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1861  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin IS a BUBBLE and will BURST! on: April 04, 2019, 09:27:00 PM
You have not tried hodl When prices fall

There are those who control the market in a suspicious and bad way


It's safe to say that the panic selling noobs who sold in early 2018 are looking back more than satisfied, while those hodling were regretting not having sold at "low" prices such as $10,000, then $8000, then $6000, etc.

Bear markets are an amazing opportunity to increase your coins by buying back the coins you sold before. I too could have done a way better job utilizing the bear market, but at least I learned from it and know that the next bull-bear cycle will do me well.

As for the controlling the market part, who are you referring to? The larger this market grows, the harder it becomes to control it. People can point at institutions all day long, but where is the evidence? I'm certain that institutions are just as afraid of you guys as you guys are afraid of institutions. Cheesy
1862  Economy / Speculation / Re: So what do we think of thing continuous gradual rise of Bitcoin recently? on: April 04, 2019, 08:27:47 PM
The market seemed to be quite healthy. But, the current rise seems quite suspicious. All those sudden rise might cause a chaos soon. FOMO might also be playing a huge role on this weird price rise. Lets hope everything goes back to normal Smiley.

Bitcoin pumping and dumping hard seems pretty normal to me. Chaos in the market is the only thing that Bitcoin and crypto in general has going for it right now. How else will it signal that it's alive? If Bitcoin isn't doing anything the interest in it decreases and we have seen that more than once already, and this will continue till utility wins it over the speculative nature. At that point people will prefer relative stability.

I miss the good old days where 1000-2000BTC buy and sell walls were a common occurrence. Investors are probably afraid of exchanges due to all the hacks and whatnot, therefore spread out their funds over multiple exchanges, which means that smart money understands that centralized exchanges are shit, while dumb money continues to ignore red flags and for that reason people continue to rekt themselves.
1863  Economy / Speculation / Re: The good thing about having a bad market condition! on: April 04, 2019, 08:06:39 PM
the bear market weed away the newbies, the ones who are only after the price and not the technology, the wannabes and the soft hands. The bear market also switches the focus from price to development.

I haven't seen much more development take place in the current beark market. Everything that most serious projects did and do right now was planned well before the bear market even initiated.

People tend to give a positive twist to anything they see as negative, and the bear market versus the buidl mentality isn't any different. On top of that, after a bear market we're due for another bull market, and all the shitty scam projects and noobs will be back gambling their credit and live savings. Every bull run results in more mainstream adoption and thus more get rich quick noobs. They are here to stay.
1864  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: Changelly failed transaction - how long to resolve? on: April 04, 2019, 06:43:38 PM
Changelly tends to halt conversions when they are on the losing end of the trade. With how volatile the prices have been in the last weeks, it's quite possible that the price went down and Changelly decided to no longer honor the agreement.

I had to deal with this when I tried to use their service to convert fork coins to BTC. One time the transaction failed, and one time they did end up sending me the BTC, but only after the fork coins went up in value, which took like 6 hours. Roll Eyes
1865  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: yobit lost wallet btc on: April 04, 2019, 06:04:24 PM
there are many complaints about them, obviously, they are fraudsters. here should be taken as soon as something to remove this scam.

There have been so many complaints about Yobit, and that for years now, that people have to ask themselves who scams who here. If you send funds to an exchange that's super shady, you're playing Russian roulette with your funds, period.

Sure, it sucks hard that OP lost money, but come on, it's known that exchanges like Yobit thrive on people they keep ignoring in the hope that they finally drop their case and accept their loss. They do this to tens of thousands of people, where most of the amounts concerned are too insignificant for people to publicly complain about, so the number of victims is orders of magnitude higher than the number of complains on internet.
1866  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2019-03-28] The Economist: Bitcoin revival unlikely.... on: April 04, 2019, 06:52:51 AM
I know the question is not original, however, was there a satisfying and final solution?

You could judge that for yourself, I can't tell you your opinion on something you haven't looked for (and because you're so interested, you'll be really motivated to look, I'm rather confused as to why you've not done so yet)

Why don't you explain him what your perspective on this matter is? We're here to help each other out and share knowledge, which you are definitely capable of and could have done already. It might not be an original question in your book, but what is an original question that we see pop up on this forum nowadays? On top of that, opinions can change the further we see Bitcoin progress, so it's still a valid question in the end.

He somewhat shared his concern, which you think is not valid, so what's your vision when it comes to the fees and the sustainability of the POW aspect of Bitcoin in the long run?
1867  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2019-04-03] Bitcoin's Recent Renaissance Could Be Linked to Algorithmic Trading on: April 04, 2019, 06:37:45 AM
It's a guessing game. In all cases we see the mainstream media talk down on Bitcoin after a sweet increase. It's either manipulation, one single entity playing with the market, rogue governments taking positions, etc. One thing is certain, the mainstream media mostly is very wrong with their analysis, and it wouldn't surprise me that the same is the case right now.

The most probable reason for this increase is the breakout of the ascending triangle we were in for months. A breakout would net a $1000ish increase, and we got exactly that. The only thing that wasn't certain was when it would break out with how it easily could have taken a few more weeks for the breakout to initiate.
1868  Economy / Economics / Re: Correlation between increase in transaction fees and Bitcoin price. on: April 03, 2019, 08:56:56 PM
Speculators happily outbid basic users to get that first next block confirmation. It might get worse if the price pumps further because of how speculators will then try to outbid each other, and this could cause the fees to be pushed to levels well beyond a regular situation with the same number of unconfirmed transactions.

Speculators also paid up for the fees during the 2017 bull run. Their potential profits were so large that a $50-$100 fee was peanuts to them. It's party time for miners, but a bad situation for basic users trying to get their transaction confirmed.

In the end, current network congestion is a much needed test for Bitcoin and Segwit. As far as I can see, the fees are not that extreme. If the fees do end up going towards something that most people consider extreme, it will only boost Segwit adoption because exchanges will be forced to offer users a better user experience.
1869  Economy / Economics / Re: what are hurdles for bitcoin based projects/investments on: April 03, 2019, 08:22:20 PM
Investors confidence had been devastated on previous correction which in result into major loss and now reinvesting again to these project wont really be that easy once again
but i do expect that it will regain once again if the market tends to recover gradually just like on what we are seeing now.

Investors who got rekt during the bear market did that to themselves. It's pretty much rule nr1 that regardless of the project you invest in, heavily depends on the market sentiment. Even if your project has the best possible fundamentals, it will be turned into a pile of rubbish the moment Bitcoin drags down the entire ecosystem with it.

This isn't the stock market where you have a business generating revenue and profit streams. I'm really happy that I never invested in a project that aims to do x but doesn't deliver in the end. Buying spot greatly outperforms an investment in any type of crypto related business/project by orders of magnitude.

If you want to invest in projects anyway, then wait for the bull market and buy into a random token tied to the project and you're in the profits. Back in 2017 losing money was harder than making money. Everything mooned hard.
1870  Economy / Speculation / Re: BTC might do something nice soon. TA only ( No crystal Ball/s) on: April 03, 2019, 06:38:15 PM
Meh, Yeah, this was a huge move to the upside but remember this only happened in 2 hours, the volume is decent but not amazing, until i see some continuation the next days I will be skeptical of this move, we have seen moves like this in the past where bitcoin gains 10-15% in a few hours just to trade sideways for days/weeks and then to eventually lose it all.

The volumes are quite nice actually. If you focus on Bitstamp, Kraken and Coinbase Pro, you'll see that there are waves of buy orders coming through that signal demand. Some investors trade based on confirmations, and with how we broke through all previous local lower highs with such a fierce candle, they see that as a start of an up trend.

It's going to be interesting to see at what level the weekly candle closes. This could very well indicate a trend reversal with the charts actually backing it. I am currently short when it comes to trading, but I stacked up quite some satoshis under $4000 for long term holding purposes, so I am good either way.
1871  Economy / Speculation / Re: THE FOMO! on: April 03, 2019, 06:18:44 PM
Anyway, it could be the right time to max out the cc to buy crypto again.  Lololol.  Cheesy

I wish this wouldn't happen (i.e. people investing with borrowed money) but it's certainly reality with how the price has gone up. Retailers are very sentiment driven, therefore buy because the price goes up, and sell or not buy because the price is going down. I was like that too in the very beginning. I bought the pumps and sold the dumps. Cheesy

The funny thing about retailers is when they start wondering why the price is going down when they buy and up when they sell. It doesn't come up in their mind to do the exact opposite after so many similar mistakes.
1872  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Do not be this type of Bitcoiner on: April 03, 2019, 04:51:15 PM
We don't really have to wish that Fiat to be destroyed just for Bitcoin to rise up.
Bitcoin have it's own way to success and we have seen it from the past few years.

I'm sure that most people wishing fiat to implode are sitting at home all day staring at the crypto price tickers. I'm also sure that they don't even hold that much in crypto assets. What these baboons don't realize is that you don't gain anything if fiat implodes and the price tickers show 100-1000% gains. All that happens is that the price adjusts itself to levels where your purchasing power is still identical to what it was before the implosion.

Bitcoin being digital Gold is already a massive utility, and for most people that's the only thing that matters since they don't use Bitcoin as a currency. Bitcoin is too precious to spend, unless you're replacing what you spend, but that makes it less of a day to day currency.

1873  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2019-04-01] Making ATM Bitcoin Payments via Lightning Network Is Becoming a Rea on: April 03, 2019, 03:09:46 PM
I think the point is that for ATMs, it is nice to have a nearly immediate confirmation vs potentially having to wait for the transaction to be included in a block.  :-)

That also solves the double spending attacks on ATM's because some still offer zero confirmation payouts. Very recently a group of criminals managed to steal very large sums of money repeatedly by double spending, which some said it's the fault of the ATM operator, which is partly true, but a business wants to offer convenience in form of speed, and that convenience comes with a very high risk, one that Lightning eliminates. Smiley

Reading about how creative people are with Lightning apps and other developments makes me feel as excited as I was back in 2013 where merchants accepting Bitcoin was still super duper cool.

Fun fact, Roger Ver and Charlie Lee made a friendly bet 7ish months ago where Roger said that he doesn't believe more than 1000 merchants are accepting Lightning payments in 18 months. Well. He lost big time. Somewhere this or next year he'll wear a Lightning or Blockstream shirt. Can't wait. Grin
1874  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2019-04-02]Bitcoin Trades Over $5,000, is the Next Bull Run Knocking? on: April 03, 2019, 02:41:04 PM
The ascending triangle broke out and pumped nicely to where it will face a lot resistance. Got my short in at ~$4900 and now I am waiting for gravity to do its work. I am however not sure yet where I'll cash out considering the (real) volumes show some decent buying waves.

CME yesterday generated 12,000 contracts worth 50,000BTC and it looks like they'll easily go over that today. People saying that CME doesn't play a role have to open their eyes and start to acknowledge that this fake Bitcoin platform has a firm say in this market.
1875  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2019-03-31] Bitcoin [BTC] ETF: SEC stalls proposal yet again; decision pushed.. on: April 01, 2019, 10:14:45 PM
Anyway, if the market becomes too large, the SEC will have no choice but to approve it, because, in the end, it is better to have some control over this market than none.

The SEC always has a choice, where ultimately, they can continue to say no to Bitcoin.

People here don't seem to understand that they have a ~$4 trillion ETF market to protect. The SEC doesn't lose one single second of sleep over Bitcoin not being granted an ETF, and why would they? It definitely seems that people in the crypto space badly want this ETF, while the SEC rather not wastes its time looking at Bitcoin at all.

Bitcoin's market has to go through years of maturation in every field to make the SEC seriously consider an ETF approval, and I can't blame them. The very fact that exchanges are massively inflating their volumes doesn't help at all. It just fuels the SEC's 'Bitcoin is being manipulated' narrative.
1876  Economy / Exchanges / Re: Binance a “high” regulatory risk on: April 01, 2019, 08:03:54 PM
Allowing customers to withdraw any amount without being subject to KYC can theoretically allow someone to launder an unlimited amount of money if they create multiple accounts. They may do blockchain analysis to somewhat prevent this if someone is clearly depositing coin owned by the same entity via multiple anon accounts.

It's safe to say that most of the funds that people send to Binance come from fiat exchanges like Coinbase, and they are withdrawn back to fiat exchanges like Coinbase. In other words, there is no such a thing as anonymity, especially not when you take into consideration that the majority of the people don't even understand what coin taint really is.

I think that some exchanges might even hand over user data to each other in order to prevent illicit acitivity. It's pure speculation from my side, but it's not out of the ordinary considering that Coinbase is the most regulated exchange, and exchanging data happens within the legacy financial industry too.
1877  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: bestmixer or chipmixer? on: April 01, 2019, 07:30:04 PM
Also, there are more wallet options like Wasabi Wallet, Samourai, etc. that give you more privacy control as you transact.

Coin shuffling has been gaining some momentum lately, which is a good thing, but at the same time, contributes to network cluttering the more popular these privacy enhancing wallets become.

I like the fact that through ChipMixer I can redeem loaded private keys of different amounts that have been created like a day or so before. This makes it more difficult to link it to me than a regular mixing job would, where you either withdraw your coins right after the first confirmation, or wait a couple of hours. In both cases your 'clean' coins move after your initial mixing job.
1878  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: What trading platforms do you prefer? on: April 01, 2019, 06:46:56 PM
Bitmex all the way.

I like the fact that I can utilize my Bitcoins to long/short altcoins and get paid out the profits in Bitcoin, which especially during an altcoin season, is a fantastic way to stack up on Bitcoin and enjoy the ride up when it's Bitcoin's time to shine.

The only thing people should carefully read into is what leverage is, and how it works. I still read stories where people wipe out their entire balance not knowing what happened. In my book, 5x is the preferred leverage count, and in some cases 10x, but that's only after a confirmed trend change.
1879  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin 4-year cycle is it real? Probable end year rally for Bitcoin on: April 01, 2019, 05:23:11 PM
Bitmain also heavily bet on Bitcoin Cash so I'm not sure I'd trust their judgement (from a business point of view, regardless of what your stance on blocksize is).

That's definitely true, but the BCash bet was more related to Jihan and his right hand over at Bitmain (which Jihan paid the price for as he got booted from his head position), while their current plan to deploy an insane number of miners seems to be more of a smart business move based on internal consensus, where on top of that, you can't really go wrong with Bitcoin.

Of course, this isn't a guarantee that it will pay off would the market fall down below its current low, but you have to take that risk at the end of the day. China's cheap energy season very likely is an important factor for their plan, so they at least have a financial advantage here.
1880  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin in the Event of a Global Economic Crisis on: April 01, 2019, 04:47:00 PM
Investors left and in the end they no longer trusted the government. A bad situation, of course, a lot of hunger, poverty and destruction. I am sad and I hope there won't be anything like this happening. If it is linked, then maybe crypto can be a solution, with a clear investment value so that everyone who was previously restricted can eventually invest freely in the whole world.

Investors never really trusted the government there to begin with. All they did was allow themselves to enjoy certain perks in return for their money, and as you can see, it didn't work out at all. I wonder how many of these investors were forced to leave everything behind out of fear. It's such a horrible situation, but one they have themselves to blame for.

I doubt crypto offers any sort of solution, especially when it comes to the poorest of the poorest. Smart money has various other ways to hedge the risk their governments exposes them to, where crypto represents just a fraction of that. I want to see much higher local volumes in order to see crypto play a more significant role over there.
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