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21  Other / Meta / Re: How do I get my old account back? on: December 23, 2016, 10:05:52 AM

My account was not hacked and I have the password.
22  Other / Meta / How do I get my old account back? on: December 23, 2016, 09:46:49 AM
My original account "Hyphymikey" has been locked for some time now. I did was a password change after the hack a while back, then I go to log back in and it says I have been banned and to contact Theymos at the e4ward email. I have emailed numerous times with no reply. I changed my password again the other day with my reset and it still says banned. Can any Staff shine some light on what is going on? I saw the thread on how to prove accounts, but my account was never hacked or signed in from anywhere but my home, and never out of my possession. I would really like my old account back as the old timers are getting back on the wall observer thread.
23  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 23, 2016, 04:53:35 AM
Wow this thread still exists? I was here in the good old days of $5 and $10.

Back in the original wall observer thread. I got there at $13 but I agree, good ol days!
24  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 23, 2016, 04:48:56 AM
Soon.

Uh oh
25  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 20, 2016, 06:15:30 AM
Interesting to see 1K BTC on the ask side to $800 on Bitfinex, Bitstamp, GDAX, itBit, and BTC-E.
26  Economy / Exchanges / Re: 119,756 BTC were stolen from Bitfinex's customers... on: August 03, 2016, 05:18:35 AM
I still don't get it.  There is no way they were keeping that many BTC not in some kind of cold storage with high security measures.

They don't use cold storage. Each user has their own multi-sig wallets with BitGo. The hacker used Bitfinex's credentials somehow to sign as 1 and BitGo automatically signs as 2, making the 2 out of 3 multi-signature.
27  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: August 02, 2016, 05:42:24 AM
BillyJoeAllen was the only person I know that sold because of the block size. Speculators trade on price alone and traders are short term. Miners mine for profit in fiat not BTC, they aren't sitting on piles of BTC, if they were they wouldn't sell because you can't get free BTCC to sell for profit if you don't have BTC at the fork. Nobody is selling shit because of a hard fork. ETH fell due to DAO but barely moved once the fork happened weeks later. You people are delusional if you think that's why the price is moving. Whales and exchanges move the price, them and only them. All of you other small fish just try to keep up, and they use it to their benefit. If everyone hodls they lose.


Yeah, I generally agree with you about the whales; however, if it was about the whales, they would have preferred to keep prices below $500, which they were not able to do.

Do you think that we are returning below $500 anytime soon, and do you believe that "the whales" are going to be able to keep prices below $500 for any sustainable period of time?

The failed to keep it under $500 part.... Whales can take a break from time to time. With the insider knowledge they have, they know when a large sum of fiat enters an exchange, and can either front run or at least hold of selling. When they see the "newcomer" is done buying they can sell for a profit. That's what we are seeing now. What's better than a pump and dump? One where someone else does the pumping and you do the dumping. It makes for much greater profit than any other method. You might even coax the newcomer into selling at a loss, and profit from that too. I just made a post here about BFX being 88% corporate aka whales, when this falls under 50% they lose all their power. So expect to see this over and over.

Bringing it back under $500 seems like a 30% chance to me, as in if they will only barely break into the high $400s. I think they have no incentive to do it because margin longs are so heavily backed that we would need $300s to see a significant margin call of longs. I'm thinking sideways between $580 and $620 until another newcomer enters or we see another hype cycle.
28  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: August 02, 2016, 05:32:54 AM
If anybody needs proof of "whales"

http://www.cftc.gov/idc/groups/public/@lrenforcementactions/documents/legalpleading/enfbfxnaorder060216.pdf

"However, corporate users compromised a significant portion of Bitfinex's trading volume during the Relevant Period. In 2015, 88% of the dollars deposited to and withdrawn from Bitfinex were by corporate users."

Bottom of page 3
29  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: August 02, 2016, 12:22:34 AM
http://www.coindesk.com/coinbase-first-employee-hedge-fund/

Quote
... Olaf Carlson-Wee, the first employee at venture-backed bitcoin exchange Coinbase, has departed as head of risk ... manager

not trying to spread rumours, but just saying, when head of risk manager hits the road then the risks were probably not being managed that well, which usually means ... yup, big losses

He left to start his own hedge fund, he didn't quit out of nowhere. Stop spreading FUD like you always do.
30  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: August 01, 2016, 11:37:52 PM
1 of the 3 whales in bitcoin got bored I see. I wonder why he decided to dump and not pump? He must be stop-hunting some of the open longs, which isn't near as profitable as pump and dumping. But when you have insider knowledge a buck earned is a buck earned right?
31  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: July 31, 2016, 03:50:33 AM
The scary part: the only substance I know of transported by rail that would cause mondo tanker suck like that is oleum,
In a form also known as cryogenic sulfuric acid.
Commonly used as a crude oil refining catalyst:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oleum

I'm pretty sure they don't ship LN2 by rail either.

Apparently, the collapse was a demonstration of a vacuum which could be caused during unloading if the relief valves were jammed.

+1

I used to work in the petroleum and chemical refinery business. This video was shown numerous times in safety meetings and classes. What's surprising is, those tankers aren't suited for vacuum, and very little was needed to crush that one like a soda can.
32  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: July 10, 2016, 01:04:56 AM
Too many whales just sitting on their hands not doing anything.

Who will be brave enough to act first?

All I know is the first to act will be the one that ultimately loses.
33  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: July 09, 2016, 11:59:00 PM
Off-topic:
...

Edit: I guess I can't post images yet. Can I have my old account back please?

Cited to display image for Hyphy... ... very simple, interface, I see.
That was very kind of you  Smiley

 Angry Angry

Reported.

I don't get it. Are you a troll?
34  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: July 09, 2016, 11:32:34 PM
Off-topic:

My most used day trading tool, the all important Apple Watch.



Edit: I guess I can't post images yet. Can I have my old account back please?
35  Economy / Speculation / Re: Market fucks the majority on: July 07, 2016, 10:17:58 PM
From what I've read around here, everyone is expecting a crash around the halving, so won't they be the ones who get fucked?
36  Other / Archival / Re: Massive dump really happened on: July 07, 2016, 04:54:47 AM
I expected more from someone who has been around for 2 years.
37  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: July 07, 2016, 04:42:41 AM
Low volume bot trading in China manages to bring the price down with big volume on other exchanges. They don't even try to hide the manipulation, but I don't blame them, traders are blind anyways.

China, with Huobi, its "leading exchange because of volume" drops with around 500 BTC traded, while Bitfinex drops with around 6000 BTC traded. Whats even funnier is that Bitstamp had more volume on this dip than Huobi. The day these Chinese exchanges have fees is the day the whales lose their surefire way to eat up all you minnows.
38  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 28, 2016, 02:44:02 AM
^^ Reads like Vinny Lingham's blog piece from yesterday ... HyphyBTC (aka hyphymikey) is Vinny?

Most certainly not lol. I'm pretty sure if you read my old post history under hyphymikey, you will see me talking about this years ago. I haven't looked back at the history lately, but I'm pretty sure I've talked about it in this thread.
39  Economy / Speculation / Re: Exchange vs Over The Counter Speculation on: June 28, 2016, 12:28:05 AM
So whales have been suppressing the price for the last 2.5 years.... are they ever going to let it fly? Or is this keep-the-price-down-while-I-collect bullshit going to go on forever?

this is what doesn't quite add up for me. once one whale is happy then there are still hundreds of thousands or millions more. if each of them gets a boner too then this'll still be waiting to break out in 500 years and no one else is gonna give a shit any more.

Sell pressure here and there from one or more people, creates a bear market. The traders then do the rest. If MatTheCat or one of the EW guys predict a breakout, which might interfere with a whales plans, all the whale has to do is prevent the breakout. The whales don't have to do this 24/7 is what I'm trying to say. So even between two entities "manipulating" the market, the market wont change all a of sudden because of the sentiment. This overall sentiment is what the whales make the chartist think by, "manipulating" the chart using described methods.
40  Economy / Speculation / Re: Exchange vs Over The Counter Speculation on: June 27, 2016, 11:32:31 PM
There can be some manipulation but not all the time, not everywhere and not at the same time. There might be some volume on Darkpools but what about the other exchanges? BTC-E? Bitstamp? Coinbase? If Bitfinex is manipulating the price why it's not behind while the others are raising? I don't see any disproportion in price at the other exchanges.

Opinions?

Arbitrage keeps all the exchanges somewhat close in price. I point out Bitfinex because of the use of margin trading. I could suppress the price by shorting while keeping collateral in USD. Once I'm done buying OTC I can use those dollars to buy BTC and push the price up a tad, which makes my stockpile of fresh OTC Bitcoin worth even more.

In reply to post about manipulation and conspiracy and blah blah blah, I say "manipulation" in quotes, well I try to, because this is all fair game. Of course there is natural selling and natural rises. This thread  was in a general reply for all those that think Bitcoin is not seezing any growth from Brexit, when in fact you just can't see it, and why you can't see it.  The point is once more buying is done on exchanges or once we get a trustful decentralized exchange, like the waves platform, we will see unheard of growth that will over power any "manipulation" or tricks that are feasible today.

but if you do fake shorts with yourself can you actually do the arbitrage? I'm not saying you are wrong or anything just trying to understand it.

You don't actually Short the market. You put a bunch of asks on the orderbokk, using margin, with your fiat as collateral. Like 10BTC every dollar, like 10btc at 801.37 and 10btc at 802.37. This eventually adds up to the 25K or 35K BTC in asks on BFX that came out of nowhere a few days ago. This person probably has a bot to take down those Margin Short Aks if the price approaches. This creates downward pressure on the market. It may even scare a smaller whale into holding off "buying to the moon", because he can't afford for those asks walls to come crashing down on him and his recently accumulated BTC. After this "manipulator" is done buying he will either buy his own shorts to bring the market up (creating profit on his OTC buy) or he pulls his margin asks, starts buying with that fiat and the traders rally behind him because they think the "Seller Whale has been taken down!" (Also creating profit on his OTC buy)

A few years back when user/ Loaded was around he use to talk of a whale eat whale world on the exchanges. Talked about bigger whales ruining his plans, etc.  This was right when OTC was getting starting. To say this still isn't happening one would be naive.
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