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181  Economy / Speculation / Re: We are on our way to 3.5-3.7! on: October 14, 2011, 08:07:16 AM
Happened to see a house for sale in Salt Lake City for bitcoins:
https://joindiaspora.com/posts/573699

Poking around, saw two more properties for sale, in the past year: one in Brazil, the other in Buenos Aires:
https://bitcointalk.org/?topic=1617.25%3bwap2

The Salt Lake place looks like owner financing, so you'd only have to put up about 1000 bitcoins to buy the place. The "unrealistic" and "highly improbable" is now looking more like "quite likely" over the next few years.  I really don't see how you could be any more wrong, repeating over and over that it's not possible, even as your objections have been shot down one by one by one, yet you still cling to your belief.  Do you ever change your mind based on evidence?

Yes, nice work old_engineer, you've dug up the same listings I've seen. Property for sale, not sold. Still having trouble reading, yeah? This time it's a grammar problem. Check this out.
182  Economy / Speculation / Re: Timeframe for new highs on: October 14, 2011, 03:59:53 AM
Let's see if I'm right about another 20%+ haircut coming by Thanksgiving.

You're optimistic.

+1
183  Economy / Speculation / Re: Buy on the Way Up or on the Way Down on: October 13, 2011, 10:48:54 PM
I like to buy high and sell low, mostly.
Huh

I was just saying that it's good to buy and sell to make a profit, usually against the popular direction. Because when you're not following the masses, you can profit. Usually about 10%, or $2 if you're investing light.

Call me strange, maybe I just like being the outsider. *shrugs*

Yeah, I like being the outsider, too. "Buck the trend," if you will.  
184  Economy / Speculation / Re: Timeframe for new highs on: October 13, 2011, 06:55:06 PM
the jump in June was minimally caused by new adopters.
...
I have no evidence either way
Well, I have - the number of forum users nearly doubled in June.
Please come back if you have evidence to support your wild speculations.

Nice, you should tell everyone who has no evidence to quit posting. You'll find 3 people left.

Maybe you should come back when you don't have any evidence? This is the speculation subforum. Thanks.
185  Economy / Speculation / Re: Buy on the Way Up or on the Way Down on: October 13, 2011, 02:39:54 PM
I like to buy high and sell low, mostly. Because if it goes up higher or goes lower than when I last bought or sold, I can make a profit. It's a pretty good plan.
186  Economy / Speculation / Re: We are on our way to 3.5-3.7! on: October 12, 2011, 07:38:24 AM
Have any more face-saving clarification attempts?

If I were an early adopter with 50k bitcoins sitting around, and a friend of mine wanted to buy bitcoins and also had an investment property he/she wanted to sell, I could see a bitcoin-denominating transaction happening.  Probable?  No.  Possible?  Yes.

Yep! It has never been a requirement, only a very intelligent thing to do to prevent scams. Just sayin'. If you were an early adopter with 50k bitcoins sitting around, and a friend of yours wanted to buy bitcoins and also had an investment property he/she wanted to sell, I could see you transacting stupidly with bitcoin, with no insurance. Probable? I would have said no until now.

The point, lest you've missed it this entire time, is it's stupid. So stupid that it's a pointless argument. Just...stupid. Feel free to tell me why it's not, though.

We were talking about ways to buy a house with bitcoins. You said there was a lot of red tape that wouldn't play well with bitcoin. I suggested a way around the red tape. You called names.


I was talking about how stupid it would be to buy a house with bitcoins. You told me how you could do it with dollars. Then I called you stupid. I mean, it's pretty damn stupid. You know, like, not intelligent to suggest using dollars, and ignore how unreasonable such a transaction would be.

Seriously, quit trying to save face when someone comes along to tell you exactly why your idiotic idealism doesn't hold up to reality. I trust you're not stupid people, just obsessed with unrealistic possibility. Like I said before, I'm taken aback at how upsetting it is to hear people constantly look for that one little, highly improbable reason to keep beating this dead horse. You sound like cultists.
187  Economy / Speculation / Re: We are on our way to 3.5-3.7! on: October 11, 2011, 10:59:53 PM
Aaaand it looks like insurance isn't your specialty, either. Mortgage insurance, and all the formalities around MI, are only required in the US if you pay less than 20% of the principle as a down payment.  And of course, a mortgage is only required if you can't buy a house free-and-clear, and require a bank to own the property for you. The OP said nothing about getting a mortgage, just that 40k btc was paid for a house.

Whelp, you caught me in another typo, which you might have been able to fully realize had you known anything about house-buying in the first place. I was actually talking about title insurance. You know, that insurance you purchase no matter how you pay for your house? Yeah, the same insurance that prevents bankruptcy trustees (the seller, perhaps?) from seeking a court order to void the sale because it was paid in "worthless internet scam dollars."

No title insurer would ever insure a house paid in BTC right now.

I apologize for the confusion. Now stop being a contrarian and accept that you're an idiot. BTC, now, is not going anywhere close to that level of transaction. It won't be here in 10 years, and you are a libertarian.
188  Economy / Speculation / Re: Timeframe for new highs on: October 11, 2011, 07:58:41 PM
You know one idea I haven't seen anywhere on these forums? That the jump in June was minimally caused by new adopters. Instead, it was the existing community deciding to spend more and hoard more above and beyond the introduction of new miners (old miners expanding?), based on the wrongful perception that news = new.

I have no evidence either way, but it sure wouldn't surprise me (and it would be hilarious) if you all were just fondling each others' jewels this whole time.
189  Economy / Speculation / Re: We are on our way to 3.5-3.7! on: October 11, 2011, 07:08:35 PM
Show your appreciation by donating.  :-D

I would, if I owned any BTC! Cheesy
190  Economy / Speculation / Re: We are on our way to 3.5-3.7! on: October 11, 2011, 06:38:07 PM
People here do stuff on more than faith and banal pedestals.  I have personally witnessed some very sparkly pedestals.

This is probably the best quote I've seen on the forums.
191  Economy / Marketplace / Re: Bitcoinica - Advanced Bitcoin Trading Platform on: October 11, 2011, 06:24:15 PM
No problem. I'm excited about the next release and i'm glad to say i've never had a forced liquidation as I always watch my positions and the market trend like a hawk.

I had a forced liquidation early in the life of this website,  but it was my own fault..  I tried to purchase on margin and withdraw some ammount then open a second account to try and 'double' my btcs....  needless to say it did not work .. 

Hey, I called foul when it was my own ignorance in basic Forex trading. Silly me. Still, good learning experience, and Z is a patient man, which I appreciate.
192  Economy / Speculation / Re: We are on our way to 3.5-3.7! on: October 11, 2011, 06:22:43 PM
Oh, it looks like the pointless inflammatory BitMagic has graced us with his presence again, and he still doesn't know what he's talking about.

Case in point: "You pay even more fees to buy 40k BTC (close to $12,000, not including inflation/deflation losses)." What sort of an idiot would use an exchange where they pay 7.5% ($12k/$160k at $4/btc) to exchange bitcoins?  And even if he meant 0.75%, he's still way off: Mt. Gox drops the percentage to 0.2% at those volumes, so the fee would actually be $320.  Also, there's #bitcoin_otc, where trades of arbitrary size can be done without any exchange fee whatsoever - obviously he's a n00b that doesn't know that exchanges are relatively new to bitcoin. Of course, the web of trust might not be extended to someone with his complete lack of social skills - I certainly wouldn't trade with anyone that acted like him.

Welcome back, old_engineer! I know you just love it when I have something to say that makes you look stupid. Indeed, I dropped a decimal (40k BTC * $5 = $200,000 * 0.6% = $1,200). Fortunately for me, your omissions make me look even better. Fuck fees, obviously. You wouldn't have anything to say about the truth of the matter, because you'd rather poke at arithmetic mistakes than face the reality: insurance.

I certainly do know that exchanges are relatively new to bitcoin, but don't expect anybody but an idiot to be holding 40k coins after the last 3 months, nor idiotic enough to buy a piece of property with it in the first place. Lol, insert early adopters / the manipulator / globalist conspiracy here.

I promise you, old_engineer, I wouldn't accept your bitcoins even as a tip; because I know better than to own a failing commodity. 

I think the entire idea is preposterous at this point. I just wanted to point out that with some extra steps involved, people could make it work.

Riiiiiiiight, we were arguing that if you didn't use bitcoins, it would be possible to buy a house with bitcoins.  Roll Eyes Don't play dumb, you know what we were discussing: a property sale in bitcoins, and why it could never happen. Also we were arguing about you saying that the existence of taxes deny private ownership, which you ignored for good reason. It's lolbertarian garbage along the lines of constitutionalist arguments I have lovingly debunked.

As a relatively new follower of the BTC fiasco (jumped in June, but kept my life plan out of it), I can say without a doubt that it has been plagued from the start by ideologues like you and old_engineer, pumping your fists screaming up uP UP, while nodding sagely at all the anti-speculation chatter, and patting each other the back for a job well done as your investments and libertarian dreams circle the drain. I love a good experiment, even a failing one, which is why I'm really here. I guess I just underestimated the degree to which you would deny obvious criticisms on nothing but faith and banal pedestals.

I was referring to the names I see on this board. You are right, no significant new money has been infused into Bitcoin to offset the flood of mined coins being cashed out constantly. But lets be honest, everyone here knows that Bitcoin as a speculative tool was doomed. The only folks I imagine left here are those who fueled by some ideological imperative (Evorhees, for example) and those who just want to see the final Chapter in the drama, before Bitcoin returns to the obscure crypto-geek toy it was back in May.

Here you are, ladies and gentlemen. One more voice of reason for the doomed hopeful.
193  Economy / Speculation / Re: Dead cat bounce on: October 11, 2011, 01:55:37 AM
LOL BURN, XD

i no, rite? XD XD XD XD XD
194  Economy / Speculation / Re: We are on our way to 3.5-3.7! on: October 10, 2011, 05:38:41 PM
Sell the house for cash. Seller then buys Bitcoins from the buyer for same amount of cash. 

Those laws that protect people also prevent. Every extra step required adds additional cost. It may be the difference between buying and renting for many.

Of course, if you are talking about the US, you don't really own your property anyway. Try not paying your property tax and see what happens. The real owners show up and remove you from their property. Now that's a real knee slapper! It's especially funny when it happens to senior citizens who have lived in the same place for over 50 years!

HAW! Hilarious that those silly old people, who are paying their mortgage with social security so they have a roof in the first place, must be getting shirked by the government! HAW!

I am tearing my hair out at the sheer idiocy of your post.

1) You buy a house, you insure the transaction. Cash, card, loan from a bank, a signed Mario Lopez self portrait; it doesn't matter how you pay.

2) You insure/use a bank for a mortgage, you pay fees. You pay even more fees to buy 40k BTC (close to $12,000, not including inflation/deflation losses).

3) Good luck trying to deposit $500,000 in cash to your local bank without the Feds taking an interest.

I've got a nice link for you retarded US libertarian fools in the general area of tax evasion. I hope you all get arrested trying some of these.

Frivolous tax arguments debunked by the IRS.
195  Economy / Speculation / Re: We are on our way to 3.5-3.7! on: October 10, 2011, 06:32:15 AM
This reminds me... just a couple of weeks ago somebody allegedly bought a house for 40k btc or something. 

Yeah, not likely. Big problems with mortgage insurance. You need someone to insure the purchase, and I can't see a single insurer ever considering using BTC as a valid transaction. If the seller declared bankruptcy, all of their assets, including real estate sold in the last 3 months is examined. All a buyer needs to do is claim it a "worthless internet currency" and the courts would revert any purchase in a second. That discounts any tax-related avoidance issues with the county clerk of courts (who would refuse the deed where no taxes are paid), and a resulting void purchase.

You couldn't possibly mortgage the property without legitimate insurance, and no insurer in their right mind would insure a BTC purchase like that.

Sorry to burst your libertairan bubble land, folks. Property (and likely cars), are not a gentlemen's agreement.

You know what's funniest about this? Those laws protect buyers from ridiculous scam artists that have been operating for decades in USD. The kind that are fleecing BTC users on a weekly basis. Free market, indeed.
196  Economy / Speculation / Re: We are on our way to 3.5-3.7! on: October 08, 2011, 10:34:01 AM
The interesting thing for me is, who exactly is doing the mass selling?  Are newly 'mined' bitcoins being dumped?  Are people who bought into the bubble and started catching falling knives in June/July/August cutting their losses?  Or are we seeing early adopters who maybe bought bitcoins at 10c each thinking 'well, if I don't cash in my 10,000 bitcoins now they'll be worth $1 each by the end of the year'?

I don't buy the bitcoin bull excuse that only stolen bitcoins are driving down the market.  The market has been falling since June, so unless we're seeing mass theft every couple of weeks one would think we're fresh out of stolen bitcoins to monetize.

Since every bitcoin transfer can be traced, I wonder if someone has genuine statistics on who (as a early/mid/late adopter group) sold on the way from $20 to $10, and $10 to $5.

Miners may be selling immediately as opposed to holding. Also holders from the June spike deciding to sell late. So does all of Bitcoinica's hedging to balance a strong aggregate short position. Haven't even touched big holders or early adopters.

The balance is between sellers/buyers, of course, but more importantly, sellers who sell to buyers who must buy at any price (merchants or anyone selling goods/services in BTC). This imbalanced demand is where your price drop comes from.
197  Economy / Speculation / Re: Dead Cat Bounce ??!! on: October 08, 2011, 10:27:25 AM
I'm not sure I have seen any existence yet of 1, let alone running. 3 is a strawman used by fearmongers, like criminals have never used cash lol. 2 will take time, Rome wasn't built in a day. 4 is only important for developers =p. 5 is 34 million USD strong.

1) imsaguy's chart above should tell you that the public peak was months ago. Google trends, meme behavior, etc.: BTC will not catch on without the general public enjoying BTC like they do USD/EUR. 3) I'm saying that if the RUB is 3rd to USD and EUR in BTC exchange transaction volume, BTC has a lot to offer in anonymity, black market, and laundering. 2) is not about time, it's about adoption. I'm involved with exchanges, and if you think security isn't an issue for the non-public like me (my bank, CC, all my financial life has enormous protections in current law), I'm including my risk of major exchanges getting hacked/stealing my BTC. Sorry, but if you read these forums regularly, security should worry you. You and the rest of the forum posters are 4): blind hope on the future of BTC based on failed libertarian principles. 5) keeps you going only on swings, whether its $25-$30 or $1-$1.01. Activity != viability.

Let's give it some context, shall we?  Here's a year chart.. not so much "dead" as it is "correcting".

Yes! Thanks for the chart. Maybe my parity correction is wrong, but I sincerely believe the true value of bitcoin is represented in my previous post. There is no up from where we are.

Have you looked at NMC once mining power fled?  TL;DR - about 5 months for difficulty to adjust down to match the current number of miners.  We ran NMC difficulty to 100k in about 3 days of profitable mining, and the remaining chumps are going to be slogging along for nearly half a year of mining at a loss to make up for it.  They'll be done around February with some luck.

Any number of people could do a 51% attack on namecoin right now, this very minute.

Even if 10% of the current miners have free electricity it won't rescue bitcoin if prices go sufficiently lower than cost to generate at 1.5M difficulty for the remaining 90%.   They're not going to buy bitcoin because it's cheaper to buy than mine, most will shut down and/or sell their rigs and forget about the whole thing.  $1.25 and you can stick a fork in it.  At $4.11 the pyramid is already wobbling pretty hard.

All of this.
198  Economy / Speculation / Re: Dead Cat Bounce ??!! on: October 08, 2011, 12:02:16 AM
BTC is tanking. Has been since June, no reason to think it's going to change. Ignore what you want, doesn't make you right.

Define tanking. Where is the bottom?

Honestly? Parity. Maybe just above. Seriously, the existence of BTC as a useful currency depends on the following, in order from most important to least:

1) General Public interest and usage
2) Stable, safe, transparent exchanges
3) Black market usage
4) Belief in ideology
5) Speculation

1) has run, probably because of 2, 5, and just that it's not convenient enough. For them, the fad is over until Amazon, their credit cards, and actual banks bother to think about BTC.

3) will cut and run as soon as 2) is established.
The groupies at 4) are tiny. TINY.

These are your fundamentals, and the last 3 months are a perfect example of where everything is headed: 1) is gone, 2) never existed, so you're left with 3) and 4), while 5) will bail as soon as there's nothing left.

I didn't even get to the part about what most miners will do when it gets more expensive to mine than not.
199  Economy / Speculation / Re: We are on our way to 3.5-3.7! on: October 07, 2011, 11:37:37 PM
If $4.x was a buying zone before, $3.x is on another level entirely, it's buy like crazy zone. And I do plan on doing just that if I can get money in while the price stays or visits the $3.x area.

People said this all the way down. All you need is a little stability in between to get people comfortable with the "stable price". Perception is a bitch, it's not going to happen the way you predict.
200  Economy / Speculation / Re: Dead Cat Bounce ??!! on: October 07, 2011, 11:32:36 PM
I think we need to start using 1/log (inverse log? does such a thing exist?) charts to see activity down here.  Hell, the price moved 20% today but you won't see that on the chart because it doesn't even register relative to noise movement of just a few weeks ago.

Yeah yeah yeah. Log charts will show it's all roses, because that's what I want to believe!

I understand that log charts will show you a bit more about losses in short-term speculation, but everyone's saying "yeah but" on these charts because they want to ignore reality: BTC is tanking. Has been since June, no reason to think it's going to change. Ignore what you want, doesn't make you right.
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