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1781  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: French Soccer League Predictions and Discussion Thread (Ligue 1) on: November 19, 2023, 08:01:08 AM
-snip

Right now PSG is just dominating and there is absolutely no doubt in my mind that they are going to stay on top of the table for a long period of time. I actually don't think that they will drop from the first position honestly. But I think we should not underestimate the other teams in the Ligue 1 competition. Nice is showing good performance, Monaco is also on their tail. So the competition is not already over. But PSG is certainly the best team in the league and right now they are performing like one as well.

I won't say already that no team in the Ligue One is gonna be able to stop them. But it is going to be a hard job for the other teams for sure.
everyone certainly still has hope and will continue to recognize that PSG is a team that is worthy and ready to be at the top of the standings to get the league 1 title and what PSG needs now is to consistently maintain its position to remain at the top of the standings without having to be moved by the team on the other hand, even though currently Nice and Monaco are very strong challengers, as long as PSG can be consistent, they will definitely dominate league 1.

TBH, for me, as long as PSG has not given the teams below them a big point difference, I can not give big hopes for this team and that does not mean I dont respect your opinion, but I always prioritize thinking realistically and seeing a very close point difference, whereas PSG has to dividing the match schedule in the UCL and league 1 will be a tough task and even though this season PSG failed to get to the top of the standings, I can understand because it will not be easy for a team that divides the match schedule with other competitions and I will also understand if PSG fails in the UCL because PSG always relies on just 1 player.
1782  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Streamer wins seem too good on: November 19, 2023, 07:50:11 AM
streamer was never able to influence my mind to be interested in trying to deposit and bet on the same game and I never trusted any streamer and I admit I often watch the stream but I consider it as an interesting spectacle like watching football.

In the past I often played slots and also often got maxwin and maybe too often but after getting maxwin a few times I very rarely got 300x+ and tried to move to other games and this does not mean I was influenced by a streamer but I bet on slot games because I wanted to I myself.

and for stories about the money the streamer uses his own money or money from the casino or its just an account designed by the casino for a winning streak its not important to me because its just an entertainment show that does not need to be taken seriously.


But personally, I mean that every streamer win is because they have large amount of money and in slot games there are games that can increase their chances of winning when they reach certain round, such as more than 5000 round and things like this happen lot.
I gambler who loves slot games and often manages to get fairly large multipliers when I reach more than 1000 to 2000 spins.
So maybe this is one of the influences on every streamer victory.
so that means you think that in slot games you will be able to get a big multiplier when you reach 1000-5000 spins?
and that means big multipliers are only for those who have a big budget to reach those 1000-5000 spins?
so what about this words "longer you bet, the more you lose because house edge?"
1783  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Saudi Professional League 2023/2024 on: November 19, 2023, 07:16:35 AM
I think they are trying to transition to a league that has quality as well. Especially because they have already got the popularity they needed. Now they need more young and quality players. Players that are going to be able to improve the quality of football in the league and also attract other young players. We saw Ronaldo come here and he did attract a lot of senior players. Now is the time for them to bring in young players.

And I don't think it is going to be a problem for them because they have the money and a club is not going to pass on a crazy deal.
I remember when Neymar said that it all started with Ronaldo and that meant Ronaldo was the one who provided motivation for senior players or other young players to believe that the SPl could become a big league in the world and it was all proven after Ronaldo arrival that many other senior players came to the SPL like Benzema and Neymar and for me this is the goal of the SPL to get big traffic on the SPL to get big popularity and will continue to bring in talented players or star players from europe to be able to take the SPL to a higher level as is rumored to be able to join UCL.

but one thing you have to remember is that bringing in young players is not a young thing because maybe you know that a talented young player from a european team will refuse an offer from the SPL on the grounds that the young player needs a title and a career with a big team that has experience in getting prestigious titles in europe.
so before the SPL can enter the UCL list, it will be very difficult to bring in young players from europe unless they have academics like european teams to create young players with new talents.
1784  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: November 19, 2023, 06:58:11 AM
We know Olivier Giroud is a player who played in AC Milan and had a good performance so far even during this season however this player is getting old but he is definitely an effective player for this team.
Now there is news about Olivier Giroud getting an offer from Saudi teams. Even during last summer, he got an offer from Al Hilal and he rejected the offer but he rejected the offer and now since his contract is going to end in 2024 at the end of this season and so far AC Milan didn't extend his contract yet.
Giroud is one of the most productive players at Milan, in fact this team really needs a player like Giroud and maybe now he looks older but look at how he really wants to stay in the european group because he is very comfortable in his current team even though he has only scored 7 goals in 11 matches, at least Giroud has given his best contribution and even though his contract has not been extended at this time, if you look at it logically, Milan needs a young, more talented attacking player with better physical qualities and maybe Milan could sell him, but Giroud will definitely reject the offer from Saudi Arabian team and selected offers from other european teams.

money can change everything, there is nothing we can know about the truth, because for players who are a little older, it would be very profitable to get a big salary from saudi arabia and spend their career in saudi arabia.
1785  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: November 19, 2023, 06:37:44 AM
One issue I have with Barcelona as a team is the fact that they do not have a consistent striker. As right said, Lewandowsky has been a bit erratic with his performance and I may owe it to the fact that he returned from an injury spell to a team that had Joax Felix performing better than before.
Its just a striker problem and I don't still think Xavi has a perfect option yet.
Real Madrid will be looking to sign a striker as soon as the transfer windows open because Bellingham can't just do it alone, despite the good performance of the team so far.

Barcelona have several strikers in their squad. But they are not experienced enough. Torres, Raphinha and Felix are each talented. But they cannot perform well on a consistent basis. Because of this, Barcelona still have to rely on Lewandowski's performance. I would say Felix, Torres and Raphinha should work harder.
I'm sure Real Madrid will buy the striker in the winter transfer window. They are waiting for Mbappe. In the last transfer window, we saw various rumours regarding Mbappe's transfer. Real Madrid will not waste money adding a player to the squad without an experienced striker. If Mbappe cannot be added to the squad in the winter transfer, I think the Madrid management will wait longer.
I admit that Barcelona actually does have a very talented striker like Lewandowski but unfortunately Barcelona does not just need a striker but needs truly talented midfielders and defenders to strengthen its line up and at the moment for me Barcelona is already very good with its current ranking. the coach is able to maximize his team performance with the strength of the existing players, whereas logically this team actually needs talented players in every line but does not do anything before its finances improve.

and for Real Madrid, lets abandon hopes of getting Mbappe and I am sure most of the people here know about Real Madrid clarification saying that there was no offer before the transfer window opened and if we realize this is actually a sign that Madrid is disappointed with Mbappe who previously rejected the offer from Madrid so this team may not be too focused on getting this player and we know that Real Madrid has other alternative strikers to bring in.
1786  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Are you in profit? on: November 19, 2023, 06:08:32 AM
there is no profit that you can get from gambling and this is a gambling business that profits the gambling owner who pays for the user losses with pleasure.

what I say is logical thinking and in fact that is gambling and I will never believe a gambler admits that he is a successful gambler unless he is a gambler who plays games that rely on skill such as poker which relies more on skill than luck and it all depends on how much his expertise in being able to get consecutive wins from the poker game and there are many examples of successful poker gamblers.

and the scenario I said would never believe in successful gamblers in gambling, especially slot games which are truly luck based as well as other games which have random numbers or depend on luck even in sports betting one still depends on luck because there are always surprises in every game.

I am sure from what I said some people will understand what I mean and I will answer "no"
1787  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: November 19, 2023, 05:56:25 AM
This depends on lots of factor. The management can't sack him without sense reasons. I think that manchester united is will waiting for the result from UCL. This is the key point owned by manchester united to sack him once ten hag will fail to bring MU to the last 16.
Manchester united is going to face galatasaray which is also one of strong team in the group.
It seems that we not only consider the results from the UCL but also the achievements in the EPL.
a team will not fire a coach without any reason and I agree with your opinion, but Man United management seems wiser because the UCL is a big competition that must be faced with players who are truly talented and have great readiness to be able to qualify for the round of 16. and if he fails, I dont think Ten Hag will be fired because up to now, MU management still has confidence in Ten Hag and if he fails in the UCL, Ten Hag will definitely be assigned to be able to bring his team to a better ranking in the EPL to be able to get a ticket UCL in the nextseason.
so I might slightly disagree about failure in the UCL which will fire Ten Hag but it will also be taken into consideration from Man United ranking position in the EPL standings and if they fail in the UCL and fail to get the best position in the standings there is certainly no hope for Ten Hag.
1788  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: November 19, 2023, 05:49:02 AM
It is going to be hard for Newcastle united for sure. But they do have a chance. They will obviously have to win all the matches they have left and they will also have to count on others to lose for them to actually qualify. And the teams they are going to be facing are also not easy opponents at all. So i believe they are probably not going to be able to qualify. But as long as there is still a chance i don't think we should reach a conclusion. After we see the match against PSG i think things are going to be more clear.
hope that PSG can still win. Moreover, they were quite superior in their first meeting. but this is playing at PSG's home ground, the situation might be a little different. but Newcastle may have a chance of winning with a narrow score.
When facing Milan, Newcastle also still has a chance. Their first meeting in Milan resulted in a draw. and playing at home, Newcastle certainly has a better chance of getting the win. although I'm sure all the teams are currently fighting hard to qualify.
when we talk about the teams in group F everyone will definitely say Dortmund, PSG, Milan and Newcastle and yes I admit they do have a chance to qualify but dont we have to think realistically that group F is one of the toughest groups in the UCL because the teams that fill this group are big teams and it is difficult to guess who will qualify, whereas in this group, if we look at it as a whole, no one has stable consistency, such as group G which has clarity about Man City and group E which has the Atletico Madrid team which more consistent.

but I really respect anyone opinion about their respective favorite teams and for myself to speculate in fact that for me Dortmund and PSG might be more worthy of qualifying for the next round even though Milan is also experienced in this competition but I am sure Newcastle is still not ready to qualify for the next round. In the next round, even though we have tried to appear consistent, it seems difficult to compete with Dortmund and PSG.

I am not saying Newcastle doesnt deserve to qualify, but its just that I look at the overall performance of the teams in Group F and I also consider looking at the performance of every player who has talent, like PSG has Mbappe who can make the best contribution.
1789  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Math and Gambling on: November 18, 2023, 10:08:01 PM
...
I myself do not understand poker very well, but I have played it, indeed some say that poker is also related to arithmetic in other words math. When I played poker I didn't think about it, I just played along with the game while understanding the flow of the poker game.  And over time I found out about the arrangement of cards to get victory, with the arrangement of cards that will determine the victory, and the cards held by us must also enter with the cards on the table to enter the highest card arrangement.
It is true that you say there is little chance of luck in poker because in my opinion it is also difficult to arrange the cards held with the cards on the table, and some say this one game is difficult to cheat. I also think that way, because with the card divider running the game it seems difficult, but I don't know if with expert poker players, maybe they know how to cheat this game hahaha.

I also don't understand how to play poker but what I know for sure, it's a game that's not easy, actually I'm quite curious about how he uses mathematical formulas when playing poker, does it work! However, poker is not a child's game, only smart people can master it and win it like the person in the OP. but I am very interested in OP's view that school is not important, surely all poker players who win big money have gone to school, it's just that their fate is different, at any time school will be the most important thing for mankind, without school it will be difficult for people gain knowledge.
I am not here to feel arrogant or pretend to be an experienced gambler, but the game of poker is very easy to learn and anyone can very easily make a profit in this poker game and its not just about mathematics but a lot of patience.
because this poker game really requires a lot of patience to process your cards, you can win every round, even with just one pair in your hand, you can win the game depending on how you process your cards.

I think you two should try to learn this poker game to fight other bettors because it is about patience and mathematics to try how much talent you have and I am sure you will enjoy it.

and dont forget to buy the jackpot in every round, who knows, you might get a royal flush.
1790  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Saudi Professional League 2023/2024 on: November 18, 2023, 04:47:51 PM
I think betting on Al Hilal is still safe even if we consider another team like Al Nassr in this league because we know Al Hilal was always best in the Saudi Arab and regardless of the bad start they had in this season, I think Al Hilal could get in the right place at first place of the table while Al Nassr can also have a good chance because of the more paly they have in this team like Ronaldo but I still bet on Al Hilal in this league.

I really appreciate predictions in everything you are thinking about right now, but to be honest, even though Al Hilal can win with any chance, I will choose to bet on double chance to avoid the risk of surprises happening because after all, surprises like ending in a draw can definitely happen because Al Nassr also a strong team in the SPL, while Al Hilal strategy is always to hold a draw if they cannot beat their opponent.
1791  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: French Soccer League Predictions and Discussion Thread (Ligue 1) on: November 18, 2023, 04:20:09 PM
I don't see Monaco being a serious threat to PSG and if PSG can lead by more than 2 goals, of course it will be over for Monaco and they will definitely have difficulty equalizing. So I think PSG will win by any score and this will be what they deserve to maintain their top position from week to week.
PSG no doubts looks very much better in their form now and recently they have recorded more wins consecutively, in their last five matches they have won all and lost none while on the contrary Monaco has lost one and draw one while winning the remaining three in the last five games.

PSG will be further facing Newcastle in the champions league, two day after they will be playing against Monaco of which both teams are beyond average and will definitely be tough on PSG so I think against PSG will really be finding it easy against Monaco because they will be trying to be careful to conserve some strength against Newcastle, most likely winning Monaco will be with a few margin because they would be trying to still stay  fit for the next match in two days which is against another tough team.
Two matches will be decisive in determining PSG's fate in the following week and they must win all of them. Both the Champions League and Ligue 1 are equally important for PSG and they must appear with a full squad to get maximum results. They must not be careless because defeat will only make their situation worse and it will be difficult to regain the place they have already won. On the other hand, I will wait for magic from Kylian Mbappe in the next two matches because he is still the key to victory for PSG in the previous few matches. An exciting match and it would be a shame if we missed the bet.
from my current assessment, this will actually make PSG worse when they have to focus on 2 competitions and there is nothing wrong with chasing both titles but you should look at their readiness and if they try to perform well in the UCL and in League 1 PSG can also get a better position. the best would be better, but if you focus on the UCL but the position in League 1 becomes worse, while in UCL PSG also unstable, it seems like they have to focus more on just 1 title rather than failing to win titles in these 2 competitions.

even if he still relies on Mbappe, we can see evidence that Mbappe has started to decline and is not as strong as last season.
1792  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: November 18, 2023, 02:55:32 PM
-snip

Judging from the current situation I think Bayern Munich will not become the league bundes champion this season, and indeed that is my desire from last season that we need the league bundes champion, because if Bayern Munich continues to win, this is like a league made for ourselves Alone, it's sad but a fact like that. Grin
Its predictable, even every season, maybe we always get bored of seeing this dominance and I remember, not only you and most of the people who are fans in the bundesliga currently want the dominance to be replaced to see a new history that is more interesting to watch and on the one hand, see Leverkusen performance and Munich current ambitions are very different.
I mean currently Leverkusen will focus on matches in the bundesliga and the european league which are not very strong for Leverkusen while Munich has to compete in the UCL which is a tougher task for Bayern Munich because the competition will be very tight if they qualify for the last 16 and this opportunity will Leverkusen continues to take advantage of it and continues to provide more points so that Munich cannot catch Leverkusen points and hopefully your wish will come true.
1793  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: November 18, 2023, 02:35:15 PM
It seems that not only Everton are being punished with points deductions, but I see rumors that Chelsea and Manchester City are also being threatened with this punishment, but we'll see if these rumors are true.

Source

This punishment will definitely make Everton devastated because they have to suffer the unfortunate fate that now the points they have been collecting have to be cut short due to the punishment they have to face and Everton have to fight again to secured their position in order to remain in the English league, hopefully Everton can get up and fight in the remaining matches they will face and catch up.

Do you really believe that any of the big clubs will be punished? Everton received a punishment for one incident, while City are charged with 115. If even half of the claims are proven to be true, then City should be stripped of all their titles for many years and sent to the Championship. But for some reason I think that City will not be punished even for one episode out of 115  Grin
or maybe because Man City is a big team with more money to escape this punishment? ah, my mind seems to be getting dirty. Roll Eyes
I fully support you, no matter how bad things have been done, Man City will not receive this punishment and it would be very funny if that could happen and Man City would be stripped of the title.

Its truly terrible to see Everton having to receive this punishment, even though if you investigate all the possibilities, its not just Everton, however, this is like drama that has happened to teams in other leagues.
1794  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: November 18, 2023, 12:11:36 PM
I'm of the same opinion with yours, Barcelona in their most recent form doesn't look like they would be able to make it to the top of the table soonest lest alone becoming the champions this season, they were much better earlier but since after the match against Real Madrid they seem to have dropped in their performance.

Real Madrid have continually showed some kind of consistency which has been maintained till this point that they are now no the top of the table and even looking very promising with the league title this season, they also have similar performance at the champions league and may want to contend to win the UCL aswell, Athletico Madrid is aswell do good with their performance and currently look better when compared to Barcelona.

Real Madrid are two points ahead of Barcelona, but they are not top of the table, as Girona is also two points ahead of them.
 At this stage, it is not worth saying that Real is significantly superior to Barcelona, because the teams are close and Barcelona can bypass Real in any round. But I agree that Real looks better on the field now, but as far as we are concerned, this is still not enough to translate this into results.
sometimes we say that we are superior, not only about the team position, but when someone says that Real Madrid is superior because in terms of the players they have, Real Madrid is far superior and also the talent of Madrid players is superior to Barcelon.
but I am not saying Barcelona is bad, its just that Barcelona only has players who were obtained from the transfer market for free, but Xavi as coach managed to bring Barcelona to good performance just with his players.

In this case, for me, both teams have their own advantages and if we talk about the current position, it still too early to say who the strongest.
1795  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: How close have you ever been to winning a big amount/jackpot? on: November 18, 2023, 11:55:49 AM
TBH, I rarely bet on the lottery, almost never because I dont have the patience to analyze every number that I have to randomize.
but seeing your achievements but failing just because of 1 wrong number has become a normal thing, even in sports betting, many people often fail to get big wins when the odds are more than @100, they fail because of 1 lost match and you dont need to be sad about this incident and make it a valuable experience for you to be more careful in choosing the numbers you want to buy and after this incident my advice is that you dont focus too much on getting revenge on chasing big multipliers because I am afraid you will lose control because you failed to get that big multiplier.

btw I remember previously you had a thread about you winning on the site you mentioned.
1796  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Can a mega winner say no to public presentation? on: November 18, 2023, 09:02:11 AM
your question reminded me there was another user on this forum who had made almost the same thread about big wins and about publications.
as I remember, when the bettor was offered to publish in the media about his big win, he was willing to publish it, but on the condition that he wanted to use a clown mask or something that covered his face to avoid his family or children watching TV or avoid crimes that would threaten his life after winning the big win.
that all I remember but I am sure some other users here still remember it, maybe it will be explained by other users.

and from my personal opinion, it actually all depends on the policy of the platform, if it requires publication, it may be forced to do so, but such regulations should not exist on gambling platforms because anonymity is very important and it should be if a bettor wins big and refuses to publish it. gambling parties must respect it.
1797  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: What I learnt from a crackhead about gambling on: November 18, 2023, 08:05:38 AM
IMO, drug addiction and gambling addiction are the same, just different concepts.
gambling addicts have the same bleak future as drug addicts, only the risk is that they will continue to be poor, lose all their money and try other ways of following their passions, such as stealing, etc., which will end up in prison.
meanwhile, drug addicts have almost the same risk, only it does not involve the money they have or it does not involve the money they own, but the risk of addiction which has a bad impact on internal organs which will be damaged if they continue to consume drugs and will definitely experience problems or can be said to die slowly.

and after I understand several times what you wrote you only think about the level of quitting between gambling addiction and drug addiction and I see you think that it is easier for drug addicts to recover from their addiction while it is difficult for gambling addicts to quit their addiction.

remember, any addiction can be cured as long as the person with the addiction has a strong desire. this does not mean that gambling addiction is difficult to cure. It depends on the person desire to live a healthier life without addiction.

there are several people I know closely who have just recovered from gambling addiction and drug addiction, both of whom are currently living healthy lives without addiction and this is all thanks to their desire to really stop addiction.
1798  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: What I've learned so far as a gambler on: November 18, 2023, 07:14:32 AM
If you walk into a casino with $200 and you start playing with that $200 and you win $200, get the hell out, you simply just doubled your money, take your goddamn leave, what do you think you wanna do? Win a million dollars? You will go home empty handed.
you are telling the truth to gamblers who bet for money. I mean betting with the aim of making a profit of course they will gamble and after getting a win they will find it very difficult to stop because the thought "I can win again" is always a terrible mystery for gamblers like greed which can ignore self control even greed like this can destroy healthy mindset.

Quote
No one actually visits the casino to have fun, you gotta trick the mind, I like to think of it has a fun night out and I am going to spend a few hundred dollars and have a good time and if I win it's a bonus, like I've said, you gotta trick the mind.
dont misunderstand the meaning of some of the words you say because there are most people who gamble just to have fun. In fact, I also think of this as just a place to entertain myself like playing video games and I am not a hypocrite that when we are playing video games it impossible. we want to lose continuously, of course we also want to win and its the same as gambling.

Quote
Always remember this, you are there to win a game where its statistically impossible to win at, it's not impossible to not understand this about gambling, a wise man once said, "if you want to make money with gambling, own a casino".
makes perfect sense. but unfortunately not all bettors gamble only for money.
as we know logically, big gamblers who are able to bet hundreds of dollars or even millions of dollars may be a whale and they could have set up their own gambling business but they choose to gamble. this is what I mean by gambling just for fun.
1799  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Math and Gambling on: November 18, 2023, 06:14:06 AM
I have known for a long time that the game of poker is a card game that is really purely based on the mathematical knowledge that we have.
I mean poker is a casino game that really relies on your skills to be able to beat other gamblers in various ways and more precisely, how good your knowledge of mathematics is, it will definitely be very useful because if we are smarter at calculating we can definitely be a little smarter at processing cards that we hold to be able to win in every betting session.

so since the beginning of time, poker has always been a mainstay game for gamblers to make a profit or to earn money with the skills they have, even though there is a little luck involved, the percentage is very small and what is more important is just skill.
1800  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: November 18, 2023, 05:11:53 AM
If we talk about the Tottenham squad, as I often said in previous posts. I said, gradually this team will be shifted from the top of the standings. That doesn't mean I underestimate Spurs. However, there are many things that I can conclude based on analysis and research. although in reality, the probability that I have does not determine any truth. but in the end, the Spurs experienced two consecutive defeats. in the first defeat, it was very unpleasant for Ange Postecoglou as the coach of this team.
In this thread, I will not discuss Kane. after all, he had chosen to leave with Bayern Munich.

Well, for another point, it seems like the idea you are saying is quite reasonable, if Postecoglou needs to bring in several newcomers. unfortunately, we know very well how Levy is. He is known as a president who is stingy in bringing in new players, especially those targeted by the coach at quite high prices. But we'll see in January what the coach and Spurs club management will do. For other points, more precisely, only two teams are quite ready, namely City and Arsenal. for Liverpool, at least they will finish in the top four of the Premier League. However, it would be better if we just enjoy every match that this League presents. Regarding which team is consistent and wins trophies, let time tell.
we all will never know what will happen even though Spurs have lost in the last few matches and really need new players. that could happen, even if you say that management looks stingy, but when you see Spurs achievements in almost dominating the EPL, Spurs management will have no doubts spending money to improve this team even though we all still doubt it and even I myself doubt this team but seeing this team recover to become a challenger to Man City is very interesting because it is not boring.

and regarding the players who will be brought in, I have not confirmed with several media, but I will wait for further news here.
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