting for.

It's all like an uncontrolled thermonuclear chain reaction.

you inflationists keep coming up with the most innovative ways of further destroying the USD.  problem is the Fed hasn't, they aren't, and they won't do the things you're suggesting for all the reasons i've stated above.

whats a gold bugs worst nightmare?  SOUND MONEY!
17568  Economy / Economics / Re: Gold: I smell a trap on: September 28, 2011, 09:43:55 PM
4 yr daily charts.
what is Dr. Copper and FCX telling you?  inflation?   i think not:




17569  Economy / Economics / Re: Gold: I smell a trap on: September 28, 2011, 09:20:16 PM
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/prominent-deflationist-schilling-sees-deflation-china-hard-landing-and-800-sp

i subscribe to his newsletter.
17570  Economy / Economics / Re: Gold: I smell a trap on: September 28, 2011, 08:56:26 PM

Everything is in place to flood dollars through the world. What's needed this time? Something like $2-3 trillion? More?

The solution is not possible with the proceeds from current Fed asset holdings. That flow can barely keep the US itself going for a little while longer, let alone Europe. So either release the bank reserves which is as inflationary as printing money (more so because the banks will eventually have to be recapitalized yet again), or just print more using a base built from bank lending (circulating bank reserves instead of depleting them in one shot) - essentially the Repo market method.

the banks can but won't release the reserves b/c of the interest being paid on it by the Fed, they NEED those reserves to shore up losses, and they don't see any good credit risks out there.

the Fed won't print up anymore USD's b/c of fear of hyperinflation, the gold price, further rioting from inflation (like in Middle East), destruction of USD, self preservation, and pushing on a string.  

same ol' arguments that are proving true.
17571  Economy / Economics / Re: Gold: I smell a trap on: September 28, 2011, 08:18:21 PM
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-09-28/euro-crisis-makes-fed-lender-of-only-resort-as-banks-chase-dollar-funding.html

ho hum.
17572  Economy / Economics / Re: Gold: I smell a trap on: September 28, 2011, 08:13:15 PM
http://gata.org/node/10500

the rumor mill is flowing.  too late.
17573  Economy / Economics / Re: Gold: I smell a trap on: September 28, 2011, 08:07:28 PM
I'm hoping silver hits $27.34 soon.  I've had my eye on a particular purchase for a while now, and now that it is on sale for 25% off (not really, I know, but still), I'm just waiting for a couple bucks lower to hit the next big round number.

lets see; 29.84/49.82=.5989  OR  41% off? 
17574  Economy / Economics / Re: Gold: I smell a trap on: September 28, 2011, 07:56:59 PM
expect a gold attack tonite.
17575  Economy / Economics / Re: Gold: I smell a trap on: September 28, 2011, 07:55:05 PM
USD up, everything else down.  where have we heard this before?
17576  Economy / Economics / Re: Gold: I smell a trap on: September 28, 2011, 07:49:35 PM
$TRIN over 5   Shocked

17577  Economy / Economics / Re: Gold: I smell a trap on: September 28, 2011, 06:00:52 PM
TICK reading just hit -1415   Shocked
17578  Economy / Economics / Re: Gold: I smell a trap on: September 28, 2011, 05:56:14 PM

Now for one more dip below $1,600 to deploy the last of the orders that didn't get filled...

$1600 comin up fast.  get your buy button ready  Embarrassed
17579  Economy / Economics / Re: Gold: I smell a trap on: September 28, 2011, 05:53:53 PM
this has to have you concerned.  that green reversal wick at the far right of the chart is perfectly timed for the next cycle UP in the $DXY.




17580  Economy / Economics / Re: Gold: I smell a trap on: September 28, 2011, 04:55:18 PM
TED spread straight up since August.

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/quote?ticker=.TEDSP:IND
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