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181  Economy / Securities / Re: ASICMINER: Entering the Future of ASIC Mining by Inventing It on: April 27, 2013, 06:48:46 PM
Splits are done to bring liquidity to a stock.

Take one look at BTCT.CO , do you really think a split will bring liquidity to this one stock? No, it won't.

It will be just as illiquid and harder to fill an order at a particular price because you will have more shares.

signed: the voice of reason.

Agreed.

Splits are also because of reasons of psychology. History shows that smaller investors view stocks under $10 as being 'weak' and stocks over $100 as being 'overpriced', hence why firms historically have split or consolidated shares to stay in that range.



Honestly, I'm against a split for now.  Friedcat & co are beyond busy with deployment, sales, and USB-stick development.  They do not and should not have time to worry about this stuff.  I'm also against a split because I like Berkshire's philosophies and do not like weak-hand investors.

That said, it would be trivially easy for someone to set up a split-passthrough.  They could split 1/100 and have 100 of their shares be worth 1 AM share, and divide the dividends accordingly.  They could even make it possible to convert 100 of their shares to 1 AM-PT share on either bitfunder or btct.co.  Better yet, if they charge a reasonably small fee(0.5% or less), it would be profitable for them.

So someone should read this message and go set it up right now.
182  Economy / Securities / Re: ASICMINER: Entering the Future of ASIC Mining by Inventing It on: April 27, 2013, 06:34:26 PM

For those scanning but not clicking links- New auction up, 50 blades this time for a total of 0.5TH/s.

48 hour auction.

Get ready for a wild ride.
183  Economy / Securities / Re: ASICMINER: Entering the Future of ASIC Mining by Inventing It on: April 27, 2013, 06:26:18 PM
The 15TH/s is just the following one week's schedule.

Some of the rest hashpower will be sold, some of them will be deployed in the weeks following the next week. The larger portion of them will still be deployed by ourselves.

Since we already had 7.5 TH/s deployed, it seems like you are deploying 7.5 TH/s this week.  Is that the weekly goal for deployment, 7.5 TH/s?  Or do you plan more for next week?

Friedcat & co own more of AM than all of us put together.  They have all the motivation in the world to deploy as fast as is safely possible.  You and everyone else here armchair-speculating about their activities and second-guessing the roadblocks and speed they have helps NO ONE.

It is pretty obvious that Friedcat believes that 7.5 TH/s is a reasonable estimate for the fastest they can possibly deploy.  If he could go faster, do you not think that he would?  7.5 TH/s is *750* hashing boards that have to be mounted, powered up, firmware-flashed, pointed to the pool and debugged.  If the racks aren't fully in place, that's ~37 racks that have to be built.  And that isn't even talking about cooling.  At least one in 100 is going to have a short that requires diagnostics.  "Plan for more next week?"  lol.  Give him a fucking break.  I highly doubt any of them plan to do anything except 15 hour days 7 days a week for the next MONTH.  Honestly I'd rather them slow it down a little bit as needed because tired people make mistakes, and mistakes could cost thousands.

As far as the other people asking what happened to the other ~5.8 TH/s from the original 12, they ran into power issues.  Powering 750 hashing boards is no easy feat.  They had timed the expansion of their power capacity with the delivery of the next 50 TH/s, rather perfectly I might add.  So now they both have more power and they have the 50TH/s.  So theoretically they can bring online 55.7 TH/s now, although we are selling so it won't be quite that much.

/rant
184  Economy / Securities / Re: ASICMINER: Entering the Future of ASIC Mining by Inventing It on: April 27, 2013, 03:00:18 AM
http://asicminer.co - stay upto date.

I'm sure this is not official.  That said, it is a great resource to aggregate this monster thread.
185  Economy / Securities / Re: ASICMINER: Entering the Future of ASIC Mining by Inventing It on: April 26, 2013, 07:28:25 PM
I can't imagine how an auction for 300 of these will work.  Sounds like someone needs to create a website to manage the auction.

Why? Hundreds items have been sold here before in a single auction. I'm guessing someone like John K would be appointed to keep track, and you bid on how many you want at what price.

.b

That is a *lot* of work for John.  He volunteers his time to do this.  Managing an auction of 10 items is much easier than an auction of 300 items.

And worse, it doesn't scale.  We are potentially going to want to sell thousands of Honeybees miners.  It is very easy for a website/database to keep track of bids, and even potentially to unwind bids in the case of non-payment, as was a concern in the last process.
186  Economy / Securities / Re: ASICMINER: Entering the Future of ASIC Mining by Inventing It on: April 26, 2013, 06:40:45 PM
Just that i got it right, the plan is to get 15TH till the end of next week on BTCguild?

and later 50th and more..?
Yes. And auction off USB miners in 5 days, with more auctions to come.

Note, I don't think 5 days is an auction- I think 5 days is the completion of some sample boards that will be used for internal testing.  After internal testing checks out(I would guess 1.5 weeks) I think they will be producing and then auctioning 300 of them.

I can't imagine how an auction for 300 of these will work.  Sounds like someone needs to create a website to manage the auction.
187  Economy / Securities / Re: ASICMINER: Entering the Future of ASIC Mining by Inventing It on: April 26, 2013, 07:14:02 AM
My statement wasn't a value judgement on the choice to pay more per Ghps than a device is likely to earn, just that this seemed to be happening - and not just with Blade customers either. I'm certainly not saying that the decision to buy was stupid, just that the choice was apparently not motivated by profit.

Either that, or they have different assumptions about the likely future income of such a device than you or I or others do.  

Although I agree with other sentiments - if a device is deemed to be worth more to asicminer as a miner rather than as a sale unit, then we should mine with it.  However that assumes we have the ability to deploy all our units - and given that that's not the case, as I understand it, selling them seems wise from a shareholder's perspective.


If ASICMiner only adds 100Ghps to the network over say the next 100 days and the network hashrate remains the same forever after, a Blade would take ~550 days to pay for itself, assuming constant uptime. So the Blade is worth far more as a sale unit than a mining unit, if people are willing to spend more than the device is likely to earn over a lifetime.



Not sure how you got that.  Using those numbers I get that a Blade pays for itself in 148 days.  Obviously unrealistic since everyone knows that more TH is going to come online everywhere.

The problem also comes down to scale.  If AM could sell all of its chips at 71 BTC/blade, every single blade, that would be pretty cool.  But you're not going to be able to find a buyer that will drop 450,000 BTC to buy AM hardware.  Or even 1000 buyers at 450 BTC each- Not a lot of them will pay 71 BTC/blade.  We could, however, be able to mine with as much as we want.

I think we should sell a moderate percentage of the units as long as buying prices remain higher than some value that Friedcat & co(or perhaps the board) will need to calculate that represents what we can get from the blade ourselves, minus the opportunity cost of not having the cash on hand immediately.  There is definitely a formula that can be worked out to maximize profit here.
188  Economy / Securities / Re: Poll: twenty-five percent of all donations to nastyfans are sent to NASTY MINING on: April 25, 2013, 04:42:43 PM
I propose a poll to change policy to state that "any members that do not vote within thirty days will automatically vote for the 'abstain' choice."

I will start a poll for this.


I also believe that a majority of seat owners wish to have 25% of donations set aside for future expansion.  For that reason I would like to ask nonnakip to change my 'abstain' votes on the current poll to 'yes' votes.  I believe this is what the majority wants, and I'd like to do what I can to force this through with the current policy while we resolve the abstaining vote issue.  If there are objections to my voting to pass this poll, please make them known.  I'm a reasonable person and only want to do what is right given the circumstances.

I am sad that 1353 seats did not vote. There is also no members that select new abstain choice in settings. It is obvious to me that 20% of nastyfans do not care about nastyfans or NASTY MINING.

For the nastyfans that voted it was 87% that wanted 25% donations for NASTY MINING. But I will not change the OgNasty votes. I will start a new 25% donations poll. If OgNasty votes then we will have a 75% majority very quickly and can begin the 25% donations.

Honestly an 80% voting ratio is actually a pretty amazingly high ratio.  In most companies the vast majority of shareholders do not vote, even large shareholders.  I would recommend contacting those who did not vote in the last poll and asking them to select "abstain from polls" if they do not intend to vote.  (Or making a poll to make that the new default for people who have never voted, and for people who haven't voted in the last ~7 polls...)
189  Economy / Securities / Re: ASICMINER: Entering the Future of ASIC Mining by Inventing It on: April 24, 2013, 09:22:56 PM
Where are you seeing divs? I haven't received any on BTCT. What was the div-ex date?


We're seeing the div's on the "Privately" owned shares (the ones outside of the passthrough... couldn't think of the correct term). When there are 6 confirmations && the PT owner is free/online they send the dividends through to the users. BTCT is usually same day, and BitFunder takes 0-2 days IIRC.

Thanks!

Any benefits to holding your shares privately?

How do we know the "cutoff" - from when you must have shares, privately or in BTCT, to get paid the Div?
An Ex Div time, effectively?


Benefit of holding shares privately... in my opinion:
- Faster dividends (no passthrough delay)
- No chance of the PT owner running away (the PT owners are trustworthy based on my readings and experience with them)
- No chance of the exchange bugging out/getting hacked (I'm not a security person, so I don't even know how/if this would work or is an issue)
- I get Satoshi's to get me F5'ing this thread like crazy... or is this a con?

No idea about cutoff, you'd have to ask Friedcat about that. The satoshi's are paid out at around 8-9am PST Wednesdays. You have to have the share by that point in order to receive the dividend.

Oh, the satoshi's are used to let you know how many shares you have on that address.

The cutoff will be "has the dividend been paid yet?"  If not, cutoff has not been passed.  These exchanges and runners are not advanced enough to do ex-dividend date or any such stuff(And they probably shouldn't, as this won't become a big deal for awhile).
190  Economy / Auctions / Re: ASICMINER Auction: 10 Block Erupter Blades -ended- on: April 24, 2013, 04:48:36 AM
Friedcat,

What about those who were promised free sample boards?



TBH, if they do send out sample boards, they should only be sent out many months from now when the price/board is not 70btc.  You don't just give someone something worth $10,000, shareholder(or board member) or not.
191  Economy / Auctions / Re: ASICMINER Auction: 10 Block Erupter Blades on: April 18, 2013, 01:51:50 AM
1@70
How serious should we take an offer from a forum member with no reputation?

Does it matter? If they don't pay, there are plenty of fall back bids.

Its a problem. Think about it. Price at 60BTC. The bidder that wants to win bids 10@61BTC. Then he goes in with a fake account and bids 10@210. He knows that he wont pay the higher bid so that he will get all miners for 61BTC. Effectively forcing out all other bidders because they cant bid anymore. Theres no protection yet except reputation or something. But i think many users here on the forum have many different forum accounts. And are they only created for getting the ripple giveaway.

I think requiring a deposit from unknown members(to John) to show that they mean business is a good idea.
192  Economy / Securities / Re: ASICMINER: Entering the Future of ASIC Mining by Inventing It on: April 17, 2013, 06:29:13 AM
By the time my Weexchange account gets funded, the price will be the same as btc-tc. I'm not even gonna bother.

Not that I like weexchange, but I was able to fund it and buy within 1.5 hours.
193  Economy / Securities / Re: ASICMINER: Entering the Future of ASIC Mining by Inventing It on: April 17, 2013, 04:23:42 AM
1 BTC/share Grin

Secret rocket is taking off!

Hm, strange that bitfunder has both a lot more depth and is at a much lower price, yet the price rises on btct.co
194  Economy / Auctions / Re: ASICMINER Auction: 10 Block Erupter Blades on: April 17, 2013, 12:05:02 AM
Here's a thought: Would you accomodate UK shipping? I wouldn't mind paying extra.

I believe that these will be shipped anywhere worldwide(but will be subject to customs delays... Not sure what can be done about that).
195  Economy / Securities / Re: ASICMINER: Entering the Future of ASIC Mining by Inventing It on: April 16, 2013, 10:20:29 PM
(and presumably the auction price will become the "normal" price).

The auction price will not become the normal price.  Auctioners are paying for the first-mover advantage of immediate shipping.
196  Economy / Auctions / Re: ASICMINER Auction: 10 Block Erupter Blades on: April 16, 2013, 09:29:51 PM
they are available for immediatly shipping after the auction ends? thanks!

I ASSUME that is the case.  Anything less would be unacceptable.   Friedcat please confirm shipping time asap.  Thanks much.

The Asicminer updates from Friedcat indicate that these ship immediately.  I'm sure he will confirm again here.
197  Economy / Securities / Re: [NastyFans.org] NASTY MINING on: April 16, 2013, 09:28:36 PM
Asicminer has released specs and their first auction.... these ship immediately.

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=178275.0

Might be profitable for Nasty given the delays of BFL and Avalon?
198  Economy / Securities / Re: ASICMINER: Entering the Future of ASIC Mining by Inventing It on: April 15, 2013, 12:46:59 AM
Why does everyone say "Auction!!!" Anyway?

Give us a set price, Quantity available and let us buy the crap out of them?Huh

Because we are shareholders, and for shareholders, auction is better.
199  Economy / Securities / Re: [NastyFans.org] NASTY MINING on: April 12, 2013, 11:49:46 PM
My "theoretical total value" went from $5,XXX to $2,XXX USD but for some reason I feel alot better about it.  Must have been my guilty conscience knowing that big number was an untenable deception.

Can't be that untenable... we're already rising again at $111.  This could be really, really big.
200  Economy / Securities / Re: ASICMINER: Entering the Future of ASIC Mining by Inventing It on: April 12, 2013, 11:48:54 PM
as someone currently mining with just over 300 mhash in video cards (well, a video card...) and WAY too broke to buy an avalon or more AM shares (i have 1 though!) i had been afraid my only option would be a bfl jalapeno. this could change everything.

does anyone have a realistic guess to price? i know bfl is advertising a jalapeno for 275 for 5 ghash... if my math is right (don't count on it!) thats about 5 cents per mhash. that would leave this at 16.50 USD for 300 mhash... is that even remotely possible? i honestly don't know.

note i'm not saying it SHOULD cost that much. i'm asking if it COULD.

The difference between Asicminer and BFL is that Asicminer will only sell units that are ready to ship, and ship them immediately.  The price will be much much higher, but you know the hashrate will be reasonable by the time you receive your product.
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