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18741  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 11, 2015, 12:42:48 PM

Beyond the confidence given to BTC by regulators, which should already be priced in, what would "GBTC trading above market", within its closed loop system, really mean for BTC in general?

Not a humongous amount, but it would be a nice indicator of institutional demand which would give a wee fillip. It is a strange little financial instrument though.




US tax day April 15th? You wouldn't want to open a new business right at the end of the tax year I wouldn't have thought.

It's already open. The holdup seems to be down to issuing the shares to their clients, that's if they want to sell at all.


I've just received word from one of the shareholders.

 Continental Stock Transfer & Trust, the company responsible for transferring the shares, needs an additional two weeks to verify share ownership and draft the ownership documents.


There we go.
18742  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 11, 2015, 12:29:13 PM
Have we found the bottom?

Big news this coming week to take us to 300?
What big news?

I can't foresee much on the horizon in the immediate future. GBTC trades above market would be significant but bureaucracy seems to be delaying that for a while yet.
18743  Economy / Service Announcements / Re: New website to handle misconceptions about Bitcoin. (in beta) on: April 11, 2015, 12:26:51 PM
Is there going to be a way to submit questions as well?

Some of them, such the worst investment of 2014 one, aren't relevant to someone who's just looking to have their curiosity sated.

And maybe there should be some sort of pinned summary of what Bitcoin is as the top or a link to one. The site addresses misconceptions but doesn't offer some more positive answers about how the reader can benefit from it.
18744  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: BitMarket Thief Arrested By Polish Cybercrime Unit on: April 10, 2015, 10:20:56 PM
the only bad thing about bitcoin is the felons

And sadly they will never be far away. If you'd asked a scumbag ten years ago what the perfect vehicle for enriching themselves would be, something like Bitcoin would've popped out of their slobbering mouths.

It'll take a much brighter public, or plenty of bulletproof middle men for it to become a trusted option.
18745  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Has anyone successfully evaded collections agencies by exchanging fiat into BTC? on: April 10, 2015, 10:13:08 PM
Wow, America really is a horrible place in terms of laws, politics and freedom.
In the UK we have to earn a a certain amount and only then do we begin paying back our student loans which just comes off our salary as income tax. Anything not paid off after 25 years is just written off.

That sounds like a recipe of disaster.
You are shifting the risk of you not earning well to the bank?
I wonder why banks would give education loans then.

In the UK tuition fees for college and university are a very recent development. When I was a nipper university was free and they gave you free money to live on.

Our education loans aren't provided by conventional banking channels. They're backed by the government who probably fully expect a large proportion to never get paid back.

As for the OP's dilemma, it's going to be a toughie to slip into crypto without leaving a paper trail somewhere. Cash into ATMs would work. Lamassu ATMs come with ID verification disabled. I think it would depend on what state you're in.
18746  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Hitleap Is it worth it? on: April 10, 2015, 10:06:36 PM
Well the general cencus is, it blows. Does anybody have any recommendations as to where I should try to get some ad space at? I placed a order today for a shipment of knives. What's the general publics opinion on where a good place to traffic site, www.bitcoin-knives.com Any feedback is greatly appreciated.

Why not start off on a more organic basis? Tell r/bitcoin what you're up to. Put up some special offers on here. Dig out some knife fan forums and get posting.
18747  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Best way / Best people to use - to withdraw bitcoins in UK on: April 10, 2015, 08:30:12 PM
Yes this is what I mean .. Or does anything send them to paypal ?

don't use paypal, use circle instead, which is kinda like paypal but there is no chargeback

it's very easy and fast to use, you load your money and transfer them to evryone in the world by deciding the currency(your country currency or bitcoin), and circle will do an automatic conversion

He's stuck in the stone age UK. I'm not so sure circle can be used here any more. You buy from it for a little while when it launched but I think they closed that loophole. I might be wrong though. It would be wonderful if it did work outside the US.
18748  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Best way / Best people to use - to withdraw bitcoins in UK on: April 10, 2015, 08:19:35 PM
Yes this is what I mean .. Or does anything send them to paypal ?

No. And never, ever sell bitcoins for Paypal to anyone else either. They can do a chargeback.

If you're in the UK there aren't very many selling options. You can sell direct via localbitcoins, but again there's some scam risks. You could also look into bittylicious.com which links you to other buyers.

The most painless way would be via an exchange. There are a couple of UK exchanges but you'd be better off going with a European one like Bitstamp or Kraken as they have the volume and they're pretty slick.

Stick your coins on there, sell them and then get them to do a bank transfer back to you.
18749  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: 116 million on: April 10, 2015, 07:35:30 PM

I based my estimates on this information: http://qz.com/359679/80-of-bitcoin-is-exchanged-into-and-out-of-chinese-yuan/
and this http://www.coindesk.com/yuan-trades-now-make-70-bitcoin-volume/
Also there are many other articles around the web that point me toward this conclusion.

Quoting from the coindesk article

"In September 2013, approximately one CNY trade was carried out per three USD trades. At the moment, the situation is quite different, as CNY accounts for more than two thirds of all deals and on most days it outpaces the dollar by a ratio of at least 1:3."

Every single USD trade, apart from the occasional special offer, is subject to a fee. It's inevitable that there'll be less of them because it costs to buy and sell.

If it doesn't cost you a bean to switch between BTC and CNY then you'll be trading like a mad person.

That's trade volume, not coin ownership. It could be one coin being batted around thousand of times a second.
18750  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: 116 million on: April 10, 2015, 06:48:39 PM

Majority of bitcoins (around 75% of all bitcoins as of now) is now in Chinese hands so I imagine that they do not care about PayPal that much. They have local  equivalent services. I am not sure if PayPal even available in China.

What's the basis for that figure? The really large amounts in individual hands will have been mined long before China ever knew about Bitcoin.

If you're basing it off exchange volume, we all know how skewed they are in China because of zero fees and probable outright lies. There's probably no shortage of foreigners using them too.

I'm sure a big proportion of coins are in Chinese hands, but the reality is probably more modest than many think.
18751  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 10, 2015, 06:22:01 PM

Yeez, you're becoming quite the buzz kill. All I hear is that they want discounts when paying with BTC... Now BTC itself is on sale, still not good enough.


Human nature innit. The herd panics and squeals while the lone wolf stocks up. Then the herd wails and panics upwards when everything is looking rosy again. Or the lone wolf fucks up too and is wiped out alongside everyone else.
18752  Economy / Economics / Re: How to save money. on: April 10, 2015, 06:17:37 PM

Saving habits are a must if we want to eradicate poverty in the longer term.


As we've seen over and over again in recent years, it's savers who are punished and the debtors are pandered to. That seems to be an attitude that's hard wired into most governments. That might take paradigm shifts or generations to change.
18753  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: 116 million on: April 10, 2015, 06:13:52 PM
http://www.coindesk.com/21-record-116-million-funding-all-star-investors/

Get ready for the "They don't believe in bitocin because they did not buy bitcoin directly" spamming  Roll Eyes

The sad part is that it probably cause little movement. And people just won't react to positive news at all. I feel like our community only reacts to bad or pseudo-bad news and just miss the great and groundbreaking positive news... Price of bitcoin can be good indicator of this trend.

That's the key bit. In an ideal world this present community will become a complete and utter irrelevance as Bitcoin spreads. No VC is investing to make it easier for us lot to use. It's for everyone else out there.
18754  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: BitMarket Thief Arrested By Polish Cybercrime Unit on: April 10, 2015, 06:09:47 PM
The Polish Cybercrime Unit based in Krakow have announced the arrest of a 28-year old man in connection with the theft of around 85,000 PLN from Polish Bitcoin exchange BitMarket.pl

http://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/32033a/bitmarket_thief_arrested_by_polish_cybercrime_unit/

I most suprised they actually have a cybercrime unit in Poland.

It's just like anywhere else in Western Europe these days. Actually I was rather annoyed by that. It wasn't foreign enough for my liking.

Considering the combo of blockchain analysis and the necessity to cash it out via exchanges, I'm pretty surprised there aren't more thieves who've been nailed to the wall. No doubt it'll become harder in the years to come to get away with it.
18755  Economy / Economics / Re: let's develop cryptocurrency economic theory on: April 10, 2015, 05:59:17 PM

Cryptocurrency field needs more research, I fully agree,  but it is impossible to conduct research without valid subjects. We need to have reference point. Bitcoin - the most advances and main cryptocurrency right now is in its infancy state, so I we can only guess what will happen in the future with it.

There are lessons to be learnt as it's happening now, but you're right. Apart from a few noble people trying to develop closed loops and private individuals trading with each other, it's not really an economy at all at present. It's still a system for transmitting dollars.

Regardless of what happen to Bitcoin, it'll be something that's still talked about and analysed for a long, long time to come.
18756  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 10, 2015, 05:09:02 PM

I've said a couple of times that these businesses and their investors should go together to form a BTC stabilization fund. Not to decide the price range, but to keep manipulators from destroying bitcoins utility by manipulating these violent price swings.


That would set them up for accusations of trying to draw people into a totally rigged market. It is already, but at least we can't name those who are to blame at the moment.

The best thing they can do is build the tools to make Bitcoin an essential part of many, many more lives.

Organic and necessary buying power is what would eventually command the market. If that doesn't arrive then it's better to leave it to the hoarders and bots to die.
18757  Other / Meta / Re: Who uses a custom trust depth? on: April 10, 2015, 04:48:59 PM
I've never dipped into the trust system and well and truly can't figure out how it's supposed to work. It all counts for nothing anyway as soon as someone has a funny turn or cashes in the long game they've been playing.

I'd just use the most established escrows and go on how the person who I'm thinking of trusting has acted in the past.
18758  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Africa May Leapfrog Traditional Banking on: April 10, 2015, 04:01:34 PM
I don't think they can leapfrog traditional banking. If they can't access the banking, how can they buy  or cash out bitcoin through the exchanges, which accept fiat money deposits for them to trade or transfer fiat money to your bank account for withdrawal?

Swap it for M Pesa? There's already a parallel economy operating with that. BTC would run alongside it. There could be a huge volume of bitcoin exchange and cashing in and out without any of it ever touching a bank.

The question is whether it would be relevant to the average M Pesa user. Probably not that much in country, but there would be international applications.
18759  Economy / Speculation / Re: They say it can't be the miners on: April 10, 2015, 03:48:12 PM
Chinese miners? They make up a big proportion of the coins mined and they're in a country where BTC is essentially useless for anything other than selling or market playing.

The Chinese government should've done the world a favour and truly shut down any possible market avenue available to them. They're not exactly doing anything to contribute to the ecosystem and that's what Bitcoin needs.
18760  Economy / Speculation / Re: 21 million Bitcoin on: April 10, 2015, 03:22:29 PM
I think OP was asking in a "what if" scenario .... even though he will not be there when it happens...  Wink

The price will most probably increase, if there are still people using it and mining it, but at the rate technology improve, we predict that Bitcoin would not be in use, because it would be replaced with a much better technology.

So in theory... 21 million Bitcoins can be mined, but I would bet against that ever happening.  Wink

There'll be some nostalgic computer scientist who mines the final dust from the original blockchain on their toilet or fingernail computer.

Once enough money is poured in, 'good enough' is a powerful incentive to keep things as they are. It's not a myspace/facebook where you can skip to the new technology with a couple of clicks and lose nothing.

Perhaps bitcoin will slowly morph as the years go by with the original token on the chain being fully transferable to a fresher incarnation.

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