Why bitcoin is worth less than yesterday? Because demand shifted left. Supply is still stable.

For all of you who doubt: I am not a messiah, but current data shows current mood and current expectations.

Currently, it seems BTC will explode once it reaches 10k. It might get another 5k to 15k just one day. This is the current situation, once again.

But make sure, I'll let you know if there are any changes. I keep monitoring.

Hi, sure it's grabbed from one of the biggest exchange. I am aware it's not completely relevant, however I did analysis on other markets and supply and demand are pretty much at the same level as this sample.

Sorry, I am not a native English speaker. Could you simplify your question, please?

Current mid-term mood is a fight for 10k USD. This is the psychological price. If demand increases at 10k and supply stays the same, we will have new high level prices. But I think this period won't last very long, because demand is very elastic bellow 10k.

Yes, guys, you are all very correct. It all depends on the big gamers.

But we can predict several things within some probability area.

1. The volume
2. Log return


If we have demand and supply analysis, then we can as well predict how the market will react if big players jump into the market. Not always, big buying causes the price to go up, because it all depends on market demand and supply.


If you will follow my thread, you will be able to see that sometimes (despite) large volume, prices do not go up or down in a drastic way.


Here is new chart:



See, the supply curve is different than yesterday. The slope is different, the value of the slope is bigger. It means suppliers are optimistic about Bitcoin price to go up, so they have a lower interest to sell it at the price, which was yesterday at the same time. The question is how demand will react.


Note the balances can change anytime.

My prediction is Bitcoin will be quiet steady for today. I expect the price might fall down a bit, do not expect any drastic movement in price to go up, because there is quite an elastic supply for 2.5k bitcoins.

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