Date   6/18/18
VWAP   $6,551.36
x   2893
y   8.787428621
a (slope) historical   0.003309021
b (intercept) historical   -0.110879151
Rsq historical   0.860242
BETI historical   -0.674
Expected Price historical   $12,848.92
Actual price / expected price historical   50.99%
Expected Date historical   11/26/17
# of Days ahead historical   -203.56
Daily VWAP Rank historical   221
Next expected price historical   $12,891.51
   
   
-2.25   $1,354.27
-2.00   $1,738.91
-1.75   $2,232.81
-1.50   $2,866.98
-1.25   $3,681.28
-1.00   $4,726.85
-0.75   $6,069.40
-0.50   $7,793.27
-0.25   $10,006.75
0.00   $12,848.92
0.25   $16,498.34
0.50   $21,184.29
0.75   $27,201.17
1.00   $34,926.99
1.25   $44,847.15
1.50   $57,584.88
1.75   $73,940.44
2.00   $94,941.41

What do you mean, I don't understand your question?

Thanks JL2012 for the idea.  

Since he hasn't updated in a while, here you go.  

Date   6/15/18
VWAP   $6,545.67
x   2890
y   8.786559194
a (slope) historical   0.003310
b (intercept) historical   -0.112294
Rsq historical   0.860021
BETI historical   -0.667
Expected Price historical   $12,757.93
Actual price / expected price historical   51.31%
Expected Date historical   11/25/17
# of Days ahead historical   -201.59
Daily VWAP Rank historical   222
Next expected price historical   $12,800.23

BETI (Historical) and BETI (Current) Chart



-2.25   $1,344.68
-2.00   $1,726.60
-1.75   $2,217.00
-1.50   $2,846.68
-1.25   $3,655.21
-1.00   $4,693.38
-0.75   $6,026.42
-0.50   $7,738.07
-0.25   $9,935.88
 0.00   $12,757.93
 0.25   $16,381.50
 0.50   $21,034.27
 0.75   $27,008.53
 1.00   $34,679.64
 1.25   $44,529.54
 1.50   $57,177.07
 1.75   $73,416.81
 2.00   $94,269.04

Sorry, I can't post inline pictures here as a Newbie since I never bothered making an account (been here a long time).  

Here's my version:



Maybe BETI -1.16 is the new -2.23?

Given 4 month old regression values as per jl2012's last February post:

todays BETI = -0.737

BETI -1.16 = $4144
BETI -2.23 = $1423


We could stay at today's price until Sep.1 2019 @ BETI -2.23
We could stay at today's price until Oct 17 2018 @ BETI -1.16
($6270)

jl2012

thank you for the intriguing thread. 

i think people should consider the worst case black swan BETI -2.0  and not always look for BETI +2.0.

just the post above me by user vit05 shows people only look at expected gains but not expected losses.



i have the same question mararn1618 asked about daily values for a and b.

i tried modeling my own table in excel of prior dates and BETI values, before i also realized i was using your static regression parameters.

i see that a = slope; b = intercept, but don't quite follow what i am to do.

what is the formula that i can compute a and b daily myself for any given date?

or would be willing to share a table of historical a and b values?

thank you.

ok thanks.  maybe upload it to http://tinypic.com/


Thanks. Does liqui allow you to send the qtum out of the exchange as tokens to an offline ethereum address?

I see the liqui price has now climed 40% higher at least on liqui.. $7 vs $5 a few day ago

Is there a way to get an alert when a new coin is listed at Bittrex?  (or some of the exchanges, for that matter?)

Sorry, I do not see a any translate button.   And is this Buzhongchou legit?  It is not listed on coinmarketcap as a known exchange.


Really? You are saying the error message is inaccurate and the problem is my country?   So I need a VPN that terminates in China?

Thanks but I need an English site.  

BTER.COM supposedly has QTUM/BTC, but shows very low volume.

Regardless, the BTER signup process doesn't work, giving an 'Invalid verification code' error.

I want to trade BTC or ETH directly for QTUM.  I have no CNY.

I signed up for Yunbi but they only have QTUM/CNY pair.

If I deposit some BTC into Yunbi, will a trading screen for BTC/QTUM suddenly appear?

Is this possible anywhere?

I also have the same problem as above of:

"Warning! Error encountered during contract execution [Bad jump destination]"  on 2 different transaction ID's now.... so 2 times wasted the gas, which is about $5 wasted each time.

Actually, I tried 3 times.  The very first time I tried to send, it just send "Pending" for over 3 hours.  So then I raised the Gas Price up to 60 Gwei, which allowed me to get further (and get those error above).

This is using myetherwallet.com and a ledger nano s.

I thought it might have been something about a bug in the MyEtherwallet client program, as I read you had to make sure to fill in the DATA field first otherwise the gas field gets wiped out.  But nothing I did made a difference.

In any case, I filled in the DATA field with the DATA info as instructed by civic, and I set the gas limit to 250000.  Civic did not say that I needed to up the Gas Price from 32 Gwei to 60 Gwei, but that is the only thing that enabled me to get the transaction out of the pending stage.   Still, it went from Pending to Bad Jump Destination, which I guess is worse...

Anyone know how to fix this?